dree12 (OP)
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November 05, 2013, 01:17:22 AM |
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Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon. 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC 3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC 4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC 5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC 6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC 7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC 8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC 9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC 10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC 11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC 12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC 13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC 14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC 15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC 16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC 17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC 18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC 19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC 20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble.
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rpietila
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November 05, 2013, 07:34:46 AM |
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Your numbers are a bit different from mine, and I suspect it is a difference in methodology. It seems you are taking the arithmetic mean of several weekly weighted averages. Is there a reason why the monthly weighted average is not used? Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month? To fine-tune the methodology more, you should try to use a data on all the markets. But it would not be significant. Btw. nice work! Btw2. And congratulations for the new ATH!
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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smoothie
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November 05, 2013, 08:53:20 AM |
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Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon. 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC 3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC 4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC 5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC 6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC 7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC 8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC 9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC 10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC 11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC 12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC 13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC 14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC 15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC 16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC 17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC 18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC 19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC 20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble. See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh? Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".
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███████████████████████████████████████
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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rpietila
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November 05, 2013, 09:00:42 AM |
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Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".
That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time. Perhaps we can be friends after all.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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420
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November 05, 2013, 08:23:28 PM |
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Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".
That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time. Perhaps we can be friends after all. holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants. we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.
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dree12 (OP)
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November 06, 2013, 01:26:48 AM |
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See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh? Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected! Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise). 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC 2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC 4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC 5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC 6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC 7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC 8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC 9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC 10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC 11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC 12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC 13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC 14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC 15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC 16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC 17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC 18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC 19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC 20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?
Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it. Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days. "2010-08","0.0647499670783823" "2010-09","0.061954020274147086" "2010-10","0.10582991127505428" "2010-11","0.27056745743101035" "2010-12","0.24010984584593584" "2011-01","0.38858180917534374" "2011-02","0.8960578304157628" "2011-03","0.8507913320085179" "2011-04","1.502187236294624" "2011-05","6.384160766440483" "2011-06","18.548271754213044" "2011-07","14.1037341177656" "2011-08","9.752957091428916" "2011-09","5.759628530472161" "2011-10","3.301818830471977" "2011-11","2.59770303849321" "2011-12","3.508841773813272" "2012-01","6.106948530818074" "2012-02","5.0629012809481555" "2012-03","4.88026245169567" "2012-04","4.979702748141324" "2012-05","5.062788532597013" "2012-06","6.026649772612354" "2012-07","8.043786615126523" "2012-08","10.87919315075586" "2012-09","11.465951649610172" "2012-10","11.578438689611142" "2012-11","11.505423856163247" "2012-12","13.329754439355359" "2013-01","16.30940895076361" "2013-02","25.933876759727013" "2013-03","58.144059684555" "2013-04","115.09268141788563" "2013-05","112.81303150360635" "2013-06","108.3900675602325" "2013-07","83.80252582024497" "2013-08","105.79276538949902" "2013-09","124.32868197086977" "2013-10","156.4950743054255"
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BitcoinAshley
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November 06, 2013, 01:41:05 AM |
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holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants.
we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.
I remember posts just like this when we were at $25 earlier this year ... just take a zero off of your figures And there were a lot of people who sold at $27-30 calling the top
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jeffshed
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November 06, 2013, 02:31:16 AM |
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It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy
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smoothie
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November 06, 2013, 02:51:17 AM |
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Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".
That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time. Perhaps we can be friends after all. +1 We agree on something. see you at the $1,000 per BTC party.
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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BitcoinAshley
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November 06, 2013, 02:54:54 AM |
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It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy Don't be so sure. It could shit all over us tomorrow. Always have some fiat waiting... never 100% in or 100% out. (And buy nice things with the profits every once in a while... so that if it does all come tumbling down, you'll at least have something to show for it...)
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dree12 (OP)
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November 06, 2013, 02:56:34 AM |
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It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy I've witnessed every one of Bitcoin's many bubbles. From my experience, a bubble is always in the "early stages" until the moment it pops. Just some food for thought .
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smoothie
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November 06, 2013, 03:03:46 AM |
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See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh? Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected! Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise). 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC 2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC 4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC 5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC 6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC 7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC 8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC 9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC 10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC 11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC 12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC 13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC 14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC 15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC 16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC 17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC 18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC 19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC 20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?
Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it. Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days. "2010-08","0.0647499670783823" "2010-09","0.061954020274147086" "2010-10","0.10582991127505428" "2010-11","0.27056745743101035" "2010-12","0.24010984584593584" "2011-01","0.38858180917534374" "2011-02","0.8960578304157628" "2011-03","0.8507913320085179" "2011-04","1.502187236294624" "2011-05","6.384160766440483" "2011-06","18.548271754213044" "2011-07","14.1037341177656" "2011-08","9.752957091428916" "2011-09","5.759628530472161" "2011-10","3.301818830471977" "2011-11","2.59770303849321" "2011-12","3.508841773813272" "2012-01","6.106948530818074" "2012-02","5.0629012809481555" "2012-03","4.88026245169567" "2012-04","4.979702748141324" "2012-05","5.062788532597013" "2012-06","6.026649772612354" "2012-07","8.043786615126523" "2012-08","10.87919315075586" "2012-09","11.465951649610172" "2012-10","11.578438689611142" "2012-11","11.505423856163247" "2012-12","13.329754439355359" "2013-01","16.30940895076361" "2013-02","25.933876759727013" "2013-03","58.144059684555" "2013-04","115.09268141788563" "2013-05","112.81303150360635" "2013-06","108.3900675602325" "2013-07","83.80252582024497" "2013-08","105.79276538949902" "2013-09","124.32868197086977" "2013-10","156.4950743054255"
" Current events form future trends" ~ Gerald Celente. More of this to come...stay tuned.
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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420
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November 06, 2013, 03:23:53 AM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
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Donations: 1JVhKjUKSjBd7fPXQJsBs5P3Yphk38AqPr - TIPS the hacks, the hacks, secure your bits!
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smoothie
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November 06, 2013, 03:31:36 AM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
I say over $300.
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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420
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November 06, 2013, 03:32:53 AM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
I say over $300 next year my friend
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Donations: 1JVhKjUKSjBd7fPXQJsBs5P3Yphk38AqPr - TIPS the hacks, the hacks, secure your bits!
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smoothie
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November 06, 2013, 04:22:02 AM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
I say over $300 next year my friend dont blink
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| . ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM My PGP fingerprint is A764D833. History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ . LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS. |
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bullioner
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November 15, 2013, 10:37:19 AM |
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This thread is excellent but hasn't been updated for 10 days. Any chance of an update?
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rpietila
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
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November 15, 2013, 10:39:15 AM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
I say over $300 next year my friend dont blink So smoothie was right again.
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HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
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420
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November 15, 2013, 12:28:06 PM |
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one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark
I say over $300 next year my friend dont blink So smoothie was right again. I don't see 20 days in a row over $300
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Donations: 1JVhKjUKSjBd7fPXQJsBs5P3Yphk38AqPr - TIPS the hacks, the hacks, secure your bits!
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ErisDiscordia
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Activity: 1133
Merit: 1163
Imposition of ORder = Escalation of Chaos
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November 15, 2013, 12:45:11 PM |
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Now that we have crossed 0.4USD/mBTC I would really like to see an update of this thread.
dree12? Are you bored of this? Come back!
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It's all bullshit. But bullshit makes the flowers grow and that's beautiful.
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