Newest Diff thread April 19th to May 1st-Closed for picks!!

[philipma1957]

Can I take -1.76 to -2.00%? If trend goes like yesterday maybe I have a chance.

And bitcoin price this week seems pretty stable. Lets wait and see next week...

you got it  I am marking you in  look at post above you.

[1714901676]

1714901676

[1714901676]

1714901676

[notlist3d]

Can I take -1.76 to -2.00%? If trend goes like yesterday maybe I have a chance.

And bitcoin price this week seems pretty stable. Lets wait and see next week...

Bitwisdom does seem to keep going back and forth it is down a little more as of this second:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,051,261,576 (-1.17%)
Adjust time:    After 1289 Blocks, About 8.9 days


I don't see us being so lucky to get 2 negatives in a row.  But I would be happily wrong if it happens.

[philipma1957]

Can I take -1.76 to -2.00%? If trend goes like yesterday maybe I have a chance.

And bitcoin price this week seems pretty stable. Lets wait and see next week...

Bitwisdom does seem to keep going back and forth it is down a little more as of this second:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,051,261,576 (-1.17%)
Adjust time:    After 1289 Blocks, About 8.9 days


I don't see us being so lucky to get 2 negatives in a row.  But I would be happily wrong if it happens.

I no longer know what to think about this adjustment. We had good solid plus marks.  on this link all upward and onward until the 23rd

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

145  Apr 19th  half old adjustment
155  Apr  20th
157  Apr   21st
149  Apr   22nd 
131  Apr   23rd 

so now if the number for the 24th is low  say 130 and we pop a few like that we will be negative.

I would have been certain to guess a + for this adjustment. 

we are  727 blocks gone about 273 blocks to shutoff of 1000 for picks.


 0.00 looks better then 5.76 to 6.00  and 0.00 has not been picked unless I am mistaken.

We are doing a .2 payoff since we had no winner last time.

To those that have not picked we do have quite a bit of negative numbers left and we are trending negative.

[Jamphone]

Economics is kicking in. Only what data centres do affects the difficulty. You've got a low price and a lot of large mines that are filled with gear from last summer. Gear is dying and not being replaced and some mines are shutting down completely because they can't pay the bills. Until the next technological leap (which is probably only 3 to 6 months away) or the price goes up, we won't see 50 billion difficulty.

[philipma1957]

Economics is kicking in. Only what data centres do affects the difficulty. You've got a low price and a lot of large mines that are filled with gear from last summer. Gear is dying and not being replaced and some mines are shutting down completely because they can't pay the bills. Until the next technological leap (which is probably only 3 to 6 months away) or the price goes up, we won't see 50 billion difficulty.

I have to agree to a large extent with that analysis. Many avalon 4.1 owners along with many spondoolies owners   May down clock for power per gh savings.

But all the bitmaintech gear gets the same watts per gh whether at    20% overclock or 20 % underclock.

That bitmaintech gear keeps the diff growth very stable.


Or put it this way if all current gear gear did .52 watts a gh under over or normal rate  growth would be super flat.

The flex we get can happen due to the spondoolies and avalon 4.1 clocks.

[judypug1956]

I went to http://btc.blockr.io/charts

and the 24th had 124 blocks.   A very very very low number of blocks.

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

145  Apr  19th  half old adjustment
155  Apr   20th
157  Apr   21st
149  Apr   22nd  
131  Apr   23rd  
124  Apr   24th


the last 2 days are -33

 that is 255 blocks vs 288

and for those 2 days is -11.45%

for the whole time period we are now -3 blocks   this translates to about -0.05% real number

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-0.96%)


we are at block 788  about  212 blocks to go to  1000.

If you have not picked yet consider the longshot of 0.00  or lower then -2

[notlist3d]

Sadly we see a little drop in BTC price.  It's hitting 229.   I was really hoping to keep 230+ but looks like that wont happen for right now.

BTCWisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,152,913,724 (-0.96%)
Adjust time:    After 1238 Blocks, About 8.6 days

[philipma1957]

Sadly we see a little drop in BTC price.  It's hitting 229.   I was really hoping to keep 230+ but looks like that wont happen for right now.

BTCWisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,152,913,724 (-0.96%)
Adjust time:    After 1238 Blocks, About 8.6 days

The last days number was only 124 truly a low number.  Not sure what it means as of now.

[judypug1956]

we are very close to 0.00 at the moment.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (-0.02%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,602,506,952 (-0.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1159 Blocks, About 7.9 days
Hashrate(?):   333,121,679 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   10:10 (7.2 minutes ago)

[EMIF]

we are very close to 0.00 at the moment.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (-0.02%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,602,506,952 (-0.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1159 Blocks, About 7.9 days
Hashrate(?):   333,121,679 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   10:10 (7.2 minutes ago)

Then I want to try my chance at 0. I believe nobody didnt get it yet. Could you please put my guess to "0"?

[notlist3d]

we are very close to 0.00 at the moment.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (-0.02%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,602,506,952 (-0.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1159 Blocks, About 7.9 days
Hashrate(?):   333,121,679 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   10:10 (7.2 minutes ago)

Price has dropped a few dollars aswell to around 227.  Guess at least it's not dropping fast.  But It's going the wrong way slowly in price.

[philipma1957]

we are very close to 0.00 at the moment.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (-0.02%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,602,506,952 (-0.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1159 Blocks, About 7.9 days
Hashrate(?):   333,121,679 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes
Updated:   10:10 (7.2 minutes ago)

Then I want to try my chance at 0. I believe nobody didnt get it yet. Could you please put my guess to "0"?

yes you only get 0 no over and no under.  

you get a bonus of .1  so it pays .1+.1   AND A ROLLOVER OF .1 TOTAL OF .3


 I do not see an early pick for it so it is yours

[philipma1957]

-2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress
-1.76 to -2.00% Lboss
-1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1
-1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000
-1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76 to  -1.00% Jamphone
-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron
-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift
-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

0.00   EMIF-------------------------------Just added today

+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee
+0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan
+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow
+0.76 to 1.00% coinits
+1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm
+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor
+1.51 to 1.75% Korbman
+1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean
+2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia
+2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d
+2.51 to 2.75% davejh
+2.76 to 3.00% tertius993
+3.01 to 3.25% Last of the V8s
+3.26 to 3.50% edonkey
+3.51 to 3.75% tlhIlwI
+3.76 to 4.00% ezeminer
+4.01 to 4.25% Mikestang
+4.26 to 4.50% EternalWingsofGod  
+4.51 to 4.75% alh
+4.76 to 5.00% Kexkey                  
+5.01 to 5.25% Quickseller
+5.26 to 5.50% Biodom
+5.51 to 5.75% reactive4ce



I believe this is up to date.

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts

145  Apr 19th  half old adjustment
155  Apr  20th
157  Apr   21st
149  Apr   22nd  
131  Apr   23rd   +17 blocks is real time number  
124  Apr   24th    -3   blocks is a real time number at the end of the 24th

we are at block 859  picks stop at block 1000  = 141 blocks to cutoff.

 so some time on Sunday the 26th  we will end contest.     I will post closer to this.  Since this is a fun promo suchmoon and I realize that forum down time could happen at block 990 and you get cut off.  So a little leeway will be allowed.

we are fully solid picked from -2.25% right to +5.75%    33 are entered.   



so lower then -2.25% or higher then +5.75%   still leaves  some decent spots.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom now shows us at a positive number:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,795,532,564 (+0.39%)
Adjust time:    After 1092 Blocks, About 7.4 days

Price dropping slightly to 226.

[suchmoon]

Thanks philipma1957 for keeping track.

It looks like a modest diff increase this time. A modest increase in exchange rate would be appreciated too

[mavericklm]

Thanks philipma1957 for keeping track.

It looks like a modest diff increase this time. A modest increase in exchange rate would be appreciated too

much increase: -3.44%

i think we are going to see much bigger swings in the hashrate!
the smaller the technology process, the more concentrated the power in one miner, one farm, one switch...
then the swings will get much bigger!

add to the reasons: alts on sha256, few farm fires

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom now shows us at a positive number:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,795,532,564 (+0.39%)
Adjust time:    After 1092 Blocks, About 7.4 days

Price dropping slightly to 226.

And ouch drop to around 218 in a matter of hour's.   Not what we want to see on price.

Will be interesting if it effects hashrate at all.  I'm doubting it has much effect but I could be wrong.

[Amph]

Bitwisdom now shows us at a positive number:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,795,532,564 (+0.39%)
Adjust time:    After 1092 Blocks, About 7.4 days

Price dropping slightly to 226.

i think it will go to negative this time, there is a recent drop a bit higher now, we are at 221, the diff should catch up

[philipma1957]

WE ARE AT BLOCK 990

WE MADE A LOT OF BLOCKS SINCE YESTERDAY AND DAILY BLOCK COUNT HAS BEEN JUMPING  A LOT.

IT IS 7:45 AM EASTERN STANDARD TIME.

I THINK TO BE FAIR AND MORE CLEAR.  I WILL MORE DEADLINE TO 11:59 AM

EASTERN STANDARD TIME.  JUST ABOUT 4 HOURS FROM THIS POST TIME.
 
-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings
-2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress
-1.76 to -2.00% Lboss
-1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1
-1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000
-1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76 to  -1.00% Jamphone
-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron
-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift
-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

0.00   EMIF-------------------------------Just added today

+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee
+0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan
+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow
+0.76 to 1.00% coinits
+1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm
+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor
+1.51 to 1.75% Korbman
+1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean
+2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia
+2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d
+2.51 to 2.75% davejh
+2.76 to 3.00% tertius993
+3.01 to 3.25% Last of the V8s
+3.26 to 3.50% edonkey
+3.51 to 3.75% tlhIlwI
+3.76 to 4.00% ezeminer
+4.01 to 4.25% Mikestang
+4.26 to 4.50% EternalWingsofGod  
+4.51 to 4.75% alh
+4.76 to 5.00% Kexkey                  
+5.01 to 5.25% Quickseller
+5.26 to 5.50% Biodom
+5.51 to 5.75% reactive4ce



I believe this is up to date.

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts

145  Apr 19th  half old adjustment
155  Apr  20th
157  Apr   21st
149  Apr   22nd  
131  Apr   23rd   +17 blocks is real time number  
124  Apr   24th    -3   blocks is a real time number at the end of the 24th
159  Apr   25th   +22 blocks


we are at block 990  picks stop at block 1000  = 10 blocks to cutoff. I EXTENDED IT!  GOING WITH 11:59 AM EASTERN STANDARD TIME 4 HOURS FROM NOW

 so some time on Sunday the 26th  we will end contest.       Since this is a fun promo suchmoon and I realize that forum down time could happen at block 990 and you get cut off.  So a little leeway will be allowed.

we are fully solid picked from -2.25% right to +5.75%    33 are entered.  



so lower then -2.25% or higher then +5.75%   still leaves  some decent spots.