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Author Topic: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL)  (Read 1199139 times)
dinda22
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August 23, 2015, 07:09:54 PM
Last edit: August 23, 2015, 07:24:42 PM by dinda22
 #261

oh my parlay broken again because southampton, I regret not choosing under goals Sad
West bromwich +1.5 win, City win. lost again 0.2  Cry
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August 23, 2015, 07:12:29 PM
 #262

Chelsea won after almost blowing the lead in the match, they also got a red card but won the match, and Manchester City continued it's strong start with a 2-0 win.

 
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August 23, 2015, 07:28:40 PM
 #263

Chelsea won after almost blowing the lead in the match, they also got a red card but won the match, and Manchester City continued it's strong start with a 2-0 win.

Lost again over 2.5 goals. I though they can score more than 2 goals even if they can scored chelsea more than 3 goals

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August 23, 2015, 08:07:44 PM
 #264

Like every time, i lost all my prediction and lose 24 of 25 parlay with odds to 3 from 4 to premier league, spanish liga  Undecided

Then you must be doing something wrong.Do you pick your games just randomly? If yes you should maybe switch over to analyze the teams you pick and use some statistics to look for probabilities.
Choosing a team as winner or looser just by it's name or place in the table is the worst mistake someone can do.

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August 23, 2015, 09:42:12 PM
 #265

Chelsea 1.54
Manchester City 1.73
Southampton 2.54

Very nice odds for today's matches.

Thank you very much for your advice, i followed your advice and won in 2 match (chelsea and manchester city) but in southampton i would have lost it but the policy of BET365 , that any match without goal the amount will be refunded made my loss repay me. so today overall profit. I will be eagerly waiting for your tomorrow match report.
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August 24, 2015, 08:02:12 AM
 #266

For big match tonight, Arsenal vs Liverpool, I prefer Arsenal to win, although Liverpool has got 6 points so far. Arsenal has good strategy in attacking than Liverpool. With the odds 1.7 for Arsenal, it seems high enough for me. And just for fun, I will bet on Mesut Özil as first goal scorer Cool Good luck!

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August 24, 2015, 08:06:18 AM
 #267

For big match tonight, Arsenal vs Liverpool, I prefer Arsenal to win, although Liverpool has got 6 points so far. Arsenal has good strategy in attacking than Liverpool. With the odds 1.7 for Arsenal, it seems high enough for me. And just for fun, I will bet on Mesut Özil as first goal scorer Cool Good luck!

Arsenal have a great team atm if they can get benzema then the league could be theirs and perhaps champions league is also possible.  I also think they will beat liverpool comfortably... .going for 2- 0.
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August 24, 2015, 08:07:24 AM
 #268

yesterday i have bet to all low odds and have lose all, today i bet to liverpool tom odds more of 5...

sure arsenal win for 6-0 later my bet  Grin
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August 24, 2015, 09:07:30 AM
 #269

Arsenal have a great team atm if they can get benzema then the league could be theirs and perhaps champions league is also possible.  I also think they will beat liverpool comfortably... .going for 2- 0.
Yeah but one new player couldnt make a whole team be better imo. People expected Arsenal would win EPL when got Özil and Alexis Sanchez, but seems its still hard for them even they get Benzema before this transfer windows be closed. But, 2-0 for Arsenal tonight sounds fair enough Cool

yesterday i have bet to all low odds and have lose all, today i bet to liverpool tom odds more of 5...

sure arsenal win for 6-0 later my bet  Grin
Lol good luck dude, seems you are confidence about that Cool But actually Liverpool has good defense so far Smiley

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August 24, 2015, 09:26:04 AM
 #270

yesterday i have bet to all low odds and have lose all, today i bet to liverpool tom odds more of 5...

sure arsenal win for 6-0 later my bet  Grin

This is a 3 week of premier league and the situation is most clear like other championship. Liverpool have very poor chance to win, but you can bet liverpool and later, if score a gol for first, later you can bet 1x  Grin

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WhatTheGox (OP)
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August 24, 2015, 09:26:59 AM
 #271

Arsenal have a great team atm if they can get benzema then the league could be theirs and perhaps champions league is also possible.  I also think they will beat liverpool comfortably... .going for 2- 0.
Yeah but one new player couldnt make a whole team be better imo. People expected Arsenal would win EPL when got Özil and Alexis Sanchez, but seems its still hard for them even they get Benzema before this transfer windows be closed. But, 2-0 for Arsenal tonight sounds fair enough Cool


I agree its because arsenal have players ozil and sanchez already that benzema added on top is just another player.  However he would be a key missing player, you only usually have 2 spots up front to fill and he would fill one.  He is a top 10 player in the world.
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August 24, 2015, 09:32:04 AM
 #272

yesterday i have bet to all low odds and have lose all, today i bet to liverpool tom odds more of 5...

sure arsenal win for 6-0 later my bet  Grin

You must believe in your picks dude. Like they say in Yu-Gi-Oh believe in the heart of the cards  Cool
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August 24, 2015, 10:28:52 AM
 #273

Arsenal have a great team atm if they can get benzema then the league could be theirs and perhaps champions league is also possible.  I also think they will beat liverpool comfortably... .going for 2- 0.
Yeah but one new player couldnt make a whole team be better imo. People expected Arsenal would win EPL when got Özil and Alexis Sanchez, but seems its still hard for them even they get Benzema before this transfer windows be closed. But, 2-0 for Arsenal tonight sounds fair enough Cool


I agree its because arsenal have players ozil and sanchez already that benzema added on top is just another player.  However he would be a key missing player, you only usually have 2 spots up front to fill and he would fill one.  He is a top 10 player in the world.

so today i will bet not bet on team as it is getting confusing to me. i will bet over 1.5 and on inplay it is better to bet after watching the game live,
can anyone tell me, how many corners will happen in half time / full time. because corner market is very good for alternative loss of goal game
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August 24, 2015, 10:29:04 AM
 #274

For big match tonight, Arsenal vs Liverpool, I prefer Arsenal to win, although Liverpool has got 6 points so far. Arsenal has good strategy in attacking than Liverpool. With the odds 1.7 for Arsenal, it seems high enough for me. And just for fun, I will bet on Mesut Özil as first goal scorer Cool Good luck!

Let's have a check on stats.

Performance:

Arsenal has won 5 of the last 6 games. The loss was against West Ham at home on first match day.

Liverpool also won 5 of the last 6 games. The other game was a draw in a friendly match.
Liverpool won the last 4 games in a row. In Premier League Liverpoool won the last 3 games away.


H2H:
(1)Of the last 10 games Arsenal won 4 against Liverpool. Liverpool won 2. The other 4 games had been a draw.
    The games have an goal average of 3,3.

(2)The last game Arsenal lost home against Liverpool was in August 2011. So 4 years ago.
    Arsenal won 2 of the last 5 games at home against liverpool.Liverpool won 1 game. Furthermore 2 draw.

(3)In 7 of the last 10 games both teams scored.

(4) 6 out of last 10 games first half goals had been under 1,5.

(5) 5 out of last 10 games had been over 2,5 goals.


Conclusion:
(1) Arsenal to win --> 40%   Odd at directbet.eu 1,7

(2)Arsenal to win at home --> 40%  Odd 1,7

(3) Both teams to score --> 70%  Odd 1,78

(4) under 1,5 goals in first half --> 60%  Odd 1,44

(5) over 2,5 goals --> 50%  Odd 1,84



So guys that are the options you have regarding that game.
If I would bet this game (today I will not) I think I would go for (3) both teams to score. Although (5) over 2,5 goals is also pretty lucrative and seeing the last 3 games between these teams with an average goal of 5, it is still very early in the season.
So my gut feeling would go for (3) both teams to score.If you are a bit more positive thinking than go for over 2,5 goals.
Good luck for everyone betting this game. Smiley
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August 24, 2015, 10:40:47 AM
 #275

-snip-

Remember it's first week of Premier League. Last year stats could go wrong and misinterpreted you.
This year teams are different. Sterling gone, Benteke, Firmino and Clyne came to Liverpool. Squad is new, anything can happen.
I take Arsenal for home court advantage and better squad.
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August 24, 2015, 10:44:19 AM
 #276

-snip-

Remember it's first week of Premier League. Last year stats could go wrong and misinterpreted you.
This year teams are different. Sterling gone, Benteke, Firmino and Clyne came to Liverpool. Squad is new, anything can happen.
I take Arsenal for home court advantage and better squad.

That's right. This is why I wrote it's still early in the season.
Howeve both teams to score could be a good achievable bet. Results like 1:1 or 2:1 should be realistic and possible.
But in the end it's all a bet of course and no one of us knows what it will be.
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August 24, 2015, 10:47:55 AM
 #277

-snip-

Remember it's first week of Premier League. Last year stats could go wrong and misinterpreted you.
This year teams are different. Sterling gone, Benteke, Firmino and Clyne came to Liverpool. Squad is new, anything can happen.
I take Arsenal for home court advantage and better squad.

That's right. This is why I wrote it's still early in the season.
Howeve both teams to score could be a good achievable bet. Results like 1:1 or 2:1 should be realistic and possible.
But in the end it's all a bet of course and no one of us knows what it will be.

Both team to score is a bad option. First two match of liverpool is mostly lucky goal, check the first coutinho goal and you see that it is a desperate shot at the last minute and check benteke goal and you can see that is a lucky goal as well. Arsenal to win is a good option for this match
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August 24, 2015, 10:48:42 AM
 #278

I think Arsenal game is H0, means Arsenal win by 1 goal. It may be draw, too. Don't put too much money on it.
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August 24, 2015, 10:52:02 AM
 #279

I think Arsenal game is H0, means Arsenal win by 1 goal. It may be draw, too. Don't put too much money on it.

It is better to use Draw no bt option for this, the odds is not very high but it is assure you that wont lose if it end with a draw. Liverpool first two match show that they are just lucky and not dominating the match and also if you watch it, it is a very boring match . Another bet that is better is to bet on draw first half. I think that it can result in a draw first half
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August 24, 2015, 10:55:28 AM
 #280

I'm a massive Liverpool fan & our record away to Arsenal is terrible. I'll admit, I am worried & if I'm honest I think we'll lose. I can see Arsenal winning with more than 2.5 goals being scored in the game.

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