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8081  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Future of Mining on a PoS network on: December 05, 2021, 06:48:28 PM
Well the issue of all POS is POS = piece of shit

Seriously POS is simple a bond concept.

So buying any POS is the same as buying a bond from a real brick and mortar company.

With one exception the POS company has zero assets and is all digital.

POW is based on hard iron real gear and the worlds electrical grid. It has Real infrasturcture.

So I basically say a F all POS

and ETH is more likely to not go to POS than it is to go to POS because it is certain to fail if it goes POS.
8082  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Investing In Hardware on: December 05, 2021, 06:43:01 PM
You can invest in such devices if you expect a problem in the supply chains, have experience and trust to be able to sell them at the right time, but in general electronic devices are not an investment because their value is declining over time due to the presence of better and more advanced devices always, in addition to the increasing difficulty of Bitcoin mining.

So unless you have experience, a good plan and know what you are doing, buying a Hardware hoping to make a profit is a wrong strategy.




Yeah you really need to know what you are doing if you think you can buy 10,000 in mining gear and flip it for 20,000 in six months.

BTW July 2020 Ebay was selling bitmain L3+ miners with a psu for about 100 USD

Same gear is now over 1000 USD

I would argue mining gear is very inflated do not buy, but If you purchased in Jan to June 2021 you likely did okay.

So if you buy today will a piece of gear be 2x in a year .

I have zero idea.
8083  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Number 9! Ninth altcoin thread. Back to the moon Baby! on: December 05, 2021, 06:31:17 PM
Eth to BTC is very high right now.

I struggle with this question:

1) Mine and hold ETH
2) Mine Eth and buy BTC

I do not need to cash out for electric payments

Easy peasy.

Mine Eth  

convert 1/3 to BTC
convert 1/3 to cash
hodl 1/3 as eth

Personally I do
65% to BTC
30% to cash
  5% to hodl ETH

But my situation is different.

I have partners
I mine BTC
I mine XEC
I mine LTC/DOGE
I mine ETH

All gear is paid off which not the same as fully Roi


And I will be altering my Eth earnings split tonight
I will do
30% BTC
60% Cash
10% Hodl ETH

As you see I do not like ETH as a hodl but since most of my mining earnings are ETH it is easy to switch to the idea of Holding a few eth coins.

Oh I report and pay taxes and I have a very unusual set of circumstances for 2021 tax year and for 2022 tax year. So showing a lot of coin to cash for 2021 and 2022 and even 2023 to 2025.

This works for me, but I would doubt it would be the same for many other people in the USA.

You need to be 64 this year and have a birthday in Jan-Feb-March next year. Plus a shit ton of other factors that most likely works for only a hand full of people.
8084  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: December 05, 2021, 04:17:00 PM
I think you'll find that the PPS pool fees are actually above 2%

I never use PPS pools, I use that 2% since it is the fee that large PPLNS pools use. I don't know why someone would pay more for a PPS pool when there are PPLNS pools with enough hashrate to act pretty close to a PPS on a weekly or monthly scale.



It doesn't look to me like there will be any significant connection between price and difficulty for the foreseeable future. Price would have to get down below the 20K range before major hash started getting turned off. At current difficulty, it costs a 5c power operation only $8432 to mine 1 BTC.

There just isn't enough gear supply to meet demand for difficulty to rise to keep up with a price jump. I bet price could jump to 200K tomorrow and it would still take a year for the difficulty to double again. Of course, a new S19 pro would then cost 50K each... lol.

I wonder if the ASIC manufacturers are having secret back-room meetings about limiting supply to keep gear prices up...

My home is 13 cents in the winter till may 1st.

an s9 doing 12th makes $3.34 usd it burns about 25 kwatts or $3.25 or net 9 cents.  But it does give over 3000 btus of heat x 24 = 72000 btus a day
which for Dec,Jan,Feb,March,April is over 10,800,000 btus  of cost free heat
8085  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 10:23:18 PM
hey i am buy $50 more tonight and for at least all of dec.

I am buying dip time after time.
8086  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Am I wrong for buying S9's? on: December 04, 2021, 08:42:41 PM
For all my calculations regarding profitability, ROI, power consumption, etc. it seems that the S9, for the prices they're going for now, tend to be more profitable than the newer more expensive S19/S19j's. I know that the power efficiency on the S19 is much better than the S9, but the ROI on the S19 are 2 years + when accounting for estimated difficulty change over time and the current $ per TH. The S9, at current Bitcoin prices, will become unprofitable quicker with the rise of the difficulty than the S19 would; but for the short run am I wrong for investing in S9's than S19's? Am I missing something? My electricity cost is $0.047 USD kWh and as of now I can buy a S19j Pro 104th for $13,780 ($132.5/TH) or for the same amount get 36 16TH (Braiins os) S9's @ $380 per unit ($23.75/TH). Any insight or help is appreciated. Thank you!

if you have 4.7 cent power and run your s9 at a realistic speed of 13th using about 1050 watts

you are more likely to profit than if you buy 1 s19. it is a bit more complex than your idea and a bit more complex for a few reasons.

I mix my gear to flatten risk. to be very honest i would suggest

l3+
s9
a four card eth rig
and a better btc asic maybe a whatsminer 31s or an avalon 1246

The ways to play a $13000 mining investment are complex.

what matters when you mine

price per kwatt is ace
how many kwatts is king
how well can you cool the space is queen

next hand
price per th ace
efficiency king
durability queen

If you get 1 s19 and it dies you are fully fucked
if you get 36 s9 s some will fail but you can mine with the others.

if you a  btc purist get 26 s9 units set 3800 on the side for power

26 units will burn 18000 kwatts in a month that is around 900 usd in power
you can use the 3800 over 4+ months before power really costs.

a true shit ton of ways to do a 13000 investment
8087  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 07:52:17 PM
If I had more cash I'd buy the dip too, but I've got everything in BTC now

Of course, I hardly have any clues regarding your particulars, but for sure we should be attempting to establish goals to never run out of cash to buy on the way down and never run out of BTC to sell on the way up.

Of course, there are a lot of discretionary aspects in regards to how to set up these kinds of matters.. and many folks likely realize that I don't believe in the concept of selling until you feel that you personally are in a decent enough BTC accumulation position to justify such a practice.. and surely selling should not have any kind of goal of being able to buy at a lower price, even if in the end, some kind of lower price might well end up coming (which surely happens quite frequently in bitcoinlandia.. but still not a way to accumulate more bitcoin)...

So, for sure, it can feel quite uncomfortable to figure out how to maintain a system that allows you to never run out of cash to continue to buy the dip... which can take a decent amount of work to establish and to feel out.. and surely the longer that we are involved in BTC the more likely that we should be able to figure out some various comfort points to maintain such balances.. and I will agree that all of this sounds all fine and dandy on paper because sometimes in actual practice there are some SNAFUs that are going to cause the running out of cash to buy more dip or even the weaning down of the amount of money that is left in the budget that it causes the amounts of the projected buys to be low as hell.. very low..  of course, for me, personally, I currently have buy orders already on the books that go down to $20k.. but there was a time in the past couple of months that my buy orders had barely gone to $25k.. and I was feeling uncomfortable with that... and of course, in late 2020 and into the early part of 2021 (nearly the whole of the first quarter), I was able to keep buy orders down to $9k... but some of that did get widdled away too based on some real life shit and attempts at personally balancing all my various personal factors (including some projects that I had agreed to enter into in the early part of 2021).

I woke up to my GPUs making 10% more shitcoins (that are converted to bitcoins) than they usually do. Can't be bothered to check why but perhaps shitcoiners are panicking too and paying massive fees to move their defilth around. Good times.

FTFY *







*(and shortly anon, jay will be administering my batslap, no doubt)

hahahahaha

Good way of rephrasing the matter.

Surely there seems to be some kind of dilemmas in the various ways to earn bitcoin or even to talk about that process in these here parts.. when the truth of the matter may well devolve into the practice of supporting shitcoins (and without talking sufficiently negative about such shitcoin involvements) while at the same time failing refusing to describe shitcoin involvement (or consciousness - involved in NFTs now..  look at me, mom...  blah blah blah.. )...  for what it is.. or maybe to talk about the matter in some other thread/forum.

Looking earning BTC by Mining ETH (yeah I said it) is fine.

I mine btc and stack
I mine eth and sell it for btc and fiat

End of story

Move on.

Unless I said I was stacking ETH and was hoping for ETH to flip BTC then I would be an a-hole

My BTC usd value to my eth usd value is more than 100 to 1.

And gets more lopsided towards BTC  every 2-3 days.
8088  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 06:30:42 PM
Last night my long shot toss away pool paid me about 0.145 btc so what god takes in one hand he gives in the other.

I am slowly moving  up  the ladder from crab to fish. Still have a ways to go.
8089  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: mmpool.org - 1.5% fee DGM/PPS - tx fees/vardiff/merge mine/tor on: December 04, 2021, 04:28:58 PM
lets get another one today Grin
8090  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 04:16:25 PM
Between now and 1 year from now bitcoin will spend more time below $40k than above it. Write it down.

Nice safe pick.  Could be true.
8091  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 03:37:11 PM
I woke up to my GPUs making 10% more bitcoins than they usually do. Can't be bothered to check why but perhaps shitcoiners are panicking too and paying massive fees to move their defilth around. Good times.

Whaling and also smoking.

I love to convert my ETH to BTC and cash 2x a week it be sweet.
8092  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Falling due to FUD (Fear Uncertainty Doubt) ? on: December 04, 2021, 01:16:58 PM
The news follows the price, no matter how bad it is, it definitely will not cause such a drop. It seems that something has happened or will happen soon, meaning either it is an attempt by whales to buy at a low price and then pump the price to make a quick profit, or someone has sold at levels of 57K

In any case, listening to all this news and analysis is a waste of time because we will try to understand something that has already happened, the most important thing is to buy more Bitcoin.

My $50 a day order at coinbase is in.

I also grabbed more coins on PayPal.

I have a unique hedge possible with PayPal BTC

If price drops to about 38k and I sell all my PayPal BTC it would be a short term capital gains   loss giving me a tax deduction of a few 1000 dollars. Since I have amazing capital gains this year it may pay to do this.

The reason it is unique is PayPal BTC is never truly realized as btc it goes in as cash and comes out as cash.  You can not move it as btc. So for a USA holder with a lot of capital gains it is the ideal sell off item.
8093  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 01:12:10 PM
Back to sandwiches
8094  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 04, 2021, 12:44:03 PM
Got dip last night
got dip this morning
I still have my $50 a day btc buy in place and will keep it in place.

Discounts galore.
8095  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: December 03, 2021, 05:30:00 PM
Block time for the last 24 hours is around 8.5 minutes with 167 blocks mined means 16% of the pace for the last day.
Not sustainable (I think and hope!) for more than a few days but still, this pace would translate into 185Exahash for the day, so above the May ATH.

I was curious what Riot stocks were being hammered in the market and browsing around I finally saw their results,  so they have around 3Exahash, at the end of August they had 2.2, clearly, they are going to miss their target of 4 by the end of the year. Also for 2022, they've said 9Exa, I think the plans those companies had drawn back in summer are a bit unrealistic.
Mara stocks are the same, and there the things are murkier.

From what I see it's better to either mine or buy bitcoin directly than expect any huge gains from mining company shares, I have a feeling the hype in the bitcoin mining investments is beginning to dwindle.


So with net metering the meter runs backwards from about 10am to 4 or 5 pm. and forwards as sun is setting. of course i know you are joking 🙃 but some may not.

I know, I've seen even here poeple who think that if the sun rises at 5:30 and goes down at 20:30 it means they have over 15 hours of continuous sun production at maximum capacity.  And a lot who end up with a Pikachu face when I tell them much of Europe has about 3-4 hours of peak sun and they end up thinking I live on some island north of Norway Cheesy



yeah your peak number say 100k for nice home and barn array gets divided by 4 if it is on the equator and 7 if it is in a northern or southern Arctic/ Antarctic circle

so 100k peak could be 25k at best 24/7/365 or 14.7k at worst 24/7/365  also factor in wet rainy year etc.

Here in NJ at best 100/5 = 20 at worst 100/6 = 16.7

so any given year is between 16.7-20 kwatts for a 24/7/365

Once we get the big array done next spring we will be in an "always" make money setup.

Barring
theft
fires
gear breaking
government outlawing mining.

So for our company coins in the 45-65k range work well

obviously a move to 100k = better
8096  Economy / Speculation / Re: Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO! on: December 03, 2021, 04:27:39 PM
dec 7 is coming who will be the winner. we are at 56430 right now.

Quote
...

223. $40,975 Coin-1
224. $42,042 Hhampuz
225. $43,000 Globb0 (second part)
226. $43,210 o_e_l_e_o
227. $44,444 BTCLiz
228. $45,666 STT
229. $46,464 Icygreen
230. $47,500 goldkingcoiner
231. $47,777 bitebits
232. $48,999 DdmrDdmr
233. $50,000 JanEmil
234. $51,000 Mbitr
235. $52,000 shahzadafzal
236. $53,300 Tytanowy Janusz
237. $54,545 mole0815
238. $54,666 mikeywith
239. $55,700 Lafu
240. $57,777 Kylapoiss
241. $58,683 Altryist
242. $60,000 vapourminer
245. $63,000 bct_ail
246. $64,935 xhomerx10
247. $65,430 alegotardo
248. $66,666 Hueristic
249. $68,655 tweetious
250. $70,000 philipma1957
...


please note chart was made by LoyceV not me.



But the 40-70 slot range is looking good with about 5-6 days left



I believe Lafu, Kylapoiss, and Altryist. I hope it’s not Icygreen or STT, but a mini-crash from $60,000 to $45,000 is never extremely hard to see if you ask me. Especially after April crash, which was just somewhere in the middle of the bull cycle.

If I do not win at 70k or even 69420 I hope mikeywith wins.
238. $54,666 mikeywith
8097  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 03, 2021, 04:25:08 PM


Reinforcements please

Sent in the troopers


Do me a favor reverse the image  Grin
8098  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: December 03, 2021, 04:23:38 PM
Quote
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   712420  (8 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   102.2319%  (773 / 756.12 expected, 16.88 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   22674148233453.11                           
Current Difficulty:   22335659268936.39                           
Next Difficulty:   between 22658917426742 and 22861844686427
Next Difficulty Change:   between +1.4473% and +2.3558%
Previous Retarget:   last Sunday at 5:20 AM  (-1.4928%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   December 11, 2021 at 10:00 PM  (in 8d 10h 38m 37s)
Next Retarget (latest):   December 12, 2021 at 12:48 AM  (in 8d 13h 25m 56s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 16h 39m 51s and 13d 19h 27m 11s


...

trending up +2.23%

and price is down to 55k
8099  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Need info about rtx a4000 on: December 03, 2021, 03:31:46 PM
a4000 are very good in the proper server rack.


i am going to try the a2000 soon.


https://minerdude.com/product/pre-order-minerdude-x12-xtreme-12-gpu-smart-mining-rig-pre-order-delivery-late-aug-early-sept/


i have seven of rhe racks above

i had eight but sold one.

12 a4000 in the rack above are great.

i got in on all of the above at better prices than right now

12 x 1250 = 15000 usd for cards

1 x 1000 = 16000 usd for a 12 card rig doing around 680 mh pulling about 1600 watts.

you would be lucky to build that rig for 19500 right now.

I have over 7gh of eth hash

but we have very good power prices we can invest and have 40 a2000 coming

they should do 1.6 gh

with luck the team will have 9gh of eth hash online in under two weeks.

do not think that a4000 are good for gaming.

also do not run the max watts of 140

set to 115

140 doing 61 mh
115 doing 58 mh

pretty easy to understand why we will do the 115 watts.

At the moment we have 165 cards all from april 2020 other than 4 1080ti cards.

of all these cards we have only had 2 rma which were in a two card rig for mining and gaming.
i think the mobo shorted.

so pushing the shit out of cards in my experience is not cost effective.


remember i can risk more then many others due to power deals and solar arrays

45k array online averages 9 kwatt 24/7
110k array online averages 22kwatt 24/7

350k array be online this spring it will average 70kwatt 24/7

about 101kwatt of basically “free” power . it is complex to describe it as free

but i am a degreed accounting guy and calling it free is kind of accurate even though it was about 1,000,000 to build those arrays.


most miners simply do not have power access that allows for risks we take.
8100  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: S19 PRO No HASH DOA ? on: December 03, 2021, 04:28:15 AM
what does swapping the power source mean to you?

to me it could mean you swapped the power supply out.

or that you used a different power socket.

line 2391 on paste bin shows -1 voltage

that means that

psu is broke

or

psu does not have volts needed

I read all 6000+ lines and found at least one other spot around 6100 ? with a -1 voltage.

so if you are certainly feeding 230-240 volts you very likely have a bad psu.

was this new from bitmain or from a reseller?
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