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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 756537 times)
bounceback
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February 24, 2023, 07:16:42 AM
Last edit: February 24, 2023, 09:40:32 AM by bounceback
 #44861

It's not a problem that it's impossible to win or draw for a home team like Empoli, but with Napoli's current condition there is very little chance for Empoli to win or draw at home. Because Napoli are still very strong and often don't have any problems with their players at the moment, it has made it very difficult for the teams in Serie A this season to chase and fight Napoli in every match. So only the chances of winning and drawing are very small for the home team, not because it's impossible.
Napoli's match against Empoli is unlikely to end in a draw because, so far, Napoli has shown in every match that they can always win.
So when they meet Empoli in the upcoming match on February 26, it will be easy for Napoli to win. They are unlikely to give Empoli the chance to score.
At the moment the Napoli team's performance is on a positive trend after successfully beating Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League, so I believe that the Napoli players don't want to share the same points with the Empoli team at that meeting. Empoli is an easy opponent for Napoli because if you look at the last five matches in Serie A they have only won 1 win, in contrast to the Napoli team who have always won in their last five matches.
Even though Empoli are slightly superior because they are playing at home, they cannot stop the Napoli players who are very motivated to win the Scudetto title this season.

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February 24, 2023, 08:50:38 AM
 #44862

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.

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February 24, 2023, 09:13:12 AM
 #44863

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.
The dealer provides a bigger chance for Juventus to be able to win the match. Of course it will happen because Torino is an average team in my opinion. Juventus are also in good form, they have won 3 matches, while Torino are in the opposite situation. I don't expect that there will be many goals in this match, maybe Juventus will win and score 2 or 3 goals. But I hope they don't underestimate Torino, because it will hurt them if they underestimate their opponent.

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February 24, 2023, 09:40:56 AM
 #44864

i agree with what you say
they are very inconsistent but for different reasons
- Inter has always been like this, a team with inconsistent results, it hasn't changed
- Milan, has had a poor transfer campaign and has a lot of injured and unfit players


Yup, Inter's inconsistent appearance has been shown since the start of the season. Lucky for them, now they are on the 2nd.
The lack of transfers made by Milan was predictable, because Milan was still under financial control. And the new Milan owners also don't want to spend a lot of money to buy new players.



At the moment the Napoli team's performance is on a positive trend after successfully beating FC Porto in the Champions League,
It wasn't Napoli that beat Porto in the UCL, it was Inter Milan. Meanwhile, Napoli won against Frankfurt.

so I believe that the Napoli players don't want to share the same points with the Empoli team at that meeting. Empoli is an easy opponent for Napoli because if you look at the last five matches in Serie A they have only won 1 win, in contrast to the Napoli team who have always won in their last five matches.


Empoli is a team full of surprises this season. They managed to win the match against Inter, sharing points with Lazio. With this result, Napoli also needs to be wary of the movements of Empoli players. Even though it's not a big club, if Napoli underestimate them, it's possible Napoli can only play a draw. So, Napoli players must remain all out in this match.

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February 24, 2023, 10:17:22 AM
 #44865

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.
The dealer provides a bigger chance for Juventus to be able to win the match. Of course it will happen because Torino is an average team in my opinion. Juventus are also in good form, they have won 3 matches, while Torino are in the opposite situation. I don't expect that there will be many goals in this match, maybe Juventus will win and score 2 or 3 goals. But I hope they don't underestimate Torino, because it will hurt them if they underestimate their opponent.
Juventus are in their best form with 3 consecutive wins that they got, of course this team will try to continue to maintain this, moreover Juventus will be playing at their own cage.
while Torino is an inconsistent mid-table team added in the last 2 matches they have played badly, of course it is difficult for them to be able to steal points from Juventus who are in good form.
I have no doubts for Juventus' victory in this match, I'm sure of it and I will bet on Juventus' victory in this match.



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February 24, 2023, 10:36:35 AM
 #44866

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.
Recently Juventus have started doing well unlike how they performed woefully last two seasons.

Although Juventus is not currently in the top four and they are not also in the region of the Europa League. But in their past three matches, they have gotten straight wins in the league. This is assuming that their performance has started increasing and if they remain consistent it is possible to make top four before the season ends.

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February 24, 2023, 10:38:33 AM
 #44867

Napoli's match against Empoli is unlikely to end in a draw because, so far, Napoli has shown in every match that they can always win.
So when they meet Empoli in the upcoming match on February 26, it will be easy for Napoli to win. They are unlikely to give Empoli the chance to score.

Although almost all the games in Seria A are unpredictable but I can comfortably predict that Napoli will win the match against Empoli. Empoli have not won any game in four matches while Napoli is currently on fire. From all indications Napoli is showing no sign of slowing down until they win the league title. No club has the attacking power like the Napoli team in the entire European football environment. Empoli is not also a team to underated because the have gotten some good results against big teams. The drew against Lazio and won Inter Milan. A draw will be a good result for Empoli and it might not really affect the quest of Napoli to win the league because they have many points advantage over other clubs.

R


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February 24, 2023, 01:13:57 PM
 #44868

Saturday 25th February
Empoli 17:00 Napoli
Lecce 19:45 Sassuolo

Sunday 26th February
Bologna 11:30 Inter Milan
Salernitana 14:00 Monza
Udinese 17:00 Spezia
AC Milan 19:45 Atalanta

Monday 27th February
Verona 17:30 Fiorentina
Lazio 19:45 Sampdoria

Tuesday 28th February
Cremonese 17:30 Roma
Juventus 19:45 Torino

Source: https://www.skysports.com/serie-a-fixtures

Not a big turn we only have one big match, Milan Atalanta

Napoli, Inter, Lazio and Roma will face quite easy opponents and that makes it certain that the three of them will get 3 additional points. But indeed Milan vs Atalanta is the only big game this week. I think it will be a challenge for both teams to win the game. Milan currently has the opportunity to overtake Roma and Inter in the standings, but surely Atalanta won't let that happen because they also have a target to shift Milan and Roma in the standings. A very exciting match, let's see who will be the winner in this match later.

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February 24, 2023, 01:31:44 PM
 #44869

i agree with what you say
they are very inconsistent but for different reasons
- Inter has always been like this, a team with inconsistent results, it hasn't changed
- Milan, has had a poor transfer campaign and has a lot of injured and unfit players


Yup, Inter's inconsistent appearance has been shown since the start of the season. Lucky for them, now they are on the 2nd.
The lack of transfers made by Milan was predictable, because Milan was still under financial control. And the new Milan owners also don't want to spend a lot of money to buy new players.


if you look back, in history Smiley also in the past it was like this
when Inter had Ronaldo, the super champion who had to do everything by himself
managed to lose against Bari, but like for 2-3 years in a row he lost both at home and away against Bari, which was certainly not who knows what team power
therefore these inconsistencies have always been there

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February 24, 2023, 01:38:33 PM
 #44870

Corner kicks were really decisive for both teams in the Lecce vs Roma match. Roma conceded the goal by a header after a corner kick. But they also won a penalty due to a handball after a corner kick and Dybala scored the penalty. After these goals I hoped to watch a really enjoyable match but there was none actually. Abraham found a really good opportunity to score later on. He was one-on-one against the goalkeeper but he couldn't get past him. Maybe it could have been the winning goal for them.

Lecce also found many opportunities but they were really bad about their shots. This was a winnable match for Roma. They shouldn't let these opportunities slip so easy.
Roma despite their dominating nature from the first half still couldn't double their goal to at least two goals. They kept missing opportunities. At least Leece would have done more if they kept pressing like they did in the first half, But The worst of it is that in their home they became completely defensive after the equalising goal scored by Paulo Dybala.  I only enjoyed the match in the first Half cuz nothing really happened in the second half.

I always liked the performance of Roma, especially in this game, I saw a different attitude from them, Dybala is shouldering the team, he has experience, he is a world champion and he can do well to continue contributing to the team, without However, Roma need everyone to be well connected to win matches, a draw is good, but winning is better, Mou is very ambitious, he is a coach who does not like to finish second, he has always liked to win, and I think that is They have passed it on to their players, for my part I would like Roma to remain in the top positions alongside Milan AC.

This season is a season that Napoli must put to good use after they have had to fast for a title for so long. They are ahead by 15 points, it will be a shame if they can't maintain what they have achieved so far. Empoli is not in a good condition after the 4 matches they have not been able to record a win, I also believe that in this match Napoli will be able to get 3 more points.

Based on statistics this season there is no reason for Napoli to lose points against Empoli although Napoli playing away, is not a problem because Empoli is not a commensurate opponent. Indeed, sometimes there are dramas in several Serie A matches however, because Napoli's ambition for the title this season is very clear, I think Napoli will not do that they will remain focused on collecting more points. Usually what can hamper the dominance of Napoli is an international match such as UEFA but as we know in the first leg they have won and the 2nd leg played at home so obviously there is no burden anymore they will play without burden in all competitions I mean no need to save the mainstay player.
Yes, I think this fight will not be too complicated for Napoli. I'm not saying this match will be very easy for Napoli to go through but at least they don't make the match a burden. Having a 15-point advantage over its closest competitors certainly makes Napoli very comfortable enjoying the top of the standings. With that achievement, I would not exaggerate to say that Napoli will be the champion of Serie A this season. Il Partenopei's journey this season has been amazing and of course it will be very difficult to repeat it next season.

Understandably everyone is so impressed by Napoli's performance that hardly anyone is talking about the other clubs anymore. Wink

Since Napoli won't give it away from here, I think the rankings behind them are worth paying closer attention to. Mourinho is fully focussed on making it to the Champions League I guess. He won it with Porto and with Inter, now participating one more time with Roma would certainly be something he likes. But what if other clubs have a free position and reach out to him next season? Anyone thinks he would leave Roma for a bigger club when Roma qualifies for the CL?

This weekend the highlight is Milan vs. Atalanta. If Atalanta is going to win this, the rankings behind Napoli are tough and very promising for the rest of the season.

For Mourinho to move if he manages to get into the Champions League with Roma for next season it needs the club offering him a seat need to be participating at least in the same competition and of course to offer him a more generous financial offer which means that if the club who offers such things to Mourinho in theory should be better than Roma as they are paying more,that is the only scenario where I see him leaving Roma.

Milan vs Atalanta is a critical game for both teams as both are fighting for a place in the Champions League and it can be anyone game,the bet I think is wise to make in any game Atalanta is playing is over 2.5 goals or both teams to score yes.

That's true if someone offers Mourinho a significantly superior salary he will leave the club, but he does have a contract until 2024 as far as I know. I just read a few headlines that they are in talks to extend the contract, but I think he is going to wait for the results of this season and then he is going to decide what to do next. He is this guy who likes challenges and win trophies with clubs that he hasn't won a trophy with yet. But he is also a guy who is all about money. He knows that he can ask for high salaries, but still he took a cut when he joined Roma.

I think Mou is very loyal to Roma right now, the truth is that I don't think he will go to another club, it is very difficult, and if he goes to another club I think it has to be force majeure, a club like Real Madrid The project he has with Roma is very important to him, Mou wants to climb, he is struggling a lot in Serie A, he also has very good players, he has Dybala who is a great reference for him, Roma have always been a very big team and I think that thanks to Mou it will be great again, the Portuguese is clear about it, what seems strange to me is that Roma did not have an active transfer window.

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February 24, 2023, 01:49:04 PM
 #44871

But indeed Milan vs Atalanta is the only big game this week.
Milan vs Atalanta, this could be a tough match for Milan too. after winning over Tottenham 1-0 in the UCL match. Milan continued their positive run by winning against Monza 0-1. Atalanta is stronger than Monza if Milan is very focused for the second leg against Tottenham. this could have affected their game against Atalanta. and after that you still have to face Fiorentina, it takes a good strategy to still be able to perform with maximum performance.


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February 24, 2023, 03:06:30 PM
 #44872

I understand that Napoli looks like they can beat any team right now, but we should also realize that they are just too far ahead and do not have to care that much. I mean they are literally in 60+ points as of right now when no other team breached over 50 points yet, closest opponent is at 47 points when they are at 62 points.

This means that they could literally pull youth team members at this point and play 17-18 year old kids for a few more games while resting their starters and they would still be good. Of course rarely any team does that, best case would be putting like 4-5 bench players in the game but they could literally play with u19 and still not lose the title chance.

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February 24, 2023, 03:19:51 PM
 #44873

I understand that Napoli looks like they can beat any team right now, but we should also realize that they are just too far ahead and do not have to care that much. I mean they are literally in 60+ points as of right now when no other team breached over 50 points yet, closest opponent is at 47 points when they are at 62 points.

This means that they could literally pull youth team members at this point and play 17-18 year old kids for a few more games while resting their starters and they would still be good. Of course rarely any team does that, best case would be putting like 4-5 bench players in the game but they could literally play with u19 and still not lose the title chance.

That is why I no longer see the point in betting on Napoli in Serie A. Now they are completely focused on the Champions League, since nothing threatens them in Serie A. The only exception is probably playing against an outsider at home, but in this variation the odds are too low to risk.

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February 24, 2023, 03:35:08 PM
 #44874

What Cremonese is experiencing right now is very worrying, after they were able to get promoted to Serie A this season but they have become the worst club now. Actually I don't want to say they are the worst club, but the facts compel me to say that. Just imagine, of the 23 matches they have played, they have not won a single match. They could only record 9 draws and 14 defeats. If they continue like this, I'm sure we won't see them in Serie A next season. They are 10 points away from a safe position from relegation and it will be very difficult to catch them.

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February 24, 2023, 03:46:19 PM
 #44875

But indeed Milan vs Atalanta is the only big game this week.
Milan vs Atalanta, this could be a tough match for Milan too. after winning over Tottenham 1-0 in the UCL match. Milan continued their positive run by winning against Monza 0-1. Atalanta is stronger than Monza if Milan is very focused for the second leg against Tottenham. this could have affected their game against Atalanta. and after that you still have to face Fiorentina, it takes a good strategy to still be able to perform with maximum performance.

Milan is still the favorite team when referring to the odds currently available but for some reason, I personally am not entirely sure Milan will win. Even though Milan is playing at home in this match, it doesn't seem promising that Milan will beat Atalanta.

Because their first match or first leg of the season also ended in a 1-1 draw and also, this match will be the right match for Atalanta to enter the top four if Atalanta manages to beat Milan at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. So yes, both of them still have a chance to win, and maybe because of this they can also split the points with a draw.

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February 24, 2023, 03:54:44 PM
 #44876

Milan is still the favorite team when referring to the odds currently available but for some reason, I personally am not entirely sure Milan will win. Even though Milan is playing at home in this match, it doesn't seem promising that Milan will beat Atalanta.

Because their first match or first leg of the season also ended in a 1-1 draw and also, this match will be the right match for Atalanta to enter the top four if Atalanta manages to beat Milan at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. So yes, both of them still have a chance to win, and maybe because of this they can also split the points with a draw.

I know Milan and Inter are using the same stadium but still I would prefer to say San Siro while Milan are the home team against Atalanta.  Smiley

As for this big and important match I'm favouring Milan to become victorious. I know that there has been a significant drop in their performance level but they are slowly making things better lately. There have been a couple of wins they got in the recent times. These all should be some motivation source for them to stay strong against Atalanta. Milan will need to do their best in defense not to be destroyed. I still can't forget about their match against Sassuolo which ended 5-2. If we see a good defending then Milan should be the winner here.

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February 24, 2023, 04:54:52 PM
 #44877

What Cremonese is experiencing right now is very worrying, after they were able to get promoted to Serie A this season but they have become the worst club now. Actually I don't want to say they are the worst club, but the facts compel me to say that. Just imagine, of the 23 matches they have played, they have not won a single match. They could only record 9 draws and 14 defeats. If they continue like this, I'm sure we won't see them in Serie A next season. They are 10 points away from a safe position from relegation and it will be very difficult to catch them.

Seventy percent of the Cremonese team will be relegated from Serie A. They is not fully ready to adjust to competition in Serie A
Cremonese's first season in Serie A will soon end devoid of achievements
Lecce, who also get promotion to Serie A with Cremonese this season, have more better luck than Cremonese

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February 24, 2023, 05:08:21 PM
 #44878

But indeed Milan vs Atalanta is the only big game this week.
Milan vs Atalanta, this could be a tough match for Milan too. after winning over Tottenham 1-0 in the UCL match. Milan continued their positive run by winning against Monza 0-1. Atalanta is stronger than Monza if Milan is very focused for the second leg against Tottenham. this could have affected their game against Atalanta. and after that you still have to face Fiorentina, it takes a good strategy to still be able to perform with maximum performance.
Milan is currently very doubtful about achieving maximum results because they can't score more than 1 or 2 goals in every game and that could be a problem when their opponents start to rise to turn things around. Milan's busy schedule, as you said, can affect their performance and I think coach Stefano Pioli must be able to manage his players to stay fit for important matches.

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February 24, 2023, 05:30:34 PM
 #44879

As for this big and important match I'm favouring Milan to become victorious. I know that there has been a significant drop in their performance level but they are slowly making things better lately. There have been a couple of wins they got in the recent times. These all should be some motivation source for them to stay strong against Atalanta. Milan will need to do their best in defense not to be destroyed. I still can't forget about their match against Sassuolo which ended 5-2. If we see a good defending then Milan should be the winner here.
Yunno, it really baffles me to see that in their last matches, they either made a 1- nill or a nill -1 victory...was that really a coincidence?? Or did it happen to prove that they're somewhat compatible? Maybe not cus on the Seria A table, inter is actually topping Milan with about 3points to reckon.
On this one, I think Milan needs to hold on tight since they'll need only a single performance to beat Roma to achieve the 3rd place... that'll be great to see.

Sandra 🧑‍🦰

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February 24, 2023, 05:30:50 PM
 #44880

That is why I no longer see the point in betting on Napoli in Serie A. Now they are completely focused on the Champions League, since nothing threatens them in Serie A. The only exception is probably playing against an outsider at home, but in this variation the odds are too low to risk.
Indeed, it seems that Napoli will continue to win the match in Serie A they are too free in the position of the standings that are very different and this week the possibility they will also win against Empoli and they have a small odds we know it is not too risky.

Maybe the one is a fairly high opportunity is in the Champions League because in Serie A it is difficult to beat, the bookie gambling knows Napoli will be given a small odds to any team when competing.

R


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