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21  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: zTrader - Android trading app on: May 31, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Hi,

I need some help: I can't add a pair.

The process:


Edit pairs
+
kraken
BTC/USD

Message: "You already have this pair"

But the pair is not in the list!!!



I have the PRO version

Thanks
22  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: April 24, 2016, 08:35:05 PM
Hello everybody.

I agree with you, Risto: we could be watching a massive turning point.

It's also probable that we'll see the top of the bubble way before the halving
(the halving is spected by July 11th, according to bitcoinblockhalf.com)
23  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: April 15, 2016, 02:57:49 PM


Donations: bitcoin:1Em6yNYWG9FXSLWQki4aDDis1ETQ3WwKpB
24  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: April 14, 2016, 03:59:31 PM
14 April 2016 update:

R2= 0.900263
a = 2.84737734739566
b = -19.2400124152881

The price today (424 USD/BTC) is 74% undervalued from its Log regression expected value (1607 USD/BCT, calculated HERE)

I will upload chart asap.
25  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [ANN] bitaddress.org Safe JavaScript Bitcoin address/private key on: December 23, 2015, 05:16:42 PM
I published a branch with bip38 encryption on the wallet details tab.


Thank you very much!


Tip for you!
26  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Dynamically Controlled Bitcoin Block Size Max Cap on: August 21, 2015, 12:08:33 AM
I had this same idea today, I created a new thread proposing it, and then I found that you had created one thread and developed the idea some days ago.

I give my 100% support to it, because max block size should be dynamically calculated (based on the 2016 previous block sizes) as Difficulty is dynamically recalculated every 2016 blocks.

Go on with it!!!
27  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Max Block size recalculated every 2000 blocks (just like Difficulty does) on: August 20, 2015, 11:54:43 PM
This topic is being discussed in this other thread:

Dynamically Controlled Bitcoin Block Size Max Cap
28  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Max Block size recalculated every 2000 blocks (just like Difficulty does) on: August 20, 2015, 11:03:33 PM
The max block size could be recalculated every 2000 blocks (or whatever), as de reward difficulty autorregulates itself.

The maximum block size would be somewhere between 1 MB and infinite.

Simply calculating the median size of the last 2000 blocks and multiplying it by 2x (or by 10x, or whatever), that's the maximum block size for the next 2000 blocks.

So every 2000 blocks, the max block size is recalculated.

Bigger blocks could be allowed, but with a penalty (Rosenfeld's brilliant solution: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1078521.100)

That could be easily implemented in Core.

Opinions?
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: How much do you think 1 Bitcoin will be worth in 2020? on: July 24, 2015, 11:21:18 AM
If gold marketcap is about 6 trillion

and

if bitcoin surpasses gold as a store of value

and

that happens by 2020,

then

just do the math: 6.000.000.000.000 / 17.500.000 = 343 k...
So the price by 2020 would be or 0 or 100k+

30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin goes to 1200-1300 within a month. on: July 15, 2015, 10:55:03 PM
Hello. Good news.

New target: 800-1300 (...)


Any argument? I mean: AT, fundamentals, EW, rumour, crystal ball..

Thanks
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: July 01, 2015, 11:33:43 AM
Hi, Lord Oliver

1.- The resulting parameters would be almost identical. Dollar and gold relationship is very stable compared to bitcoin...

2.- The logarithmic function is quite nice for a medium term horizon (1 or 2 years from now) and it's much better than the linear one.
But it's not as accurate in the long term. As I have stated in former posts, I would prefer an asymptotic function for the long term.

Regards.
32  Economy / Speculation / Evolution of the logarithmic regression curve on: May 28, 2015, 09:01:29 PM
Here is a chart showing the evolution of the logarithmic regression curve:


Donations: bitcoin:1vrqMEKzTWWGcuRiTG3WGSnpztTvs1KLh



33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: May 28, 2015, 06:28:53 PM
Hello everybody.

Here is the update (two and a half months since the last one):


Donations: bitcoin:1GVyRMXFaSEbXUCMwZKk3CfXgo8wCmympC

Today's price of 235 USD/BTC is 81% undervalued from the estimated value of 1234 USD/BTC

You can calculate today's trendline value HERE.

Projected (dd-mm-yyyy):
     1.000  22-03-2015  (former update projected 17-01-2015)
    10.000  25-07-2017  (former update projected 10-04-2017)
   100.000  17-10-2020  (former update projected 30-04-2020)
1.000.000  30-03-2025  (former update projected 08-07-2024)

Thank you all for your donations.
34  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: May 28, 2015, 04:57:08 PM
Trolololo thanks for the charts. Are you interested in releasing the spread sheet so that we can easily update the spread per your formula?

I'm working on a public Google spreadsheet that:
- auto-updates daily prices, and
- auto-executes the "solver" command to find the best parameters.

But it will take some time...
35  Local / Trading y especulación / Re: Boletín de Análisis Entráñico / Chamánico on: May 27, 2015, 04:50:46 AM
Análisis fractal sugiere que estamos cerca de la parte inferior de un nuevo macro-movimiento que nos llevará por encima de $ 40.000 por bitcoin (análisis de Livermore, enlace en los comentarios)


http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/35ozkj/fractal_analysis_suggests_we_are_near_the_bottom/


El post original es de Livermore y no habla para nada de los 40.000

Sí dice que el escenario más probable es el B, especialmente si bajamos de 210.

Si subimos de 330, el escenario A pasaría a ser el más probable.
36  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: La cantidad de nodos de Bitcoin está disminuyendo, considera contribuir a la red on: April 28, 2015, 12:03:43 AM
Con la posibilidad del pruning, que disminuye a poco menos de 2GB el espacio necesario para la cadena de bloques resultante...

¿Veis posible montar un nodo con un Voyo Smart mini PC (RAM 2GB, ROM 32 GB 64 GB, CPU Intel BayTrail, Windows 8.1, fanless, consumo ridículo) que cuesta poco mas de 100 euros?


Edito: La ROM no es de 32 GB sino de 64 GB
37  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: April 24, 2015, 11:32:50 AM
Please, Sirs, let's keep this thread clean.

There are other threads to talk about Risto or/and Monero or/and any altcoin vs bitcoin.

Thank you.
38  Economy / Speculation / Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value on: April 23, 2015, 04:10:10 PM
Since some days ago we are in record undervaluation: -81%
39  Local / Trading y especulación / Re: Boletín de Análisis Técnico on: April 23, 2015, 09:04:12 AM
Buen post, dserrano.


Recordar a la afición que hace ahora justo 4 años que la cotización de bitcoin sobrepasaba el 1 USD/BTC.
Eso supone que la revalorización media anual es cercana al 300% durante estos últimos 4 años.

Una corrección de un año y medio (hasta la fecha) es perfectamente lógica.
Unos meses más de corrección son posibles.

Que el precio baje de 100 es perfectamente posible también.

El nivel que supondría riesgo para la viabilidad de bitcoin es 32 (máximo de la burbuja de 2011).

Así que mi opinión es que el mínimo de esta corrección estará en algún lugar entre 32 y 150.
Dentro de ese rango, siento predilección por el 111'11 USD...



La corrección actual es la corrección de toda la Historia de Bitcoin, no sólo del rush de 2013, según esta gráfica histórica:

40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: April 22, 2015, 09:03:40 PM
See, you guys read it all wrong. That chart isn't targeting $.05 for this correction (though I know it looks like that with the box and the note), it means we are correcting the entire history of Bitcoin. Not just the 2013 euphoria phase.

Get it now, wasn't clear to me at first glance.

Besides "we won't retrace 100% of wave 1", is there any other price level prediction that can be derived from that parse?


Higher than 32 USD/BTC (wave 1)
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