Diff thread sept 17th. to sept 30th Picks are closed!!

Quote from: notlist3d on September 28, 2015, 11:40:14 PM

Quote from: Mikestang on September 28, 2015, 11:11:11 PM

1 block every 10 mins is 6 blocks an hour* is 144 a day, <snip>

This may be a horribly stupid question but how do you get the 144 number that it should have been? It seems like it would change which each difficulty change. <snip>

*6 blocks an hour x 24 hours a day is 144...

The expected blocks solved per day is irrespective of difficulty, it's what you would expect if a block was solved every 10 minutes exactly.

and cakir explained the other part already.

pace has picked up

https://blockchain.info/blocks

376674 (Main Chain)   2015-09-29 11:47:30

376588 (Main Chain)   2015-09-29 00:01:33

87 blocks should be 71 in this amount of time this could be a 176 block day

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin (+2.01%)

Difficulty:   59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,527,225,267 (+2.01%)
Adjust time:   After 319 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):   441,035,725 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.9 minutes
Updated:   7:50 (4.1 minutes ago)

seen this posted the other day.. Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol.. Anyway it looks like f2pool got a huge push in hash last few days.. https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/pool?pool_mode=day3

Lost of nice stats and graphs on this site.

edit: chain.so shows us at 511.43 PH/s.. could just be another spike of variance like it was a week back or so.
Best Regards
d57heinz

Quote from: d57heinz on September 29, 2015, 01:12:27 PM

Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol..

Spooky...

At least they put it to good use. But I think their diff estimate is even worse than BitcoinWisdom's:

https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/diff

Quote

(+4.90%) 62.24 G

Unless they know something we don't, e.g. how many S7++ they are going to deploy today and tomorrow LOL

Quote from: suchmoon on September 29, 2015, 01:30:40 PM

Quote from: d57heinz on September 29, 2015, 01:12:27 PM

Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol..

Spooky...

At least they put it to good use. But I think their diff estimate is even worse than BitcoinWisdom's:

https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/diff

Quote

(+4.90%) 62.24 G

Unless they know something we don't, e.g. how many S7++ they are going to deploy today and tomorrow LOL

I would agree chances of S7's in mail and making this jump is slim chance. I do think we will see a jump from orders on S7's just not to that extent.

Sadly BTC around 238 never did hit over 240 last night, which I was hoping for.

If I am reading things right, we might also get a brief respite for the 1st half of the next adjustment. Supposedly Bitmain will be on holiday Oct 1 through Oct 8th. While I expect stuff that is shipped will arrive, there should be a 1 week hiatus on S7 production. I have to beleive that will manifest itself in some positive way (e.g. smaller difficulty increase).

Quote from: alh on September 29, 2015, 10:23:26 PM

Sound more likely to me that the S7 production is outsourced and they already have 2 whole batches on the way. During the next 2 weeks its Batch 1 that will hit doors, then after that it will be Batch 2 and 3. I don't see much respite here.

The Batch 1 already being in the mail won't pause for a holiday =/

Difficulty is still not looking to bad on bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,105,068 (+2.39%)
Adjust time:    After 223 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?):    452,368,788 GH/s

So appear not a lot of S7 plugged in like I was afraid of. Maybe we have till batch 2 and 3 before another 5 jump hopefully.

Price is hanging around 237. So not bad, hopefully we have a nice slow increase.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17 143

Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%

Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.

Sept 21 130 so we are -49

Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31

Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20

Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat

Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun

Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +

Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.07%)

we made 1802 blocks and have 214 left.

This is about 1.4 days. .

that 2.07% is off by 0.60% as the real time number of 1802 blocks made vs 1776 = +1.464%

So with the weekend over and a ton of s-7's turning up we have had a 1.46% jump in 1 day. so if we wail away and have a second 170 block day we could push 3% this jump.

Perhaps well as it is was left hanging out to dry this round ha-ha guess it was a tad to soon to call that.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s

Quote from: EternalWingsofGod on September 30, 2015, 07:42:27 AM

so, you are telling me there is a chance...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9IgLueodZA

Quote from: Biodom on September 30, 2015, 05:29:54 PM

Quote from: EternalWingsofGod on September 30, 2015, 07:42:27 AM

so, you are telling me there is a chance...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9IgLueodZA

Thats how I feel about my S7's shipping on time, haha!

we made about 145-146 blocks today. so under 2% looks possible.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.19%)

Adjust time: After 86 Blocks, About 13.6 hours

+0.76% to +1.00% flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25% HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75% Questor
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever

looks like the winner will be from the ones above.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17 143

Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%

Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.

Sept 21 130 so we are -49

Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31

Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20

Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday

Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat

Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun

Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +

Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks

Sept 30 154 + 10 so we are +36

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.02%)

This is about 11.4 hours. .

1944 blocks are made normal is 1908 so we are around (+1.88%)

Looking pretty good for Biodom. tss needs to hit PAUSE for a couple of hours, or Herb will need to light up his undelivered S7's.....

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,416,209,406 (+1.82%)
Adjust time:    After 57 Blocks, About 8.9 hours
Hashrate(?):    446,301,366 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes

Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,388,544,073 (+1.77%)
Adjust time: After 56 Blocks, About 8.8 hours

under 2% is pretty good!

+1.99% right now.
Biodom head to head with HerbPean.
17 more blocks to be solved.

+2.54% right now.
edonkey head to head with Questor.
2 more blocks.

+2.43% right now. One more block.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s