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1101  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bearish Case for Bitcoin on: July 04, 2021, 04:53:27 PM
Here's a recent paper from Nassim Taleb: Bitcoin, Currencies, and Bubbles

It's mostly opinion and contains no real insights.
1102  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: How do crypto payment gateways work? on: July 02, 2021, 10:26:27 PM
I was thinking about implementing a crypto payment gateway in my e-commerce website. But I need a better fundamental understanding of this.

It might be easier and safer to integrate btcpay server (https://btcpayserver.org/) into your site rather than creating your own. I strongly recommend it. There are so many things that could go wrong if you do it yourself, especially if you are not familiar with the Bitcoin protocols and best practices.
1103  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Article: The Craig Wright May 2016 Signing Sessions Debacle, In Full Context on: July 02, 2021, 10:18:13 PM
  • The fact that Craig Wright would not allow Gavin to use his own verification hardware and software points to fraud since such a restriction has no other reasonable purpose.
  • The most reasonable explanation of the lack of independently verifiable proof from Craig Wright is that he is unable to provide it. Providing independently verifiable proof should be trivial, or providing a reasonable explanation for the inability should be trivial. He can do neither.
  • The subterfuge and the incredible amounts of manipulation and manufacture of evidence over the years (even after disregarding any acts not directly attributable to CSW) indicate to me that he is being deceptive.
1104  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bearish Case for Bitcoin on: July 02, 2021, 02:33:56 AM
Any recommendations of books or resources on the bearish case for bitcoin? Not after media FUD, just want to find some detailed resources on the why bitcoin potentially won't work out or the risks behind it.

I don't think you are going to find much because the people that do the research on Bitcoin are generally pro-Bitcoin. There is not much incentive to show that something as insignificant as Bitcoin won't work.

Despite that, I have come across a couple academic papers over the years describing why Bitcoin may not be sustainable. For example: Carlsten, et al. On the Instability of Bitcoin Without the Block Reward. 2016
1105  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Looking for advice on a full node on: July 02, 2021, 02:28:48 AM
What's the difference between Raspibolt and Raspiblitz? Is the bolt a bit more hands on? I have a Pi4 8GB btw.
I'm thinking of doing it all myself, I'm just a tad worried I might mess something up and start leaking over clearnet for example.
i'm relatively comfortable with bitcoin core by now, but have never touched lnd or electrum server (except eps)

I had mistakenly assumed that Raspiblitz was a kit. Given that you can buy the hardware separately for Raspiblitz, I don't know the pros and cons of Raspibolt vs. Raspiblitz. I would be interested in that info also.
1106  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Looking for advice on a full node on: June 30, 2021, 11:37:22 PM
Does anyone recommend either of these projects or know of other projects that I should consider and why? So far I'm most interested in myNode and Raspiblitz. I know Umbrel is easy but I heard the security isn't the best.

If you already have an RPi and and a drive, then you want to set up the RaspiBolt project: https://stadicus.github.io/RaspiBolt/

I have bitcoind, lnd, electrs, JoinMarket, btc-rpc-explorer, and TOR set up on my RPi via Raspibolt.
1107  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Fixed supply vs reducing supply on: June 28, 2021, 06:19:00 PM
Bitcoin currently has fixed supply of 21m coins. Are there any advantages to having a reducing supply over time via burning.
If yes, why hasn't this been implemented yet?
If no, the follow up question is: are there any disadvantages to an increasing supply?

The ideal currency has a constant value. So how can creating or burning coins achieve this goal?

The factors that affect the value of a currency are the supply, the velocity, and the economy. The value of a coin will remain constant if you burn coins when the velocity is increasing or the economy is decreasing. Likewise, the value of a coin will remain constant if you create coins when the velocity is decreasing or the economy is increasing.

In reality, maintaining a constant value is impossible to achieve because the velocity and economy are too difficult to measure or control.

If you can't control the value of a currency, a secondary goal then might be to reduce economic uncertainty. One way reduce uncertainty is to eliminate the variability of the supply. Such as,

  • Assume that the economy will always grow and create coins forever on a fixed schedule.
  • Assume that the economy will always shrink and burn coins forever on a fixed schedule.
  • Make no assumptions and maintain the supply at a fixed number.

Assuming the economy will shrink forever is a bad assumption. That is why coins are not (or should not be) burned.

Assuming that the economy will increase forever is reasonable, even though that is not what really happens, so creating coins according to a fixed schedule is not bad. The difficulty, however, is to pick the appropriate creation rate. Too high, and you have inflation. Too low, and you have deflation. Picking the correct rate is not possible so the best choice is too pick a rate that is probably low in order to avoid risks (including hyperinflation).

Bitcoin make no assumptions and maintains the supply at a fixed number. While this may result in an increasing value due to lost coins and an increasing economy, it eliminates all uncertainty about the supply.
1108  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Anyone know of a genuinely free transaction accelerator? on: June 28, 2021, 05:35:46 PM
I'm not sure if it's what you're looking for but I always go with https://bitaccelerate.com and the transaction usually starts to go through a little while later. ...
That site does not accelerate a transaction. It simply rebroadcasts a transaction, which is something that most wallets can do (and some wallets do it automatically). Rebroadcast only helps if the transaction has been dropped from the mempool, which is rarely the problem.

I have never used an accelerator, but I know that viabtc's accelerator (https://www.viabtc.com/tools/txaccelerator/) is free, though there are some restrictions. And be careful, because there are many spoof sites.

Also, if you can wait a little longer, the difficulty will be dropping soon. That will result in higher throughput, and the mempool may clear again as a result.
1109  Other / Off-topic / Re: Scientific proof that God exists? on: June 28, 2021, 05:18:33 PM
My real point here is that you can make up any numbers that you want (as you and I both demonstrated) and there is no way to validate them, so any claims of proof by probability cannot be valid.
Zero isn't a number. Zero is lack of existence.

I guess you are waxing philosophical here (zero is a number) in order to avoid acknowledging the fact that you have failed to prove scientifically that God exists.

Maybe you could try to prove mathematically that God ≠ 0.
1110  Economy / Speculation / Re: Repeating the price cycle every 4 years on: June 27, 2021, 04:44:33 PM
You are ignoring the sell pressure of all the bitcoins already in circulation. The sell pressure only goes up (even with the halving) as more bitcoins are added to the supply.
That's assuming that the demand (buying pressure in opposite of sell pressure) is not going up faster. Considering that bitcoin adoption is still in its very early stages and the demand is increasing, we can safely say that this assumption is not true.

Supply and demand are independent. The supply of bitcoins is always increasing. The demand is not. Thus, we have price swings. In the long run, both have increased with demand outpacing supply. I hope we can agree on those.

However, a halving is a moment in time in which the production slows (but the supply continues to increase and demand does whatever it does). If the halving truly has an effect on prices due to the change in production, we should see something happen to the price at that time, but we don't. The two big price increases we have seen 1 - 2 years after the halvings must be due to something else. Maybe there is something going on, but it can't be attributed to the production cuts.
1111  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Moving Bitcoin to El Salvador on: June 26, 2021, 10:49:43 PM
I’m sure everybody loves paying taxes, but I am no expert but say with this current drop In price if I moved bitcoin outside of the US and to an El Salvador wallet, would that be saving on the future sale of bitcoin or what would that look like for capital gains?
I’m asking for a friend, I already lost all my bitcoin in a boating accident.

In the U.S., simply moving bitcoins is not a taxable event. Furthermore, bitcoins don't exist in any location. You can move them from one address to another, but you can't move from one country to another.

However, if you are sending them to an account maintained by a company in a foreign country, then that may have tax implications.
1112  Economy / Speculation / Re: Repeating the price cycle every 4 years on: June 26, 2021, 09:05:02 PM
Even though bitcoin has a max supply we are still "printing" more bitcoin every day, these are coins that enter circulation and are mostly sold by miners to pay their bills. Consequently there has to be less sell pressure when we "print" about 900BTC per day in this period versus when we were printing 1800BTC per day in previous period.

You are ignoring the sell pressure of all the bitcoins already in circulation. The sell pressure only goes up (even with the halving) as more bitcoins are added to the supply.
1113  Other / Off-topic / Re: Scientific proof that God exists? on: June 25, 2021, 10:27:19 PM
And we have proof of billions of things having been made, ...
You claim that there are billions of machines with provable makers. Fine. I claim that there are trillions of machines without provable makers. Therefore, the probability of a machine having a maker is 1/1000.
That's where you make your mistake.
The trillions of machines without provable makers are really not only as you said, but also they are trillions of machines that easily might have makers. Those trillions cancel themselves out as being part of the equation.
Find five or ten machines that provably DON'T have a maker... or even one such machine... so we can pit them/it against the billions of machines that we KNOW have makers. That way we'll have a start in your direction.

My real point here is that you can make up any numbers that you want (as you and I both demonstrated) and there is no way to validate them, so any claims of proof by probability cannot be valid.
1114  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: After 1.5 hours, I only only got 9 confirmations. What a turtle! on: June 25, 2021, 05:08:15 PM
I sent bitcoin today but after more than 1.5 hours of waiting, I could only get 9 confirmations. Still waiting! Haaaaaaay.....
Better Coins for speed are
Litecoin : 2½ minute blockspeed
Doge     : 1 minute Blockspeed
Cardano and Algorand : less than 20 seconds

"Better" is subjective. Those coins might have a lower block interval, but they are less secure. While an exchange might require 1-3 confirmations for BTC, they typically require many more for the coins you listed.

Here are the confirmation requirements for Kraken deposits:

CryptocurrencyConfirmations Required
Algorand (ALGO)10 confirmations
Bitcoin (BTC)4 confirmations (depending on fee)
Cardano (ADA)15 confirmations
Dogecoin (DOGE)40 confirmations
Litecoin (LTC)12 confirmations
1115  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the money printing / devaluing dollar argument for buying Bitcoin overrated? on: June 25, 2021, 04:52:07 PM
Once we get to this stage, we have a currency thats also an appreciating asset. This means that compared to a fiat world, more people would be incentivised to keep some of their wealth in the currency rather than assets such as stocks. Doesn't this disincentivise investment in businesses and therefore have a negative impact on economic activity? Would this then be one of the problems with Bitcoin as global currency?

Yes, but saving is a good thing. It reduces risk.

Typical Keynesian economics views any deflation as a serious problem, but deflation is no worse than inflation in my view. When people talk about the risks of deflation, they typically leap to hyper-deflation as if it is a foregone conclusion. But, I believe that is no more valid than the idea that any inflation will inevitably lead to hyper-inflation.
1116  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: Hello from ChainVault on: June 25, 2021, 12:22:31 AM
Red flags:

1. Anonymous.
2. Recent domain registration.
3. Claims to be "regulated".
1117  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Old BTC addresses & Gliph on: June 24, 2021, 08:56:17 PM
No I am not rich. I just got started into Crypto mining. Activated an old coinbase account from 7 years ago (forgot I even had it). Found 2 old BTC addresses in there an looked them up. Big fat zero.

Addresses at Coinbase belong to Coinbase. It doesn't matter how much they have in them. You have what Coinbase says you have.
1118  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the money printing / devaluing dollar argument for buying Bitcoin overrated? on: June 24, 2021, 08:52:43 PM
...then mild devaluing of currency isn't a huge deal

Mild devaluation is bad, especially when it is continuous and done on a large scale.


Even if it got to the stage where everyone owned some Bitcoin we are still back at square one. The money printer is still on and all we have is another asset amongst many including gold, stocks, real estate etc.

Bitcoin is better as a currency than gold, stocks, real estate, and fiat of course.

1119  Other / Off-topic / Re: Scientific proof that God exists? on: June 24, 2021, 06:57:22 AM
And we have proof of billions of things having been made, ...

You claim that there are billions of machines with provable makers. Fine. I claim that there are trillions of machines without provable makers. Therefore, the probability of a machine having a maker is 1/1000.
1120  Economy / Economics / Re: Real Inflation only happens when Central Banks print High Denominated Notes? on: June 23, 2021, 06:37:01 PM
I noticed that every country that experienced high/hyper inflation, the central bank in that country has to print a very high denominated fiat note/bill.
...
In the US the highest denominated note bill now is $100.
So the question is as long the highest denominated bill still remains $100 then there wont be any high/hyper inflation worries in the future?

You have it backwards. Large denomination bills are the result of inflation.

If prices increase by 10x, then people will want $1000 bills for what they previously used $100 bills for and smaller denominations become useless. So the government must print higher denomination bills.

Also, note that about 10% of the money in the U.S. exists as coins and bills. The rest of the money exists in bank ledgers.
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