Top 20 days for Bitcoin

[dree12]

Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon.

 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
 4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
 5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
 6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
 7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
 8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
 9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC

If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble.

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[rpietila]

This might be of interest to readers of the thread:
Monthly averages show that April top is definitely cleared.

Your numbers are a bit different from mine, and I suspect it is a difference in methodology. It seems you are taking the arithmetic mean of several weekly weighted averages. Is there a reason why the monthly weighted average is not used?

Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

To fine-tune the methodology more, you should try to use a data on all the markets. But it would not be significant.

Btw. nice work!

Btw2. And congratulations for the new ATH!

[smoothie]

Today's update confirms a new record high people were predicting by noon.

 1. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
 4. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
 5. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
 6. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
 7. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
 8. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
 9. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC

If this parabolic rise is to continue, this thread will likely take another nap until the next bubble.

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  


Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

[rpietila]

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.

[420]

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.

holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants.

we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.

[dree12]

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  

Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected!

Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise).

 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
 4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
 5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
 6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
 7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
 8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
 9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC

Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it.

Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days.

Code:

"2010-08","0.0647499670783823"
"2010-09","0.061954020274147086"
"2010-10","0.10582991127505428"
"2010-11","0.27056745743101035"
"2010-12","0.24010984584593584"
"2011-01","0.38858180917534374"
"2011-02","0.8960578304157628"
"2011-03","0.8507913320085179"
"2011-04","1.502187236294624"
"2011-05","6.384160766440483"
"2011-06","18.548271754213044"
"2011-07","14.1037341177656"
"2011-08","9.752957091428916"
"2011-09","5.759628530472161"
"2011-10","3.301818830471977"
"2011-11","2.59770303849321"
"2011-12","3.508841773813272"
"2012-01","6.106948530818074"
"2012-02","5.0629012809481555"
"2012-03","4.88026245169567"
"2012-04","4.979702748141324"
"2012-05","5.062788532597013"
"2012-06","6.026649772612354"
"2012-07","8.043786615126523"
"2012-08","10.87919315075586"
"2012-09","11.465951649610172"
"2012-10","11.578438689611142"
"2012-11","11.505423856163247"
"2012-12","13.329754439355359"
"2013-01","16.30940895076361"
"2013-02","25.933876759727013"
"2013-03","58.144059684555"
"2013-04","115.09268141788563"
"2013-05","112.81303150360635"
"2013-06","108.3900675602325"
"2013-07","83.80252582024497"
"2013-08","105.79276538949902"
"2013-09","124.32868197086977"
"2013-10","156.4950743054255"

[BitcoinAshley]

holy cow guys, calm down and put it back in your pants.

we'll probably bounce off the ATH, back to 230 240 for a day then maybe break through it. we may crash from $300 down to $200 or lower. this rally is fast.

I remember posts just like this when we were at $25 earlier this year ...  just take a zero off of your figures

And there were a lot of people who sold at $27-30 calling the top 

[jeffshed]

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy  

[smoothie]

Prediction: That #2 spot from April will need to get bumped off the top 20 list before we "crash".

That's quite a safe prediction. I am envisioning a nice, smooth rise to 4 digits over several weeks' time.

Perhaps we can be friends after all.

+1 We agree on something.

  see you at the $1,000 per BTC party.

[BitcoinAshley]

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy 

Don't be so sure. It could shit all over us tomorrow. Always have some fiat waiting... never 100% in or 100% out. 

(And buy nice things with the profits every once in a while... so that if it does all come tumbling down, you'll at least have something to show for it...)

[dree12]

It's so nice to be in the early stage of a bubble! everyones so happy  

I've witnessed every one of Bitcoin's many bubbles. From my experience, a bubble is always in the "early stages" until the moment it pops. Just some food for thought .

[smoothie]

See, it wasn't that "far" from passing the April high eh?  

Yep, that storm sure came faster than I expected!

Speaking of storm, another riotous record has been set (surprise, surprise).

 1. 2013-11-05: 0.23837 USD/mBTC
 2. 2013-11-04: 0.22048 USD/mBTC
 3. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
 4. 2013-11-03: 0.20650 USD/mBTC
 5. 2013-11-02: 0.20422 USD/mBTC
 6. 2013-11-01: 0.20261 USD/mBTC
 7. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
 8. 2013-10-31: 0.20040 USD/mBTC
 9. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC

Laziness. It is a logarithmic-trendline fitting exercise, and it does not change anything. But if you have the monthly VWAs, (starting June 2013 in Stamp), I could replace the values. Does your month end on Friday or the last day of the month?

Months in my dataset start on the first day and end on the last day. To be honest, I do not see the point of ending months on a Friday, but I am not a financial analyst so I have little experience with how they tend to do it.

Here's the full dataset, which switches from Gox to Stamp in June 2013. Note that June 2011 is incomplete due to Gox shutting down for a few days.

Code:

"2010-08","0.0647499670783823"
"2010-09","0.061954020274147086"
"2010-10","0.10582991127505428"
"2010-11","0.27056745743101035"
"2010-12","0.24010984584593584"
"2011-01","0.38858180917534374"
"2011-02","0.8960578304157628"
"2011-03","0.8507913320085179"
"2011-04","1.502187236294624"
"2011-05","6.384160766440483"
"2011-06","18.548271754213044"
"2011-07","14.1037341177656"
"2011-08","9.752957091428916"
"2011-09","5.759628530472161"
"2011-10","3.301818830471977"
"2011-11","2.59770303849321"
"2011-12","3.508841773813272"
"2012-01","6.106948530818074"
"2012-02","5.0629012809481555"
"2012-03","4.88026245169567"
"2012-04","4.979702748141324"
"2012-05","5.062788532597013"
"2012-06","6.026649772612354"
"2012-07","8.043786615126523"
"2012-08","10.87919315075586"
"2012-09","11.465951649610172"
"2012-10","11.578438689611142"
"2012-11","11.505423856163247"
"2012-12","13.329754439355359"
"2013-01","16.30940895076361"
"2013-02","25.933876759727013"
"2013-03","58.144059684555"
"2013-04","115.09268141788563"
"2013-05","112.81303150360635"
"2013-06","108.3900675602325"
"2013-07","83.80252582024497"
"2013-08","105.79276538949902"
"2013-09","124.32868197086977"
"2013-10","156.4950743054255"

"Current events form future trends" ~ Gerald Celente.

More of this to come...stay tuned.  

[420]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

[smoothie]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300.

[420]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300

next year my friend

[smoothie]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300

next year my friend

dont blink 

[bullioner]

This thread is excellent but hasn't been updated for 10 days.  Any chance of an update?

[rpietila]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300

next year my friend

dont blink 

So smoothie was right again.

[420]

one month of days over $200 will be a good landmark

I say over $300

next year my friend

dont blink 

So smoothie was right again.

I don't see 20 days in a row over $300

[ErisDiscordia]

Now that we have crossed 0.4USD/mBTC I would really like to see an update of this thread.

dree12? Are you bored of this? Come back!