10X at launch is possible
why would people pay 10X at launch when they can buy it today for X?
Why people buy lisk now at 10x when they could buy 10 times less during ico?
Same stuff.
the Lisk ICO closed many weeks ago. in the time between then and launch further demand grew organically.
the DAO closes and then immediately launches. everyone who wants to be in it has the opportunity to be in it at X. there is no wait period after it closes for further organic demand to grow.
FOMO, though I doubt very much that it'll go to 10x the final ICO price. Maybe 2x.
As for your earlier question, this post says that it requires 48 days to withdraw Ether directly from The Dao - and of course complains about it:
https://forum.daohub.org/t/can-we-agree-that-48-days-to-get-your-eth-back-is-unreasonable/2903/12Best that I can determine, getting your ETH out requires two votes. The second vote allows you to split off your portion; the associated smart contract sends your ETH to your personal address. So, in your calculations, a month-and-a-half seems reasonable as a start. My own admittedly non-techie intuition says that hardly anyone will go through the procedure, as it's much much simpler & quicker to simply offload your tokens onto an exchange. Doing so, of course, will not affect the ETH still held by The DAO.