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461  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The PATRIOT Act comes to cryptocurrency on: October 23, 2023, 08:50:55 PM
It is clear the US government want the only way to use bitcoin to be through fully KYCed centralized exchanges. They are trying their hardest to absorb bitcoin in to the existing fiat system and surveillance state, and destroy the very thing that bitcoin is.


It doesn't really matter as long as they don't force miners to censor non-compliant transactions. They can't stop anyone from using privacy tools, doing p2p transactions, paying to services that don't comply, etc. If you are using Bitcoin the way the cypherpunks envisioned decentralized money, then Bitcoin fulfills its goal of being decentralized money.
462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin’s long-term investors own over 76% of all BTC for the first time on: October 22, 2023, 11:54:58 PM
If people are not selling 76% of bitcoin that are in circulation, it means people are holding it and you know what this could mean for the next halving and the approval of spot bitcoin ETF by the US SEC.


This doesn't affect the chances of getting approval for ETFs.

And as for the price, we also need high demand, not just low supply by people refusing to sell. The price won't be moving much if the demand is even lower than the offered supply. People like to quote that only a small fraction of global population owns Bitcoin, so there's a huge potential for new adopters, but it's also true that a lot of people have already heard about Bitcoin and are not interested. And there's no reasons to think that suddenly the masses would change their mind.
463  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you prepare for a Bitcoin bull run? on: October 22, 2023, 11:29:09 PM
Checking your wallet. Do you still have access to your wallet?
Making some wallet backups.
Storing backups safely.

This isn't an advice for the halvening, it's an advice for anyone who owns Bitcoin, regardless of the market state. Or are you suggesting that people should be careless with their backups in bear market?

The best way to prepare for the halvening is to get your finances in order, make sure that you won't get in a situation when you need to sell your coins to cover some needs, at least until the bull market will be in full swing.
464  Economy / Economics / Re: Is there a formula for Bitcoin starters? on: October 21, 2023, 11:24:38 PM
As experienced investors are there measures that can be imbibed by new investors with little capital to help boast their capital. Some will want to mention patience which I will agree to but in situations where the money is needed to meet an emergency need how to you tackle such situations. Your formula might be a saving approach.

There is no such method. You need money to make money. Hypothethically speaking, you can turn $1,000 into one million with a very lucky investment in the next big thing, or a high leverage bet, but that's just theory. The probability of success is so low that you will most likely just lose money.

So instead of thinking of a clever way of getting rich with nothing, focus on earning money and investing them.
465  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Are arrogant wannabe script kiddies still a problem for Bitcoin? on: October 21, 2023, 09:50:49 PM
I don't think it's about script kiddies. Altcoin projects don't fail because of poor coding, they fail regardless of coding. That's because the developers of any expertise rarely have a goal of actually creating something and not just dumping their premine on the market. But in rare instances when they actually try, the project will almost surely fail because the premise is unrealistic. So-called blockchain technology isn't actually a panacea that makes everything better, in fact it's extremely niche and Bitcoin is probably the only working example. There were so many attempts of making blockchain-based filesharing, digital identity, medical records and lots of other stuff - and none of that succeeded.
466  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Bitcoin for everyone? on: October 21, 2023, 07:46:54 PM
I am asking this because not everyone has made tangible profit for holding. Just like myself I end up selling at a loss most times just to solve a problem.

The main rule of investing is investing only what you can afford to lose. If you are breaking it by investing money that are a part of your safety net, then Bitcoin is not suitable for such investments due to its volatility. In this case you should be investing in assets that can only go up, like bank deposits that allow early withdrawal with a penalty.
467  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Can the government acquire all bitcoins either by seizure or purchase? on: October 20, 2023, 11:54:46 PM
The government has struggled hard to make sure that bitcoin does not develop and grow, they have made several policies and even created their own CBDC as a competition all to suffocate bitcoins growth.

This is wrong. Had they really wanted to stop Bitcoin, they would first things first shut down all centralized exchanges and cutoff Bitcoin services from the banking system. That alone would kill Bitcoin's viability for people who don't use deepweb services and similar stuff. But governments didn't do this because they don't care that much about Bitcoin at least as long as its just a store of value that can be taxed when it's liquidated.
468  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hey Bitcoiners Choose Simplicity Over Complex Technicalities on: October 20, 2023, 03:25:44 PM
This advice can be both good or bad depending on how people will interpret it. The most simple solution is to store coins where you bought them - on exchange, and we all know how bad it is. A little bit more complex option is a hot software wallet, and we also know how risky it can be. A simple cold storage or hardware wallet setup is providing enough security for nearly all users. There's indeed a danger in overcomplicating, especially by making custom encryption or encoding algorithms, using layers of encryption, splitting the seed and so on. All of it will increase the chance of losing the key while the security benefits are an overkill.
469  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dump market potential? on: October 19, 2023, 11:38:07 PM
We already had a global pandemic that was far worse for Bitcoin than some global tensions, because it actually affected the economy and people's ability to invest. And still Bitcoin performed remarkably well in 2020 and 2021.

And in general there's no strong correlation between Bitcoin price and some global events. Bitcoin changes its price all the time and people try to explain it my looking at the current news, but if you make a historical analysis, you will see that they don't really affect the price.
470  Economy / Economics / Re: Is the fall of Elon Musk's empire imminent? on: October 19, 2023, 11:17:05 PM
I'm pretty sure he can sustain his losses with Twitter for some time, but eventually they will become so massive that he'll have to sell it. But I don't see how it can bankrupt him, he's crazy rich from Tesla and SpaceX. As long as those companies are profitable, he is too big to fail. And he is not managing them like he manages Twitter. Twitter is just his toy that he impulse-bought just because he could.
471  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Experience is key, go for it. on: October 19, 2023, 10:58:54 PM
No matter the amount of information you receive on this forum, if you don't practice and work on having a first-hand experience, you won't understand much.

This isn't a forum about moneymaking though. This is a general forum about Bitcoin, where people discuss everything about Bitcoin - like its place in this world, technical developments, how to use it, etc. Making money in Bitcoin ecosystem is just one aspect of this forum. Beginners shouldn't think that the main purpose of this forum is to learn about making money with Bitcoin.
472  Economy / Economics / Re: If USA Will Be In The War - Government Can Confiscate All Bitcoins + Blockchain on: October 18, 2023, 10:00:17 PM
This applies to every government in the world. Every country might go to war at some point in the future and might attempt to start seizing coins if things will get dire for the war economy. If people will voluntarily or involuntarily let their government know how many coins they own, the government might come to them to confiscate the coins, and even if they attempt to hide the coins, the coins or the liquidated funds will become harder to use legally. So it's not like crypto is a perfect loophole for avoiding funds seizure.
473  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Cryptocurrency is a Threat and BTC leads on: October 18, 2023, 09:07:24 PM
What will happen is that government will go bankrupt.

Government currency used to be backed by gold, and further back it used to be made of gold and other precious metals. And governments functioned just well in those times.

And let's be realistic, massive switch to Bitcoin will not happen. People don't want to do this, because they don't care about inflation, bad government, financial freedom and so on. And even if they tried to switch to Bitcoin, the government would intervene and ban all large entities that can easily be controlled from dealing with Bitcoin.
474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the selling pressure in the ATH level can be a problem to reach $100k? on: October 17, 2023, 09:15:02 PM
And many of them who bought around 69k price were still holding their Bitcoin today.

The ATH peak lasted only for a day or so, I doubt there's a lot of people who bought at that time, who hold those coins till now, etc. Many of the losers of the last bull market have cut their losses and maybe even bought lower and are now sitting on a good position for the bull run. We don't really know the structure of the market, we don't have any data for that, maybe only the exchanges know it, but they won't share it, because why should they? So we can only make baseless guesses about who and when bought/sold some coins and what they plan to do.

Plus it all entirely ignores the buy pressure. If there's a huge buy pressure, it can overcome a selling pressure even at ATH.
475  Economy / Speculation / Re: Sad to see such manipulations in this market. on: October 17, 2023, 08:47:18 PM
This type of moves create a media view of BTC as a scam and a manipulation device which the cex's or dex's who do manipulation will regret later. These are just my two cents.

No one outside of Bitcoin community is even going to notice a 10% price increase or decrease. The sort of bad reputation of Bitcoin comes from the bull/bear cycles, because some people win big and those who buy at the top lose big. Such unpredictable volatility goes against the principles of investing that investing should be a calculated and known risk. With Bitcoin no one knows when a bull market starts or when it ends.
476  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Proof of reserves? Insurance fund? Best I can do is a random number generator! on: October 17, 2023, 08:41:27 PM
People who still hold their funds in Binance are either ignorant, not aware of the recent events regarding centralized exchanges & lending and earning platforms or they think Binance is too big to fail. If Binance bites the dust they'll be the ones affected and a million other holders of shitcoins, the BTC network will be just fine with or without Binance.

I want to believe that the majority of coins that are held on exchanges are owned by day traders who have little choice but to keep their coins there, because of transaction speed and costs. Because it should be a common wisdom by now that coins held on exchanges are almost as good as gone in the long term.
477  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How Magical Is The Magic Money ? - Bitcoin on: October 16, 2023, 11:57:32 PM
Is there anything more interesting than becoming your own bank, approving your own transactions and also enjoying both the positive and the negative price aspect of the currency ?. What more can be magical than this ?.

Most people don't want their daily things, like currency, to be "magical". They want them to work smoothly, without any problems, without any extra effort, without risks. Being your own bank is not some fun activity, it's quite stressful and quite demanding. Most people have zero clue about cybersecurity and cryptography, they at best google some advice on the Internet, which will often be quite poor if they don't put effort in their research.
478  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What do you think? Selling all or not on: October 16, 2023, 04:44:15 PM
Why? Knowing the fact that the next bull price will still come as bitcoin continues to grow, so I don't think selling all my bitcoin in the bull market is the best.

You can always buy back later for the next bull run. And looking at the past performance, the price difference between bull market and bear market is quite big, so in the past selling all coins wasn't a risky decision if you sell late during the bull run. The biggest risk in selling all coins is that the price will keep going up and never fall down below that level ever again. To avoid this it's better to not sell early in the bull market and wait for the bull market to mature.
479  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: More secure ways og storing bitcoin? on: October 16, 2023, 02:16:13 PM
I think this article would answer that.

Why 92% of Institutional Investors Store Crypto on Exchanges

Quote
However, although things have improved since 2018 (the institutional crypto custody space now has well-renowned participants like Fidelity, Coinbase, and ICE’s Bakkt), a recent study conducted by Binance Research found that institutional investors don’t seem to be using these custody services; instead, 92% of the institutional investors that responded to Binance’s survey said that they prefer to keep their crypto exactly where most experts least recommend--on centralized exchanges.

As we can see, they place trust in major exchanges with the money entrusted to them. I can understand the reasoning behind this; an exchange that operates daily is more susceptible to hacking. The fact that they continue to operate reflects the effectiveness of their security measures. Additionally, I believe exchanges like Binance offer insurance on the funds deposited with them. In the event of a hack, which has occurred to Binance before, the SAFU fund, if I recall correctly, would come to the rescue.

This poll surveyed 76 entities - it's not clear how representative this is, and whether they were chosen randomly or if they all are Binance clients. Also, the full results show that 33% hold coins in cold storage and 18% use hot wallets. This means that the responders use different storage methods simultaneously. And without knowing the proportion of allocated coins, this poll is not very useful. It could be that many investors hold the majority of their coins in self-custody while having a smaller share of their coins on exchanges for day trading.
480  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: What if the internet permanently shuts down on: October 15, 2023, 11:21:39 PM
The Internet can't suddenly break, it's very resilient. But if it will be gone, it would be because there's a much larger problem - a global thermonuclear war, a huge solar flare, total collapse of human civilization, etc. With those events money will no longer matter much, only your survival skills will. So if you are worried about such things, than try to get ready for them.
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