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1781  Economy / Gambling / Re: Dice - Chances of rolling the above or below consecutive times on: January 13, 2016, 08:13:45 PM
(Odds of a single roll)(Number of consecutive rolls) x 100

So, you are rolling >49.9999 twice,
Chances of winning both are 0.502 x 100 = 25%

This is correct, but perhaps a little hard to understand.

To give a simple example, if you toss a coin 3 times, the odds of getting 'heads' all three times is 1 in 2*2*2 = 1 in 8.

You can see this by listing all the different results you could get:

  HHH
  HHT
  HTH
  HTT
  THH
  THT
  TTH
  TTT

There are 8 different combinations. They are all equally likely. Each of them is a 1-in-8 chance.

So in general, if you have a chance 'c' of winning, and you play 'n' times, the chance of you winning all 'n' of your games is c*c*...*c where there are 'n' c's in the product.

That's also known as c^n, or "c to the power n".

For the coin-toss example, c is 0.5 and n is 3, so the overall chance is 0.5^3 = 0.5*0.5*0.5 = 0.125 = 1/8
1782  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 13, 2016, 07:58:44 PM
Thank you for clearing that up Dooglus and thank you for fixing the client to show the correct weight relative to the size of the stack.

Well, my first fix, back in September, left an empty column called "12":



And today I removed the empty column, so now there's no "weight" at all:



I figure there's no point showing the weight when it's just the same as the value in CLAMs.
1783  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 13, 2016, 06:20:16 PM
It's fairly deceptive to slowly leak your investment into Just-Dice at the opening rather than investing what you had to start with.

I don't think so. While it is true that I didn't invest all my coins at once, I wasn't aiming to deceive anyone. The whole reason for having a crowd-sourced bankroll is that I never wanted to have too high a percentage of the bankroll. It's risky bankrolling a dice site, and I would rather that risk be shared between multiple investors.

I understand though and it's just part of the game when you corner a market, but still want to appear fair.   Roll Eyes

I don't know if you are aware of it or not, but you owned more CLAMs than I did when Just-Dice launched with CLAMs. I mentioned to you that I was working on getting the CLAM client into a state that it would work with Just-Dice and you immediately set about buying up all the CLAMs you could. If anyone was trying to "corner a market", it was you.

I have just over 500 in my wallet [...]. Can I reasonably expect to average 1 a day?

I look at it like this:

Just-Dice is staking 1134k CLAMs at the moment, and stakes around 1220 times per day. Dividing those two numbers, it takes 929 CLAMs to stake once per day.

Note that CLAM outputs have zero weight for the first 4 hours after they arrive in your wallet. They don't start trying to stake until they have rested for 4 hours after being involved in a transaction, and so the estimated time to stake won't drop until 4 hours after any new CLAMs are deposited to your wallet.

BTW this has nothing to do with the ongoing controversy. I have nothing but admiration for Dooglus and Deb. I am willing to give up the bankroll proceeds to help the CLAMS network.  LLTGC   

I agree with what you are doing. A few days ago someone withdrew 17k CLAMs and split them into piles of 100 for staking. I think this is good for CLAM as a whole, to have the staking distributed more.

Just curious, why do you say "in a month"?  I thought coin age doesn't really matter with clam staking.. unless I'm missing something.

Coin age isn't relevant, other than the "510 blocks after staking" and "4 hours after transacting" rules. After that, each 1 CLAM has a weight of 1. After a month, your balance will have grown by X%, but the total network stake will probably have also grown by X% and so your share of it will be roughly constant. And that's ignoring the effect of digging, which will cause your share to slightly reduce. But also ignoring the effect of some people (eg. poloniex) not staking, which will cause your share to slightly increase...

I am not sure I understand, why do I see the weight of stacks grow with age?

Are you saying that a 10 day old stack of 20 with a 200 weight has the same chance to stake as a stack of 20 with 1 weight?

If so I have been pretty lucky in spite of myself over the past year

I think what's going on is that the Qt client hasn't been updated to know that stack weights don't increase over time. So it shows the weights increasing over time when they don't really. Stacks of 20 CLAMs all have a weight of 20 once they are mature (and have rested for 4 hours), whatever the Qt client shows. I just checked, and I removed the 'weight' column from Qt's coincontrol dialog in September.

Maybe you aren't running the latest release, or maybe that change isn't in a released version yet. Either way, it's going to go away. In fact I just noticed that the above commit didn't remove the column fully, it just removed its content. I've now pushed a change which removes the column itself as well.

Doog did say I was a liar though.

I didn't call you a liar. I called your statement that the CLAM developers were threatening to remove digging "a lie" - since it isn't true.

I said I bought into CLAM on my own research of studying his post.  This was a lie and Dooglus was deceptive by not correcting it, but he never lied about it.

Are you saying that I have a responsibility to correct every incorrect statement I see people post, otherwise I am being deceptive? That seems like quite a lot of work you're putting on me.

1784  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 13, 2016, 05:14:26 PM
Gildarts, if you want to level up follow this rules.

How do I level up my character?

XP is earned in the following ways:

1.) 5% of winnings in cash games are earned as XP (e.g., 100 mBTC is +5XP)
2.) 50% of Tournament Winnings

I think there must be an error or omission somewhere. Last night I gained level 4 by losing a heads-up tournament.

The rules you posted only mention earning XP by winning stuff - so how did I level up by losing?
1785  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 10:59:57 PM
That was strange that break time  Roll Eyes.

Anyway, freeroll of betcointm are very rich, every day you can made something like 0.04-0.05 if you're a good player  Cool

I didn't realise you were "Campaign manager Betcoin.tm/Human Resources" when I was playing you in that cash game.

The other guy was complaining that you were playing as if you could see his hole cards and now I guess I know why he was suspicious. Smiley
1786  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 10:55:40 PM
If Dooglus the Deceiver feels the need to call me a liar... I will come post regardless of how let go I am. 

I don't feel the need to call you names at all. I felt the need to respond to the false statement you made. There's a difference.

You can call me "Dooglus the Deceiver" if you like, but it would be more effective to actually point to anything I have said that was deceptive, rather than resorting to calling me names.

I'd say at this point I'm fairly god damn let go Smiley 

It really doesn't sound like it to me.
1787  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 07:51:11 PM
Well, okay, but it's definitely not the least safest.

I would say that they are probably somewhere around the middle in terms of safestness.
1788  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 07:49:43 PM
Atm I don't see any tournament I can join, only locked ones.

It depends on your level, the higher your level the more freerolls you can join.

This is useful information for those looking to qualify for the higher level tournaments:

How do I level up my character?

XP is earned in the following ways:

1.) 5% of winnings in cash games are earned as XP (e.g., 100 mBTC is +5XP)
2.) 50% of Tournament Winnings
1789  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 07:44:27 PM
I'm not able to play in more tables at the same moment and I don't like to do it because I can not study the other player in good way.

Are you focusing on 6 tables? :O

I was trying my best. It's hard work having to make several decisions per second for hours at a time.

I don't know if it's a bug or not, but I had one of the sit-n-go "infinite freedom" freerolls go on a break one time:



Breaks are not really useful unless they are synchronized across all games. This one happened at 12:25pm PST on 11th January which seems like a strange time for a break. Breaks typically happen around x:55.
1790  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game on: January 12, 2016, 07:36:07 PM
idk, maybe additional credibility could be given to a sketchy site that does not deserve such credibility, maybe you could encourage people do deposit their hard earned btc into a site that is run by someone with a less-then-perfect history, or maybe you would cause an influx of deposits to a site that eventually ends up "loosing"/stealing hundreds/thousands of btc from their customers/investors

You're dredging up posts from 2013 from when Just-Dice accepted deposits from users of a site (inputs.io) which ended up losing or stealing its users' funds.

If I had a crystal ball I would look into the future and never do business with people who would scam in the future. But I don't.

There are a lot of scammers around Bitcoin. It would be very hard to do business if you were to be held accountable for their future actions each time you dealt with one of them. You yourself must have given your "defacto endorsement" to many people who turned out to be scammers.

In other words, you accepted a large "investment" in your bankroll in exchange for your defacto endorsement of one of tradefortress's websites, then you allow for such investment to be withdrawn without giving notice to those to those that you were endorsing inputs.io to, and a mere days later inputs gets "hacked" for 4kBTC+, likely causing losses to some of the people who deposited btc to inputs because JD accepted instant deposits from inputs......

No, as usual you have it wrong.

  * TF had been an investor in the bankroll long before he proposed that I accept inputs.io deposits. There was no "in exchange for". Just-Dice had too much investment already. I would have preferred to have less of it. I didn't benefit in any way from associating with inputs.io other than 1) it stopped TF from nagging me on a daily basis about accepting inputs.io deposits and 2) it made instant deposits possible for inputs.io users.

  * I never endorsed his site.

  * I allowed him to withdraw only the part of his investment that was left after he paid his debt to me.

I get it. You have some kind of need to discredit me by making it look like I associate with scammers. I has no doubt happened that I have been tricked by scammers into believing that they were offering legitimate services. I don't know what to do about that other than to never speak to anybody.

I am sorry that people lost money to inputs.io, and to dice.ninja, and dicebitco.in, and MtGox. Yes, I probably have mentioned at some point in the past that I have used MtGox. Maybe you could find a post where I talk about being a customer of MtGox and somehow twist things to make it look like I am responsible for people losing coins when they shut down. Oh, I once invested in a "Pirate Passthrough" too, and had some coins with that starfish guy too. They both ended up running off with user coins as well. Perhaps you could find a way of blaming me for those two scams too.

Please don't be offended if this is my last response to you on the subject.
1791  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 07:07:14 PM
Read The Review On CLAMS @ Allcryptocoins.net

http://www.allcryptocoins.net/2015/12/altcoin-review-clams/

The first thing I notice is that the scrolling is messed up. I scroll using the touchpad on my laptop and it is far too fast to control.

I expect this is to blame, from the page source:

  src="http://www.allcryptocoins.net/wp-content/themes/zerif-lite/js/smoothscroll.js

Then:

Quote
CLAMs stake in wallets like no other cryptocurrency does – making it interesting & awesome for coin holders

What do you mean by that? CLAM stakes much like all other PoS cryptos. Maybe the weight calculation is different than most, but end users probably won't notice that unless they're paying attention.

Quote
It can be said that CLAMs are perhaps one of the most safest investments you will ever find on exchanges!

CLAM is pretty volatile, certainly compared to Bitcoin. And you failed to mention that there are 14 million CLAMs sitting idle, waiting to be dug up, compared to just 1.5 million CLAMs making up the current active money supply. That acts as a potential massive increase to the money supply, surely suppresses the price, and makes CLAM less safe as an investment than it could be. But that's just like my opinion, man.
1792  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 07:03:45 PM

PS is there any other address on any other coin that has so many transactions? 200k+ is a beast!

I checked my old CLAM addresses. 2 come close, but aren't quite as big:

  xJDCLAMZsZg1YqGytiP9CRzYYdsrJXX9Kh
  xJDCLAMZ9rQ11tMf7JUw1Zzvjm5ShkryrU
1793  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 06:51:33 PM
Thanks for removing the "infinite freedom freerolls".

I was finding it impossible to do anything other than multi-table them every waking moment, and it was giving me a headache.

Focusing on 6 tables without breaks is an intense experience, but exhausting.
1794  Other / Archival / Re: Do all casinos hold large wins for a few weeks for "fraud inspection"? (84 BTC) on: January 12, 2016, 06:46:15 PM
Hey everyone, just wanted to update to let you know I received my 84 BTC.

Thank you FJ for approving my win and boosting your credibility as a reliable online BTC casino!

Thanks for all of your support guys!

That's great news!

You should decide what you want to do with the money before you lose it all back to the house bit by bit. I've seen lots of people win a fortune gambling with BTC and it's so common that they just keep on playing until it is all gone.

Glad to see you receive payment FortuneJack definitely pay if you play fair, such as the user previously won with higher numbers
but I still wonder how you play, whether you have vidio when you play casino?
so we can understand how you play  Grin

He was playing roulette, had some odd number of BTC and wanted to make it a nice round number, so he put the 'odd' amount all numbers 1 and 0, expecting to lose, and number 1 came in. No skill involved, just dumb luck.
1795  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 07:12:19 AM
Finally got this giant to display xJDCLAMZkcp7fQ3ieHfZA4SLu3aTy2Y1mr at least for now...

I stopped trying to keep the chart pretty when your site started failing to display it. Sad
1796  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 05:11:43 AM
I've been playing poker at betcoin.tm for a few days now. I never deposited, and got up to 40 mBTC from the freerolls and decided to try a withdrawal to see if it worked, how long it took, etc.

The withdrawal process is kind of weird. You can't withdraw until you sign a message with an address in your wallet, and then you can only withdraw to that address. It seems to promote address reuse when I would rather withdraw to a different address each time, but whatever.

I requested a withdrawal of 20 mBTC at 2:55pm and the transaction showed up in my wallet at 8:50pm - so it took a little less than 6 hours.
1797  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 02:40:52 AM
I tried posting this in reply to BAC's lies on his own thread but he deleted it.

I'd prefer his lies aren't left uncontested, so I'm reposting here:


I went to the address but I did not see where to put my address and check it for clams? I saw a faucet. please explain what I missed. thx

The site has been pulled down because of the flaky shitcoin developers surrounding the coins threat to remove the very core of CLAM to attempt to protect value of the coins of early diggers.

No CLAM developers threatened to remove digging.

What did happen is that we held a public discussion of the idea since lots of people were clamouring for the removal of digging, and put it to the vote. Currently there is no majority support for removing digging and so it doesn't look like it will happen.

I was just fairly disgusted with the whole ordeal.

I am sorry that the open discussion of ideas disgusts you.
1798  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: January 12, 2016, 02:38:38 AM
Ah, it seems https://clamaddress.org/ is yet another CloudFlare website. CloudFlare seems to always blame the host for the 522 errors that have a 99.9% chance of occurring.
EDIT: http://colt05.github.io/bitaddress.org/ I am hosting the website now!

CloudFlare was telling the truth. The IP address I told it to find the clamaddress web server on was timing out. That was because I had forgotten to tell CloudFlare the new IP address when I moved it a while ago.

It is working again now:

  https://clamaddress.org/
1799  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: StakeMiners: restricted withdrawals, falsified stats, insolvent. Do not invest! on: January 12, 2016, 12:54:45 AM
I wonder if the withdrawal policy will change now with this new revelation (i.e. paying out 100% of principal that depreciated by 67%).

It does seem odd that people have been withdrawing more BTC than they deposited when month on month the fund has been losing BTC value.

I tried lining up the stakeminers chart with the netcoin price chart (since stakeminers is mostly holding netcoin) to see how them compare:



Netcoin fell from 200 to 100 from April to December - a loss of 50%. So how did stakeminers assets lose even more than that? And why doesn't the netcoin peak (in July) line up with the stakeminers peak (in May)? Maybe the majority of stakeminers funds weren't in netcoin at the time?

Are there stats available which would answer these kinds of questions?
1800  Economy / Gambling / Re: BetCoin.TM Bitcoin Casino | Poker | Slots | Sports | Live Dealers | And More! on: January 12, 2016, 12:35:01 AM
i thought that he was a bot. Every time that i raised the bet he fold.

I think that just means he is sitting out. When you are sitting out you auto-fold whenever there is a bet against you.

I'm dominating in the level 3 freerolls - just won two in a row:



Edit: that's what I get for bragging -- was the bubble boy in the next one two:

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