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301  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2021, 09:56:21 PM
Just got a text from a good friend who I tried to get into Bitcoin by placing a 0.5 BTC paper wallet into his hands a while back.  His weak, baby-like hands sold at ~ USD $1100.  I tried to talk him into buying at around $2k to no avail.  We discussed again @ ~10k when he thought it was too late - I disagreed.

 his text:

 "And I thought you were nuts with your $100k prediction.  Now, not so much... Cheesy"

 I texted him I have revised it to $260k

 "Holy crapola"



Better than responding HFSP. Cheesy

which would better than HFSSP (Have Fun Still Stay Poor).  Grin

EDIT: or more terrible: HFSPA (Have Fun Stay Poor Again).  Roll Eyes
302  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2021, 09:42:51 PM
https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=de&tl=en&u=https://www.n-tv.de/der_tag/Erschaffer-des-Wall-Street-Bullen-gestorben-article22375887.html


303  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2021, 08:54:06 PM


https://youtu.be/eb0xHN1Dq7M

 Grin Grin
304  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 08:22:14 PM
If it was peer reviewed it would have been vetted and reviewed BEFORE publishing. That's the point of peer review, to keep from publishing wonky science, not address it after it gets published.

in the press statement they said it has happened a kind of peer review. their intention of publishing it now is to start a broader discussion about the consequences of "gain-of-function" research and how to regulate it in the future to protect the human race on planet Earth.


“The current coronavirus pandemic is not only dominating the current headlines, but will keep us busy for many years - not least because of its social and economic effects. Understandably, dealing with and coping with the Corona crisis has been the focus of topics in politics and the media for months. Even today, however, the critical, science-based examination of the question of the origin of the current pandemic is of great importance, because only on the basis of this knowledge can adequate precautions be taken to keep the probability of the occurrence of similar pandemics as low as possible in the future ", says Prof. Dr. Roland Wiesendanger.

The study was completed in January 2021 and initially distributed and discussed in scientific circles. The aim of the publication is to stimulate a broad discussion, particularly with regard to the ethical aspects of so-called "gain-of-function" research, which makes pathogens more contagious, dangerous and deadly for humans. "This can no longer only be a matter for a small group of scientists, but must urgently become the subject of public debate," says the author of the study.
305  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 07:47:36 PM
English: https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=&sl=de&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.n-tv.de%2Fwissen%2FHamburger-Forscher-Corona-stammt-aus-Labor-article22371854.html

German: https://www.n-tv.de/wissen/Hamburger-Forscher-Corona-stammt-aus-Labor-article22371854.html



Press statement University English: https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=de&tl=en&u=https://www.uni-hamburg.de/newsroom/presse/2021/pm8.html

Press statement University German: https://www.uni-hamburg.de/newsroom/presse/2021/pm8.html
306  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 06:56:26 PM
if you want to learn about Bayesian analysis this could be the starting point for you and me.  Grin

"A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived."

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-study-by-dr-steven-quay-concludes-that-sars-cov-2-came-from-a-laboratory-301217952.html

New Study Concludes Beyond a Reasonable Doubt that SARS-CoV-2 Came from a Laboratory
https://youtu.be/ATUtjvgT8iI

There's also another type of analysis that includes logic and common sense, something the public sorely lacks.

It's called "Occam's Razor".  Grin

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor

interesting! this must be the thing Vitalik described as Signaling Theory with his Asperger mind.  Grin

https://youtu.be/2qLI3VIHuKU
307  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 06:42:00 PM
if you want to learn about Bayesian analysis this could be the starting point for you and me.  Grin

"A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived."

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-study-by-dr-steven-quay-concludes-that-sars-cov-2-came-from-a-laboratory-301217952.html

New Study Concludes Beyond a Reasonable Doubt that SARS-CoV-2 Came from a Laboratory
https://youtu.be/ATUtjvgT8iI
308  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 06:11:19 PM
do you remember on this worldwide COVID-19 crisis in 2020 and onwards?  Roll Eyes

there is a strong evidence from an research of an scientist of the University of Hamburg that the source is the Wuhan laboratory.

+++ 17:31 Hamburg researchers: there are indications that coronavirus comes from the laboratory +++

The Hamburg nanoscientist Roland Wiesendanger compiled various findings from scientific studies, articles, reports in social media and other sources in the period from January to December of last year and comes to the conclusion: The pathogen Sars-CoV-2 is not of natural origin, but comes from a laboratory in Wuhan. The physicist cites the following points as evidence for these theories:

  • To date, no so-called intermediate host has been identified that proves according to the "zoonosis theory" that the coronaviruses were transmitted from bats to humans.
  • A research group at the virological institute in the city of Wuhan has carried out genetic manipulations on coronaviruses for many years with the aim of making them more contagious, dangerous and deadly for humans.
  • There were significant safety deficiencies in the virological institute in the city of Wuhan even before the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, which are documented.
  • Against the background of these and other factors, Wiesendanger writes: "In summary, it can be said that there are very many indications that a laboratory accident at the 'Wuhan Institute of Virology' appears to be by far the most likely cause of the corona pandemic."

You can read more about this shortly on ntv.de.


it took a whole year to collect all points for evidence:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349302406_Studie_zum_Ursprung_der_Coronavirus-Pandemie

Peer reviewed, no?

not yet. it's brand new and not all is translated to English. give the scientific community some time and that will be the bomb for something we cannot imagine yet i guess.

EDIT: there was some evidence from other sources in the past too but I was cautious with my conclusion and confident the truth will come to the light sometimes in the future.
309  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 05:35:28 PM
do you remember on this worldwide COVID-19 crisis in 2020 and onwards?  Roll Eyes

there is a strong evidence from an research of an scientist of the University of Hamburg that the source is the Wuhan laboratory.

+++ 17:31 Hamburg researchers: there are indications that coronavirus comes from the laboratory +++

The Hamburg nanoscientist Roland Wiesendanger compiled various findings from scientific studies, articles, reports in social media and other sources in the period from January to December of last year and comes to the conclusion: The pathogen Sars-CoV-2 is not of natural origin, but comes from a laboratory in Wuhan. The physicist cites the following points as evidence for these theories:

  • To date, no so-called intermediate host has been identified that proves according to the "zoonosis theory" that the coronaviruses were transmitted from bats to humans.
  • A research group at the virological institute in the city of Wuhan has carried out genetic manipulations on coronaviruses for many years with the aim of making them more contagious, dangerous and deadly for humans.
  • There were significant safety deficiencies in the virological institute in the city of Wuhan even before the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, which are documented.
  • Against the background of these and other factors, Wiesendanger writes: "In summary, it can be said that there are very many indications that a laboratory accident at the 'Wuhan Institute of Virology' appears to be by far the most likely cause of the corona pandemic."

You can read more about this shortly on ntv.de.


it took a whole year to collect all points for evidence:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349302406_Studie_zum_Ursprung_der_Coronavirus-Pandemie
310  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 09:21:59 AM
ChartBuddy best pic!  Grin

311  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 09:17:50 AM
JSRAW, Btway, thanks to you, I came across this idea, ("a year ago, 4 cents could buy 606 satoshis, and it's a pity that we don't use "sats" as a standard, continue to say 0.01 bitcoin, etc") In case there are lightning network fans here, here's a quick LightningATM tutorial written by @21. Overall a very cool concept ...



thanks, man!

it is time for a well established Layer2 solution because on-chain fees are high and to expensive for txs < 100 USD.

https://ycharts.com/indicators/bitcoin_average_transaction_fee

Of course, if everyone just switched over to native segwit addresses they could save 50% on their fees. This would also have the added benefit of allowing more transactions per block too. Anyone out there who complains of fees and are still using legacy addresses deserve it.

old cold stores with legacy addresses will exist nearly the whole time of the Bitcoin life-cycle. even with just the Segwit addresses a Layer2 solution is needed because sometime in the future the fees should replace the block reward nearly completely. (did you not understand the economical base concept of Bitcoin Huh)

either Bitcoin will be become super expensive or at least one reliable Layer2 solution will be established. BTW, it was Satoshi's intention too to get Bitcoin layer2 ready.

Of course I understand that, it would just help in the meantime. Layer 2 is coming and it is a good thing, but obviously still needs more time.

I do agree.  Cool
312  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 09:07:53 AM
JSRAW, Btway, thanks to you, I came across this idea, ("a year ago, 4 cents could buy 606 satoshis, and it's a pity that we don't use "sats" as a standard, continue to say 0.01 bitcoin, etc") In case there are lightning network fans here, here's a quick LightningATM tutorial written by @21. Overall a very cool concept ...



thanks, man!

it is time for a well established Layer2 solution because on-chain fees are high and to expensive for txs < 100 USD.

https://ycharts.com/indicators/bitcoin_average_transaction_fee

Of course, if everyone just switched over to native segwit addresses they could save 50% on their fees. This would also have the added benefit of allowing more transactions per block too. Anyone out there who complains of fees and are still using legacy addresses deserve it.

old cold stores with legacy addresses will exist nearly the whole time of the Bitcoin life-cycle. even with just the Segwit addresses a Layer2 solution is needed because sometime in the future the fees should replace the block reward nearly completely. (did you not understand the economical base concept of Bitcoin Huh)

either Bitcoin will be become super expensive or at least one reliable Layer2 solution will be established. BTW, it was Satoshi's intention too to get Bitcoin layer2 ready.
313  Local / Off-Topic (Deutsch) / Re: Candoo/Salazarian BFL Gruppenkauf-Megathread on: February 18, 2021, 07:54:06 AM
Candoo war schon ne Marke! wie hiess denn seine sockenpuppe? er hat sich doch mit mindestens einem anderen den account geteilt um sich die arbeit zu erleichtern. aber dann gab es irgendwie streit. was für ein Drama und Popcorn!  Grin
314  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2021, 07:47:56 AM
JSRAW, Btway, thanks to you, I came across this idea, ("a year ago, 4 cents could buy 606 satoshis, and it's a pity that we don't use "sats" as a standard, continue to say 0.01 bitcoin, etc") In case there are lightning network fans here, here's a quick LightningATM tutorial written by @21. Overall a very cool concept ...



thanks, man!

it is time for a well established Layer2 solution because on-chain fees are high and to expensive for txs < 100 USD.

https://ycharts.com/indicators/bitcoin_average_transaction_fee
315  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 03:59:41 PM
Interesting. I was updating Quicken and tried a few future values for bitcoin to check my net worth. Apparently you can not have a security worth more than 99 million dollars a share without Quicken blowing up.

They had better fix this bug. Soon.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KMyMoney

and

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hibiscus_(Software)

EDIT: give both above a try if you want.  Cool

316  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2021, 12:55:44 PM
who sold the (forthcoming) bottom of 2023?  Grin
317  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: MtGox geht in Konkurs on: February 15, 2021, 11:21:52 AM
falls noch unbekannt:
https://blog.wizsec.jp/2021/02/mtgox-claim-calculator.html

da stehen einige aktuelle Infos zusammengefasst und man kann den vorrausichtlichen Betrag ausrechnen, den man bekommt (natürlich nicht verbindlich).

habe eben meine kündigung nicht eingereicht.  Grin
318  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2021, 11:12:57 AM

Man, this is epic. Just quote it to not forget to merit this masterpiece when i will get merits  Grin

do not merit me. pls merit the first poster.  Grin

yes Epic!  Grin
319  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2021, 11:08:31 AM
Window for cheap coins is closing.

320  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2021, 11:01:42 AM


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