@QS I think your estimate is wrong on several things.
I was not saying that the scenario would be particularly likely to be successful, but was rather checking his logic, and his math
#1 the rate per post is too high, esp. considering 100(!) senior accounts. Several well known, quality posters here can get premium rates, but to establish 100 of these accounts will take time. You also need 100 spots in campaigns. Knowing a few premium rates I dont think anyone currently gets 0.002 per post.
In the past, (if I remember the terms of the auction correctly), I received an effective rate of ~.0033 per post. The OP also referenced a currently open campaign that pays an effective rate of 0.002 per post (it is a fixed rate deal). In the past, many fixed rate deals paid .1 per month for 50 posts, which is effectively .002 per post, and in months past that increased somewhat, although currently it does not appear many of those types of deals are available.
It might be more reasonable if 10 or 20 accounts were used instead of 100, and if a large enough of a company with a large marketing budget came along, then it might be feasible to get all of them in custom deals that pay enough.
I would say it is unlikely you would be able to achieve .002 per post on this large of a scale today, however if a company with a very large marketing budget were to come around, then it might be more realistic. In much of 2014, there were a number of companies that altogether had the potential to support .002 per post over ~8400 posts.
#2 I dont think the number of posts per day are reasonable.
I would overall agree with your conclusion. At least based on the current posting volume of other people
*I am not sure that there are enough posts by other people that would allow you to make this many posts, especially over the long term.
#2.1 Whenever we had been in the same campaign your posts have been judged as more constructive than mine, so I will take you as an example for someone posting exceptional quality posts. Your total time here is 233 days, 13 hours and 27 minutes for a total of 8572 posts. 336327 minutes/8572posts = 39 minutes per post. The quality you can maintain even with several alts requires you to read more that you write. Even if you build an internal knowledge base (like you did) over time I would say 400-500 posts per week at the maximum you could achieve, no matter how many accounts are involved.
I have never posted just to post as many posts as I can from my QS account. A good deal of my time on my QS account has been researching things to formulate my posts, researching alts of people, conducting business via PM, otherwise sending PM's, and reading threads that interest me but are above my technical level to allow me to post in them.
When I first started posting for signature deals (prior to starting to farm accounts, and prior to QS), I was posting to post as much as I could, and my records indicate that I made roughly 1,700 posts from the middle of June through the same point in July, 2014. I spent probably 3-4 hours per day (maybe 5 hours some days), maybe 5-6 days per week posting. I was somewhat inefficient in finding threads to post in, and often encountered the problem of wasting a lot of time reading 3-4 pages of "this is great news" before abandoning an attempt to reply to a thread a second time. Doubling the amount of time I spent posting would put you at roughly 110 posts per day, and weeding out inefficiencies, and automating finding/loading of threads might allow someone to increase that by some amount more. I would say that 280 posts per day is probably a stretch if you were to maintain the post quality that I had as of back then.
#2.2 Lets take Amph as another example here. They have been criticised in the past for their post quality, but its still high enough for campaigns and nowhere near ban worthy. 169 days, 8 hours and 51 minutes per 22076 posts. 243891 minutes/22076 posts = 11 minutes per post.. At 10 hours per day 7 days a week thats still "only" 381 posts per week, even if we assume double the number of posts due to experience we are at 700-800 per week or 100-115 per day.
Those numbers roughly match mine above when I was posting with the intention of making as many posts as possible. Like I said, some of Amph's time is spent looking for threads to post in, and you could potentially use some kind of script to automatically load 3-4 threads while you are working on a post.
#3 there are only so many threads you can post in. Yes with certain tactics you can start discussions you are heavily involved in and get a high number of posts in a short time frame, but this requires another person to argue with you. If you have 2.8 posts per account per day you have to keep these discussions separated. I dont think there are enough discussions for 100 accounts in this fashion.
I would generally agree with this, although there are 10,000+ new posts made every day this month, so at least in theory there are enough posts to reply 280 times. A lot of these replies are probably in threads that have no interest to me, probably in the altcoin section. Remembering back to July 2014, a problem that I ran into was that I was running out of posts/threads to reply to. I believe this was roughly when the PD signature campaign was just winding down, and they were trying to weed out the spammers, so I had less people to reply to then in the past.
This was really before my time, however in the first part of 2014, it
might have been more realistic to make closer to this many posts. Or you could say that in early 2014, with BTC closer to 700-800, you would need to make roughly 1/2 as many posts to each $6,000 per month, so it would be more realistic.
#4 You have to keep the overhead for separating 100 accounts in mind. Not only would this be exhausting, but it would be very easy to make mistakes which would reveal a few of your alts.
There are no rules against having multiple accounts, and this rule has been applied to most reputable campaigns in the past. At the end of the day, campaigns are going to care about your post quality above the fact that you only have one account enrolled in their campaign. Anyone who care more about only allowing "one account per person" is acting irrationally.
I would say overall that the chances of pulling this off are low, however I would not say that it is "impossible" as most other people have posted in this thread.
