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1  Economy / Speculation / Does UTXO have any indication as to price? on: October 24, 2019, 09:32:21 PM
I am under the impression that UTXOs indicate a higher number of Coins being hodled. What is the forums opinion on this network stat? I haven't seen too many discussions surrounding this.  This seems to be consistent with the great pump and subsequent collapse of 2017/18. However, since the beginning of 2019, UTXO has been skyrocketing continually with no sign of slowing. Does this indicate more holders? Do you take this to be a positive? What are your thoughts? Lets have a conversation!

Source: https://www.blockchain.com/charts/utxo-count?timespan=all
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 12, 2019, 05:04:45 PM
Has anyone else noticed the severe drop in liquidity on coinbase pro for BTC/USD?? Order book averaged about $50 million+ in buys all the way down to $2200 up until yesterday. Within the last 24 hours it dropped from $50 million down to barely over $10 million. What happened here?

You posted the same thing yesterday. Order books are irrelevant - whales use APIs.  

I am very aware I posted the same thing yesterday, thank you very much for the extremely valuable and insightful response. I come to this forum for such genius responses. Looking forward to your future work.

Has anyone else noticed the severe drop in liquidity on coinbase pro for BTC/USD?? Order book averaged about $50 million+ in buys all the way down to $2200 up until yesterday. Within the last 24 hours it dropped from $50 million down to barely over $10 million. What happened here?

Coinbase revamped its fee structure. Again.

In the process, it nuked all standing orders made under the old fee structure.

PITA to set up all the ladders again, but whaddayagonnado?

This is what I was looking for, this makes the most sense. Thanks fellow Bitcoiner.
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2019, 11:56:09 PM
Has anyone else noticed the severe drop in liquidity on coinbase pro for BTC/USD?? Order book averaged about $50 million+ in buys all the way down to $2200 up until yesterday. Within the last 24 hours it dropped from $50 million down to barely over $10 million. What happened here?
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2019, 11:18:51 PM
Does anyone know what happened with the orderbook for coinbase pro/gdax? Went from having the usual $50 million+ in buys, and now is sitting at barely above $10 million. Dropped within the last 6 hours. Very unusual considering $50 million in buys was already low.
5  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Any Speculation as to the Unknown hash rate? on: September 07, 2019, 12:45:42 AM
1) It's not just 1 pool. It is several miners not broadcasting who they are

2) Not sure where you are getting 20% it's 6.9% for the last 24H / 9.4% for 3D and 9.2% for 1W take a look at
https://btc.com/stats/pool

-Dave

Oh strange, thanks for the link. I was getting this from Blockchain.com, guess they must be reporting inaccurate info again.

Thanks!
6  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Any Speculation as to the Unknown hash rate? on: September 07, 2019, 12:00:54 AM
Hey guys, haven't posted in a while but have been monitoring the Bitcoin network every day as usual. Have noticed that it appears over the last few days, the pool with the highest hashrate is unknown. I could be mistaken, but I swear the Unknown hashrate used to be around 10% - 15%, but now it's nearing 20%. Any speculation as to where this large hashrate is coming from? In the back of my mind, I've always speculated it is coming from some country or government I.E russia or NK, but I am unsure how feasible this is due to the energy restraints.

My fear is that it could be from BTC.com/antpool. If so this would put them at 51% of the hashrate.

Of course I know no one has a definitive answer, I am just curious as to what you guys think the source could be.

Thanks!
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 15, 2019, 12:56:35 AM
10k it broke now
when is the dropping stopping
to buy some new corn

#haiku
I have the Bitstamp livechart opened right now and I am looking at a $10,050 give or take a few bucks price, I am not sure where you're getting your price.

*extremely short term rising as well.

You're right. I was using http://bitcointicker.co/ today for the first time and it's getting quite late here.
Still my first haiku. I avoided them for centuries but this time i tried to like them and it seemed to work.


Bitcoin will rise soon
Do not sell, or doom and gloom
Buy now and hold strong

first haiku
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 15, 2019, 12:19:57 AM
Random question, does anyone have an idea as to what happened to Tim Draper? He is relatively outspoken about Bitcoin and hasn't said anything about it since May. Almost makes me think he sold his coins... I'd think he would say something once BTC passed $10,000 but nothing...
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin number of transactions all time high?? BEAR MARKET IS GONE! on: March 12, 2019, 02:07:42 AM
Looks like we are out of bear market!

Please check number of transactions for the Bitcoin. Very close to all time high.
If this is not proof of adoption for some people I don't know what adoption should be like.

https://twitter.com/vradovic/status/1104489493229264896

Even we see that bitcoin transaction is very close to all time high we cannot say that we already survive in this long bear market,a high transaction of bitcoin this year is due to many holder withdraw their tokens or they transfer it into the other exchange that's why we cannot call it that we already escape in the Bear Market.

I'm not so sure this is correct, as if this were the cause, the daily volume would be rising in proportion to the TXs per day which doesn't seem like this is the case. I'm sure a small percentage is due to people dumping, but one thing you have to keep in mind is that most exchanges are using batching now. So even if people where sending coins from exchange to exchange to dump, this would have a very small impact on the daily tx count due to batching.

Daily TX/day increasing is a very bullish sign, this is what initially caused me to buy more bitcoin during 2015. TX per day was consistently rising, and now it appears to be recovering from the collapse in tx count from the 2017 bubble. I think it would be very wise to keep an eye on this metric. I have been doing this since 2015 and it has yet to lead me wrong... Now is the time to be accumulating Wink
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin is currently in an uptrend reversal. on: February 18, 2019, 09:51:56 PM
I am still surprised by the rapid growth of the cryptocurrency market. With each hour, Bitcoin, ethereum and other cryptocurrency grow very quickly in value. Within a few hours, bitcoin rose in price by about $ 200, to $ 3,932, and ethereum from $ 127 to $ 146. I wonder how events will continue to evolve further. Is it just a price surge or the beginning of a bull market?

It does look like a potential bull market has started, but it is still way too early to tell. In reality, there still is a lot of potential for this to be a bull trap and there could be another leg down waiting to happen. These gains are nice, but still minimal. I'd say we would need a rapid breakout above at least $4500 before we call an end to this downtrend.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Technical analysts becoming bullish on bitcoin on: February 12, 2019, 05:47:16 PM


Everyone wants to say "i told you so" when bitcoin eventually goes up. when that happen they can add it to their success being a financial advisor for investors. That would be a vindication on their part too. But I bet they are the ones who shall dump after they publicly speculate prices to rise. People are gullible when someone who is known says price will go up. Out of greed they will send a lot of money only to end up losing.

Yes, everyone likes to say how they were right but to be honest everyone is just guessing and they have 50% chances to be right. That is why I never rely on analysis, techical or any other. And don't forget that many are making such predictions with some purpose that is not always honest so the best option is to just stay out of it.

This is one reason why I thoroughly despised people that learned about Bitcoin in 2017 and commented about it in 2018. They all had the "I told you so" mentality about the price crashing. It's like, "hey guys, yes I knew the price was going to crash, I've been in this community for 5 years. This was expected." But yet everyone in my circle thought they were geniuses because they avoided the crash and didn't buy Bitcoin. Why weren't they listening to me when I told them to buy back when the price was a measly $400?

Sorry, rant over. IMO things are starting to turn bullish in my opinion. Not only for technical analysis but also for the growth of the fundamentals. Bitcoin tx fees are at a low that hasn't been seen since 2014, yet daily tx volume is growing and nearing 2017 levels. This is very bullish. The lightning network has been continuing to grow over the last year (nodes, capacity, and channels), and this too is very bullish. Metcalfe's law is a real thing. Now is the time to be buying, not selling. Trust me!
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: This Bitcoin Dump is caused for one large player on: November 26, 2018, 09:21:48 PM
1) Faketoshi - Craig Wright - is not behind this. He maybe contributed a little but I don't even think that's accurate.

2) Even if he did trigger this there's far more people behind it, one person might trigger a sell off but they're not the only one involved. Just like 1 flake of snow might trigger an avalanche but there are millions involved.

I honestly think this is not the cause of one person or some conspiracy. It seems whenever there is a drastic price drop, we always try to run and find something/someone to place the blame on. Most of the time it's just the natural evolution of a parabolic price rise. The bear market has to come, and there has to be a period of consolidation and corrections.

Now with that being said and trying not to contradict myself, but if we are to place blame on anything, I would argue that the newbies that joined the crypto space in 2017 definitely are contributing to this drop. They have incredibly weak hands and will panic sell in a moments notice. Thank goodness most of these newbies fell for coins like EOS, XRP, STR, etc, so their panic selling doesn't have as much as an effect on BTC, but I'd say they have contributed to this drop in price.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: CNBC Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Is ‘About To Explode,’ Citing ETF Buzz on: October 12, 2018, 05:58:45 PM
it seems like a price increase like last year is impossible to repeat again this year, yesterday the price of bitcoin dropped very far and that made many investors increasingly frustrated. this makes the price of bitcoin very difficult to rise.

There can't be a parabolic rise every single year. This year needed to be bearish due to 2017s insane price upswing. Don't be frustrated because this year isn't looking too bullish. If anything, a bearish year is good, as that gives you time to accumulate. A bearish year with Bitcoin is usually followed by a bullish year, so if we don't see any bullish action by the end of the year, that just means 2019 will likely be that much more bullish. The time to buy is when people are thinking of selling.
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Has Been Quietly Bullish Since $5700 on: September 19, 2018, 03:28:09 PM
I see a strong resistance between $6,300 and because of the steady and slow movement, price have been around there for a week. This will not be easy to be broken and if that happens, I should think that the bullish have been confirmed.

There is a strong resistance at $6000 in general. The price have bounced off of that range 5 or 6 times now over this last year. There is a ton of buy support at these levels. I think it's safe to say that the bottom has been found, as there would be no reason for the price to keep drifting further downwards. The price has already corrected 70% - 80% from it's 2017 high, and this is usually how big the Bitcoin corrections are after a bubble. We should be at the bottome right now, and as long as we don't break the support, I think it's safe to say we will be in a bull market very soon.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC TO 3K$ on: September 19, 2018, 07:01:47 AM
BTC will go to 3k$ by DEC 2019, tons of people bail on it on a regular basis.

This would be a very unfavorable situation for the entire market. And especially for altcoins, whose value would have dropped to very low levels. It would be a symptom of a very big crisis and a loss of confidence in the crypto market.

It won't drop to these prices. These FUD threads are some of the most bullish signs in this forum. These type of FUD threads were all over this forum back during the 2014 and 2015 bear market. Kwuckduck and Falllling were making these type of bearish threads all the time back then. The price was at it's bottom and was around $200 - $300. They missed out hugely, and usually these threads point to the bottom being near. The reversal will probably be happening soon. We will never see $3k again, and if you try to wait for these prices you will miss out. Take these bear threads with a grain of salt, and just know that they point to a bullish outlook.
16  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can too many Altcoin's can become a threat to bitcoin's existence on: September 19, 2018, 06:57:27 AM
Nope. Just see the current scenario — Bitcoin dips a bit, altcoins dip a lot only strong will survive.

Exactly, this trend tell us everything and what we exactly needed to do.

Altcoin being a threat to bitcoin is just an ambitious move of every altcoin as they're all dreaming that one day they will be on top. Nonetheless, no one will and ever replace on where bitcoin is. The fact that even a lot of bitcoin fork coins were born, trying to imitate what bitcoin had, they even won't touch the bottom of bitcoin.

Don't get confuse with altcoins, they were like a rotten ones in crypto sphere.


The argument that Bitcoin naysayers use is that Bitcoin is worthless because there are thousands of other coins out there that can be created. Peter Schiff tries arguing this point a lot. Erik Voorhees had the best response to it, which is, sure you can copy and paste the Bitcoin code and make thousands of crap coins, but you cannot copy and paste the community, infrastructure, and development team that supports Bitcoin.

So no OP, no other altcoin can threaten Bitcoins existence. Bitcoin will always be ahead because it is the reserve currency of the crypto space. It will eventually become a reserve commodity for the world. Governments will eventually be buying Bitcoin to hold in their reserves. Bitcoin is far too secure, and the network is far too large for another coin to take over. Nothing can replace Bitcoins killer app of being the most secure store of value outside of any third parties control.

Also, shouldn't this be in the altcoin discussion board? I could be wrong, maybe it fits in Bitcoin discussion since it isn't about any particular altcoin.
17  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: market conditions are destroyed. on: September 18, 2018, 04:43:14 PM
I would tell you that the cryptocurrency market is not so profitable as we all think. The principle is that you need to have time to go into it and get out on time.

It's not very profitable right now because we are in a bear market. It's hard to make money in a bear market, but it's really easy to make money in a bull market. The only market that could be destroyed is the crappy small scam altcoin market. I don't think those will ever recover, and only the main big altcoins will survive. Only time will tell.

The best way to make money in a bear market is to buy as much coin as possible and hodl.
18  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: From 150 - To 15 000 $ - ETH (speculation) on: September 18, 2018, 03:23:13 PM
I do not think that the price will grow very quickly ! I think that it will grow smoothly and in any case it will overcome the mark of $15,000
It is difficult for a coin to grow smoothly because the market always has a certain cycle. If the ETH price does not increase rapidly, it won't reach $15,000 in next 10 years.
For that, if ETH will launch Etherium 2.0 with improved scalability by sharding and Plasma, limited max supply and masternodes - $15К price will come true.
 

I don't believe Ethereum will ever hit $15k, this is just a pipe dream. $15k per coin pegs the market cap of Eth at over $1.5 trillion. Bitcoin can surely hit this number, but Eth will have to live in it's shadow. ETH could maybe top out at $3000 USD but not much more than that. I just hope ETH recovers, because honestly it may never recover too. There are a lot of different outcomes for ETH, not all are bullish. The news about the breakthrough in sharding does give me some hope though, I was starting to think sharding was vapor ware.
19  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New Survey Shows 80% Of Americans Have Heard Of Bitcoin on: September 12, 2018, 03:22:52 PM
Here the question is already worth raising: who has not heard about bitcoin? These 20% who have not heard most likely live in the deep wilderness and they are not interested in the news. My grandmother in Ukraine knows about "Beethoven" So there is nothing surprising in the growth of popularity of cryptocurrency. Since last year it was well covered in the media.

The remaining 20% are probably the elderly or people in rural areas without an internet connection. I do think there is still a relatively high amount of areas in the US where you cannot get a fast, reliable broadband internet connection. What I am more interested about is finding out how many people in other countries have heard about Bitcoin. I wonder if it was as popular in other countries like it was here in America.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: What happens if Satoshi dumps his coins? on: September 12, 2018, 03:13:13 PM
OP there isn't enough liquidity in the Bitcoin market for Satoshi to dump all of his Bitcoins. He would completely clear out the order books and still have a lot of Bitcoin left over.

Since Satoshi owns 980,000 Bitcoins, what would happen if he suddenly sells his Bitcoins?

At the actual rate hic coins value is more than 6 billion dollar.

i think the bigger question is what would happen if early satoshi coins moved at all. to some extent, i think the market believes the satoshi coins are lost or otherwise won't move and has therefore priced that in. i could see panic ensuing over this, and whales from the early days bringing supply to the market. if even satoshi is selling, that puts a damper on the idea of hodling! Cheesy

as an aside, nobody really knows how many coins satoshi mined. we assume that he was the only miner for many months, but we don't actually know. i wouldn't be surprised if some estimates (like yours) are exaggerated.

The estimates for Satoshi's coins are definitely exaggerated. Satoshi wasn't the only early miner, as basically everyone in the cypherpunk community knew about Bitcoin because of the mailer he sent out. I'm sure some of them participated in mining to try Bitcoin out and see how it worked. IIRC Laszlo was also an early miner.

First question, how do you know that he have 980000 bitcoins?? then why would he do it, bitcoin is his project, he wouldnt like to see it going to nothing. If he wants the cash he probably have been selling in small portions in order to get some cash and not dump bitcoin that much, so its unlikely to see that happen.

It's just an estimate based off of how many early blocks that were mined without the coins themself moving. Satoshi has never touched his coins so far, so everyone assumes all of the early blocks are his because the coins haven't moved yet. I don't think this is the case, and I do think the amount of coins Satoshi holds are less than these estimates.
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