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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa America 2024 Prediction Thread on: Today at 04:12:52 AM
Colombia doesn't have enough stamina to play 90 minutes of gameplay. They have excellent players on the sides and made a very good first half, delivering a much superior performance than Argentina, but from the second half on, Argentina managed to play much better, even without Messi.

Colombia commited many small mistakes and was never able to complete their shootings. As consequence, it was just a matter of time until Argentina scored.

Congratulations to Argentina. Well played and deserved title! Without any doubts they are the best national team of the Americas.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What’s better to make a good profit - Trading or Gambling? on: Today at 12:48:42 AM
Long term trading is better to make money than gambling, because analysis and statistics have a considerable impact on how a determined asset behaves, so it's completely possible to predict what will happen, without having to rely on luck.

On the other hand, there is no difference between short term trading and gambling, because the decisive factor on both situations is randomness. Therefore, you have to be lucky, otherwise you will lose money.

As example, we have crypto market which can't have their daily fluctuations explained accurately sometimes. There are days where the scenario looks completely favourable, but crypto still fail to pump for some reason.
3  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Suggest Practical Ways Someone Could Own One Bitcoin Starting from Zero in 2024 on: July 14, 2024, 10:42:46 PM
It depends on your monthly income. If you have a high paying job you will collect enough money to acquire one Bitcoin quite fast... What you can do to maximize the productivity of your Bitcoin purchases is to decrease your expenses, so there will be more money left to buy Bitcoin every month, allowing you to fulfill your goal faster.

Nobody can assure you how long it's going to take, though. The price of Bitcoin is constantly changing, and if there is a huge pump soon, it will take longer for you to reach the 1 BTC mark. The advice is that you should start buying as soon as possible, as much as you can, while keeping it stored inside a hardware wallet (Ledger or Trezor).
4  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa America 2024 Prediction Thread on: July 14, 2024, 10:16:36 PM
Argentina are favorites in the final and I admit that's true. The match which will take place in a few hours is basically expected to be the best match until the end, but I am not underestimating Colombia at all. Whatever it is, Colombia is one of the best in the 2024 Copa America, so no one can underestimate them in the final even if Argentina is the favorite. I'm curious whether Colombia can force Argentina to play until the penalty shootout or not, if that happens then Colombia could possibly create history.
Colombia has a great defense. They managed to block all the attacks from Uruguay on the last game, even with one less player on their team. They don't have the best of the offensive teams, but it's a solid balanced squad which doesn't lack quality in any positions. In my opinion a balanced squad is better than having an offensive one, but without any defense in counterpart.

I hope Colombia wins, but the odds definitely don't worth. It's too much risk for a 2.6x profit. If odds were 3x or higher I would consider it a very good opportunity to take the risk. Anyway, I expect a balanced gameplay with some exciting surprises.

For the game to be more challenging, let's hope this time we aren't going to have any red cards, otherwise the match gets too boring with one of the teams playing only defensively.
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: July 14, 2024, 08:34:23 PM
right now as of writing this reply the price has recovered though it's rather slow recover but overall it's already good enough that we're finally back at around $60k level
only need to wait until bitcoin break resistance of $63k and we're in for another rally.

it seems history gonna repeat itself again for BTC, current chart looking so familiar with the chart in 2019 too if i'm not mistaken, the huge growth that comes after this correction is imminent.


So nice to see Bitcoin back to the 60,000$'s today! The price is going upside and down, trying to surpass 60,300$ with some resistance, but as the hours are passing, the tendency indicates Bitcoin is getting more bullish yet! This week promises to be a good one for Bitcoin.

I hope you are right, and that we see the pattern repeating itself, bringing consistent gains for investors from now on in this halving year of 2024. Mt. Gox redistribution impact must be weaker than the one caused by German government, so I'm feeling more confident now.
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Addiction is 100% your choice: on: July 14, 2024, 08:23:33 PM
I think addiction is an urge, an impulse for something, that you have to be really strong to hold on without conceding. The choice consists on what you do towards this urge. If you are strong you can choose to resist, but when you are weak, you end choosing to give up, falling for the addiction as consequence. Some people don't even consider there is a choice involved, but I do, because we have free will and a conscious mind, after all.

So, let's say when you are convinced and can make choices resisting temptations without much difficult. It means you are closer to that 100%, while when you are heavily influenced by your desires and impulses, you are extremely below that percentage. The percentage must consist on the level of awareness you display on the present moment. Addiction for an extremely aware individual is 100% his choice. But for a vulnerable one it can be 10%-20%, for an example.

There should be a tool or method to measure that percentage for each individual. It would be interesting to develop a research on that sense.
7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Donald Trump's stance on Bitcoin is changing, the Trump pump is beginning on: July 14, 2024, 08:11:24 PM
There are many conspiracy theories being discussed on many social platforms and it is not surprising that many Trump supporters suspect the Democratic Party of being the mastermind behind this assassination. But I don't think the Democratic Party or Biden are behind this because this will have huge consequences for American politics and if it fails, it will cause huge damage to the Democratic Party.

There have not been any announcements or disclosures related to Mr. Trump's assassination, but according to many news, the person who shot Mr. Trump was also a Republican but had donated to Biden.
All of this shows that US politics is too unstable and degenerate.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13632783/donald-trump-gunman-revealed-registered-republican.html
Conspiracy theories are going to be launched in an attempt to discredit the legitimacy of the attack, trying to drive public opinion to believe it was forged by Trump in collusion with his team to generate social commotion. It's part of the political strategy at this moment.

The fact the gunman is registered as a republican being heavily shared as an alibi for the Democrats, already display this strategy, while the most logical alternative is that the man disguised himself as a republican to have access to republican's events, so he could execute his plan.

Even if Democratic party isn't the mastermind behind the assassination attempt, the brainwashing they execute saying Trump is fascist, racist, misogynistic and every other labels they like gluing on others to leverage their own political interests, is indirectly responsible for the concept the most vulnerable individuals elaborate regards Trump.

Trump is just a politician like any other, with his own personal interests, agenda and greed for power. What differs one side from another are the methods used in the present time, although both are still sides of the same coin.
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Trump was shot seems to be okay> What does this mean for all of us. on: July 14, 2024, 05:57:19 PM
The current bullish tendency was already happening before the attack on Trump, although there is some chance Bitcoin got even more bullish after the attack, as the fact Trump survived creates a lot of social commotion in a global level, turning him into a much stronger candidate. And it's not a surprise for anyone that Trump is the candidate crypto market is more receptive to, despite his hostile instance towards Bitcoin in previous years. Therefore, some effect over BTC price can be expected.

So I guess for crypto investors it means the consolidation of a bullish trend in the following days and week.

I won't say it's "good news" for Bitcoin and its investors, because it was a tragedy, anyway. And to cheer profits over this attack doesn't sound ethical, especially when taking into consideration an innocent was murdered by the assassin who shot Trump.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The 'play till you hit it' mindset on: July 14, 2024, 05:46:37 PM
What are your thoughts on this? Is constantly chasing big wins a practice you consider ok in gambling?
As long as you are chasing big wins with money you can afford to lose, it's not a problem.

You can do this with a low budget, betting very small sums of money, but with high multipliers and tiny winning chance. That is a feasible strategy on long run, because it won't harm your monthly budget, while still having a little chance of winning a huge prize.

What isn't ok it's to take big risks in a frequent basis, because it involves betting money you can't lose at all, otherwise you are going to be unable to pay for your monthly expenses, getting yourself in a lot of trouble as consequence. This kind of wrong decision will lead the gambler to be a total failure on his personal finances, what will also forbid him from gambling on long term, as there won't be money to do so. For that reason, this is the worse approach or strategy someone can have towards gambling.
10  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do You Have A Loved One Who Doesn't Want You To Win In Gambling on: July 14, 2024, 05:35:58 PM
The problem is that whenever he wins, whatever the amount, he invites friends and neighbors to a drinking party, and his wife finds this annoying. However, he cannot argue with his husband because he just wants to enjoy his retirement by enjoying the things he loves.
Maybe it's time for his wife to also find a personal hobby she enjoys by herself or accompanied by her friends, since she is also retired and there aren't children at home anymore. The couple has a lot of free time to enjoy as they wish. The husband is already doing it, as he found in gambling and on his friends the fun he was looking for.

Now his wife is annoyed by that due to the fact she isn't living her life. I don't think the husband has to slow down, as he is playing with money he can afford to lose and as long as the parties with friends don't trespass any limits. If this lady keeps asking you to get involved on her husband's hobbies, you should suggest her to find her own hobbies.
11  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 🔴🔴BREAKING NEWS! Attempt has been made on President Trumps life🔴🔴 on: July 14, 2024, 04:05:32 AM
Even before this attack Trump was already elected. The attack just boosted his victory and the idolatry around his image. An attack like that will be heavily explored by his campaign until the end, displaying how violent and contradictory are his opponents, since they talk all the time about pacifism, love and democracy, while trying to murder the candidate of the republican party for the presidency of the United States.

Moreover, several leftists will start posting on social media they are sad for the shot not having hit Trump, and then their posts will be printed and shared by Trump's supporters as evidence of how despicable democrats are.

This story is so repetitive and predictable... It was said Joe Biden called Trump after the attack. I imagine how confused Biden must have been regards what happened and on what he should have told Trump during the call.

12  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I finally accumulated 0.1 bitcoin!! on: July 13, 2024, 11:04:33 PM
I am 20 years old man living in South Korea. I finally accumulated 0.1186448 BTC. Do you think I can make $30000 in this bitcoin cycle?
Right now your balance in BTC is worth 7029,04$ in dollar currency. To reach 30.000$, you need Bitcoin to make more than x4 its current price. It means Bitcoin has to value 253.000$ this bull run. For me it sounds unlikely, because it's just too expensive for Bitcoin to make that performance at once. Each new bull run Bitcoin grows slower compared to the previous one.

The most optimistic predictions point on that direction, but I prefer to be more realistic about potential Bitcoin scenarios for the following months. You did a good job by accumulating that amount of BTC. You should continue saving as much as possible, while Bitcoin is still below 60.000$. The more you accumulate, closer you are going to reach to the 30.000$ holdings mark you are looking for.
13  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Dream! on: July 13, 2024, 08:54:33 PM
I lived quietly, but then I met a girl who eventually took my apartment and car (And I had to return to live with my parents.
Now my wife says that she is tired of me being poor.
Even 1 bitcoin would solve all my problems, I would close the loan, get divorced calmly, and not listen to screams and swearing every day(
I am almost 40 years old, everything I had, everything I saved, everything was taken by my ex-girlfriend.
Forget women and focus on yourself right now. If you get rid of this bullshit, 50% of your problems are gone already. In order to work and make money, you need peace of mind and spirit first. So I guess the divorce has to come first, so you can dedicate your time and energy to your personal goals, without interruptions anymore.

But I can’t get another job due to health problems or they just tell me “We’ll call you back” and silence ((
You have to find something you can work on despite your health problem. Without working, there isn't income. To appeal to charity won't work at all, unless you have a very serious health issue. Talk about your skills and history, what you can offer to a company or to potential customers. At some point you will find someone interested.

And when someone doesn't give you the job, ask them to recommend and advice another places you could try as well. Keep increasing your network of contacts until it works. If people see you are persistent and a hard working man, they will give you a chance sooner or later. Once it happens, it's your turn to correspond their expectations.

You are a young man for nowadays' standards. It's still possible you can achieve your dreams of travelling to Iceland and purchasing a Suzuki Jimny. Don't give up. 'To try something' and 'to build your way up' are also very rewarding experiences. Find pleasure and satisfaction on it!
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: German government having second thoughts. on: July 13, 2024, 08:35:41 PM
I hope so. But, it may take some times for bitcoin to retake 60k support.

The Mtgox coins have already hit the market. SBI and Bitbank have credited their creditors earlier.



But I think the pressure is still there. Still, almost 80,000 bitcoins are undistributed. They are held by parties like Bitstamp or Kraken. This is preventing the market to recover, and bitcoin may be doing side way.
It shouldn't be a big issue for Bitcoin price if these coins are going to be redistributed in minor batches. The biggest problem is the FUD caused through alarming clickbait news stating Mt. Gox is repaying their customers (giving the false impression it's being done at once, as 9$ billion dollars in BTC for sale immediately hit the market).

If investors fall for this psychological trigger again, then BTC price will dump once more... I think everyone is apprehensive regards it, and nobody knows yet what to expect. What we have for today is an optimistic chart displaying Bitcoin almosting breaking the 59,000$ resistance level, which can guarantee its return to the 60,000$'s.

News also state there has been being a positive influx of new investments being made in Bitcoin these days. There must be some good news going on the backgrounds which the public doesn't have access to. But if these investors are buying, maybe we should buy as well.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Be careful with people's money on: July 13, 2024, 08:11:15 PM
They don't worry about what they will do if they lose. Even if they have the information about the wealth held by others and if they have the access of that money then he will not hesitate to use that money at any time as we found in OP language.
Irresponsible gamblers don't have a happy ending. When they are negligent or evil-minded to borrow money without thinking on the consequences, they ruin their reputation in the area where they live, and as consequence, nobody will want to deal with this kind of gambler anymore, even regards another matters which don't involve gambling directly.

It's also dangerous for gamblers to not repay loans, because usually loan sharks have alternative methods to deal with borrowers in debt. These gamblers or their family members can be threated by such loan sharks, who won't let them in peace until the debt is paid off. I know stories of people who were murdered for not paying a loan back.

Some gamblers may think they are smart to deceive the lenders and escape the consequences forever, but inevitably the consequences will reach at some point in the future, so it's essential to live life honestly, without scamming anyone on the way.
16  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa America 2024 Prediction Thread on: July 13, 2024, 07:59:54 PM
Well no doubt that Uruguay were favorites to win against Colombia but sometimes football has a really funny way of twisting things and that's exactly what happened as we all saw how the Columbians were able to absorbed the pressure and strike a goal in which they protected with all the might of their defense and same thing can also happen in the finals of the Copa America if Argentina don't learn from their qualifications games.
Uruguay has been being overestimated since the beginning of this championship, just because they won all the matches during the phase of groups, although people don't take into consideration it was a pretty weak group composed by Panama, USA and Bolivia. Then they faced Brazil, which also has a weak squad nowadays. Uruguay has an average team which played against poor performance teams, and that was their advantage.

Moreover, their strongest trait is to be an aggressive squad in melee contact. Too many fouls and provocations against the adversaries all game long, but they lack completing their shootings with excellency. Too many wasted balls inside the adversary's area.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: July 13, 2024, 05:57:44 AM
One to two steps were sold by the USA government, the German government is gradually selling bitcoins. They are constantly sending their huge bitcoin reserves to bitcoin exchanges to get out of the dip. Although the Bitcoin market went up for a while it started dumping Bitcoins again, this July has been going like this. So once the German government gets rid of it, the Bitcoin market will surely go back to peak speed and hit the highest price ever.
It's possible Germany has already sold all or at least 90%-93% of the seized Bitcoins. There is a lot of speculation pointing on this direction.

Now the attention is going to the Mt. Gox redistribution. It's still unknown how it's going to affect the market. The redistribution itself isn't a big problem, because it's going to be made gradually, part of the funds are going to be paid in Bitcoin Cash, and not every coins are going to be dumped on the market.

On the other hand, people can get despaired by the news and then decide to sell, due to fear of a new crash. Trying to predict what is going to happen is making me lose sleep.
18  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: German Government completely sells off all its bitcoins. on: July 13, 2024, 02:20:41 AM
I think they have already sold a considerable amount already at least, and the sudden dumps we saw in the previous days was due to their sales.

But since they are a government, don't they have to announce and account the sale through official means of communication to their citizens? It's part of the transparency of a country to display monthly accounts through an official website, so everyone can have access to what is going on with the public finances and how the government is managing public funds.

If that information is free, this mistery can be solved instantly.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: July 13, 2024, 12:09:10 AM
It's early to talk about a road to 100,000$, but right now there might be road to 60,000$. Between highs and lows, Bitcoin is displaying a positive tendency on the last 24 hours. Support level seems to be increasing progressively, reaching new highs each new little dump along the day. Now Bitcoin has to recover the 59,000$ mark and get stable around that price, holding on against all the charges launched by the bears. Once Germany gets rid of their coins, things might start improving here, as it will be one less dumper to worry about.
20  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Act of nationalism or another action of a high-risk taker? on: July 12, 2024, 11:56:14 PM
Posting "not like us" is definitely gonna give Drake some unnecessary headaches until the internet dies this down lol.
It's actually good for Drake that Argentinian national team jokes with him, because it creates more repercussion for his image across the internet. On the internet, people are constantly trying to pierce the bubble they belong, so they can reach a larger public and audience. That is what Drake achieved doing through this failed expensive bet, as I can already see on my feed at social media.

If it wasn't for this bet, Argentina wouldn't make that tweet, and if it wasn't for that tweet, people on my feed wouldn't be talking about Drake right now. 300,000$ were lost on the bet, but paid-off the personal marketing with excellency.
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