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Author Topic: Top 20 days for Bitcoin  (Read 71052 times)
dree12
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November 05, 2013, 01:17:22 AM
 #121

Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon.
 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC

If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble.
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November 05, 2013, 07:34:46 AM
 #122

This might be of interest to readers of the thread:
Monthly averages show that April top is definitely cleared.
Your numbers are a bit different from mine, and I suspect it is a difference in methodology. It seems you are taking the arithmetic mean of several weekly weighted averages. Is there a reason why the monthly weighted average is not used?

Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

To fine-tune the methodology more, you should try to use a data on all the markets. But it would not be significant.

Btw. nice work!

Btw2. And congratulations for the new ATH! Smiley
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November 05, 2013, 08:53:20 AM
 #123

Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon.
 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC

If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble.

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  Grin


Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
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  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
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November 05, 2013, 09:00:42 AM
 #124

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.
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November 05, 2013, 08:23:28 PM
 #125

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.

holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants.

we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.

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dree12
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November 06, 2013, 01:26:48 AM
 #126

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  Grin

Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected!

Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise).
 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC
2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC


Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it.

Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days.
Code:
"2010-08","0.0647499670783823"
"2010-09","0.061954020274147086"
"2010-10","0.10582991127505428"
"2010-11","0.27056745743101035"
"2010-12","0.24010984584593584"
"2011-01","0.38858180917534374"
"2011-02","0.8960578304157628"
"2011-03","0.8507913320085179"
"2011-04","1.502187236294624"
"2011-05","6.384160766440483"
"2011-06","18.548271754213044"
"2011-07","14.1037341177656"
"2011-08","9.752957091428916"
"2011-09","5.759628530472161"
"2011-10","3.301818830471977"
"2011-11","2.59770303849321"
"2011-12","3.508841773813272"
"2012-01","6.106948530818074"
"2012-02","5.0629012809481555"
"2012-03","4.88026245169567"
"2012-04","4.979702748141324"
"2012-05","5.062788532597013"
"2012-06","6.026649772612354"
"2012-07","8.043786615126523"
"2012-08","10.87919315075586"
"2012-09","11.465951649610172"
"2012-10","11.578438689611142"
"2012-11","11.505423856163247"
"2012-12","13.329754439355359"
"2013-01","16.30940895076361"
"2013-02","25.933876759727013"
"2013-03","58.144059684555"
"2013-04","115.09268141788563"
"2013-05","112.81303150360635"
"2013-06","108.3900675602325"
"2013-07","83.80252582024497"
"2013-08","105.79276538949902"
"2013-09","124.32868197086977"
"2013-10","156.4950743054255"
BitcoinAshley
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November 06, 2013, 01:41:05 AM
 #127

holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants.

we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.

I remember posts just like this when we were at $25 earlier this year ...  just take a zero off of your figures Roll Eyes

And there were a lot of people who sold at $27-30 calling the top  Grin
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November 06, 2013, 02:31:16 AM
 #128

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy  Grin
smoothie
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November 06, 2013, 02:51:17 AM
 #129

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.

+1 We agree on something.

 Grin see you at the $1,000 per BTC party.

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
      d█████████████████████████b     
    d██████████████████████████████æ   
  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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November 06, 2013, 02:54:54 AM
 #130

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy  Grin


Don't be so sure. It could shit all over us tomorrow. Always have some fiat waiting... never 100% in or 100% out.  Grin

(And buy nice things with the profits every once in a while... so that if it does all come tumbling down, you'll at least have something to show for it...)
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November 06, 2013, 02:56:34 AM
 #131

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy  Grin

I've witnessed every one of Bitcoin's many bubbles. From my experience, a bubble is always in the "early stages" until the moment it pops. Just some food for thought Wink.
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November 06, 2013, 03:03:46 AM
 #132

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  Grin

Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected!

Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise).
 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC
2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC


Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it.

Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days.
Code:
"2010-08","0.0647499670783823"
"2010-09","0.061954020274147086"
"2010-10","0.10582991127505428"
"2010-11","0.27056745743101035"
"2010-12","0.24010984584593584"
"2011-01","0.38858180917534374"
"2011-02","0.8960578304157628"
"2011-03","0.8507913320085179"
"2011-04","1.502187236294624"
"2011-05","6.384160766440483"
"2011-06","18.548271754213044"
"2011-07","14.1037341177656"
"2011-08","9.752957091428916"
"2011-09","5.759628530472161"
"2011-10","3.301818830471977"
"2011-11","2.59770303849321"
"2011-12","3.508841773813272"
"2012-01","6.106948530818074"
"2012-02","5.0629012809481555"
"2012-03","4.88026245169567"
"2012-04","4.979702748141324"
"2012-05","5.062788532597013"
"2012-06","6.026649772612354"
"2012-07","8.043786615126523"
"2012-08","10.87919315075586"
"2012-09","11.465951649610172"
"2012-10","11.578438689611142"
"2012-11","11.505423856163247"
"2012-12","13.329754439355359"
"2013-01","16.30940895076361"
"2013-02","25.933876759727013"
"2013-03","58.144059684555"
"2013-04","115.09268141788563"
"2013-05","112.81303150360635"
"2013-06","108.3900675602325"
"2013-07","83.80252582024497"
"2013-08","105.79276538949902"
"2013-09","124.32868197086977"
"2013-10","156.4950743054255"

"Current events form future trends" ~ Gerald Celente.

More of this to come...stay tuned.  Grin Grin Grin

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
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  ,████²█████████████████████████████, 
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 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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November 06, 2013, 03:23:53 AM
 #133

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

Donations: 1JVhKjUKSjBd7fPXQJsBs5P3Yphk38AqPr - TIPS
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November 06, 2013, 03:31:36 AM
 #134

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300.


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           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
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     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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November 06, 2013, 03:32:53 AM
 #135

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300


next year my friend

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November 06, 2013, 04:22:02 AM
 #136

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300


next year my friend

dont blink  Wink

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    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
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November 15, 2013, 10:37:19 AM
 #137

This thread is excellent but hasn't been updated for 10 days.  Any chance of an update?
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November 15, 2013, 10:39:15 AM
 #138


So smoothie was right again.
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November 15, 2013, 12:28:06 PM
 #139


I don't see 20 days in a row over $300

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November 15, 2013, 12:45:11 PM
 #140

Now that we have crossed 0.4USD/mBTC I would really like to see an update of this thread.

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