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Author Topic: Skill and luck, which play bigger role in sports betting?  (Read 1594 times)
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November 24, 2025, 05:28:09 PM
 #241

I believe skill is more important than luck when one intends to make gambling a serious financial investment of sort.
Only skills will make a gambler know the exact strategy to use to have an edge over the house because there is a way to bet and strategies to adopt that may bring more luck than others.

Luck in my own sense is just the God factor that makes a bet click, otherwise what would one call it if every bet results in a loss?
Skills is more important in the long term, you can't always get lucky everyday but if you focus on becoming skillful it's possible to develop  a strategy that you can apply to minimise losses...In the aspect of trying to make gambling a financial investment i don't really advice anyone to do this because at the end of the day it's still a gamble and it doesn't matter whether you are a skilled gambler or not
I also wouldn't recommend this to anyone, because sometimes reality can defy expectations, and we'll end up gambling our entire bankroll in an attempt to win back our losses. I often watch professionals, and they have a phenomenal sense of self-control, and when you add in the money, which is usually high, it's practically impossible to maintain control. Nevertheless, poker players have made a lot of money through skill, but perhaps poker's best days are over. However, there are other gambling games where you can try to make money through skill.

 
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November 24, 2025, 05:52:02 PM
 #242

In everything luck is the major factor. No matter how skilled you are if you unlucky then something would disrupt your strategy because we can't plan for all possibilities. Even if one can see the future and they unlucky they would still loss. Luck is very vital but not stable but skill helps limit the reliance on luck.

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November 24, 2025, 07:33:21 PM
 #243

Skills is more important in the long term, you can't always get lucky everyday but if you focus on becoming skillful it's possible to develop  a strategy that you can apply to minimise losses...In the aspect of trying to make gambling a financial investment i don't really advice anyone to do this because at the end of the day it's still a gamble and it doesn't matter whether you are a skilled gambler or not
I think there is a big difference between the skills and strategy, when you are saying skill that's mean you have some specific knowledge or you know some technique to win on gambling which is really not possible because at the end of the day gambling depends on the luck not on the skill and as well not on the strategy.
But when I talk about strategy, what I mean in the case of gambling is that before starting gambling, a person sets his gambling budget for that day in advance and if he loses that budget, he will take a break from gambling. And the amount of his budget must be within his ability to lose. From this perspective, the strategy is mainly taken to control losses so that they do not make us stressful, not for winning.

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November 24, 2025, 07:51:18 PM
 #244

In my opinion, skill and luck are equally important in sports betting, because without one of them missing, it would be impossible to achieve a win. A strong team can lose at any time, while an average team also has the potential to create an upset. However, by having skill, we can analyze the true chances each team has, whether to win or to cause an upset. Beyond that, everything is out of our control, meaning we can only hope that luck is on our side. Overall, I think if every bettor can analyze the probability of the match better, then skill will play a slightly bigger role than luck.

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November 24, 2025, 08:03:25 PM
 #245

There is skill or knowledge about the sports involved in sports betting but it doesn't increase the chance of winning your bet.

Which one plays bigger role play in winning is irrelevant since it just the luck at the day ends which decides what is going to be our fate.

Fantasy sports considered as game of skill too but it's mostly the luck and nothing else.

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November 24, 2025, 08:21:31 PM
 #246

In my opinion, skill and luck are equally important in sports betting, because without one of them missing, it would be impossible to achieve a win. A strong team can lose at any time, while an average team also has the potential to create an upset. However, by having skill, we can analyze the true chances each team has, whether to win or to cause an upset. Beyond that, everything is out of our control, meaning we can only hope that luck is on our side. Overall, I think if every bettor can analyze the probability of the match better, then skill will play a slightly bigger role than luck.
Just like now many strong mice or favorites lose:

Liverpool lost badly at home.
Man City from Newcastle who was rumored to win.
Real Madrid were held to a draw at the underdog.

That's a lot of surprises, right? So luck still plays a big role in any bet.
We who do the analysis can only try to win that way but at least there is an effort that has been made even though we lose, but win a lot thanks to the skills done right?

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November 30, 2025, 02:42:10 AM
 #247

Even with good analysis and knowledge, you'll still need a lot of luck to place a successful bet.
I wouldn't call it luck, but I would call it being more detail-oriented, because luck in sports betting is difficult to achieve; extraordinary events happen and throw everything off , and that factor changes everything You see it in football, and it's surprising, but to be 100% successful is really difficult.

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November 30, 2025, 03:23:54 AM
 #248

In my opinion, skill and luck are equally important in sports betting, because without one of them missing, it would be impossible to achieve a win. A strong team can lose at any time, while an average team also has the potential to create an upset. However, by having skill, we can analyze the true chances each team has, whether to win or to cause an upset. Beyond that, everything is out of our control, meaning we can only hope that luck is on our side. Overall, I think if every bettor can analyze the probability of the match better, then skill will play a slightly bigger role than luck.
Just like now many strong mice or favorites lose:

Liverpool lost badly at home.
Man City from Newcastle who was rumored to win.
Real Madrid were held to a draw at the underdog.

That's a lot of surprises, right? So luck still plays a big role in any bet.
We who do the analysis can only try to win that way but at least there is an effort that has been made even though we lose, but win a lot thanks to the skills done right?
Okay, your example. If you are predicting a match between Chelsea and Arsenal, then naturally Arsenal will be more likely to win but you cannot ignore Chelsea's chances either. Luck plays a huge role in winning or losing in every match. If we focus on tomorrow's match, Real Madrid will play against Girona, then Real Madrid is ahead in every analysis but if that match is drawn or if they lose then it will not be surprising. You may blame Real Madrid's defence or criticize it in many ways but overall luck is the key to winning.

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martinex
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November 30, 2025, 04:01:09 AM
 #249

In everything luck is the major factor. No matter how skilled you are if you unlucky then something would disrupt your strategy because we can't plan for all possibilities. Even if one can see the future and they unlucky they would still loss. Luck is very vital but not stable but skill helps limit the reliance on luck.

Luck doesn't just come by itself and indeed if you're unlucky then you're unlucky, but that can be minimized by honing your playing skills and studying the weak points where the dominant mistakes we often make are located.

A person may not always fall into the same hole when playing, at least he will learn a lot. How is it possible that someone will always come just to accept defeat continuously, it's not funny. So luck is real and luck will often come if they understand and train and like you say to skill helps limit the reliance on luck.

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