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121  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 22, 2024, 04:41:00 PM
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There still 4 matchdays left and it should be possible for them maybe to get the 4th place back.
But for sure there main focus will be the upcoming Champions League game against Paris.
If they win the next game against Leipzig in Leipzig they have the 4th spot back , it will be hard but if they keep playing as they have don lately they have good chances.

I will be a big blow for Dortmund if they failed to finish in Champions League zone. It will hit hard their mentality, because this could be a continuity of their last season failure. Dortmund would have had a difficult situation to recover from. The fact that they still have focus on the Champions League semi-final makes things more complicated for them to go on.

It's impossible for them to focus only on one competition to save their fate for next season. Having a slight chance to Champions League and another chance to finish top four is a dilemma that doesn't have a right solution to solve, because they are not favorite in both situation. If they failed in one of those, things can get worse for the future.
122  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 22, 2024, 04:29:12 PM

With this win against Barcelona, I think Real Madrid has made sure that they are going to win the La Liga title this season. Barcelona was probably the only obstacle in their way. You know they have Champions League matches and they also have to concentrate on the Champions League a lot more. But before the Barcelona match, they had to think about the La Liga games. Now that they have been able to get three points from this one, it is going to make their way easy. Barcelona is not going to be able to defend the La Liga title successfully. If anything Barcelona actually has a chance to go down on the table. Barcelona still has a match against Girona by the way. A team which is only two points behind them.
It's safe to say that title race is over with Madrid having 11-points lead makes Barcelona have almost no chance to chase. I feel disappointed with Girona failed to stay in the title race longer, because it could make the league looks more exciting than usual. The el clasico game was a deciding game whether or not Barcelona would have chance to keep up with Madrid, because Madrid will have another focus in the Champions League that can potentially give a slight advantage for Barcelona.

Barcelona have themself to blame for, because of the slow start of the season. Injuries might have a big impact on their form that made them dropped many points in the frist half of the season. It's a shame that Xavi will leave  Barcelona this summer, because he has built Barca to stay competitive with the financial situation.
123  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 22, 2024, 04:17:18 PM

Rather than Brest of course now Monaco is closer to playing in the Champions League next season as you said, while Brest at this time of course they have been on edge after Lille also put pressure on Brest again with a difference of 1 point at this time, indeed Brest still has a chance to qualify for the Champions League next season even though they will drop to rank 4 later,  But being in 4th place of course they have to do a playoff match to get a ticket to the Champions League so I think it will be quite difficult.
I think Brest still have a fair chance here because Monaco and Lille will face each other that certainly will give advantage to Brest. If Monaco win against Lille, Brest will stay third, but if Lille win, Brest will be fourth with two points gap. This situation will still give hope for all three teams. It depends on who have the strongest consistency till the end of the season.

It's still quite difficult to predict who will stay in Champions League zone, because anything can still happen. Looking at the remaining opponents for the three teams, I think Brest have the bigger hope, because they will play against teams that dont have any thing to fight for any more, While Monaco and Lille will play against teams those are fighting for staying in Ligue 1.
124  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 22, 2024, 04:02:04 PM
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This season’s title chase is quite interesting and more complex than last season’s title race where it was only Arsenal and Manchester City; this season, Liverpool joined the race to make it interesting and as we can see now it has become complex and difficult to predict.

As it stands now, Arsenal lead the Premier League table with hip difference because Manchester City have an outstanding match; if Manchester lose any match, they might not win the league because I don’t think Arsenal will lose any match among their remaining matches even though they will ply Chelsea and Tottenham.
This title race is really intriguing to witness. Liverpool being back to strong performance adds a whole new dimension of the competition. Every match has significant implications for all three teams. The points gap and remaining fixtures make it difficult to make a clear prediction of who will win the league. Any mistake will cost their title hope and give their rival the advantage in the standings.

This race has impact on all the involving teams being eliminated from European competitions. This might have refocused the teams on the Premier League title. This adds another pressure and motivation to their performances. While Arsenal are currently on top, avoid stating they won't lose any remaining matches, and City being third with a game in hand makes the race situation complicated. The teams' renewed focus on the Premier League after European exits adds another intrigue.
125  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 21, 2024, 11:59:33 PM
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Bayern Munich are not even a competitive opponents for Real Madrid this season, incredible performance will push Real Madrid to the final. Carlo Ancelotti is one of the most experienced coach and he's settled for good scores in the game. I know more oppositions that are praying not to face Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League because Real Madrid are fierce and always two steps ahead. Real Madrid have the higher odds of thrashing Bayern Munich this season. It's been one of the outstanding performance for Carlo Ancelotti this season. Dominating every matches and keeping good sights on the major titles this season.
The form of Bayern this season is so unconvincing. The lost to Napoli is one big sign of them not being a strong contender for Champions League title. Their league performance shows that they can have a very good game, and then they had a big drop performance. The pattern is not sustainable for them to compete in Champions League against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid have played 12 semi-finals in the last 14 seasons. This statistics implies that Real Madrid is too strong for Bayern to face with their occasional form this season. If Bayern is not in a good form when they play against Real Madrid, they can concede a big margin of goals, and if Bayern is at their form, then they will able to give a fair fight to Madrid.
126  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Understanding the Impact of Social Media in Gambling. on: April 21, 2024, 11:43:47 PM
The casinos do their own research before hiring an influencer to promote their casino. Influencers who often get these jobs have a specific audience (users above 18+) that the casino considers prospective customers. Their content are not for kids so they do not worry about underage gambling happening because of their platform. Trust me, no casino wants kids betting on their platform. Think about it, how much are kids going to spend gambling? The amount is nowhere close to what an adult would gamble with. Parents have a big role to play in deciding what and who their kids watch and follow on social media.
Influencer marketing for casinos may not target children, but it still has unintended consequences. Their priority will always profits rather than ethics or users' well-being. Their content might not be explicitly aimed at children, but the exposure to glamorous portrayals of gambling normalizes it and makes it seem exciting or cool. This can plant the seed for gambling addiction later in life.

Underage internet users can often find ways to bypass parental controls. Even age-restricted content can be accessed, and gambling can seem like a fun or rebellious activity. Casinos aren't necessarily targeting a specific age group with influencer marketing. They're targeting people with specific spending habits and behaviors. Teens who watch gambling content may be more likely to gamble when they reach adulthood. Even if the influencer doesn't directly promote gambling to a young audience, their association with a casino can be seen as cool. This indirect marketing can make gambling seem more appealing.
127  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 21, 2024, 11:33:28 PM

Perhaps, at first Xabi Alonso only thought about improving the performance and quality of Bayer Leverkusen, but in reality Xabi Alonso succeeded in making Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga title, and also succeeded in making Bayer Leverkusen undefeated. With this achievement, in reality Bayer Leverkusen still has a big chance of winning two other trophies this season in the DFB Pokal and in the Europa League. So yes, with an extraordinary opportunity like this, of course Xabi Alonso will continue to maximize it until he achieves greater success this season. In essence, because Bayer Leverkusen is still consistent without defeat until now, then of course Bayer Leverkusen really has a very high chance of getting the treble winner, and they really deserve it.
This implies Xabi Alonso has ambition on his managerial career, not just a job for a living. He is succeeding in his first tenure to improve Leverkusen to a level that possibly he himself didn't imagine. Now he and his players have extra ambition to win the league without a loss to make a remarkable record on their names.

This ambition needs a strong mentality to fulfill, because it invites all eyes on them to beat. If he can fulfill this ambition, he will put his name alongside some great manager in this era. Being Champion in a league without a loss had done by only three teams in Europe. They are AC Milan managed by Arigo Sacchi, Ajax Amsterdam managed by Louis van Gaal and Arsenal managed by Arsene Wenger.
128  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: April 21, 2024, 11:17:30 PM

But even if they managed to beat Liverpool I never believe that West Ham United will stoop so low that Crystal palace that are currently on the 14 position will score them this much, well congratulations to Crystal palace but they need to step up their performance the more because their upcoming match  against Newcastle United will not be easy on them and Newcastle United is nothing like West Ham United in terms of performance so is going to be a tough match for Crystal palace.
Crystal Palace seem so different this second half of the season. They perform really good with their tactics of tight press and transitional attack. Their tactics of man-to-man marking really made Liverpool players struggling to express themself in building attacks. Won at Anfield is a big achievement for a non-big teams.

I dont feel surprise at all to see Crystal Palace were able to beat West Ham. Even though West Ham is currently not in a good phase, the win is pure of great display by Crystal Palace. They dominated the game with great tactical scheme of attacks and applying tight pressing when they lost the ball. I can tell this win is not a luck, but it's the team's brilliance to score four goals in an away game.
129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Double your money and quite on: April 21, 2024, 11:03:51 PM

Strategically the house is winning over such gamblers to stay in the casino. With further delays the player can convince himself to deposit more money. These changes happen in nano seconds and affects the player's finance, for a long time. Pains of losing money will revolve round the player, reminding him of gambling, then push him to play again. Losers tend to gamble more than the winners. Who are the winners? those who are able to stop once their designated time is due. Nothing bothers such players more than controlling their wagering habit. So, those impulses that push around loser to gamble again, doesn't control a player with a sufficient self-control. He'd play when he wants to, not because he lost money and wants to regain it.
Casino is designed to exploit the weaknesses of some gamblers and apply tricks to keep them playing longer. They use certain decorations to create a disorienting atmosphere, because those can disrupt players' sense of time. Casinos show past wins or near misses to exploit the sunk cost fallacy, because those make players feel like they're "close" to recouping losses to make them to deposit more.

Casinos have a mathematical advantage built into every game. this is why chasing losses is a losing strategy. Setting limits (time and money) and sticking to them, even when losing, is the key to responsible gambling. Understanding how casinos operate and practicing self-control can make gamblers avoid getting caught in the trap of impulsive decisions. True winners are those who walk away when they planned to, not those who gamble desperately to win back losses.
130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 21, 2024, 10:48:47 PM

It is wrong to say that a player who plays in the previous or current club they do it without pressure because in the end it is the same thing where the pressure continues to always be there, it's just that they are able or not to overcome the pressure and at Chelsea the pressure is greater and unfortunately they are unable to conquer it because of several internal reasons not only from their lack of adaptation but there are still many things that must be improved from Chelsea and currently what I see for Chelsea is only the purchase of Palmer is the best for now the rest is just a standard situation.

Pressure is something expected for football players. The bigger club they play for, the bigger ambition they set, the bigger pressures are expected. However, it shouldn't be something excusable to drop in performances. Good players are them who are able to overcome all the pressure on them at every level of stage.

I think the reason for Chelsea players not able to overcome the pressure is because they are a collective young players in a squad who are new to the club. High wages and high expectations have make them hard to develop, because this pressure and expectations have been making them not allowed to make mistake. This situation makes them difficult to develop, because developing means they are allowed to make mistakes which are lessons for them to learn from.
131  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 21, 2024, 10:33:08 PM
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Sassuolo has not been particularly lucky this year, between injuries and controversial episodes they are about to prepare for their return to Serie B. Yet this team has potential! They were the only one to beat Inter this season and now they can no longer get points against direct competitors for salvation, yet there are still five matches to go before the end of the championship and they can still achieve salvation and not relegate to the minor league
Sassuolo have potential to be a good team if the club know how to maintain the club properly. They often become a team that is able to a give a tough fight to big teams in the league. Injuries could be a big reason for them to fail maintaining performance this season. The club that keep selling their best players is another reason for them having to fight relegation after having a good season before.

The dependence on certain players is also a reason for Sassuolo can't maintain their performance throughout the season, because injuries can change their fate for their games. This situation is never good for a club to develop their team quality to achieve something in a competition. It's hard to predict whether or not they stay in Serie A or go down to Serie B and then come back again for two seasons. Cheesy
132  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 21, 2024, 10:17:51 PM
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We wanted to see that because until now Xabi's record has not been broken by anyone and this big match like Dortmund was a hope especially when seeing Dortmund take the lead in the last 10 minutes of the match then there was a great hope that Xabi unbeaten record was stopped but in the end it still could not happen.

Stanisic didn't want it to end and 90+7 may have been a little late but it was enough to keep it going as it should.
With this result it doesn't change anything for Leverkusen but for Dortmund it's a bit of a shame because they still have to keep competing until the end for a spot in the top 4 and now that they only have 1 point it makes things a bit tougher for Dortmund.

Leverkusen really have a strong mentality to fight for their ambition to end the season with unbeaten record. I thought Dortmund would end the record when they were leading till the ending of additional time. Dortmund don't seem to have mentality they have been showing in the Champions League games. In their last Champions League game, they were even able to win the match and qualify for semi-final after losing on aggregate to Atletico Madrid.

It feels like Dortmund is just good at attacking, they don't know how to defend the lead properly. Leverkusen know how to capitalize the late minutes situation to score the equalizer. Xavi Alonso and his players deserve the credit for their fighting spirit to achieve what will happen to be a big history in Bundesliga and football.
133  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 21, 2024, 10:02:07 PM

The match has ended, and Real Madrid was able to win the game at the end game, which makes the score 3-2. The match was really very interesting and very tough. Barcelona really displayed, in fact, I didn't expect that Barcelona would play so well like this in today's match due to their recent form, but honestly, they did a great job. However, luck was not on their side. The match could have ended in a draw, but in the last minute, Real Madrid was opportune to score, and that's what made the game end 3-2. At this moment, I think it is time for Barcelona to give up on the La Liga trophy.The point difference is now eleven points, which I think is really much for Barcelona to overtake Real Madrid because Real Madrid needs to lose four matches out of the six remaining to play. But I know it is not possible for them to lose four good games. So, Real Madrid will surely be the winner of this season's La Liga trophy.
The title hope is over for Barcelona. This game is actually Barca's only chance to make the title hope is possible to fight for with 5 points gap if they win the game. But this result makes Barcelona's chance to chase Madrid seems impossible, even though mathematically it's not over yet. Six games to go with eleven points gap is confirming that Madrid has secure the La Liga title in their one hand. They just need to make it official by winning two or three more matches.

This is not the first time for Barca under Xavi to concede a late goal. This implies Barca's defense is not discipline enough save the situation, the penalty is also another proof for it. I don't know how Barca can be so vulnerable at defense remembering they almost broke the record of the least conceded goals a season last season.  
134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 21, 2024, 09:44:25 PM

As for Monaco, they played quite well, especially their defense players, although at the end of the match two Monaco players were given red cards. but at least, currently Monaco has succeeded in shifting Brest's position which is in 2nd place in Ligue 1. Apart from that, Monaco has the advantage of one postponed match. I have strong confidence that Manaco will maintain the level they currently occupy, the only tough opponent for Monaco is Lille. Even then, Monaco played as the home team. So, the current standings position has changed and Brest must be willing to be occupied by Adolf Hutter's squad.
Monaco really put a strong performance in the game. Beating Brest away from home is a great result considering Breast is a very good team this season sitting above Monaco on the table. This result shakes up the table and puts Brest under pressure. The standings are certainly much tighter now, and Brest will have their work cut out for them to stay ahead of Monaco. With a game in hand, Monaco has a real chance to solidify their position.

Lille that is also a good team will be a tough test. They also have ambition to finish in Champions League zone. Monaco need to capitalize their home advantage on Lille to make secure their position in Champions zone. Except PSG, No team is safe in Champions League zone right now. This sounds like a title race when three teams mainly have to fight for a position in Champions League zone. It seems more exciting to see than the title race which is considered granted to the hand of PSG.
135  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 21, 2024, 09:27:48 PM
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Manchester City played their FA cup match yesterday, so they didn’t fix any premier league match for Manchester City this weekend. Arsenal and Liverpool being ahead of Manchester City currently doesn’t matter, Manchester city is having outstanding match to be played, and if they can win, then they will be bouncing back to first position, all what Manchester City should do now is that they should try and win all the matches they are having left to be played, if they can do that, then the premier league is for them this season again.
With a game in hand and an FA cup final game, Manchester City will still have tighter fixture than their two competitors. This is a slight disadvantage for Manchester City in their effort to defend their Premier League title. It's no wonder Guardiola spoke to media about their game that was unfair scheduled after the had a game in Champions League before.

However, I doubt that they will have effect from this situation considering they have the best quality squad depth to face this fixture. Also they don't have big injuries issue currently. Guardiola can apply rotational first eleven to make sure all his players stay fit for all the remaining matches. Winning streak till the end of the season is not impossible for them with this the squad they have. All things considered, They are still the most favorite team to win the Premier League this season.
136  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 19, 2024, 11:59:49 PM
Quality and performance clearly favoring Bayer Leverkusen, but we still have problems with UEFA has never been going with favorite teams because we have history of falling them behind like we have Liverpool and Manchester City so here as we have Roma and Atlanta which beats better teams and now their confidence level is also high things can take change.
In last season we have tough match between Roma and Leverkusen and then Sevilla won the title as they beat Juventus, and now we are having again Roma vs Leverkusen but Atlanta vs Marseille which mean any upset can happen, and any team can win from here.
Since the elimination of Liverpool, it has been common sense to favor Leverkusen winning the Europa League trophy this season. but indeed, Europa League seem to often have a winner opposing favoritism. This is why this competition feels unique. It's rare to see a big club won this trophy.

Uniquely, among four teams in Europa League semi-final this season, only Marseille have on Champions League. This makes the competition really feels like a second division under Champions League. But I hop the game will be an attractive games to watch.
137  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: April 19, 2024, 11:43:58 PM

However, I still believe that Liverpool can become champions this season. I prefer Liverpool playing style to Arsenal and all because I idolize Salah. However, Manchester City is still in control as a team that has the opportunity to win the title again this season. Manchester City has a squad complete with star players and they always appear fierce in the remaining matches at the end of the season.
Liverpool is declining performance in the last few games. Lost to Crystal Palace and Atalanta at home is the low of the lowest Liverpool have shown. I think it started from the draw result against Manchester United. Their display isn't effective anymore, and they found it hard to build attacks under the press of the opponents. If the way they play doesn't change immediately, I wont surprise if they would be fighting to finish top four.

Manchester city have been so stable, their consistency is convincing with the rotating players doesnt affect their gameplay and effectiveness. They have every condition to be the most favorite to win the league. On the other hand, Arsenal is having setback with the lost to Aston Villa at home. Arsenal's fixtures are also toughest among the three contenders, because the have to play against 3 historical rivals. All objective situations show that Manchester City have a big chance to be the champion of English Premier League this season.
138  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 19, 2024, 11:28:16 PM
Bayern Munich player Jamal Musiala is becoming Manchester City's target for next season, to counter this Bayern are proposing a new contract and a new higher offer for the player.
Jamal Musiala is a world class player that deserve a team like Real Madrid and Manchester City because he looks promising and he is young. I will not be surprised if Pep show his interest in him because he is a player everyone will want because of how good he is a player. If Bayern is able to sign a new coach, he might be able to keep the player, but if they couldn’t sign a world class coach, he might be sold out and he will possibly lose to to any big team that showed interest.

The situation in Bayern team seems to make the players wanting to fresh challenge. I won't surprise if few players will make a move to another club if Tuchel stay at Bayern next season. Musiala is the talented young player and the most valuable asset right now for Bayern. I don't Bayern will let him go easily, Musiala himself won't go anywhere easily without a big reason.

If we talk about club's prestige, it's only Madrid that can persuade Musiala right now, because Bayern is already a big club with big european heritage. Only Money can persuade him to choose Manchester City over Bayern. For Bayern to make sure Musiala stay, They need to convince him with a better project in the future. This may include a fresh coach who suits his ability and style of play.  
139  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 19, 2024, 11:15:13 PM

The match between Leverkusen and Roma is honestly difficult to predict, but Leverkusen reputation this season has never been touched by a single defeat, making everyone confident in betting on their victory. Leverkusen ambition to win the treble is getting closer to becoming a reality, and now they can focus fully on the Europa League.

We may say the Leverkusen vs Roma game as the real final after the elimination of Liverpool. The remarkable consistency of Leverkusen and the improvement of Roma under the new coach make it a tough game. Roma still have to fight for Champions League zone finish in Serie A. while Leverkusen would have won the league when they play the semi-final game. This situation will be a slight advantage for Leverkusen that makes them having every reason to be the favorite to win the trophy.

The high morale of Leverkusen and the split focus of Roma is one big reason to place bet on Leverkusen. Danielle de Rossi may be aware of this and would have prepared to any circumstance to try gaining the best result. Individually, Roma players have more experiences in european competitions with the likes of Lukaku and Dybala, De Rossi should maximize this aspect to get the best of his team in the semi-final game.
140  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 19, 2024, 10:55:58 PM

PSG had a good performance so far in the Champions League and while we were expecting to see them lose the game in the hard match they had against Barcelona, got they won the game and now PSG should play against Dortmund in the Champions League. However, the performance of PSG has not been bad so far in the French League and they are currently in the first place of the French League as we were expecting to see from them.
I think beating Dortmund can't be harder than Barcelona because considering the current situation of Dortmund they can't be a strong competitor for PSG I'm sure Enrique is trying to have a plan for this match.

It's harsh to say it was a good performance remembering they lost at home and won against 10-men. Not taking credit from their capability to capitalize their chance, but they should be better than that when they play against Dortmund. Now they need to secure the league title as soon as possible to make their journey in the Champions League easier and less pressure. Enrique needs to make sure that his team stay fit and in good rhythm with the intensity of Ligue 1.

It seems Dortmund is so different when they play in Champions League games, in contrast to when they play in Bundesliga where the feel uncomfortable to beat even weaker teams. Current Dortmund has improved so much compared to when PSG beat them the group stage. I think both teams have fifty-fifty chance to reach the final.

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