Diff thread Nov 11 to Nov 24 Set up stage-picks are now closed!

[wlefever]

+6.6 = wlefever please

[philipma1957]

picks have started



you can pick lower then me if you dare
      
-1.2  =      
-1.1  =         philipma1957
-1.0  =        
-0.9  =      
-0.8  =        
-0.7  =        
-0.6  =      
-0.5   =    
-0.4   =    
-0.3   =    
-0.2   =      
-0.1   =      
-0.0   =    


 0.0   =      
+0.1  =    
+0.2  =    
+0.3  =    
+0.4  =    
+0.5  =    
+0.6  =
+0.7  =  
+0.8  =
+0.9  =
+1.0  =
+1.1  
+1.2  
+1.3  
+1.4  
+1.5  
+1.6  
+1.7  
+1.8  
+1.9  
+2.0 = BTCish  
+2.1  
+2.2  
+2.3  
+2.4
+2.5
+2.6
+2.7
+2.8
+2.9
+3.0
+3.1 = RichBC
+3.2 = Tupsu
+3.3 = edonkey
+3.4
+3.5
+3.6
+3.7
+3.8
+3.9
+4.0 = mavericklm
+4.1 = Biodom
+4.2 = HerbPean
+4.3 = dukeneptun
+4.4
+4.5 = ingiltere
+4.6
+4.7
+4.8 = DanDan
+4.9
+5.0 = adaseb
+5.1
+5.2
+5.3
+5.4 = tss
+5.5
+5.6 = vortexz
+5.7
+5.8
+5.9
+6.0
+6.1 = cakir
+6.2
+6.3
+6.4
+6.5
+6.6 = wlefever
+6.7 = DanielRo
+6.8
+6.9
+7.0 = pandacoin
+7.1
+7.2
+7.3
+7.4
+7.5
+7.6
+7.7 = ezeminer
+7.8
+7.9 = togesix
+8.0
+8.1 = zebedee
+8.2 = Amph
+8.3
+8.4
+8.5
+8.6
+8.7
+8.8 = Lituation
+8.9= VirosaGITS
+9.0
+9.1
+9.2
+9.3
+9.4
+9.5
+9.6
+9.7= d57heinz
+9.8
+9.9
+10.0


and  pick up  and over as high as you want to pick

or down as low as you want to pick






blockchaininfo  still shows  a wicked bad  one jump

https://blockchain.info/blocks


383895 (Main Chain)   2015-11-16 18:59:41

383754 (Main Chain)   2015-11-16 00:01:13

140 blocks in  19 hours
it  should be   
114 blocks in  19 hours

1 day overage of 22.8%


@ tss   I mailed the usb stick out today  small flat rate box.

it is the compac  gold testing edition   it can run on cgminer 4.9.2

[Mikestang]

+5.9 = Mikestang

We are seeing a lot of machines coming on line right now in a short time, maybe a big burn-in run.  I am betting that diff will spike high this adjustment then drop back a little, similar to last period but I do not expect it to drop as far from its peak.

[d57heinz]

+9.75 = d57heinz  



currently Net Hashrate

619,439.12 TH/s

was just a bit ago.

Net Hashrate
644,617.18 TH/s

Best Regards
d57heinz

edit  my theory on the crazy swings isnt variance.. its large farms getting setup for the ramp up coming at halving.. they will drain the system as new money flows in with all the new hw just waiting to come online.. Just a theory anyway..

I'm keekping an eye on the diff raise since almost 2 years. The current Hastrate is about 520 Peta. I have no idea where you taking your number by it's clearly offset or base on a very short period of time.

If you want a good estimate of the hashrate use this : https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

EDIT: the last 6 block has been found in just under 1 hour ... no where a 30% diff adjustment

EDIT 2: I'm not the first one telling you that you're wrong with your numbers and you keep posting them.

I'm not here to get into pissing match.  What I feel overall is that everyone here feels they know it all and dismiss anyone else idea. Well one thing I know damn good and well is once you think you know what's going on in btc you get thrown a curve ball.  I have a mpos pool setup for solo and it gives me real time hashrate   Also it's easy as Bitcoin-cli getnetworkhashps.   


Looks to me wisdom right on board with my thinking:)

Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,337,417,158 (+9.85%)
Adjust time:   After 1127 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   523,933,733 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.1 minutes
3 blocks: 27.1 minutes
6 blocks: 54.3 minutes
Updated:   18:25 (2.5 minutes ago)

Best regards
D57heinz

[philipma1957]

okay day 6

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

11-11-2015   169 blocks  this is a plus 25   now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment  So  on a part day I guess +14

11-12-2015  158 blocks this is plus 14    total is +28
 
11-13-2015   161 blocks  this is plus 17 total is +45

11-14-2015   146 + 2                               +47

11-15-2015   156 is +12                           +59    

 11-16-2015  172 is +28                           +87



we are 891 made should be  804  i get (10.08%)
which is a little worse then bitcoinwisdom

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,446,086,826 (+10.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1125 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   523,126,131 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.0 minutes
3 blocks: 27.1 minutes
6 blocks: 54.2 minutes
Updated:   19:35 (5.8 minutes ago)

So waiting to pick should make more sense and oh these are big numbers.

[notlist3d]

+7.4 = Notlist3d

Thanks!

[philipma1957]

picks have started



you can pick lower then me if you dare
      
-1.2  =      
-1.1  =         philipma1957
-1.0  =        
-0.9  =      
-0.8  =        
-0.7  =        
-0.6  =      
-0.5   =    
-0.4   =    
-0.3   =    
-0.2   =      
-0.1   =      
-0.0   =    


 0.0   =      
+0.1  =    
+0.2  =    
+0.3  =    
+0.4  =    
+0.5  =    
+0.6  =
+0.7  =  
+0.8  =
+0.9  =
+1.0  =
+1.1  
+1.2  
+1.3  
+1.4  
+1.5  
+1.6  
+1.7  
+1.8  
+1.9  
+2.0 = BTCish  
+2.1  
+2.2  
+2.3  
+2.4
+2.5
+2.6
+2.7
+2.8
+2.9
+3.0
+3.1 = RichBC
+3.2 = Tupsu
+3.3 = edonkey
+3.4
+3.5
+3.6
+3.7
+3.8
+3.9
+4.0 = mavericklm
+4.1 = Biodom
+4.2 = HerbPean
+4.3 = dukeneptun
+4.4
+4.5 = ingiltere
+4.6
+4.7
+4.8 = DanDan
+4.9
+5.0 = adaseb
+5.1
+5.2
+5.3
+5.4 = tss
+5.5
+5.6 = vortexz
+5.7
+5.8
+5.9
+6.0
+6.1 = cakir
+6.2
+6.3
+6.4
+6.5
+6.6 = wlefever
+6.7 = DanielRo
+6.8
+6.9
+7.0 = pandacoin
+7.1
+7.2
+7.3
+7.4 = notlist3d
+7.5
+7.6
+7.7 = ezeminer
+7.8
+7.9 = togesix
+8.0
+8.1 = zebedee
+8.2 = Amph
+8.3
+8.4
+8.5
+8.6
+8.7
+8.8 = Lituation
+8.9= VirosaGITS
+9.0
+9.1
+9.2
+9.3
+9.4
+9.5
+9.6
+9.7= d57heinz
+9.8
+9.9
+10.0

and  pick up  and over as high as you want to pick
or down as low as you want to pick

blockchaininfo  still shows  a wicked bad  one jump

[wpt1wpt1]

7.51 to 7.75 please

[mavericklm]

Estimated Next Difficulty:    72,630,699,894 (+10.30%)
Adjust time:    After 1117 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    521,758,906 GH/s

fucking btc price!

nothing jumps in to my eyes in the hashrate on each pool

[philipma1957]

7.51 to 7.75 please

rules have changed

i can give you 7.5   which covers 7.50 to 7.59

[philipma1957]

picks have started
you can pick lower then me if you dare
      
-1.2  =      
-1.1  =         philipma1957


-0.1   =      
-0.0   =    
 0.0   =      
+0.1  =

+0.9  =
+1.0  =
+1.1  

+1.9  
+2.0 = BTCish  
+2.1  

+2.9
+3.0
+3.1 = RichBC
+3.2 = Tupsu
+3.3 = edonkey
+3.4
 

+3.9
+4.0 = mavericklm
+4.1 = Biodom
+4.2 = HerbPean
+4.3 = dukeneptun
+4.4
+4.5 = ingiltere
+4.6
+4.7
+4.8 = DanDan
+4.9
+5.0 = adaseb
+5.1
+5.2
+5.3
+5.4 = tss
+5.5
+5.6 = vortexz
+5.7
+5.8
+5.9 = Mikestang
+6.0
+6.1 = cakir
+6.2
+6.3
+6.4
+6.5
+6.6 = wlefever
+6.7 = DanielRo
+6.8
+6.9
+7.0 = pandacoin
+7.1
+7.2
+7.3
+7.4 = notlist3d
+7.5 = wpt1wpt1
+7.6
+7.7 = ezeminer
+7.8
+7.9 = togesix
+8.0
+8.1 = zebedee
+8.2 = Amph
+8.3
+8.4
+8.5
+8.6
+8.7
+8.8 = Lituation
+8.9= VirosaGITS
+9.0
+9.1
+9.2
+9.3
+9.4
+9.5
+9.6
+9.7= d57heinz
+9.8
+9.9
+10.0

and  pick up  and over as high as you want to pick
or down as low as you want to pick

blockchaininfo  still shows  a wicked bad  one jump

I tightened up the list  you can still pick any one not picked . by ranges of .1

[ezeminer]

This difficulty is going insanely high. I saw it jump from a predicted 9% to 11% today..

One can hope we don't jump too much, but it might because

[adaseb]

Whenever I check Blockchain, it takes 20-30 minutes to find 6 blocks. If this continues then we won't see a 10% jump, we will see a 100% jump.

Largest diff jump was

Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s


There is a good chance this month we will beat that record.

[philipma1957]

okay day 6

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

11-11-2015   169 blocks  this is a plus 25   now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment  So  on a part day I guess +14

11-12-2015  158 blocks this is plus 14    total is +28
 
11-13-2015   161 blocks  this is plus 17 total is +45

11-14-2015   146 + 2                               +47

11-15-2015   156 is +12                           +59    

 11-16-2015  175 is +31                          +90



we are 891 made should be  801  i get (11.23%)
which is a little worse then bitcoinwisdom

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:   72,446,086,826 (+10.02%)
Adjust time:   After 1125 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   523,126,131 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.0 minutes
3 blocks: 27.1 minutes
6 blocks: 54.2 minutes
Updated:   19:35 (5.8 minutes ago)

brutal numbers really high.

[HerbPean]

+9.75 = d57heinz  



currently Net Hashrate

619,439.12 TH/s

was just a bit ago.

Net Hashrate
644,617.18 TH/s

Best Regards
d57heinz

edit  my theory on the crazy swings isnt variance.. its large farms getting setup for the ramp up coming at halving.. they will drain the system as new money flows in with all the new hw just waiting to come online.. Just a theory anyway..

I'm keekping an eye on the diff raise since almost 2 years. The current Hastrate is about 520 Peta. I have no idea where you taking your number by it's clearly offset or base on a very short period of time.

If you want a good estimate of the hashrate use this : https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

EDIT: the last 6 block has been found in just under 1 hour ... no where a 30% diff adjustment

EDIT 2: I'm not the first one telling you that you're wrong with your numbers and you keep posting them.

it gives me real time hashrate 

Calculation based on what ? Last 6 block ? 20 ? 100 ?

My point is, you are throwing statement like we just hit 650 Peta. There is no way someone just plugged 250 Peta out of no where. It's like Bitcoinwisdom ... Hashrate(?):   523,032,073 GH/s is the average of the last 504 block (25% of the difficulty)

Yes someone just throw a bunch of hashrate, but no where 650 peta.

[adaseb]

Some what glad I didn't pull the trigger on those S7 purchases.

[notlist3d]

Some what glad I didn't pull the trigger on those S7 purchases.
*saved space on image

Looks like it just keeps going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty:    72,639,342,246 (+10.31%)
Adjust time:    After 1121 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    520,959,894 GH/s

I'm thinking burn in tests on Avalon and Bitmain for sure.   If any others are testing I'm still not sure.   I don't think it's the SP50 yet.  When we do get to that point that is a lot of hash in one unit. 

Could get crazy with just a few main makers.

[suchmoon]

Whenever I check Blockchain, it takes 20-30 minutes to find 6 blocks. If this continues then we won't see a 10% jump, we will see a 100% jump.

Largest diff jump was

Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s


There is a good chance this month we will beat that record.

I think we had 30-40% jumps at the end of 2013.

This current one has been running between 8-12% so far. Half hour or even a day isn't a large enough sample for estimates.

As for who's doing this - check pool stats. I don't have a good source for other pools on hand right now but I know that AntPool has been KILLING it:

https://www.antpool.com/poolStats.htm

[alh]

I think this is essentially difficulty trying to catch up with BTC price. We've a significant run up in price, and difficulty is "chasing after price".

I thought the current network size was so large that it was going to virtually impossible to get a 10% increase in difficulty, just because the numbers are so large. Looks like maybe I was wrong.

I am going to wait a bit longer to guess. This going to feel like a brutal increase.

[flikflak]

+8.6 = flikflak

thanks!