Diff thread sept 4th. to sept 17th Picks are closed.

[philipma1957]

-1.01% to -1.25%   philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%   Questor correction done


+2.01% to +2.25% tlhIwI

+2.76% to +3.00% Jonnybravo0311
+3.01% to +3.25% HerbPean

+3.76% to +4.00% EternalWingsofGod
+4.01% to +4.25% tss
+4.26% to +4.50% wlefever
+4.51% to +4.75% Last of the V8s
+4.76% to +5.00% valkir
+5.01% to +5.25% mavericklm   note I went up not down
+5.26% to +5.50% alh
+5.51% to +5.75% edonkey
+5.76% to +6.00% Mikestang
+6.01% to +6.25% ezeminer
+6.26% to +6.50% wpt1wpt1
+6.51% to +6.75% notlist3d
+6.76% to +7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to +7.25% VirosaGITS
+7.25% to  +7.50% adaseb
+7.51% to +7.75% zebedee

+7.76% to + 8.00% DanielRo correction done

+8.01% to +8.25% CrazyGuy

[VirosaGITS]

So its;
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,052,954,837 (+5.43%)

Right now and the 504 block hashrate is much higher, so we're looking at a pretty big, even higher bump upward it looks like. Thankfully the BTC price went back to 235+ for now, hopefully the price will stabilize while following the diff increase a bit.

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


157 Sept 4 2015 ---- This was partial  but it is +13  on a norm of 144  that is over 9%    that is really high number we  need to see the next few days.
150 Sept 5 2015 ---- +6   for the day about +19 for the first 261 blocks
142 Sept 6 2015 ----  -2        +17
151 Sept 7 2015 ----  +7       +24
138 Sept 8 2015 ----   -6       +18  It did slow a bit.
144 Sept 9 2015 ----   0         +18
168 Sept 10 2015 --- +24       +42                brutal number but 3 in a row is what we need to worry about so lets wait until tonight to see

[notlist3d]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


157 Sept 4 2015 ---- This was partial  but it is +13  on a norm of 144  that is over 9%    that is really high number we  need to see the next few days.
150 Sept 5 2015 ---- +6   for the day about +19 for the first 261 blocks
142 Sept 6 2015 ----  -2        +17
151 Sept 7 2015 ----  +7       +24
138 Sept 8 2015 ----   -6       +18  It did slow a bit.
144 Sept 9 2015 ----   0         +18
168 Sept 10 2015 --- +24       +42                brutal number but 3 in a row is what we need to worry about so lets wait until tonight to see

Ive been worried all week.  I really hope it's wrong... but I think were in for a good jump.

And next week there will be more S7's being made most likely... I expect this to last a few difficulty periods sadly.

[adaseb]

I guess 7.25% to 7.50% is the only slot thats open at the moment.

Probably going to be 5-7% somewhere in that area.


Not looking good

too late but  my fault  not yours I got busy and did not post a warning.

So  You are in and this is now closed.

Thanks. I was reading the topic title and it still said "open".

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


157 Sept 4 2015 ---- This was partial  but it is +13  on a norm of 144  that is over 9%    that is really high number we  need to see the next few days.
150 Sept 5 2015 ---- +6   for the day about +19 for the first 261 blocks
142 Sept 6 2015 ----  -2        +17
151 Sept 7 2015 ----  +7       +24
138 Sept 8 2015 ----   -6       +18  It did slow a bit.
144 Sept 9 2015 ----   0         +18
168 Sept 10 2015 ---  +24       +42                brutal number but 3 in a row is what we need to worry about so lets wait until tonight to see
163 Sept 11 2015 ---  +19      +61                back to back high numbers


well kind of makes sense

the s-3 to s-5  was .8 watts to .5 watts  not 1/2  drop in power.

the s-5 to s-7 is .5  watts to .25 watts   that is a real 1/2 drop in power.

so upgrades are needed to keep up. My thoughts are sept 2015 to July 2016 will really be a ride.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    56,957,648,455
Estimated Next Difficulty:    59,963,232,138 (+5.28%)
Adjust time:    After 819 Blocks, About 5.4 days
Hashrate(?):    453,542,410 GH/s

Not the direction we want to go.  Have to wonder at this point how many 5+ weeks we can have, i'm afraid of it being the new norm.

[philipma1957]

Bitwisdom is going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    56,957,648,455
Estimated Next Difficulty:    59,963,232,138 (+5.28%)
Adjust time:    After 819 Blocks, About 5.4 days
Hashrate(?):    453,542,410 GH/s

Not the direction we want to go.  Have to wonder at this point how many 5+ weeks we can have, i'm afraid of it being the new norm.

no not the new norm but very likely we get to a diff close to 70-75 by oct. then I hope we flatten  out.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    56,957,648,455
Estimated Next Difficulty:    59,963,232,138 (+5.28%)
Adjust time:    After 819 Blocks, About 5.4 days
Hashrate(?):    453,542,410 GH/s

Not the direction we want to go.  Have to wonder at this point how many 5+ weeks we can have, i'm afraid of it being the new norm.

no not the new norm but very likely we get to a diff close to 70-75 by oct. then I hope we flatten  out.

I hope your right on that.  With the few companies working on chips still to come, I'm afraid of those adding to this.  And I really think bitmain will be pumping out a lot of machines right now.  And add winter hobby miners into equation.

If we get lucky a lot of old A2 will finally come offline but some are in places so cheap on electricity i'm not sure when.   

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


157 Sept 4 2015 ---- This was partial  but it is +13  on a norm of 144  that is over 9%    that is really high number we  need to see the next few days.
150 Sept 5 2015 ---- +6   for the day about +19 for the first 261 blocks
142 Sept 6 2015 ----  -2        +17
151 Sept 7 2015 ----  +7       +24
138 Sept 8 2015 ----   -6       +18  It did slow a bit.
144 Sept 9 2015 ----   0         +18
168 Sept 10 2015 ---  +24       +42                brutal number but 3 in a row is what we need to worry about so lets wait until tonight to see
163 Sept 11 2015 ---  +19      +61                back to back high numbers
144 Sept 12 2015 ---   0         +61        and normal  which is good   maybe it was variance  stay tuned

[mavericklm]

it may go down hard
i really wish for it!
don't really like this +5%stuff! i got one year in the btc world.... not so used to +20+% jumps

[notlist3d]

I don't want to.. but I can do 5 if I have to for a bit.   Happy I sold off some of my older gear.  Guess we will see but I just want it to go back to low 2's.

Guess we will see.  I really don't want 5 to be new norm.

[mavericklm]

then lets have some +15% to kill some pussys )))))))
one or two like this and i think i will get drunk most of the time! just to cope with it

[notlist3d]

then lets have some +15% to kill some pussys )))))))
one or two like this and i think i will get drunk most of the time! just to cope with it

Solid +15's would kill hobby mining for most.   I hope to never see the 15-20 normal jumps we had long ago.

One big thing look at price today it's headed the wrong direction :/

[mavericklm]

curious how much the hash rate will fall after 2 * +15% rounds...

cheap coins!!!

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


157 Sept 4 2015 ---- This was partial  but it is +13  on a norm of 144  that is over 9%    that is really high number we  need to see the next few days.
150 Sept 5 2015 ---- +6   for the day about +19 for the first 261 blocks
142 Sept 6 2015 ----  -2        +17
151 Sept 7 2015 ----  +7       +24
138 Sept 8 2015 ----   -6       +18  It did slow a bit.
144 Sept 9 2015 ----   0         +18
168 Sept 10 2015 ---  +24       +42                brutal number but 3 in a row is what we need to worry about so lets wait until tonight to see
163 Sept 11 2015 ---  +19      +61                back to back high numbers
144 Sept 12 2015 ---   0         +61        and normal  which is good   maybe it was variance  stay tuned
144 Sept 13 2015  ---- 0         +61       and normal again which makes the 10, 11 sept days a little less scary

we are at block 1466 and should be at 1405  which is +4.34%

550 blocks left.

if you look above we had 3 big numbers 157, 163 ,168   and only 1 low number 138.  We could use a few more around 130

[mavericklm]

can we say: looks like the ~+5% is here to stay?!
i mean it is not from variance but from added miners

[EternalWingsofGod]

can we say: looks like the ~+5% is here to stay?!
i mean it is not from variance but from added miners

The increased difficulty we saw last round seems to be carrying onto this round
So it is a possibility that the network is seeing a stable miner growth preceding the release of new miners and of course cooler temperatures

Bitcoin Difficulty: 56,957,648,455
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,228,526,639 (+5.74%) 
Adjust time: After 501 Blocks, About 3.3 days 
Hashrate(?): 436,655,842 GH/

[philipma1957]

can we say: looks like the ~+5% is here to stay?!
i mean it is not from variance but from added miners

The increased difficulty we saw last round seems to be carrying onto this round
So it is a possibility that the network is seeing a stable miner growth preceding the release of new miners and of course cooler temperatures

Bitcoin Difficulty: 56,957,648,455
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,228,526,639 (+5.74%) 
Adjust time: After 501 Blocks, About 3.3 days 
Hashrate(?): 436,655,842 GH/

Yeah I agree.  S-5 was .51 watts  S-7 is .25 watts   a major improvement in power use.

S-5 = 1150 gh
S-7 = 4875 gh

a major hash increase.

Last winter I ran 12 sp20's and 3 avalon 4.1's along with an s-5

I downclocked all the gear for noise and heat.

and I was pushing 15th to 16th

That is 16 pieces of gear. I used  about 7-8 kwatts

3 s-7's  will do 14th   at 3.6 kwatts

This is a major improvement.  People are going to be installing s-7's  and 5% to 6%  for 3 jumps looks like it will happen easy.

I still think network goes flat at the 70 diff point.
I simply think bitmaintech will stop sales for a month. They did this with the s-5.

[adaseb]

So if the difficulty goes to +8.01 or higher to infinity does CrazyGuy won automatically?

Or is it considered void?