Hi folks,

The cup and handle scenario was still a possibility, however the handle should have remained at 8.7k area and not below.

In the cup and handle analysis, the dump forming the handle should not be greater than 30%, hence the circa 8.7k price.

Now that Bitcoin price is at 8.4k there is no reason to see the cup and handle scenario play out. I am confident we will see 8k soon. My opinion and not financial advice 

[BTC / USD 8642,63]

Feb 28, 2020 BTC / USD 8642,63




Hi guys, hi girls.

When it comes to Bitcoin price, the trend is pretty clear since December 2017. We had a high at 19.5k followed by a lower high at 13.7k in July 2019, followed by another lower high at 10.5k in February 2020.

What saved us in December 2019 was the strong 6.4k support, but will it hold forever?

A possibility would be to see a very stable year between 6.4k and 10.5k, but another possibility would be to break below the 6.4k support. After all, we saw in 2018 that this support wasn't strong enough to counter a clear downtrend. And unfortunately the market is bearish right now, so I am afraid we will see 6k this year, probably 5k as well.

Next major supports are 3.5k and 1k. The latter is unlikely to be seen again, the former who knows?

Likely next move (IMO): back down to 7.5k area, then 6.5k area. Price rebounding several times just like we saw late in 2019, but not enough power to see 10.5k again for this year. That's why I believe breaking below 6.5k is pretty likely within a few months.

Good news for those who want cheaper coins! (this is my opinion and not financial advice)




PS: forget about the halving, the herd thinks it will boost Bitcoin price, the herd is usually wrong.

[higher high and reverse the trend]

Simple but powerful chart.

Quite straightforward, the resistance at 10.5k was very well known and it is pretty clear this resistance is too strong now. This 10.5k is the price we needed to break to obtain a higher high and reverse the trend. We have been in this downtrend for about 7 months.
We've been rejected at 10.5k several times, that's why the downtrend is still alive and kicking.

Is the corona virus causing this? Absolutely not. Absolutely not. Every day of the year there will be some types of news, but remember the answers are always in the charts.

By the way, the fear index is at 41 right now which not a high level, that's why there should be more blood soon (watch out for 7.5k first).

The truth is: the chart above shows the trend that has been playing out since December 2017. We have a rejection in June 2019 at 14k. And the last bearish engulfing weekly candle (less than a day ago) clearly confirms the trend.


Congrats to those who bought at 6.5k by the way, very nice profit up to 10.5k. Now 2020 will be very bad for the bulls (very good for the bears). You think the halving will have any effect? Dream on my friends...


I am making the prediction here than 2020 December 31th will see a Bitcoin price under 6k.

[before]

Just remember that folks.

The Bitcoin market was bullish before the two previous halvings (hence no clear correlation in my humble opinion). But if you believe there is a correlation then it's important to consider other indicators, and not the halving alone.

When you check the history of Bitcoin price, you will notice there was a clear bullish trend before the two halvings occurred.

I am in the minority here but I doubt this year will be bullish, the trend is still bearish, it has been bearish since we were rejected below 14k last summer.

Watch out for March-April, if they are still bearish months, there is no way IMO the price will skyrocket this year. The important prices here are 10.5k (very strong resistance) and 14k. Before we break these prices again there will be no uptrend.

I am not your financial adviser. Just my opinion  

Hi,

I was looking for some information about trading (I am more and more into trading and I really love it, haven't made a losing trade since 2018). I opened the trading section, saw some nice threads, but even there most of the replies are off and irrelevant, then it is easy to see why, those replying are just boosting their post count by writing nonsense or pointless stuff.

Then opened other topics and all were similar, which led me to the idea of a possibility to configure a ignore function, for example put all the members who have a signature, and maybe exclude from this very large group the legendary members (who are more likely to write good posts)?

Possible or not? 
This would make this place so much easier to read. Thanks for your consideration.

Hi,

Just some thoughts that crossed my mind, and a question.

In my personal life, I work in a certain field and we often look for payment processors. My boss recently found a new processor to accept payments by credit card (Visa and Mastercard). This processor uses cryptocurrencies, it is an intermediate so that our customers can pay on our website (won't disclose the name of the processor).

Anyway, when our customers want to pay, for example 100 EUR, they want their wallet to be topped up as quickly as possible, and most importantly without any variation in the price (some of our customers are not even aware they are officially buying cryptos).

Sad to say, but my boss quickly opted out of using Bitcoin, for obvious reasons:

• price volatility during the transaction
   

• transaction not instant: requires at least 20 minutes

Both weaknesses are linked, an instant transaction would prevent any volatility.

Our customers don't want to pay 100 EUR and get only 98 EUR in their wallet.

So my boss thought about using XRP... then found out the processor also offered the possibility to use Tether. So in the end we just decided to use USDT. It was an obvious and natural choice.

Now, let's be honest, 99% of merchants in this situation would do the same, and 100% of them would choose another coin over Bitcoin.

Stable coins will be massively used in the future for practical reasons. Bitcoin? I don't see how to make a case for Bitcoin here.

But could the increasing use of stable coins boost Bitcoin price, somehow? It would make no sense, but since the crypto world often makes no sense it could be worth discussing this question here      

A picture is worth a thousand words



Now, my advice: look at the price line since October 25 when the price was at 10.4k USD, the trend was never bullish. However it was very possible to make nice money (started several threads to recommend buying at 6.5kish in November and December).

Important price next: 8.5k, we go below and we see 7k most likely again.

Other important prices:
-6.4k: the obvious one, strong support for now but will it hold? I think it will not.
-10.5k: major resistance (stronger than 9.2k), breaking above 10.5k would mean a nice bullish run but very unlikely for this year.
-13.5K-14k: the price everyone is waiting for, if we break above we will see a new all time high (but not likely either for 2020 in my opinion).

In the short term, 7k is likely to be seen (again). Sadly no bullish indicator for 2020. Not yet.

Hi folks,

Just thought this thread could be helpful to newbies. This forum is full of rubbish advice. Of course someone can have a real argument but fail with his prediction, in that case I won't call his posts "rubbish" but I am more talking about the obvious rubbish such as:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5132720.msg53651914
Post #408

Not a bad strategy, but even a scheduled buy every week is a good idea so you don’t have to watch the charts all the time. This of course is dollar cost averaging.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5132720.220
Post #221

Is there another dip? Very well, let's support Bitcoin. Place your bids now, the next 3 months might be the last opportunity to buy Bitcoins under $10,000.
May everyone have a good Christmas this year. Merry Christmas!

A prediction that could actually become true, but still a terrible post as there is zero argument, zero analysis behind it.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5206017.0
Post #1

As far as I know right now bitcoin price is little bit low and in near future price will rise again. So I think it is best time to buy Bitcoin.

Well this was written from a newbie actually.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5215564.0
Post #20

It this will be consistent and successive every month, that possible for bitcoin to soar faster and experience another bullrun. Beforehand, accumulating our bitcoin balances is very important ways to expect more profit in right time. For now, just stay within control while it's not yet happening and don't expect beyond normal impression.

Beyond terrible.


Now some good posts:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5192689.0
Post #9

You know what, I believe that Bitcoin will return to its maximum price values in 2020. My assumptions are based on the fact that soon Bitcoin will be mined in 2 times more difficult, and in the days of halving Bitcoin price has always grown. In addition, the main cryptocurrency covers more and more countries and somewhere is already used as a currency to pay for goods and services. Just the price up can be pushed by trading futures on Bitcoin, I think that the money of institutional investors will raise the price using this financial instruments.

I actually disagree with him but at least there is an argument behind, so kudos. Then do your own research to decide what's best to do.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5215561.msg53543580#msg53543580
Post #1

The trend is your friend.



If we see 9.2k that would be nice for a possible reversal but right now looks like just another failed rally. For now at least.

Will be interesting to see what happens if we see again the strongest support at 6.4. But for now no reason to be bullish yet.

Always the same thing since July, lower high, lower low, lower high, lower low...

Good analysis behind this post (and this topic). Not an emotional opinion but facts plain and simple.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2541338.0;topicseen
Post #20

Funny how this forum (and people in general) repeats the same mistakes over and over again. A big (and I mean fucking BIG) crash will come. Most gains will be returned, and the euphoria will die. Nothing simply 100x's and doesn't suffer a bear market after. Bitcoin doesn't only go up and wallstreet doesn't come to pump everyone's pockets full. OP may have gone full retard with BCH but that doesn't change the fact that inevitable crashes are inevitable. What I find most concerning is the other guys who have been here through a few major bear markets still think it can't happen to Bitcoin.
It will rise again, but it can't just keep going forever. It must rest sometimes. In fact, until this bull run, Bitcoin spent more time correcting than rising. This was a sustainable rally until very recently. Now it is starting to get out of hand again.

Just be careful out there!

Amazing post when you know it was written mid-December 2017. Full of common sense.


Good luck newbies, don't hesitate to ask advice here but be careful as it is pretty much a minefield.

Crypto world can be complex but try to keep it simple and most importantly try to look at both sides, read about bullish opinions but also read about bearish ones. Most important is that there should be some facts behind the opinions. An opinion saying Bitcoin will reach 100k USD this year is just as rubbish as one saying Bitcoin will reach 0 USD soon if there is no fact saying so.

Wish you the best of luck, hope you will make plenty of money 

The trend is your friend.



If we see 9.2k that would be nice for a possible reversal but right now looks like just another failed rally. For now at least.

Will be interesting to see what happens if we see again the strongest support at 6.4. But for now no reason to be bullish yet.

Always the same thing since July, lower high, lower low, lower high, lower low...

Happy new year.

Hi folks,

Interestingly there was a massive spike of this ratio very recently.

CCU Youtube channel talked about it last week (sorry for the advertising on the video but his work should be respected so I left it):

https://i.ibb.co/2PFDmrn/2019-12-31-1155.png


Interestingly the same massive spike happened twice before and each time just before halving.

One thing I wonder, why this time the spike is 6 months earlier?

And any opinion about the necessary or unnecessary correlation with Bitcoin price?

Without being an expert, I wouldn't be surprised to see another big run but it also wouldn't surprise me to see a very delayed run really starting from 2022 or later than that.

Thanks for your constructive opinions!!  

A week or two ago, the stock to flow ratio showed a massive spike.

Two similar massive spikes happened in the past, both times just at the time of the halvening.

But this time the spike occurred 6 months before the halvening.

Any expert here has an explanation for this?

[strongly recommend]

I read a few threads about newbies getting rekt but realized most of them try to trade only by intuition and nothing else.

If you are a beginner, never do that.

For a beginner, I would strongly recommend the following strategy:

• BUY near support
  Stop loss 5% below the support
  SELL 10%-12% above support

And repeat this ad vitan aeternam.

This is my strategy and it is extremely straightforward to apply.

Most people getting rekt are the greedy ones, they believe 12% profit is not enough, and they also never respect the 5% stop loss that's why they get burned.



And since you are a beginner, well you are lucky, this is 2019. Google is your friend. You don't know where the support is? A quick Google search and you'll find a general consensus on the current support and the current resistance.


Repeat this strategy and it will be relatively easy to make money. Much easier than on the stocks market.





PS: Myself I also use other strategies, more long term oriented, for instance I have right now a 9k target, but this thread is just to help beginners by providing a very basic strategy that should be good enough to generate short term profits.

The chart was made and posted on beincrypto website in September (hence the $8400 price).
We see the long term support and resistance (green and blue lines), next coming weeks will be extremely important, many bearish indicators are still in action and show we could witness a tough 2020.

This chart could be invalidated in the next coming months. Crucial times ahead  

[explain]

Hi folks,

I personally got into Bitcoin mid-2017, after two years I almost forgot how it felt that Nov-Dec run back in the day, but just for the fun of it I was reading the "live chat" on this page https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.371760 and I could suddenly "feel" the frenzy of that period again.

Something unique (for me), I was a bit in stocks before but never felt something of that sort.

So what I remember was buying around 3.5k in July, and monitoring the price every week (I was not crazy about it though, would monitor twice a week). Then BTC dropped from 4k area to 3k because of some Chinese news, I think it was in September or October.

In early November, the price came back around 3.5k-4.5k... but what I remember was that I had to catch a long flight from Asia to Europe, at the time I wasn't always checking on my smartphone (didn't have that habit, good old times), and at the end of November the price started to really go up, and it didn't feel healthy.

I was texting some friends that are not into BTC and they were stunned as well... I remember well when BTC got to 10k and I think it went to 11k very quickly too... the rest in history, a massive run, unreal run to 15k, then 19k  

2 years later, how do you explain this?  

Let's be honest, most of us were very happy and didn't care to explain or even understand what happened... and many of us didn't sell as well because 30k and 50k were close enough  

But what happened, really?

I think I remember reading at the time that "Wall Street" was involved. But still, what the F happened in that Nov-Dec period? Whales? How many million dollars do you need to inject for your Bitcoins to witness such a sudden run?

Was it also a real bubble that burst at the time, and maybe we'll never see a new ATH?

Constructive opinions always welcome!

Hi dear admin or anyone taking care of this.

It would be fun to go back to December 2017 on this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.430980 but going through the pages takes ages to find the right period.

Is there any way to add a [find page number X] function on this thread?

Any help greatly appreciated!  

Champions League betting odds on tonight's encounters:
Inter Milan 1.63 / Draw 4.5 / FC Barcelona 5.9
Red Bull Salzburg 4.3 / Draw 4.7 / Liverpool 1.79
Borussia Dortmund 1.34 / Draw 5.9 / Slavia Prague 11
Chelsea 1.24 / Draw 7.1 / Lille 16
Napoli 1.20 / Draw 8.4 / Genk 18.

Surprised to see Barcelona so high but just read that Lionel Messi is out of the game. Still wouldn't back Inter at these odds  

So my pick would be Double Chance Barcelona or Draw @ 2.30, and also Liverpool wins @ 1.79.

Best of luck.  

[I am allowed to share this publicly]

Hi,

I am allowed to share this publicly since this is a free content (I subscribed to Club GOWI years ago and they send free tips once in a while by email). This is not a copy/paste from an Internet website, that's why I share it as I am authorized to do so.

So I got this in my emails today (I removed any advertising):


Championship:

Through 19 rounds, but Nottingham Forest and Reading have played just 18 games.

ITB:

Teams are shown in league table order.

WBA +48 ( 61-50 +11)
Leeds +114 (85-38 +47)
Fulham +15 (52-67 -15)
Forest -6 (66-47 +19)
Bristol City -34 (60-75 -15)
PNE +25 (72-61 +11)
Brentford +77 (65-36 +29)
Swansea -15 (65-76 -11)
Sheffield Weds +54 (88-53 +35)
Cardiff +1 (66-81 -15)
Blackburn -12 (50-73 -23)
Hull -4 (63-58 +5)
Millwall +15 (57-53 +4)
Derby -32 (55-58 -3)
Birmingham +15 (75-71 +4)
QPR +9 (64-69 -5)
Charlton -58 (52-74 -22)
Reading +15 (44-47 -3)
Huddersfield -76 (48-70 -22)
Middlesbrough -56 (51-71 -20)
Luton -65 (47-82 -35)
Wigan -56 (50-62 -12)
Stoke +51 (61-38 +23)
Barnsley -25 (64-51 +13)


Figures next to each team are net ITB numbers for the 19 rounds played to date , for example, West Bromwich Albion have created 166 attempts inside the box, given up 118  (166 - 118 = +48) . Numbers in brackets/parenthesis are for the eight most recent starts and include attempts created and conceded, followed by a net number.

Anything in blue type is an exceptional number given the teams current position, in red a poor one, basically it is worth taking note of anyone in the top half with a minus net figure and anyone in the bottom half with a positive one. I would exclude Forest from that as their recent numbers have seen a significant upturn. For eight games, anything above 20 is very good IMO, any double digit negative number should be noted for a top half team.

These are only ever meant to be a starting point for our deliberations, there are a lot of other things to take into account, Fulham we know are good and usually get better the longer the season goes, not sure what to make of their -15 for the last eight, for now I would just treat them with caution. Cardiff I can excuse, they have started to pick up, had a lot of injuries earlier in the season and just changed head coach. Bristol City's numbers are poor and have been all season , they have ridden their luck time and time again and whenever I have seen them they have been disappointing, they have double red alongside their name and backing them , at least at lowish odds, should carry a wealth warning ! The Sheffield Wednesday numbers leap off the page, I will be able to give an update on them after watching them on Saturday. Blackburn's are heading in the opposite direction and they are another team who are carried by one or two individuals at times, I would not rush to back them, saw them against the Bees, they won 1-0 but faded out of that game and one other in which I watched them for very long periods. Stoke City continue to play much better than the table suggests and have been almost all season, they should be mid table at worse and I expect them to get there eventually. Barnsley had a good win last week and have good last eight game numbers, I have some other stats/thoughts on them , but can largely save those for another day. All I will say for now is that they were not seeing out games too well under former head coach Daniel Stendel running themselves ragged trying to (over) press in the first hour of games and leaving themselves too exposed at the back, some small tweaks in approach, which might already have been made, would serve them well,

When I updated the ITB stats during the recent international break I wrote ............Huddersfield are much improved results wise under the Cowley brothers and have taken 15 points from their last 8 (one defeat), but their numbers are still terrible and I got a look at them recently and they are the antithesis of what I think a football club should be, their "talents", such as they are, lie in the cynical/ well disciplined/ masters of the dark art variety , I would sooner my team lost, than watch that every week ! Not sure what they have by way of plan B (nothing ?), but neither are they a team who you want to fall behind against.  I would not fully buy into them as having turned a corner just yet.

Town have not won in the three games subsequently, conceding 7 goals , two of the teams they played (Swansea 1-1, Bristol City 2-5) have poor numbers themselves, still a lot of work for the Cowley boys to do.


Expected points and XGF/XGA:

Expected league table with points and XGD.

Leeds 52 points  +21 (1) +12/ +3
Brentford 39  +15 (2) +9/ 0
Sheff Weds 35  +6 (3) +6/ -2
Fulham 32  +5 (joint 7) -3 / -7
PNE 32 +5 (6) +1 / -3
Stoke 30  +3(4) +16 / +16
WBA 28 +8  (5) -14 / -9
Cardiff 28 +3  0 / +1
QPR 28 +/- 0 +3  / +9
Swansea 27 -2 -3 / -6
Reading 26 +1 (joint 7) +5  / +2
Hull 25 +1 -1 / -3
Birmingham 24  +2 (joint 7) -1 / +7
Wigan 24 -5 +8 / +9
Millwall 22 +/-0 (joint 7) -4 / +2
Forest 21 +1 -11 / -9
Derby 19 -6 -6 /-1
Middlesbrough 19 -7 +2 / +4
Blackburn 18 -5 -9 / -4
Barnsley 18 -8 +6 / +9
Charlton 17 -9 -6 / -9
Luton 16 -11 -1 / +4
Bristol City 14 -7 -18 / -11
Huddersfield 13 -8 -5 / +1

XP, followed by XGD rounded up or down to the nearest whole number,  in brackets the top ten with regard to ITB, just as a comparison. We pretty much agree on the top 6/7 with the top 3 in the same order.

In coloured type, the difference between expected and actual numbers is highlighted, so the Leeds United line reads XP 52, XGD +21, ranked 1st for net ITB, they should be 12 points better off, with a 3 goal better goal difference. Some make odd reading like Birmingham who should have a point less, but be 7 goals better off .

I do have a small issue with XP and that is how "draws" are calculated, but that conversation can be for another day and , to be honest, I could be wrong (unlikely !) and it should make relatively little difference in any case.

I also think it is not the best barometer of when teams start to turn things around. ITB is definitely better, but then, I am biased.

Having said that, the Bees are in an automatic promotion spot , so who am I to disagree !

Since the last update the gap between Leeds and Bees and the pack has grown, as I said at that time  the defensive records of United and Brentford are through the roof, the pair are so far clear of the rest it is not even worth discussing, the Bees have made a quantum leap in this department and to be honest, are very unlucky to have even conceded 13 goals. They have given up just 8 attempts ITB total in their last three starts, the five teams immediately above them in the actual table between 21 and 35.

The pair have conceded two goals between them subsequently, one each in three starts . Wednesday have come out of the ITB and XP pack to close in, but everyone else has shifted backwards even if that is not fully reflected in results.

In the international break I also noted that ............ Albion's offensive numbers over their last four starts have also dropped ,creating an average of 5.5 pg which is not enough given their defensive record and tendency to concede first. They have are -3 ITB in two of their three subsequent starts, +9 in the other, but as that was against Bristol City we can take that with a pinch of salt and I have to be honest and say that the current league leaders numbers worry me somewhat.

Huddersfield have created an average of just 5.05 attempts ITB this season which is way too low, they have 96 total, next lowest is 117,  Leeds are the first team to breakthrough the 200 mark, with 202.  In terms of those allowed, Bees are #1 on 86/ #2 Leeds 88/ #3 Stoke 104 and everyone else is 118 + ,bottom eight in this category are Luton 189/ Charlton 180/ Swansea 179/ Middlesbrough 177/ Barnsley 175/Wigan 173/ Bristol City 172 / 172 Huddersfield . Sorry to bang on about City but they have allowed attempts at the same rate as Wigan and Huddersfield and created them at the same level as Millwall (who are much better defensively).

I will finish this part of the notes with my usual comments ..........

I think the real value of ITB might be once the numbers start to turn through a 4-5 week period, as that might not always be reflected immediately in results, so we will have an edge "knowing" when teams are starting to up their game OR are falling into bad habits, which is just as valuable.

I like expected goals/points numbers too, but IMO, it is easier to see the direction teams are heading with ITB if only because there are more numerically and the swings quicker to pick up on. But I also think they highlight the flow of the games and the superiority, or failings of teams, better.

Glossary:

ITB= inside the box attempts, Goal of the month competitions usually feature several long range contenders and we always remember those 30 yard bullets into the top corner, but only 12.87% of Premier League goals over the last three seasons have been scored from outside the box , good coaches are known to encourage players to look for better scoring opportunities and it is usually only supporters urging "shoooooot" everytime the goal is within sight, even if there are 20 players between ball and net .

XG= expected goals.
XGF= expected goals for.
XGA = expected goals against.
XGD = expected goal difference.
XP = expected points.
BC = big scoring chance.

Before I start looking at today's games I want to put up a couple more sets of numbers, starting with .......

First Half :



    GP   W   D   L   GF   GA   GD   Pts
1   Leeds Utd   19   8   9   2   10   4   +6   33
2   Bristol City   19   7   9   3   14   8   +6   30
3   Charlton   19   7   9   3   13   8   +5   30
4   West Bromwich   19   8   6   5   14   10   +4   30
5   Hull City   19   7   9   3   12   8   +4   30
6   Blackburn   19   8   5   6   14   11   +3   29
7   Fulham   19   7   7   5   14   7   +7   28
8   Preston   19   7   7   5   14   10   +4   28
9   Sheffield Wed   19   7   7   5   11   7   +4   28
10   Millwall   19   6   10   3   11   9   +2   28
11   Derby County   19   7   7   5   12   14   -2   28
12   Cardiff City   19   7   6   6   12   13   -1   27
13   Brentford   19   5   9   5   13   6   +7   24
14   Swansea City   19   4   12   3   9   10   -1   24
15   Birmingham City   19   4   11   4   5   6   -1   23
16   Wigan Athletic   19   5   8   6   9   11   -2   23
17   Nottm Forest   18   4   8   6   7   8   -1   20
18   QP Rangers   19   4   7   8   11   15   -4   19
19   Barnsley   19   3   9   7   8   14   -6   18
20   Reading   18   3   8   7   7   11   -4   17
21   Huddersfield   19   2   11   6   8   15   -7   17
22   Stoke City   19   3   7   9   8   14   -6   16
23   Luton Town   19   2   10   7   9   18   -9   16
24   Middlesbrough   19   2   9   8   8   16   -8   15

Second Half


    GP   W   D   L   GF   GA   GD   Pts
1   Leeds Utd   19   11   6   2   18   6   +12   39
2   West Bromwich   19   9   9   1   22   9   +13   36
3   Nottm Forest   18   9   9   0   17   6   +11   36
4   Brentford   19   8   7   4   16   8   +8   31
5   Fulham   19   8   7   4   17   12   +5   31
6   Sheffield Wed   19   8   7   4   15   11   +4   31
7   Swansea City   19   8   5   6   15   10   +5   29
8   Cardiff City   19   6   10   3   15   12   +3   28
9   Preston   19   6   8   5   17   13   +4   26
10   Reading   18   7   5   6   15   12   +3   26
11   Derby County   19   5   8   6   8   11   -3   23
12   Hull City   19   6   4   9   18   18   0   22
13   Bristol City   19   5   7   7   17   19   -2   22
14   Huddersfield   19   4   10   5   14   16   -2   22
15   Middlesbrough   19   4   10   5   8   11   -3   22
16   Blackburn   19   3   11   5   12   16   -4   20
17   Millwall   19   3   11   5   12   16   -4   20
18   Luton Town   19   5   5   9   16   22   -6   20
19   Birmingham City   19   3   10   6   14   18   -4   19
20   QP Rangers   19   5   4   10   17   22   -5   19
21   Barnsley   19   4   7   8   13   24   -11   19
22   Charlton   19   4   5   10   13   18   -5   17
23   Stoke City   19   3   8   8   12   19   -7   17
24   Wigan Athletic   19   4   5   10   8   20   -12   17


As you can see some big differences between how teams play before and after the break.

Most games are decided in the second half and, often in a league as competitive as the Championship, by small tweaks and changes from off the bench and the longer games go, the more likely the better team and squad is to be on the front foot.

Right through these notes it is 100% clear that Leeds are the best team in the division and whilst I do have some doubts about them over 46 games, they should currently be at least six and probably more points clear at the top.

You will note that the Bees FH numbers are not the best, they have collected just 24 points and are down in 13th and until last weekend when they led 5-0 at half time (!) , goals in the opening 45 minutes had been hard for them to come by. They have long been a second half team and always improve at home when kicking towards Ealing Road, which they almost always do after half time. But this is clearly an area in which they can improve and maybe that has started.

Forest leap off the page in these numbers, they are unbeaten in the second half and collected 16 points more after the break. If we break that second half into three 15 minute period, they have a net + goal difference in all six (home and away) in the second half, that is really impressive and hints at good options off the bench, they have an expensively assembled big squad and good tactical adjustments. Their ITB numbers in recent games are on the rise and we have to give head coach Sabri Lamouchi a lot of credit , he was not given a lot of time at Rennes after guiding them to 5th place in Ligue 1 and they may yet come to regret sacking him.

I haven't given Bristol City a hard time for a couple of paragraphs , so how about this one, the current top 10 in the league all feature in the top 10 for second half results, with one exception, no prizes for guessing !

Ten second half "losses" for QPR makes bad reading , but they have the entertainment factor with a league high 39 goals total in their games after the break.

Charlton with a 13 point and Blackburn with 9 have seen the biggest drop off between first and second half results.


The Business End:

What about the real business end of games, the final exchanges, these are numbers for after the 75th minute...........

Worst:

Preston 2-7 (scored-conceded)
Huddersfield 2-7
Middlesbrough 1-6
QPR 5-10
Wigan 1-10

Best:

Brentford 6-2
Sheffield Wednesday 9-5
Reading 9-4
WBA 13-3


The Preston and Rangers numbers are a surprise I guess, especially the former, but those for Wigan and Albion stand out like two sore thumbs and guess who Athletic entertain at the DW Stadium this coming midweek ?

OK, lots to think about with all of the above, but now it's time to try and put that to use, add it to what we have seen with our own eyes and take a look at today's fixtures, and I think I have found five good bets/ positions for us .............



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Best of luck!

Hello dear community,

Major move in action. 21 week holding strong resistance for now, but big trouble with the 50 week, we'll have to keep close attention as the candle closes on next Sunday.
Still the same bearish signals (death cross), and after the death cross we see the price fall dramatically.
We had a failed rally after the recent death cross just like around March-April 2018. Same thing happened very recently.

Picture below is March-April 2018 after the death cross:



To expect in the next following weeks: another rally (probably towards 9k) but it will be a failed rally obviously continuing the bear market trend when in about 5-6 months the BTC price is likely to go below 6k.

Sometimes I have bad news and sometimes I have good news. I am just telling how it is  

There are two strong levels: 10k-ish and 6.4kish, one of these levels will break next year and will dictate BTC price for the whole 2020-2021 period. Be ready folks!  

[Votes are open for 30 days only]

Hi folks,

Simple poll here, but not that straightforward to answer (or is it)?

Common thinking seems to believe 19k will be very easy to reach in the next two years. I don't want to influence the votes here, but please remember that the crowd can be wrong very often  

Votes are open for 30 days only (for obvious reasons).

I am not making this thread self-moderated so trolling is allowed, people committed to signature campaigns are welcome to post nonsense even though constructive opinions are much preferred.

Simple: please vote YES or NO, and explain your vote.

The use of TA (technical analysis), trading charts will be very appreciated!! Conspiracy theories, spiritual concepts, astronomy, etc. also accepted.

Cheers!!