Bittings
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April 26, 2015, 01:54:30 PM |
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I think deadline hasnt came yet. So, I want to get -2.26 to -2.50%. I know its very low possibility but still more optimistic than 5.76-6.00 ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 02:00:27 PM |
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I think deadline hasnt came yet. So, I want to get -2.26 to -2.50%. I know its very low possibility but still more optimistic than 5.76-6.00 ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) 2 more hours on deadline I will put you in. you are in good luck!.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 03:01:37 PM |
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I think deadline hasnt came yet. So, I want to get -2.26 to -2.50%. I know its very low possibility but still more optimistic than 5.76-6.00 ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) 2 more hours on deadline I will put you in. you are in good luck!. About 1 hour to go for picks!
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notlist3d
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April 26, 2015, 04:27:36 PM |
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Morning update it appears bitwisdom shows hash slowly moving up:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,862,419,697 (+0.53%) Adjust time: After 1002 Blocks, About 6.8 days
Price diving even farther down at 214. So not what we wanted to see with price.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 04:58:18 PM |
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Okay I am going to close this for picks we are a bit past the 1000 block mark and also past 11:59am eastern standard time. Below are final picks: Suchmoon has final say on the contest since he funds it. we have a 0.1+ 0.1 = 0.2 prize due to roll over
with 0.00 at bonus of +0.1 since it is just 1 number not the range like the others.
-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph
0.00 EMIF------------------------------- gets 0.10 rollover + 0.10 standard + 0.10 bonus = 0.30 as it is the hardest to pick
+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan +0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm +1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d +2.51 to 2.75% davejh +2.76 to 3.00% tertius993 +3.01 to 3.25% Last of the V8s +3.26 to 3.50% edonkey +3.51 to 3.75% tlhIlwI +3.76 to 4.00% ezeminer +4.01 to 4.25% Mikestang +4.26 to 4.50% EternalWingsofGod +4.51 to 4.75% alh +4.76 to 5.00% Kexkey +5.01 to 5.25% Quickseller +5.26 to 5.50% Biodom +5.51 to 5.75% reactive4ce
Note it is a solid block from [+5.51 to 5.75%] downward to [ -2.26 to -2.50%] good luck to all of us. but we could use coins going up not down. they are at 215 usd.
I just purchased 2 at coinbase.
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suchmoon
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April 26, 2015, 05:06:34 PM |
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Looks good to me, and yes, it's BTC0.2 this time. Okay I am going to close this for picks we are a bit past the 1000 block mark and also past 11:59am eastern standard time. Below are final picks: Suchmoon has final say on the contest since he funds it. we have a 0.1+ 0.1 = 0.2 prize due to roll over
-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph
0.00 EMIF-------------------------------Just added today
+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan +0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm +1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d +2.51 to 2.75% davejh +2.76 to 3.00% tertius993 +3.01 to 3.25% Last of the V8s +3.26 to 3.50% edonkey +3.51 to 3.75% tlhIlwI +3.76 to 4.00% ezeminer +4.01 to 4.25% Mikestang +4.26 to 4.50% EternalWingsofGod +4.51 to 4.75% alh +4.76 to 5.00% Kexkey +5.01 to 5.25% Quickseller +5.26 to 5.50% Biodom +5.51 to 5.75% reactive4ce
Note it is a solid block from [+5.51 to 5.75%] downward to [ -2.26 to -2.50%]
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 05:09:40 PM |
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Thanks to suchmoon for prize money. As pointed out we are dropping in price and maybe we drop in rate again. http://btc.blockr.io/chartsYesterday we popped 159 blocks that is a lot of blocks. most in a month. day before that 124 big swings
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 26, 2015, 05:36:03 PM |
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yeah the way the swings have been it could which would help interest next adjustment. price is pretty low.
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notlist3d
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April 26, 2015, 11:26:29 PM |
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We just keep going up slowly. Which is not a bad thing, it's looking like a small increase during this change. Possibly smaller then what the negative was on last one. So still could be considered very good if that happens.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,889,720,703 (+0.59%) Adjust time: After 956 Blocks, About 6.5 days
Price hoovering around 218. So we can hope it goes back up.
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notlist3d
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April 27, 2015, 12:01:31 PM |
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And morning it has actually went down slightly. It appear in my opinion we will get a small gain during this difficulty. Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,466,165,162 (-0.30%) Adjust time: After 891 Blocks, About 6.2 days
Price is down a little more at 217. So it's slipping down faster then I like seeing.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 27, 2015, 02:24:14 PM |
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I believe this is up to date. http://btc.blockr.io/charts145 Apr 19th half old adjustment 155 Apr 20th 157 Apr 21st 149 Apr 22nd 131 Apr 23rd +17 blocks is real time number 124 Apr 24th -3 blocks is a real time number at the end of the 24th 159 Apr 25th +22 blocks 151 Apr 26th +29 blocks so we made 1142 blocks and should be at 1113 so we are +2.60% at the moment. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty says (-0.19%) but they use some of the last adjustment to get that guess. We had some very low days the 23rd and 24th were very low and the 21st and 25th were very high. this pattern looks like variance more then a trend. but who knows.
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Lboss
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April 27, 2015, 08:09:13 PM |
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-snip-
We had some very low days the 23rd and 24th were very low and the 21st and 25th were very high. this pattern looks like variance more then a trend. but who knows.
Do you think as network hash increase does also variance increase? Or are they totally independent of each other? Im asking this because Im curious about that in the future whether we can see that kind of variance or not when network hash is 1000x of current one. Regards...
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suchmoon
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April 27, 2015, 08:19:07 PM |
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And morning it has actually went down slightly. It appear in my opinion we will get a small gain during this difficulty. Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,466,165,162 (-0.30%) Adjust time: After 891 Blocks, About 6.2 days
Price is down a little more at 217. So it's slipping down faster then I like seeing.
Which price were you quoting? From Bitcoinwisdom? It's now 223 there, 222 on Coinbase, and 221 on Bitstamp. Seems to be moving up it seems, so that probably makes a difficulty decrease less likely.
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Mikestang
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April 27, 2015, 08:22:49 PM |
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when network hash is 1000x of current one.
Do you mean network difficulty, or the total hash rate of the network? I don't expect we'll see either grow 1000 fold again, not without completely new mining technology or bitcoin value going through the roof; neither of which are sure things..
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Lboss
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April 27, 2015, 08:49:47 PM |
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when network hash is 1000x of current one.
Do you mean network difficulty, or the total hash rate of the network? I don't expect we'll see either grow 1000 fold again, not without completely new mining technology or bitcoin value going through the roof; neither of which are sure things.. I mean total hash rate but could be network difficulty since its just a(n approximate) conversion of it. Anyway, I said 1000x for visualisation purposes. I also didnt say in a near future. My purpose is to understand how the variance behaves when network hash rate grows enourmously than todays.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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April 27, 2015, 09:32:40 PM |
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when network hash is 1000x of current one.
Do you mean network difficulty, or the total hash rate of the network? I don't expect we'll see either grow 1000 fold again, not without completely new mining technology or bitcoin value going through the roof; neither of which are sure things.. I mean total hash rate but could be network difficulty since its just a(n approximate) conversion of it. Anyway, I said 1000x for visualisation purposes. I also didnt say in a near future. My purpose is to understand how the variance behaves when network hash rate grows enourmously than todays. when the network grows like mad variance is harder to see or determine. since upswings could be growth and or variance. when the network is flat variance is easier to see since up swings are most likely variance due to no real growth.
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suchmoon
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April 27, 2015, 10:17:55 PM |
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And morning it has actually went down slightly. It appear in my opinion we will get a small gain during this difficulty. Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,466,165,162 (-0.30%) Adjust time: After 891 Blocks, About 6.2 days
Price is down a little more at 217. So it's slipping down faster then I like seeing.
Which price were you quoting? From Bitcoinwisdom? It's now 223 there, 222 on Coinbase, and 221 on Bitstamp. Seems to be moving up it seems, so that probably makes a difficulty decrease less likely. Bitcoinwisdom: $238 Coinbase: $230 Bitstamp: $229 Still moving up.
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alh
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April 27, 2015, 10:31:12 PM |
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I would think by now that most of the effects of the last adjustment period are washed out of the bitcoinwisdom projection. Just looking at the graph, it really looks like hash rate has been more or less flat for a week or more. Yes it oscillates, but it really doesn't seem to be showing any significant growth like it did last year. It could easily be a "coin toss" in terms of plus or minus adjustment this time around. Unfortunately it also appears that the Westhash "gravy train" of overpriced rentals is really gone. ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif)
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notlist3d
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April 27, 2015, 10:34:26 PM |
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And morning it has actually went down slightly. It appear in my opinion we will get a small gain during this difficulty. Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,466,165,162 (-0.30%) Adjust time: After 891 Blocks, About 6.2 days
Price is down a little more at 217. So it's slipping down faster then I like seeing.
Which price were you quoting? From Bitcoinwisdom? It's now 223 there, 222 on Coinbase, and 221 on Bitstamp. Seems to be moving up it seems, so that probably makes a difficulty decrease less likely. Bitcoinwisdom: $238 Coinbase: $230 Bitstamp: $229 Still moving up. I don't know what is causing it but I'm sure happy to see it go up so quick. A lot nicer then the 218 or so last night. Bitwisdom shows a negative right now: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,261,252 (-0.54%) Adjust time: After 824 Blocks, About 5.7 days So slowing down on power possibly and price up so looking good.
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