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Author Topic: Yet another analyst :)  (Read 269523 times)
BrightAnarchist
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June 22, 2013, 06:47:55 PM
 #2341

I agree. My model is deflation followed by hyperinflation. But don't underestimate the deflationary part of the cycle, it will be (and already is) intense.

Really? I'm still waiting to see prices dropping around me; or at least stop increasing.  Huh

It takes a while for falling prices to register in the PPIFGS, since the economy is such a lagging indicator. The thing I'm watching is the collapse in commodities, especially gold and silver. These types of declines are a precursor to falling prices throughout the economy, and we are at the correct time in the K-cycle for deflation (winter). We are very, very early in this new phase - heck, stocks only topped a few weeks ago! Give it time.
lucif (OP)
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June 22, 2013, 06:58:05 PM
 #2342

There is a big mistake in common trader thinking. They think that gold derivatives === gold. They think wtf derivatives === wtf.

This is not true. Derivatives destroyed absolutely any backing goods properties. Trader who buy "gold" doesn't really need gold. All he need is to sell this gold paper to another trader. He doesn't care about gold itself. This is fundamental vulnerability in economy. As well as another one: holder of WTF LLC papers can rent his papers to broker for short selling purposes. So holder of company papers is interested to play against his company.

This is total cancer of economy. This is all invented only to manage this huge amount of  free printed dollars. Manage those empty dollars circulation and dont let it stop.
ArticMine
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June 22, 2013, 08:16:41 PM
 #2343

Here in Canada the real-estate is still at an all time high.  Angry

Just watch bond rates and consequently mortgage rates.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
Frozenlock
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June 22, 2013, 08:47:52 PM
 #2344

Here in Canada the real-estate is still at an all time high.  Angry

Just watch bond rates and consequently mortgage rates.

Oh, I fully expect the mother of all crashes in real-estate to happen soon.
I'm just saying I don't see deflation -- yet.
Rampion
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June 22, 2013, 09:17:14 PM
 #2345

There is a big mistake in common trader thinking. They think that gold derivatives === gold. They think wtf derivatives === wtf.

This is not true. Derivatives destroyed absolutely any backing goods properties. Trader who buy "gold" doesn't really need gold. All he need is to sell this gold paper to another trader. He doesn't care about gold itself. This is fundamental vulnerability in economy. As well as another one: holder of WTF LLC papers can rent his papers to broker for short selling purposes. So holder of company papers is interested to play against his company.

This is total cancer of economy. This is all invented only to manage this huge amount of  free printed dollars. Manage those empty dollars circulation and dont let it stop.

So clear and true words, +10000 on this, lucif

All the derivative financial products and this creating money out of thin air is a blatant scam and a cancer for the economy, but the saddest thing is that actually these types of scams are driving the world economy, they reached its core, and they have infected every bit of it.

myself
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June 22, 2013, 10:13:33 PM
 #2346

Oh, I fully expect the mother of all crashes in real-estate to happen soon.
aye putting bonds and mortages on the sky level  and removing any form of state borrow-welfare

this have to big way to end bad
1) politicians invent a new type of enemy, terror and terrorism is getting old to keep Joe's in control
2) Joe's go bananas start to riot and elect some kind of communist+nazi+hippie politician for price controls and all the measures that destroy the economy

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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June 22, 2013, 10:18:58 PM
 #2347

Oh, I fully expect the mother of all crashes in real-estate to happen soon.
aye putting bonds and mortages on the sky level  and removing any form of state borrow-welfare

this have to big way to end bad
1) politicians invent a new type of enemy, terror and terrorism is getting old to keep Joe's in control
2) Joe's go bananas start to riot and elect some kind of communist+nazi+hippie politician for price controls and all the measures that destroy the economy

cybercrime

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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June 22, 2013, 11:20:40 PM
 #2348

Oh, I fully expect the mother of all crashes in real-estate to happen soon.
aye putting bonds and mortages on the sky level  and removing any form of state borrow-welfare

this have to big way to end bad
1) politicians invent a new type of enemy, terror and terrorism is getting old to keep Joe's in control
2) Joe's go bananas start to riot and elect some kind of communist+nazi+hippie politician for price controls and all the measures that destroy the economy

cybercrime

these goddamn annoying people.

PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
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June 22, 2013, 11:35:24 PM
 #2349

Oh, I fully expect the mother of all crashes in real-estate to happen soon.
aye putting bonds and mortages on the sky level  and removing any form of state borrow-welfare

this have to big way to end bad
1) politicians invent a new type of enemy, terror and terrorism is getting old to keep Joe's in control
2) Joe's go bananas start to riot and elect some kind of communist+nazi+hippie politician for price controls and all the measures that destroy the economy

cybercrime

these goddamn annoying people.

Why should you care about the peasants out there?

After all you are the new wealthy elite.
Gentlemen!
myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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June 22, 2013, 11:45:38 PM
 #2350

Why should you care about the peasants out there?

After all you are the new wealthy elite.
Gentlemen!
adjust monocle and reads this post

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
AceWallen
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June 23, 2013, 01:04:35 AM
 #2351

... expecting price on the long way down to 30 or even more.

Agreed.

And I thought I was bearish!  Cheesy
lucif (OP)
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June 23, 2013, 05:47:07 PM
 #2352

Bitcoin Foundation, lol!

 However if they shut down that bunch of stupid vip nerds, who do nothing and receive donations, I probably will be a bit happy.
myself
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chaos is fun...…damental :)


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June 23, 2013, 08:19:10 PM
 #2353

Bitcoin Foundation, lol!

 However if they shut down that bunch of stupid vip nerds, who do nothing and receive donations, I probably will be a bit happy.
remember is 3 weeks old stuff who did knew about this sold and took the USD long time ago

Quote
CA State Cease and Desist May 30

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
fr33d0miz3r
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June 23, 2013, 08:19:20 PM
 #2354

Bitcoin Foundation, lol!

 However if they shut down that bunch of stupid vip nerds, who do nothing and receive donations, I probably will be a bit happy.

+1
fr33d0miz3r
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June 23, 2013, 08:19:58 PM
 #2355

Bitcoin Foundation, lol!

 However if they shut down that bunch of stupid vip nerds, who do nothing and receive donations, I probably will be a bit happy.
remember is 3 weeks old stuff who did knew about this sold and took the USD long time ago

Quote
CA State Cease and Desist May 30

fucking insiders
Odalv
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June 23, 2013, 08:26:50 PM
 #2356

Bitcoin Foundation, lol!

 However if they shut down that bunch of stupid vip nerds, who do nothing and receive donations, I probably will be a bit happy.
remember is 3 weeks old stuff who did knew about this sold and took the USD long time ago

Quote
CA State Cease and Desist May 30

looks like big guys want get on train :-)
Crypt_Current
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June 24, 2013, 04:32:26 AM
 #2357

Why should you care about the peasants out there?

After all you are the new wealthy elite.
Gentlemen!
adjust monocle and reads this post

,


10% off at CampBX for LIFE:  https://campbx.com/main.php?r=C9a5izBQ5vq  ----  Authorized BitVoucher MEGA reseller (& BTC donations appreciated):  https://bitvoucher.co/affl/1HkvK8o8WWDpCTSQGnek7DH9gT1LWeV5s3/
LTC:  LRL6vb6XBRrEEifB73DiEiYZ9vbRy99H41  NMC:  NGb2spdTGpWj8THCPyCainaXenwDhAW1ZT
Lohoris
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June 24, 2013, 09:46:12 AM
 #2358

There is a big mistake in common trader thinking. They think that gold derivatives === gold. They think wtf derivatives === wtf.

This is not true. Derivatives destroyed absolutely any backing goods properties. Trader who buy "gold" doesn't really need gold. All he need is to sell this gold paper to another trader. He doesn't care about gold itself. This is fundamental vulnerability in economy. As well as another one: holder of WTF LLC papers can rent his papers to broker for short selling purposes. So holder of company papers is interested to play against his company.

This is total cancer of economy. This is all invented only to manage this huge amount of  free printed dollars. Manage those empty dollars circulation and dont let it stop.
I'm sorry, I'm no economist, but with my very limited knowledge — please correct me if I'm wrong — this sounds like total bullshit.

As long as a derivative/passthrough isn't a scam and can be really redeemed with the good that backs it, then what you said isn't true. If instead it is a scam and isn't really backed, then well a scam is a scam is a scam.

Short-selling is simply betting in a stock going down: since you can bet in a stock going up, it is perfectly natural to be able to do the opposite.

1LohorisJie8bGGG7X4dCS9MAVsTEbzrhu
DefaultTrust is very BAD.
farfiman
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June 24, 2013, 10:20:43 AM
 #2359

There is a big mistake in common trader thinking. They think that gold derivatives === gold. They think wtf derivatives === wtf.

This is not true. Derivatives destroyed absolutely any backing goods properties. Trader who buy "gold" doesn't really need gold. All he need is to sell this gold paper to another trader. He doesn't care about gold itself. This is fundamental vulnerability in economy. As well as another one: holder of WTF LLC papers can rent his papers to broker for short selling purposes. So holder of company papers is interested to play against his company.

This is total cancer of economy. This is all invented only to manage this huge amount of  free printed dollars. Manage those empty dollars circulation and dont let it stop.

As long as a derivative/passthrough isn't a scam and can be really redeemed with the good that backs it, then what you said isn't true. If instead it is a scam and isn't really backed, then well a scam is a scam is a scam.


It can't

"We are just fools. We insanely believe that we can replace one politician with another and something will really change. The ONLY possible way to achieve change is to change the very system of how government functions. Until we are prepared to do that, suck it up for your future belongs to the madness and corruption of politicians."
Martin Armstrong
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June 24, 2013, 01:44:16 PM
 #2360

When marketwatch is giving tips on how to avoid a 2008 crash, its because things are getting pretty fucked up.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-to-avoid-another-2008-stock-crash-2013-06-24
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