With real world inefficiencies, power consumption rising due to ambient temps, power supply inefficiency, and simple variance in chip yields I think they will underperform that number. Note probably not 500MH/J vs 1000 MH/J but maybe 10% to 20% below.
That'll be fine for most of their units, but the Mini-rig is already sitting at 1500w. Considering a standard wall plug is only good for 1650w, there's not much room for failure there.
Well technically it is a violation of US electrical code to put more than a 80% continual load on a circuit (unless the circuit is dedicated = hardwired into the device). 120V * 15A * 80% = 1440W. Peak load is 1800W but depending on wire gauge, length, etc you likely will trip the break a little below that. Honestly something pulling over a KW of juice is an industrial piece of equipment. In most homes about the only things that pull that much are electric stove or air conditioner both of which are on dedicated circuits.
Still if (and I am not making a prediction here) BFL did miss there power target I think scaling back the rig 20% or so would be better than trying to find higher end PSU and redlining the house wiring. The FPGA rig ended up looking like it would pull more than 1600W so they split those orders into two "minirigs".
Personally I like the idea of smaller units rackmounted anyways. With the "upgrade" Avalon would be ~88GH for ~ 530W. Standard datacenter rack could still hold 880 GH/s and use ~5.3KW or power. A locking L6-30R outlet on a 240V, 30A circuit and a PDU would allow a safe, neat, and efficient setup while still being electrical code compliant.