Diff thread Nov 23 to Dec 7 Set up stage- Picks CLOSED!

Estimated Next Difficulty:    83,033,276,146 (+14.18%)
Adjust time:    After 1522 Blocks, About 9.7 days
Hashrate(?):    575,061,813 GH/s

Lovely! and i start to think about overclockin' in place of underclock.....

Adjust time:   After 1479 Blocks, About 9.5 days

so at 1416 we can make our picks.

about 5 hours maybe 4.

I am going to not pick my -1.11% !

I am actually going to try to handicap and pick closer to the 1200th block.

on a better note for today.

https://blockchain.info/blocks

385593 (Main Chain)   2015-11-27 12:37:55
385521 (Main Chain)   2015-11-27 00:04:14

73 blocks made in the time for 76 blocks 12 hours and 40 minutes is 6 x 12 + 4 = 76

Bitcoin Difficulty:   72,722,780,643
Estimated Next Difficulty:   81,537,027,614 (+12.12%)
Adjust time:   After 1450 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?):   553,398,709 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.5 minutes

34 blocks left. Less than 6 hours for picks to open.

Quote from: DanDan on November 27, 2015, 07:09:56 PM

Not to far away. Once it does open please if possible do a in a format that I can just copy/paste if possible.

For example a negative 7.4 is shown as the following:
-7.4 = notlist3d

And a example of a positive 7.4 is shown as following
+7.4 = notlist3d

You can go as high or low as you want, just please don't pick a number already picked. On start and stop thanks suchmoon for doing the math. Start and stop are as following if your looking at bitwisdom - https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty:

Quote from: suchmoon on November 24, 2015, 10:49:58 PM

Picks open at 600 blocks completed and close at 1200 blocks completed in the current difficulty adjustment cycle.

There are 2016 blocks in each cycle, so that means picks open when Bitcoinwisdom shows

"Adjust time: After 1416 Blocks"

and close at

"Adjust time: After 816 Blocks"

Again good luck to all once it starts!

17 blocks or 2.5-3 hours to go until picks open. If we learned anything from the last time - let's not rush all at once

. Picking your guess towards the end is likely to be more accurate.

The prize this time is

0.216 BTC

due to rollover from the previous contest and both philipma1957 and alh donating their winnings from the quick quiz (0.008 each - I rounded it up from 0.007-something). Thanks guys!

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 27, 2015, 08:53:51 PM

well today we look to do under 140 blocks?

385628 (Main Chain) 2015-11-27 20:29:08

385521 (Main Chain) 2015-11-27 00:04:14

108 made and we should be doing 123 so 15 under...... yesterday 20 over? seesaw?

or maybe there is a china ghost city filled with old s-3'5 and s-5's and they can't get power 24/7/365

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

169
178
170
162 really bad 4 days but all last diff these four ending the last adjustment = 679

154 11/24/2015
152 11/25/2015
174 11/26/2015
135 11/27/2015 these four to start this period will be about 615

so 4 x 144 = 576 we are at 615 so +6.77% is 'real' time.

These weird monster drop days like today 135 really seem to show a ghost mine of s-3's or s-5's. the owner of the mine gets short term power 1, 2, 3, 4 days then needs to power off.

I would not think it is bit fury or sp-tech doing it as I would think one or two tests and it will just stay up.

But a Chinese 20 ph or 30 ph mine of older gear with free power seems like it could be true.

Look at the pattern.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-28 --112
10-29 --153
10-30 --167
10-31 --149
11-1 -- 150
11-2 -- 158
11-3 -- 153
11-4 -- 157
11-5 -- 146
11-6 -- 142
11-7 -- 153
11-8 -- 143
11-9 -- 148
11-10 --145
11-11 --169
11-12 --158
11-13 --161
11-14 -- 146
11-15 --156
11-16-- 175
11-17-- 146
11-18-- 156
11-19-- 131
11-20-- 169
11-21-- 178
11-22-- 170
11-23-- 162
11-24-- 154
11-25-- 152
11-26-- 174
11-27

big swing days have become very common over the last two months

Quote from: UfoRia on November 25, 2015, 04:42:26 AM

Buy coins, hodl the ones you have and don't buy miners.

disclaimer: I am a miner and wish I would have not bought my 45 day late ant s7's B1's.

45 day's is quite a bit. What did they do on compensation?

I'm curious as even if they do the crappy one they announced. That many day's is still a decent amount of extra BTC.

Looks like picks should be open. They will close at block 1200 in this period. Any after that will not be counted.

Good luck to all!

Quote from: Tupsu on November 28, 2015, 01:18:03 AM

+10.0 = Tupsu

So Far at this point:

-1.1 = philipma1957
+10.0 = Tupsu
+12.3 = EternalWingsofGod

Quote from: notlist3d on November 28, 2015, 01:08:12 AM

Quote from: UfoRia on November 25, 2015, 04:42:26 AM

Buy coins, hodl the ones you have and don't buy miners.

disclaimer: I am a miner and wish I would have not bought my 45 day late ant s7's B1's.

45 day's is quite a bit. What did they do on compensation?

I'm curious as even if they do the crappy one they announced. That many day's is still a decent amount of extra BTC.

There hasn't been any compensation yet as far as I know.

Quote from: suchmoon on November 28, 2015, 01:20:27 AM

Quote from: notlist3d on November 28, 2015, 01:08:12 AM

Quote from: UfoRia on November 25, 2015, 04:42:26 AM

Buy coins, hodl the ones you have and don't buy miners.

disclaimer: I am a miner and wish I would have not bought my 45 day late ant s7's B1's.

45 day's is quite a bit. What did they do on compensation?

I'm curious as even if they do the crappy one they announced. That many day's is still a decent amount of extra BTC.

There hasn't been any compensation yet as far as I know.

I have not heard of any either... which is odd. In past they did coupons and were pretty quick at sending them out. But they choose a pretty low compensation, and seem to be very slow on paying it.

Keep hoping to see it some day to see what they actually do.

Picking +12.3 % for this round.
P@Q

Quote from: notlist3d on November 28, 2015, 01:20:17 AM

Quote from: Tupsu on November 28, 2015, 01:18:03 AM

+10.0 = Tupsu

So Far at this point:

-1.1 = philipma1957
+10.0 = Tupsu
+12.3 = EternalWingsofGod

i think i wrote that i am not picking that and will wait to near the end to pick.

The cats are really worried about ROI. I'm afraid there will be a real mess in the litter box after this adjustment...

+9.2 = edonkey

+8.6 = Herbpean

Thanks !

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

169
178
170
162 really bad 4 days but all last diff these four ending the last adjustment = 679

154 11/24/2015
152 11/25/2015
174 11/26/2015
128 11/27/2015 these four to start this period will be about 615

so 4 x 144 = 576 we are at 608 so +5.55% is 'real' time.

These weird monster drop days like today 128 really seem to show a ghost mine of s-3's or s-5's. the owner of the mine gets short term power 1, 2, 3, 4 days then needs to power off.

I would not think it is bit fury or sp-tech doing it as I would think one or two tests and it will just stay up.

But a Chinese 20 ph or 30 ph mine of older gear with free power seems like it could be true.

Look at the pattern.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-28 --112
10-29 --153
10-30 --167
10-31 --149
11-1 -- 150
11-2 -- 158
11-3 -- 153
11-4 -- 157
11-5 -- 146
11-6 -- 142
11-7 -- 153
11-8 -- 143
11-9 -- 148
11-10 --145
11-11 --169
11-12 --158
11-13 --161
11-14 -- 146
11-15 --156
11-16-- 175
11-17-- 146
11-18-- 156
11-19-- 131
11-20-- 169
11-21-- 178
11-22-- 170
11-23-- 162
11-24-- 154
11-25-- 152
11-26-- 174
11-27 --128

big swing days have become very common over the last two months.

@ notlist I am picking at the end and not my repeater. although if we are really low I reserve right to pick any unpicked number available.

+10.1 = zebedee

Thank you

+11 = mavericklm

10x!

	Author	Topic: Diff thread Nov 23 to Dec 7 Set up stage- Picks CLOSED! (Read 8687 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic.