philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 24, 2016, 10:08:23 PM |
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I locked this by accident. iPad mini and fat fingers. sorry. https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin Difficulty: 113,354,299,801 Estimated Next Difficulty: 120,366,708,987 (+6.19%) Adjust time: After 269 Blocks, About 1.7 days Hashrate(?): 974,525,860 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.2 minutes 3 blocks: 27.7 minutes 6 blocks: 55.4 minutes Updated: http://bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 394868 Total BTC 15.122M Difficulty 113354299801 Estimated 118955395134 in 268 blks this is about 4.94% Network total 1052636.736 Thash/s Blocks/hour we are on tap to do 156/159 blocks today. so the last three days are 173 - 179 - 159 very impressive numbers.
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RichBC
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January 24, 2016, 10:49:54 PM |
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we are on tap to do 156/159 blocks today.
so the last three days are 173 - 179 - 159 very impressive numbers.
Yes it's amazing given the network size that so much additional hash can be added in 3 Days. I actually made it 176, 179 and I think Today could be over 160... Rich
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mavericklm
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January 24, 2016, 11:01:06 PM |
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Considering the 600% luck for the last 5blocks, that kano had at one point, i find no surprise in 200blocks per day Last 10 Blocks 2.1days 101.2% 46.89% 46.89% 0.0219 213.26%Last 50 Blocks 19.3days 101.0% 74.30% 73.68% 0.0224 135.73%Talking about luck over here! not upgrades or downgrades of the sha256 servers around the world... Estimated Next Difficulty: 120,526,206,236 (+6.33%) Adjust time: After 264 Blocks, About 1.7 days Hashrate(?): 970,313,773 GH/s Go down you bitch!
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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 24, 2016, 11:15:29 PM |
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we are on tap to do 156/159 blocks today.
so the last three days are 173 - 179 - 159 very impressive numbers.
Yes it's amazing given the network size that so much additional hash can be added in 3 Days. I actually made it 176, 179 and I think Today could be over 160... Rich off the top of my head let me check actual. http://btc.blockr.io/chartsthis is 176 then 175 https://blockchain.info/blocks/1453504441765this is 176 then 179 today at least 157 with 45 minutes left.
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d57heinz
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Bitcoin Talks Bullshit Walks
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January 24, 2016, 11:50:39 PM |
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Net Hashrate
1,077,979.46 TH/s according to the wallet
goin up the last couple hours or so.. was around 900 peta at noon today. thought we would see another drop.. but all sudden it quickly ramped back up.. Im hoping the peak of 1140 peta i seen is the very top
Best Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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mavericklm
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January 24, 2016, 11:54:38 PM |
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The variations get bigger and bigger! Can go to 700 or 1400 just for few hours!
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d57heinz
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January 24, 2016, 11:59:26 PM |
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The variations get bigger and bigger! Can go to 700 or 1400 just for few hours!
i agree seems with all this hash its been swinging very wild i wonder if that has to do with block propagation.. If half the network is constantly 30sec - 1 min behind at block change would that cause crazy flux.. or is that negligible at this point.. Interesting for sure Edit>> also i was thinking that they turned on and left it on all along and this could have just been network variance on finding blocks.. Hard to say.. But ive seen a lot question why one would turn on such a large amount and off(leaving coin on the table) but it could be testing or heat issue.. could also be a bad streak of luck as well.. Best Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 25, 2016, 12:02:13 AM |
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Final for today 171
So for three days we averaged over 175.
So we had about a 970 ph average for 72 hours
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d57heinz
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January 25, 2016, 12:04:39 AM |
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Final for today 171
So for three days we averaged over 175.
So we had about a 970 ph average for 72 hours
Nice thanks for that.. i thought we would see much bigger drop today.. More of wishful thinking i suppose.. looks like its finally getting adjusted to such a large amount being thrown on at once i suppose
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 25, 2016, 12:30:33 AM |
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The variations get bigger and bigger! Can go to 700 or 1400 just for few hours!
i agree seems with all this hash its been swinging very wild i wonder if that has to do with block propagation.. If half the network is constantly 30sec - 1 min behind at block change would that cause crazy flux.. or is that negligible at this point.. Interesting for sure Edit>> also i was thinking that they turned on and left it on all along and this could have just been network variance on finding blocks.. Hard to say.. But ive seen a lot question why one would turn on such a large amount and off(leaving coin on the table) but it could be testing or heat issue.. could also be a bad streak of luck as well.. Best Regards d57heinz well we do know that bitfury has a working chip that can do .06 to .11 watts per gh. we do know they built a 40 megawatt plant we do know all the wild swings started near that plant's announced startup. So my guess is cranking it up and down as they learn to manage the full speed full power . Last three days suck....
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notlist3d
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January 25, 2016, 01:48:13 AM |
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The variations get bigger and bigger! Can go to 700 or 1400 just for few hours!
i agree seems with all this hash its been swinging very wild i wonder if that has to do with block propagation.. If half the network is constantly 30sec - 1 min behind at block change would that cause crazy flux.. or is that negligible at this point.. Interesting for sure Edit>> also i was thinking that they turned on and left it on all along and this could have just been network variance on finding blocks.. Hard to say.. But ive seen a lot question why one would turn on such a large amount and off(leaving coin on the table) but it could be testing or heat issue.. could also be a bad streak of luck as well.. Best Regards d57heinz well we do know that bitfury has a working chip that can do .06 to .11 watts per gh. we do know they built a 40 megawatt plant we do know all the wild swings started near that plant's announced startup. So my guess is cranking it up and down as they learn to manage the full speed full power . Last three days suck.... Part of what I find scary if they really have them is bulk sales. They chances are will use internal and get first on all they want I would guess. Then they move to big buyers. And if you think about it I'm willing to bet they have some sales already saying once chip comes out they want to buy. Even at .11 it beats SP50, so not sure what SP team will do. Unless they play price games which did not help them on SP20's. So I think our main driving force will be bitfury. Only thing we don't know is if some companies such as Bitmain have one sitting there ready to make that can compete with bitfury. I almost hope bitfury is only one for a bit.... as I hate seeing high difficulty rising. Value is up around 400 again (a few dollars shy), but positive to see a tad bit of rising. Difficulty is not looking great.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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January 25, 2016, 01:53:13 AM Last edit: January 25, 2016, 02:03:41 AM by philipma1957 |
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The variations get bigger and bigger! Can go to 700 or 1400 just for few hours!
i agree seems with all this hash its been swinging very wild i wonder if that has to do with block propagation.. If half the network is constantly 30sec - 1 min behind at block change would that cause crazy flux.. or is that negligible at this point.. Interesting for sure Edit>> also i was thinking that they turned on and left it on all along and this could have just been network variance on finding blocks.. Hard to say.. But ive seen a lot question why one would turn on such a large amount and off(leaving coin on the table) but it could be testing or heat issue.. could also be a bad streak of luck as well.. Best Regards d57heinz well we do know that bitfury has a working chip that can do .06 to .11 watts per gh. we do know they built a 40 megawatt plant we do know all the wild swings started near that plant's announced startup. So my guess is cranking it up and down as they learn to manage the full speed full power . Last three days suck.... Part of what I find scary if they really have them is bulk sales. They chances are will use internal and get first on all they want I would guess. Then they move to big buyers. And if you think about it I'm willing to bet they have some sales already saying once chip comes out they want to buy. Even at .11 it beats SP50, so not sure what SP team will do. Unless they play price games which did not help them on SP20's. So I think our main driving force will be bitfury. Only thing we don't know is if some companies such as Bitmain have one sitting there ready to make that can compete with bitfury. I almost hope bitfury is only one for a bit.... as I hate seeing high difficulty rising. Value is up around 400 again (a few dollars shy), but positive to see a tad bit of rising. Difficulty is not looking great. as long as new gear is being developed the builders have an interest in keeping price up. From Feb 1 to July I see a lot happening. Notice those 200 block days have not happened this adjustment. Makes me think bitfury's 40 megawatt did those and now that diff jumped a few times we get 170-180 instead of 200-205 when the plant runs max. Really does make me think the network in in the 1010 area right now if everyone pushes the equipment owned. this jump may be 7% so 811 x 1.07 = 868ph with the ability to go to 1010 that would mean next adjustment no day will pass 168 If that is the case the bitfury 40 megawatt still makes sense. but it also means at least one more jump of 7% after this one. to 929 ph and one more after that to 993 ph so Jan 13 to jan 26 = 7% 868ph Jan 26 to feb 8 = 7% 929 ph Feb 8 to feb 22 = 7% 993 ph and then maybe we go flatter but since the network has shown a 970ph aver for 3 days in a row. I think we get to 1000ph before that feb22 guess
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d57heinz
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January 25, 2016, 02:29:18 AM |
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yeah i agree.. ive seen a couple wild peaks on the 8 hour but as far as the 24 hour it hasnt gotten much over 1 exa.. Lets hope bitfury comes thru in march. What im wondering if thats just chips or an actual miner? if we call the 8 hour peaks variance and the 24 hour a possibility of a peak running rate we could see 1100 ish ph/s
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 25, 2016, 04:28:24 PM |
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Closed! -3.5 = Quickseller -3.0 = pusttiu -0.2 = edonkey 0.0 = skuser +1.1= indiemax +1.7 = bileq +2.3 = RichBC +2.4 = vortexz +2.6 = Amph +2.7 = philipma1957 +2.8 = radiumsoup +3.1 = tertius993 +3.2 = tlhIlwI +3.4 = lanfeusst +3.5 = Ankara +3.6 = Mikestang +3.7 = -droid- +3.8 = Notlist3d +4.0 = wlefever +4.1 = d57heinz +4.2 = HerbPean +4.3 = alh +4.4 = ACAB +4.5 = Zebedee +4.6 = tss +4.7 = ezeminer +4.9 = Kexkey +4.9 = ailikun my error so both can keep this pick and both would get .1 +5.0 = Valkir +5.2 = blindminer +5.4 = flikflak +5.5 = tennozer +6.0 = Lituation +6.1 = kama +6.5 = ingiltere +6.6 = fr4nkthetank +7.0 = mavericklm +8.4 = wpt1wpt1 +9.1 = VirosaGITS +9.3 = adaseb +20.0 = Lauda final picks are above https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin Difficulty: 113,354,299,801 Estimated Next Difficulty: 120,677,920,231 (+6.46%) ------- I think we are going to carry over Adjust time: After 135 Blocks, About 20.1 hours Hashrate(?): 980,816,944 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 8.9 minutes 3 blocks: 26.8 minutes 6 blocks: 53.6 minutes Updated: we are have another solid day at least 160 blocks so 176 179 167 and 160 something for today big numbers for sure.
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notlist3d
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January 25, 2016, 05:26:26 PM |
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The price is recovering pretty significantly from the recent downturn.
I think my cat was relying on a lower price helping keep the difficulty flat. Perhaps there won't be any fishy treats in it for him this time...
We were hitting over 400 by a tad for a little bit last night. Now down around 390 so lost a little bit o the push up. We are getting closer and closer to difficulty change to: Bitcoin Difficulty: 113,354,299,801 Estimated Next Difficulty: 120,491,509,470 (+6.30%) Adjust time: After 130 Blocks, About 19.4 hours Hashrate(?): 978,037,329 GH/s
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wlefever
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January 25, 2016, 05:53:35 PM |
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I think we are stuck in a downward channel for the next 5-6 weeks on price. And it's looking like the difficulty increases are getting a bit tamer in the mid single digits. I just hope that lasts and we got under 5% until April when we should see Bitfurys chips.
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kama
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January 25, 2016, 09:23:23 PM |
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guys there is something like that "nearest choice will be profited" ?
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Mikestang
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January 25, 2016, 10:33:13 PM |
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Dropping price and rising difficulty isn't good for anyone, I would rather see the opposite happen! As long as the price floor stays ~$380 I don't think too many people complain, but personally I like seeing $4XX as the bottom, it just makes me feel better.
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edonkey
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January 25, 2016, 11:55:42 PM |
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The price is recovering pretty significantly from the recent downturn.
I think my cat was relying on a lower price helping keep the difficulty flat. Perhaps there won't be any fishy treats in it for him this time...
Why in the world did you repost my exact words from 5 days ago? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1326210.msg13622452Not that I object if someone else lets their cat guess the difficulty
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Was I helpful? BTC: 3G1Ubof5u8K9iJkM8We2f3amYZgGVdvpHr
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notlist3d
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January 26, 2016, 12:38:01 AM |
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Dropping price and rising difficulty isn't good for anyone, I would rather see the opposite happen! As long as the price floor stays ~$380 I don't think too many people complain, but personally I like seeing $4XX as the bottom, it just makes me feel better.
I would agree it is nice to see that 400+ price in head. Makes me think were heading right way. I'm kinda tired of 380-400 area but I guess it could be worse then that. Bitwisdom is pretty constant: Bitcoin Difficulty: 113,354,299,801 Estimated Next Difficulty: 120,576,340,401 (+6.37%) Adjust time: After 117 Blocks, About 17.5 hours Hashrate(?): 967,826,093 GH/s
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