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661  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Days you need to work your ass at minimum wage for a BTC, by country on: July 22, 2023, 11:30:10 PM
When you throw away all the context - PPP, median wages, costs of living, rent prices, transportation and so on, your list just reflects the nominal GDP of countries. It doesn't even answer the question of "which country is the best to immigrate to as an unskilled worker to earn 1 BTC". The best way to get 1 BTC is to get a lot of fiat first, and how to do that is something that everyone has to figure out themselves, because everyone is in a different country and has different starting conditions.
662  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin competition. on: July 22, 2023, 11:00:48 PM
I seriously doubt that altcoins steal potential investors from Bitcoin. Altcoins are ultra-high risk investments that promise very fast returns. Bitcoin promises nothing, it has no marketing teams, no official promises at all, it's just an open source project focused on improving what it already does. Altcoins and Bitcoin are like penny stocks and S&P500. They attract different types of investors.
663  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How Sells or Buy influence the market value ? on: July 21, 2023, 10:34:08 PM
If someone sells a lot of BTC by filling the current buy orders, this can crash the price if there's not a lot of depth. For example, if there's only a few buy orders for buying 1 BTC at $30k, a few for 1 BTC at $29k, and so on, then fulfilling those orders by selling thousands of coins would bring the price to very low levels instantly. But if the market has enough depth - if there are orders for buying thousands of coins at the price slightly below the market, then dumping a lot of coins will only drop the price by fractions of percent.

But another thing to consider is that some orders might be fake and they will get removed when the price will start moving (spoofing). And price changes trigger placement of new orders, became traders and their bots react very quickly. Even a small sell could turn into a panic and big crash.

Also, large transactions often happen outside of public markets, aka OTC trading, so they might not influence the market at all.

And lastly, even the news or blockchain activity can influence the price sometimes.
664  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Crypto as Gambling: The UK government has laid to rest the controversial bill on: July 21, 2023, 09:16:37 PM
Personally, I don't know why this should be an issue from the beginning as cryptocurrency is an asset which should be treated as such in both payments, trading and investment regulations.


Crypto isn't really an asset, its value doesn't come from some uses, it only comes from speculative trading. So it's better described as an investment game, similar to HYIPs, which are generally viewed as scams.

The rule of thumb should be that if a coin has no real users and only investors, then it's not an asset, only a speculative vehicle.
665  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Every Bitcoin holder Should Take a Cybersecurity course on: July 20, 2023, 11:57:54 PM
By cybersecurity people generally mean security for application developers. Things like avoiding SQL injection and other common attacks. As a user, you don't need to know that. You only need to know how to keep yourself safe from malware and phishing/social engineering/scams, how to avoid unsafe Bitcoin wallet setups, like brainwallets.

Jameson Lopp's articles cover almost everything that a beginner needs to know
666  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Seed phrase and passphrase backup on: July 20, 2023, 11:33:22 PM
The thing does remain: there are always attack vectors... The more attack vectors you eliminate, the bigger the odds of you losing access to your wallet or funds... If you try to make up schemes to make sure you will never lose access to your funds, you'll inevitably open up very small attack vectors for potential thiefs. It's very hard to find a balance.

IMO for people who use a correct cold storage setup or hardware wallet, the accidental loss of seeds/passwords/extension words is a bigger risk than someone carrying out a sophisticated multi-stage attack against them. Do we even have any documented cases of airgap-jumping malware that targets Bitcoin wallets? Yet the stories of people losing their seed words that were written on a piece of paper are quite common.
667  Economy / Economics / Re: AI, Robotics ETFs Are More Popular Than Crypto in 2023 - Bloomberg on: July 19, 2023, 11:49:24 PM
Is it surprising? A lot of stuff is more popular than crypto. Crypto is an unorthodox investment for a good reason - it doesn't yield any results. You only profit from crypto because its price experiences a market bubble, not because it attracts so many users that the value grows organically. That's why cryptos crash, while successful tech companies don't - the tech companies actually have value.
668  Economy / Economics / Re: Can CBDC users lose control of their money? on: July 18, 2023, 10:00:30 PM
CBDCs have nothing to offer that fiat have not offered. You can send fiat digitally and it is under the control of central banks and the government just like the CBDCs. In function, is there anything added to CBDCs that fiat can not offer? I see nothing new about CBDCs than claiming that it is built using blockchain. In function, digital fiat and CBDCs are the same thing and they totally invade people's privacy.

I don't agree that they invade people's privacy. People agree with the terms and conditions, which include monitoring their accounts and reporting to authorities if needed. If they object to that, they can just not use that service and use paper money instead. CBDC will come with a contract agreement when someone creates an account, just like with banks.

Invasion of privacy is when someone is forcefully spying on you against your will.
669  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Vanity Bitcoin Address: Pros, Cons #My_take_on_it on: July 18, 2023, 09:33:55 PM
2. Is the environmental impact of the computing power required to generate vanity addresses justified for personalization purposes?

The energy required to generate a vanity address is in the same order of magnitude as using air conditioner or electric heater for a few hours.

No crypto activity, not even Bitcoin mining, is a significant contributor to global warming. Bitcoin network might consume a lot of electricity, but it's still a small fraction of global electricity, and electricity itself is a small fraction of global greenhouse emissions.
670  Economy / Speculation / Re: $31450 proves too strong for Buyers, but Sellers may only dominate below $29400 on: July 17, 2023, 11:41:02 PM
I don't like this pattern, my pessimism tells me that it's another one of those "Bart Simpson" patterns when the price instantly crashes after a long period of failing to break the same level of resistance. And there would be nothing strange in falling to $26k and trading sideways for weeks or months again, because there's still a lot of time before the halvening, and even after the halvening the bull run kicks in after some time.
671  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin dethronement on: July 17, 2023, 11:15:01 PM
XRP is a shitcoin, just like all other altcoins. They are developed by a small team of people who only care about profit, and there's no incentive for them to actually create anything, because stupid people invest in their scam anyway. It doesn't matter what metric an altcoin can show today, be it trading volume or market share - in 10-15 years that coin will be dead and forgotten, and its developers will enjoy retirement in their multi-million mansions.
672  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why local currencies when there is bitcoin ? on: July 17, 2023, 11:05:54 PM
Quote

Seems like micro-currencies are created to make the local economy more resilient and to reinforce the regional identity. Bitcoin, being a volatile and global currency uncontrolled by anyone, wouldn't suit these needs. A small local community would be at the mercy of global speculators who often decide to dump Bitcoin when they feel like it can't grow fast at the moment, and they would be powerless to stop it. But in case of their local currency, they can control it and maintain its value.
673  Economy / Economics / Re: Pool strategy of investment for wealth multiplication. on: July 16, 2023, 11:17:05 PM
A group of friends or brothers or relatives or colleagues can come together, buy some crypto asset, possibly BTC because of its credibility and then share the profit after the time agreed upon is due. They could also invest in Altcoins for quick profits on short duration.


The whole point of joint investments is to surpass an entry barrier that no single partner can surpass alone. One person is not rich enough to start a business or buy a property, but 4 partners together have enough funds to do so.

But it makes no sense to pool Bitcoin investments. You can buy any amount of BTC you want, even $1. There's no upsides and only downsides to this.
674  Economy / Economics / Re: Can your passion lead to an increase in your net worth? on: July 16, 2023, 10:29:13 PM
Hypothetically speaking, you can monetize almost anything. So it's possible to make your passion work for you, but how hard or easy it is to achieve this depends on what your passion is. If your passion is programming, you won't have a problem finding a high-paying job. But if you passion is playing video games, you'll have less options - becoming a videogame streamer, bloggger, journalist, pro gamer, etc. The demand for those experts is far lower than the number of gamers.
675  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin expected (implied) volatility below 50: Sign for a bull run? on: July 16, 2023, 09:26:56 PM
Both times the BitVol has hit sub-50 values (since the BitVol exists), it predated a major bullish outbreak: In March 2019, the BitVol reached 44.84, and in the following months the price exploded from ~$4-5k up to 14k (US$). In January 2023 many will still remember that something similar happened: The BitVol low of 43,8 was reached in the first days of the year, and less than a week later the price moved steeply upwards from $17k up to $20-23k.


Is there anything fundamentally important about going below 50, as opposed to slightly above 50 values? Because on this chart there's a lot of times when the index was close to 50, and it didn't result in bull markets.

Volatility is periodic, but just like with the price, there's no clear patterns that could allow predicting the next movements with high confidence.

Also, this chart clearly shows the effects of halvening and its bull market. The whole period of 2020-2021 - the time of bull market, had high volatility, because there was a lot of price movements, both upwards and downwards. And the bear market had periods of stagnation, just like the previous bear markets.

So if the price and volatility will increase in the near future, it wouldn't be because the value dropped below 50, but because the halvening is coming soon.
676  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin has already campaign for itself on: July 16, 2023, 08:12:44 PM
There's little to no upside yet the downside is abysmal.

The upside is that is that if others invest in what you already own, your investment goes up and you have an unrealized gain. But of course convincing your own grandma to buy BTC won't make you richer, but convincing tens or hundreds of thousands of rich investors will do the trick. That's why we from time to time see CEOs, billionaires, big investors and other wealthy individuals promote Bitcoin - they already bought it and want others to pump their investment.
677  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will another ETF be immediately bullish for Bitcoin? on: July 15, 2023, 10:54:33 PM
If an ETF will get approved sometime close to the halvening, it might become a source of media hype that will help to fuel the bull run (that would happen with or without it). In the previous cycle we had "institutional adoption hype", with Microstrategy leading the way, Tesla following and later a few other companies making statements about adopting Bitcoin, that seem to never materialize.

But I think the relationship between the media hype and bull run is not clear. Is the hype causing the bull run or the bull run creates a need to explain it, so positive news get amplified?
678  Economy / Speculation / Re: Could Bitcoin's Price dump to Halving? on: July 15, 2023, 10:42:03 PM
This is very positive news for long-term holders, and from this point of view it propose that Bitcoin prices should not be dumped until the next halving event. This is because miners receive mining rewards which creates selling pressure on the price of BTC in the market.

I don't see were this conclusion comes from. The price is formed by supply and demand. If the demand will become extremely low, Bitcoin could be dumped by selling even a million BTC or less. And those long term holders will be holding empty bags. This is of course an extreme scenario that I brought up only for illustrative purposes.

But you should always remember about the demand, instead of looking only at supply. Supply is not known perfectly, because we don't know what Bitcoin holders plan to do, but at least we can get some info from on-chain activity. But demand is completely unknown to us.
679  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How is sending bitcoin through a QR-code safe ? on: July 14, 2023, 11:53:17 PM
First of all, the QR code itself can be replaced without hacking. For example, if it's a sticker, someone can put their own sticker on top of the original one. If it's a photo posted on social media, someone can edit it in Photoshop to put their address. You get the idea.

But on software level, this task is not as trivial as replacing a clipboard, but still could be achieved, at least theoretically. The QR-code scanner app could be exploited to replace Bitcoin adresses with hacker's address, if it has such a sophisticated vulnerability.
680  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Bitconnect : learning from the past. How is it possible to invest life savings ? on: July 14, 2023, 11:25:42 PM
Well even people with strong financial education cab still get scammed if they drop their guard, scammers are always improving their format so as to still be able to scam more people, I believe that regardless of our financial background we should still strive to understand more and new ways scammers are employing to carry out their activities.

Those people don't fall for ponzi schemes. It's very easy to spot a ponzi scheme if you have basic financial education. You see a promise of unrealistically high returns with regular payouts, you see that a company doesn't have a solid business model - the only conclusion is that they are paying out from the funds of new investors.

Experienced investors might fall for startup scams, when they get promised a groundbreaking new invention that will take some time to show even the first results, but that's very different from scams like bitconnect.
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