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Author Topic: Top 20 days for Bitcoin  (Read 107131 times)
dree12 (OP)
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October 22, 2013, 12:23:38 AM
 #81

Still doing just fine. The last week has consistently featured price increases (with a few exceptions), and we're now approaching the price two days before the April peak.
1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
3. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
4. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
5. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
6. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
7. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
8. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
9. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
10. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
11. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
12. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
13. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
14. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
15. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81
16. 2013-04-30 W. Avg: 139.87
17. 2013-04-05 W. Avg: 139.22
18. 2013-10-15 W. Avg: 138.90
19. 2013-10-14 W. Avg: 135.27
20. 2013-04-23 W. Avg: 134.63
dree12 (OP)
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October 23, 2013, 12:26:09 AM
 #82

Squeaking into second place. Unfortunately, first is still a while away...
1.  2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2.  2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
3.  2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
4.  2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
5.  2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
6.  2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
7.  2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
8.  2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
9.  2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
10. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
11. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
12. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
13. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
14. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
15. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
16. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81
17. 2013-04-30 W. Avg: 139.87
18. 2013-04-05 W. Avg: 139.22
19. 2013-10-15 W. Avg: 138.90
20. 2013-10-14 W. Avg: 135.27

Biweekly weighted average has been broken though:
 1. 2013-10-09 through 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 152.80
 2. 2013-03-29 through 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 146.77
 3. 2013-10-08 through 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 145.42
 4. 2013-10-07 through 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 140.05
 5. 2013-10-06 through 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 139.14
 6. 2013-03-28 through 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 138.97
 7. 2013-10-05 through 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 134.30
 8. 2013-10-04 through 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 131.65
 9. 2013-03-30 through 2013-04-12 W. Avg: 129.61
10. 2013-04-19 through 2013-05-02 W. Avg: 129.11
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October 23, 2013, 12:27:22 AM
 #83

The king effect is in check.

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October 23, 2013, 06:23:14 AM
 #84

Biweekly weighted average has been broken though:

Shouldn't you wait until Sunday to assert this? Wink
dree12 (OP)
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October 24, 2013, 01:37:44 AM
 #85

Oh so close...
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
 2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
 3. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
 4. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
 5. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
 6. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
 7. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
 8. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
 9. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
10. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
11. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
12. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
13. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
14. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
15. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
16. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
17. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81
18. 2013-04-30 W. Avg: 139.87
19. 2013-04-05 W. Avg: 139.22
20. 2013-10-15 W. Avg: 138.90

10-day rolling average has been smashed.
1. 2013-10-14 through 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 162.97
2. 2013-04-02 through 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 159.03
3. 2013-10-13 through 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 157.88
4. 2013-04-01 through 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 153.54
5. 2013-10-12 through 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 150.43
dree12 (OP)
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October 25, 2013, 01:03:47 AM
 #86

Nothing new in daily weighted averages. Weekly weighted average has reached a new high though:
1. 2013-10-18 through 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 177.82
2. 2013-04-05 through 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 175.81
3. 2013-04-04 through 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 172.88
4. 2013-10-17 through 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 172.05
5. 2013-10-16 through 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 164.67
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October 25, 2013, 11:50:00 AM
 #87

Nothing new in daily weighted averages.

But now we're missing yesterday in the daily weighted averages?
x. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: xxx.xx
dree12 (OP)
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October 26, 2013, 12:54:47 AM
 #88

Nothing new in daily weighted averages.

But now we're missing yesterday in the daily weighted averages?
x. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: xxx.xx

There was nothing interesting in daily weighted averages. Here's today's; it remains relatively uninteresting. With some claiming the bubble has popped, it is possible we'll have to wait a while before we surpass April 9.
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
3. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
4. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 185.91
 5. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
 6. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
7. 2013-10-25 W. Avg: 179.40
8. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
9. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
10. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
11. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
12. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
13. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
14. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
15. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
16. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
17. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
18. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
19. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81
20. 2013-04-30 W. Avg: 139.87


Redaction:

Here's something marginally more interesting: weighted average by day of year. This data is uncorrected. Thus, all sorts of anomalies such as the end of data series, switch from Gox to Bitstamp, Gox trading freeze, February 29, etc. are left as-are.
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October 26, 2013, 12:44:48 PM
 #89

There was nothing interesting in daily weighted averages.

I think it is very interesting to know there were only 3 days with a higher daily weighted average then 2013-10-24. Anyway, thanks for these overviews, I appreciate it very much. Where do you get these daily weighted averages from?
dree12 (OP)
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October 27, 2013, 12:29:33 AM
 #90

Daily weighted averages are computed independently based on Bitstamp USD Volume / Bitstamp BTC Volume. Before June 10, 2013, Mt. Gox weighted averages from Bitcoincharts.com were used.
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
3. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
4. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 185.91
 5. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
6. 2013-10-26 W. Avg: 182.18
 7. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
8. 2013-10-25 W. Avg: 179.40
9. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
10. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
11. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
12. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
13. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
14. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
15. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
16. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
17. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
18. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
19. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
20. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81
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October 27, 2013, 12:54:09 AM
 #91

Daily weighted averages are computed independently based on Bitstamp USD Volume / Bitstamp BTC Volume. Before June 10, 2013, Mt. Gox weighted averages from Bitcoincharts.com were used.
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
3. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
4. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 185.91
 5. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
6. 2013-10-26 W. Avg: 182.18
 7. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
8. 2013-10-25 W. Avg: 179.40
9. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
10. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
11. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
12. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
13. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
14. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
15. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
16. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
17. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
18. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
19. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16
20. 2013-10-17 W. Avg: 141.81


This is just the beginning. We have a long way to go.  Grin

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October 27, 2013, 04:23:14 AM
 #92


Redaction:

Here's something marginally more interesting: weighted average by day of year. This data is uncorrected. Thus, all sorts of anomalies such as the end of data series, switch from Gox to Bitstamp, Gox trading freeze, February 29, etc. are left as-are.


Nothing interesting with this. It's just an alternative presentation of the recent bubble

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October 27, 2013, 10:44:10 AM
 #93

Actually, there may be something interesting in this.  The run up in April may have been solved as being as simple as people getting their tax returns back and investing large amounts in BTC.  It will be interesting to see if 2014 follows the same phenomenon.

1BitcHiCK1iRa6YVY6qDqC6M594RBYLNPo
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October 28, 2013, 12:33:35 AM
 #94

Slowly creeping back up.
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
3. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
4. 2013-10-27 W. Avg: 188.76
5. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 185.91
 6. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
7. 2013-10-26 W. Avg: 182.18
 8. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
9. 2013-10-25 W. Avg: 179.40
10. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
11. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
12. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
13. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
14. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
15. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
16. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
17. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
18. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
19. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
20. 2013-04-06 W. Avg: 142.16


Here's something marginally more interesting: weighted average by day of year. This data is uncorrected. Thus, all sorts of anomalies such as the end of data series, switch from Gox to Bitstamp, Gox trading freeze, February 29, etc. are left as-are.

Nothing interesting with this. It's just an alternative presentation of the recent bubble

If you look closely you can see the June 2011 bubble as well Smiley.
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October 28, 2013, 01:58:45 AM
 #95

Going a bit more in-depth, we have the king effect clearly seen in Bitcoin prices:


The king effect means that when Bitcoin goes back up above $30, it will either continue to rise before a sizable collapse, or collapse immediately. For example, all of the following are plausible scenarios:

  • Price remains below ~$25, with stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then quickly collapses below ~$25, with some stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then continues rising to around $40 before returning to the $25 to $30 level, with little stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then continues rising to far above $25 before collapsing but remaining above $25, with almost no stability

The king effect means that it is unlikely we will see both new highs and stability. One has to go.
That's cool. Learned something new.

joined this forum when the price was $99
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October 29, 2013, 12:15:30 AM
 #96

Continuing the trot to the top.
 1. 2013-04-09 W. Avg: 214.67
2. 2013-10-23 W. Avg: 196.25
3. 2013-10-28 W. Avg: 194.85
4. 2013-10-22 W. Avg: 189.14
5. 2013-10-27 W. Avg: 188.76
6. 2013-10-24 W. Avg: 185.91
 7. 2013-04-10 W. Avg: 184.65
8. 2013-10-26 W. Avg: 182.18
 9. 2013-04-08 W. Avg: 181.49
10. 2013-10-25 W. Avg: 179.40
11. 2013-10-21 W. Avg: 175.72
12. 2013-10-20 W. Avg: 165.18
13. 2013-10-19 W. Avg: 163.26
14. 2013-04-11 W. Avg: 158.93
15. 2013-04-07 W. Avg: 154.26
16. 2013-04-24 W. Avg: 152.07
17. 2013-10-18 W. Avg: 148.31
18. 2013-04-25 W. Avg: 143.07
19. 2013-10-16 W. Avg: 142.61
20. 2013-04-29 W. Avg: 142.25
dree12 (OP)
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October 30, 2013, 12:39:04 AM
 #97

Changed the format a bit. Data presented is still the same.
 1. 2013-04-09: 214.67 USD/BTC
2. 2013-10-29: 200.17 USD/BTC
3. 2013-10-23: 196.25 USD/BTC
4. 2013-10-28: 194.85 USD/BTC
5. 2013-10-22: 189.14 USD/BTC
6. 2013-10-27: 188.76 USD/BTC
7. 2013-10-24: 185.91 USD/BTC
 8. 2013-04-10: 184.65 USD/BTC
9. 2013-10-26: 182.18 USD/BTC
10. 2013-04-08: 181.49 USD/BTC
11. 2013-10-25: 179.40 USD/BTC
12. 2013-10-21: 175.72 USD/BTC
13. 2013-10-20: 165.18 USD/BTC
14. 2013-10-19: 163.26 USD/BTC
15. 2013-04-11: 158.93 USD/BTC
16. 2013-04-07: 154.26 USD/BTC
17. 2013-04-24: 152.07 USD/BTC
18. 2013-10-18: 148.31 USD/BTC
19. 2013-04-25: 143.07 USD/BTC
20. 2013-10-16: 142.61 USD/BTC
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October 31, 2013, 12:41:46 AM
 #98

Update. Prices are high enough that I feel it prudent to change the units slightly.
 1. 2013-04-09: 0.21467 USD/mBTC
2. 2013-10-30: 0.20105 USD/mBTC
3. 2013-10-29: 0.20017 USD/mBTC
4. 2013-10-23: 0.19625 USD/mBTC
5. 2013-10-28: 0.19485 USD/mBTC
6. 2013-10-22: 0.18914 USD/mBTC
7. 2013-10-27: 0.18876 USD/mBTC
8. 2013-10-24: 0.18591 USD/mBTC
 9. 2013-04-10: 0.18465 USD/mBTC
10. 2013-10-26: 0.18218 USD/mBTC
11. 2013-04-08: 0.18149 USD/mBTC
12. 2013-10-25: 0.17940 USD/mBTC
13. 2013-10-21: 0.17572 USD/mBTC
14. 2013-10-20: 0.16518 USD/mBTC
15. 2013-10-19: 0.16326 USD/mBTC
16. 2013-04-11: 0.15893 USD/mBTC
17. 2013-04-07: 0.15426 USD/mBTC
18. 2013-04-24: 0.15207 USD/mBTC
19. 2013-10-18: 0.14831 USD/mBTC
20. 2013-04-25: 0.14307 USD/mBTC
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October 31, 2013, 01:41:44 AM
 #99

I like watching the Aprils slowly creeping off of the list. Only 7 left! Unprecedented stability in this price range.
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October 31, 2013, 01:46:48 AM
 #100

I like the use of MBTC.

Rep for being one of the first to use this.

Once we pass 500, I'm in the bandwagon to change it on the exchanges.
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