Diff thread Apr 28 to May 12? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.30 btc

[philipma1957]

last game no winner  so a roll over to 0.30 btc

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1436869.msg14692790#msg14692790



 Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate



Apr 28 2016   178,659,257,773   -0.01%   1,278,892,782 GH/s

Okay rules  

1)you must have been on this site since March 1st 2016  you must have at least 30 posts.
2)I will check you out if you are new and decide if you can play.
3)you get one play. edit to be clear.

 3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed



here is last game

note format:


-1.2% = philipma1957  and if it wins I will roll it over.

+1.1 = mavericklm
+1.2 = NeuroticFish

+1.6 = jmumich
+2.0 = HerbPean
+2.5 = Veves1
+2.7 = edonkey
+3.0 = adaseb
+3.7 = Cuidler

+3.9 = VRobb
+4.0 = RichBC
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.3 = Notlist3d
+4.4 = ATguy
+4.5 = Ankara

+4.7 = zebedee
+4.8 = blindminer
+4.9 = Erumara
+5.0 = pusttiu
+5.1 = alh
+5.2 = wpt1wpt1
+5.3 = Fruitsbasket
+5.4 = DanDan
+5.5 = FUBAR-BDHR      
+5.6 = ingiltere  
+5.7 = vapourminer
+5.8 = Mikestang
+5.9  =  indiemax
+6.0 = ezeminer
+6.2 = tlhIlwI
+6.5 = talks_cheep
+6.7 = lolxxx ----- I checked my pm's and he sent one at 1:30 am asking for this number
+6.9 = alfacro
+7.0 = lolxxx   you picked 6.9 it was taken I gave you 7.0not a valid pick see two above


+7.1 = Amph
+7.7 = tertius993
+9.8  = Psi


4)Do not pick someone else's number If you do I will assign a number and that will not be changed
5) picks start at:

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   177,917,669,582 (-0.42%)
Adjust time:   After 1995 Blocks, About 14.3 days       1416  starting point
Hashrate(?):   1,225,601,712 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:50 (3.0 minutes ago)

6) picks end at

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   177,917,669,582 (-0.42%)
Adjust time:   After 1995 Blocks, About 14.3 days      816
Hashrate(?):   1,225,601,712 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:50 (4.3 minutes ago)

7)  since this is a free contest I make all decisions if there are any issues or problems.

[1714977458]

1714977458

[1714977458]

1714977458

[1714977458]

1714977458

[1714977458]

1714977458

[HerbPean]

So the hashrate is still off as I speak. I don't know what to think anymore

I was ready for "back to the sky" movement.

[HerbPean]

So the hashrate is still off as I speak. I don't know what to think anymore

I was ready for "back to the sky" movement.

remember the bitcoinwisdom info reflects part of the last jump!




but even this one which is closer to real time is a - for now.


http://bitcoincharts.com/



Blocks   409294
Total BTC   15.482M
 
Difficulty   178659257773
Estimated   177958754955 in 1970 blks   << small drop
 
Network total   1159042.014 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.44 / 662 s        <<<<<<<  and under the pace of 6.0
    

Price is 446 usd at coinbase

I based my opinion on the hashrate of the network, never on the estimate of bitcoinwisdom.

I was guessing a full hashrate recovery as soon as the Diff was done but it's not the case. We are still at 1,199,768,466 GH/s as I type.

[notlist3d]

So the hashrate is still off as I speak. I don't know what to think anymore

I was ready for "back to the sky" movement.

remember the bitcoinwisdom info reflects part of the last jump!




but even this one which is closer to real time is a - for now.


http://bitcoincharts.com/



Blocks   409294
Total BTC   15.482M
 
Difficulty   178659257773
Estimated   177958754955 in 1970 blks   << small drop
 
Network total   1159042.014 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.44 / 662 s        <<<<<<<  and under the pace of 6.0
    

Price is 446 usd at coinbase

I based my opinion on the hashrate of the network, never on the estimate of bitcoinwisdom.

I was guessing a full hashrate recovery as soon as the Diff was done but it's not the case. We are still at 1,199,768,466 GH/s as I type.

I think once in the period a little ways bitwisdom is fun to watch, although it can be off compared to real number.  It's speculation... which can be not so great.  To recap last week we got a pretty good change for miners - Apr 28 2016    178,659,257,773    -0.01%    1,278,892,782 GH/s

Coin value raised a decent amoung and fell to a little under 450... which is still good.  I hope to see this change and some more good things to continue.  Either way will be fun to watch with another roll-over as I do enjoy them as it seems to bring more people out.

[Kexkey]

So the hashrate is still off as I speak. I don't know what to think anymore

I was ready for "back to the sky" movement.

I think the big players are waiting for the halving to turn their new-generation hashers on.  If they'd do it right now, they would have an effect on the difficulty and they don't want that right now (well they did a few weeks ago when we saw 20% increase).  They are ready for the halving.  And when it comes...

...all the small hashers will turn off their gear.

But the big ones will turn on their new machines.  Difficulty would double, but since the small ones turn the switch off, the difficulty should be ok for them.  And they won't lose that much in the halving.  They are ready.

Meanwhile, they control the difficulty (by turning on and off machines; it's a game: "Hey let's try to get the diff to EXACTLY 0.00% this time!"), of course by colluding between the big ones in China.

[ezeminer]

So the hashrate is still off as I speak. I don't know what to think anymore

I was ready for "back to the sky" movement.

I think the big players are waiting for the halving to turn their new-generation hashers on.  If they'd do it right now, they would have an effect on the difficulty and they don't want that right now (well they did a few weeks ago when we saw 20% increase).  They are ready for the halving.  And when it comes...

...all the small hashers will turn off their gear.

But the big ones will turn on their new machines.  Difficulty would double, but since the small ones turn the switch off, the difficulty should be ok for them.  And they won't lose that much in the halving.  They are ready.

Meanwhile, they control the difficulty (by turning on and off machines; it's a game: "Hey let's try to get the diff to EXACTLY 0.00% this time!"), of course by colluding between the big ones in China.

Also depends on Bitcoin price. It'll be interesting to see how it changes over the next 2-3 months. Whether or not people jump on the bit train.

[ahmedjamal1998]

Okay I go for

+1.4

[HerbPean]

Yeah someone restarted the engine !

[Mikestang]

Yep, adjustment is done and they've fired up the farm(s) again, look at that hash spike back up!

I still think we'll be over 200G by the time the halving comes, but I would love to be wrong.

[notlist3d]

Yep, adjustment is done and they've fired up the farm(s) again, look at that hash spike back up!

I still think we'll be over 200G by the time the halving comes, but I would love to be wrong.

can not say you are wrong.  I am hoping for  six to seven days up to 5%   then slowing back down to the 0-1% range.

I would love to see this for two more jumps.  I am in the middle of firing up a third and final eth miner and i will mine eth for the next 2 months in house as the power requirements are low.

Eth has the nice thing of currrently requiring GPU's.   It still scares me a little on if someone makes a asic chip and keeps it to themself, kinda like x11 was handled.

Good news is we broke 450 again, so no big sell walls at this point with going up and down there. Coinbase has us at around 457 so were off to a nice start on value this period.

[RichBC]

First full Day of the new period and we had +9.2% with 158 Blocks. 7 Hours in Today we are sitting at a period Run rate of +1.83% so I would say well within normal variance for no change to the overall network Hash since the adjustment.


Rich

[lolxxxx]

Reserved .

[Mikestang]

Reserved .

Reserved for what?  So you can speculate later after it has already happened?  lol, I don't understand.

[notlist3d]

Reserved .

Reserved for what?  So you can speculate later after it has already happened?  lol, I don't understand.

Lol I don't get it either that is genius though. Reserve a first pick then after go I speculated price and difficulty perfect!  Would be funny but edit would be obvious.  I have a feeling it's someone trying to save spot on guessing... which will not happen.   And I could be wrong I'm just guessing.

Coinbase is down like 2 dollars around 455, so hard to be to mad but not getting that fast upward motion we were for a bit.

[philipma1957]

Okay prize is bigger so I have had some pm's trying to get a number.

No NO NO!

I can not allow anyone to do this.  Gives an edge to them.

also I will be watching for more maneuvers.  No sure what the reserve is for but since it is early and before pick time.

It will not be able to list a pick that counts.

[lolxxxx]

Reserved .

Reserved for what?  So you can speculate later after it has already happened?  lol, I don't understand.

Hehe sorry for bothering you guys i just posted reserved to get notified about this topic i don't know why when i click on notify button it don't work for me so i just posted . I read every single comment in this topic.

[RichBC]

Yesterday was +1.39% and 146 Blocks. We seem to be settling into a band between Zero and +5% with the Period Run Rate 6 Hours in Today at +4%. Let's see where we go from here?

Rich

[philipma1957]

Yesterday was +1.39% and 146 Blocks. We seem to be settling into a band between Zero and +5% with the Period Run Rate 6 Hours in Today at +4%. Let's see where we go from here?

Rich

PICKS OPEN IN ABOUT 100 BLOCKS


Some help to pick 

real time 2.7%  bitcoinwisdom estimate -1.83%     bitcoincharts + 2.71 %  with an up tick



 So we are close to   -1.83    to    +2.7%  

   If you told me pick right now I would pick higher then +1 %  lower then +5%

we have time to pick do not feel rushed.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   175,392,881,262(-1.83%) <<the estimate for the period is based on end of old adjustment it is wrong
Adjust time:   After 1519 Blocks, About 10.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,335,014,458 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.3 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   12:25 (2.8 minutes ago)


https://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   409747
Total BTC   15.494M
 
Difficulty   178659257773
Estimated   179107715717 in 1517 blks   <<<<< here is real time about +2.7%
 
Network total   1525602.780 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   7.16 / 503 s


look at the chart below

[philipma1957]

PICKS OPEN IN ABOUT 28 BLOCKS


Some help to pick  





 So we are close to      to    +2.7%  

   If you told me pick right now I would pick higher then +1 %  lower then +5%

we have time to pick do not feel rushed.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty






Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   177,120,609,112 (-0.86%)
Adjust time:   After 1444 Blocks, About 10.0 days  >> start at 1416
Hashrate(?):   1,358,440,621 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.6 minutes
Updated:   23:35 (4.6 minutes ago)


https://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   409820
Total BTC   15.496M
 
Difficulty   178659257773
Estimated   180088929694 in 1444 blks
 
Network total   1426028.503 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.69 / 538 s

so above is real time    1801/1786 =  0.8%








Frankly  we are higher then both estimates at the moment.

[alh]

So are we seeing some kind of deliberate pattern where say 100PH gets switched on shortly after the adjustment, and left to run for 5-6 days, and then switched off in the hopes that the overall difficulty doesn't rise to much for the next adjustment? During the 5-6 days they get a larger share of the pie, but don't have to pay the price with a higher difficulty later on?

I can't figure out if the math would work for that, or if we are trying to find something that isn't actually there.

Most interesting speculation. 

[philipma1957]

So are we seeing some kind of deliberate pattern where say 100PH gets switched on shortly after the adjustment, and left to run for 5-6 days, and then switched off in the hopes that the overall difficulty doesn't rise to much for the next adjustment? During the 5-6 days they get a larger share of the pie, but don't have to pay the price with a higher difficulty later on?

I can't figure out if the math would work for that, or if we are trying to find something that isn't actually there.

Most interesting speculation. 

It seems to have happened time and time again I think it is not that as much as some kind of power deal with short term but high use contracts

Say a 1 cent 30 mega watt contract for 2 or 3 or 5 days.

You could have a few farms with all s-5s. Scattered about China .
Cut a deal for a penny and the s-5 makes good money.

We all have seen photos of Chinese ghost cities.
So why not put three or four or five farms in with older gear cut 1 cent power deals here and there to help balance the grid

[Mikestang]

It seems to have happened time and time again I think it is not that as much as some kind of power deal with short term but high use contracts

If they do employ some sort of contract then they have full control over when and for how long the hash is deployed, it certainly isn't getting turned on and off at random times.

Sure screws up the guessing game, though. 

[RichBC]

Yesterday was +7.64% with 155 Blocks, we seem to be settling into a +4% to 5% band at the moment. Picks should be open in a couple of Hours time, good luck to everyone...

Rich

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

[Erumara]

Gonna go for -0.5 this time

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<<       please do proper format for entry see it on the left good luck

[VRobb]

+5.2 = VRobb

Someone's kicked on the afterburners again... crazy, and thanks philip for juicing up the btc game!

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<<       please do proper format for entry see it on the left.  good luck on pick


+5.2 = VRobb

[HerbPean]

Yeah the last spike was a record on bitcoinwisdom, might be variance but I think it's still bad news 

[fr4nkthetank]

+2.3 = fr4nkthetank


Maybe announce 0.1 reward, but give the actual reward 0.3 whatever so you dont attract unwanted attention by idiots/trolls/scammers.  But I love this contest, speculating on diff is awesome.  Remember, the s7's keep rolling out of bitmain's factory

[lolxxxx]

+1.5% i wanna pick this time .

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in





-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<< 

     please do proper format for entry see it on the left.  good luck on pick

+1.5% = i wanna pick this time.

 @ lolxxxx pleaz do proper format next time good luck on the pick








+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+5.2 = VRobb

[VirosaGITS]

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Hopefully the price keeps pushing upward.

[HerbPean]

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Hopefully the price keeps pushing upward.

Ho yeahhhh it's the 4-20 again !

[notlist3d]

We dropped under 450 and are around 446 on coinbase.  So it seems we might get a 450 wall and might take longer then I hopped to pass it as it keeps going back under it each time it goes above.

On hash rate I just hope we stay under 5 is my main goal.   I'm guessing we will as nothing "big" seems to be happening but it's early to tell.

[talks_cheep]

i'll take +4.6 if it's available. Thank you!

+4.6 = talks_cheep

[ahmedjamal1998]

Fine I take +1.4

[vapourminer]

gonna snag me trusty 5.5 before someone else snarfs it up again

+5.5 = vapourminer

[Mikestang]

I'm going to bet that the hash gets shut off again just in time, but I'm going to watch for a couple hundred blocks and try to figure it out.

[edonkey]

Fine I take +1.4

To help Phil out, you should format it like this:

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998

Like Mikestang, I'm holding out a bit for my guess.

[valkir]

And I'm back! 

+2.2 = Valkir

[Psi]

  This time I'll try,  

+3.2 = Psi


Thanks

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in





-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<< 

     please do proper format for entry see it on the left.  good luck on pick



Fine I take +1.4
ahmedjamal1998 pleaz do proper format next time good luck with your pick




+1.5% = i wanna pick this time.

 @ lolxxxx pleaz do proper format next time good luck on the pick







+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+3.2 = Psi
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.6 = talks_cheep

+5.2 = VRobb
+5.5 = vapourminer




to the three guy below and every else please try to list in the format below

-0.5 = Erumara


 + 1.4 = ahmedjamal1998

 +1.5  =   lolxxxx


I have a mac and a wide screen tv I put two pages up the list on the left the new picks on the right .

then I click and drag picks over.
It is fast and very accurate  easy for me.

not easy
Gonna go for -0.5 this time
+1.5% i wanna pick this time .
Fine I take +1.4

with the prize getting bigger this time I do not want to make mistakes.

[notlist3d]

Price is heading opposite way as we want.  Were around 442 right now... so closer to the 440 then 450.  Not a good difficulty period on value so far.  We can see if it changes... but not looking so great right now.

Difficulty is not looking horrible is the good thing, but value is a bad thing right now.

[Amph]

+4.1 = Amph

[mavericklm]

+5.5 = mavericklm

Thank you!

I guess we bounce back a bit!

[RichBC]

So Yesterday was +9.03% with 157 Blocks and we have stepped out of the nice +4% to +5% Range. 6 Hours in Today we are at a Period Run Rate of +6% and looking like it could go higher?


Rich

[adaseb]

0.0 = adaseb

One day I will win this one.

[veves1]

+3.5 = Veves1

[indiemax]

+4.8  = indiemax

  no doubt, nowhere near as usual 

[adib]

+0.7 = adib

[usenet]

I would like to bet too

+0.9 = usenet

[philipma1957]

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in



-0.5 = Erumara    

    

0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.4  = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5  = lolxxxx







+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.2 = Psi
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   179,020,218,966 (+0.20%)
Adjust time:   After 1231 Blocks, About 8.4 days
Hashrate(?):   1,353,680,970 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.8 minutes
Updated:   

[NeuroticFish]

+1.0 = NeuroticFish

[topiOleg]

+3.0 = topiOleg

Price could touch 470 again next week to compesate for probably next small difficulty increase.

[HerbPean]

+3.4 = HerbPean

Thanks Phil !

[Cuidler]

+3.6 = Cuidler

Okay rules 

3)you get one play.

If its one lifetime play then I tried my luck last time so ignore my pick. If its one play every difficulty retarget then all fine.

[HerbPean]

+3.6 = Cuidler

Okay rules 

3)you get one play.

If its one lifetime play then I tried my luck last time so ignore my pick. If its one play every difficulty retarget then all fine.

One per diff, that's the fun of it ! 

[Cuidler]

One per diff, that's the fun of it ! 

OK but I think its obvious one cannot take all the available picks for free, so the rule is confusing, especially with OP saying:

I do not recall you playing so come back and pick at the correct time to pick.

And some people already picked this difficulty period as well as the last one... So I guess OP just reserves right to not list everyone if he suspect multiaccounting, which is fine given its freeroll

[HerbPean]

One per diff, that's the fun of it ! 

OK but I think its obvious one cannot take all the available picks for free, so the rule is confusing, especially with OP saying:

I do not recall you playing so come back and pick at the correct time to pick.

And some people already picked this difficulty period as well as the last one... So I guess OP just reserves right to not list everyone if he suspect multiaccounting, which is fine given its freeroll

You can pick once per Diff. There is limitation on who can take a Pick and when you can do it. It's pretty clear in the 5 rules specified in the first post.

[philipma1957]

+3.6 = Cuidler

Okay rules  

3)you get one play.

If its one lifetime play then I tried my luck last time so ignore my pick. If its one play every difficulty retarget then all fine.

I will clarify rule 3) from

3)you get one play

to  3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed





Picks are now open!






As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in



-0.5 = Erumara    

    

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib

+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx





+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5


please check picks above

[ingiltere]

+0.8 = ingiltere
It looks like we won't see a different adjustment this time again. Somebody (ghost hand) freeze the market, diff will be similar.

[philipma1957]

+3.6 = Cuidler

Okay rules  

3)you get one play.

If its one lifetime play then I tried my luck last time so ignore my pick. If its one play every difficulty retarget then all fine.

I will clarify rule 3) from

3)you get one play

to  3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed

Picks are now open!
As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara         

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx





+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5


please check picks above

[ezeminer]

I'll go for

+1.7 = ezeminer

Thanks Phil!

[HerbPean]

Hashrate(?):   1,421,597,893 GH/s

Higher then I would like to see this. Someone just added some Peta Hashes.

[zebedee]

+6.7 = zebedee

tqvm

[RichBC]

Yesterday was +5.56% with 152 Blocks, so the uptrend continues and we had a lot of very short blocks early this Morning which is pushing things on fuhrer. Still plenty of this to turn out as variance but period Run Rate now up to +6.5%.

Rich

[philipma1957]

+3.6 = Cuidler

Okay rules  

3)you get one play.

If its one lifetime play then I tried my luck last time so ignore my pick. If its one play every difficulty retarget then all fine.

I will clarify rule 3) from

3)you get one play

to  3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed

Picks are now open!
As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara         

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+6.7 = zebedee
please check picks above

[blindminer]

+2.7 = blindminer

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara         

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg

+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+6.7 = zebedee
please check picks above

[tlhIlwI]

+3.1 = tlhIlwI

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara         

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+6.7 = zebedee
please check picks above

[RoadStress]

+3.7! Thank you!

[fr4nkthetank]

wow the current diff adjustment is all over the place.  the suspense is killing me

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi

+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress


+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb

+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+6.7 = zebedee
please check picks above

[ATguy]

Thank you for the prediction contest. Unfortunatelly it looks like the next retarget might be around +5%, but last time it looked the same way and ended with 0%, so lets see how it ends

[HagssFIN]

+3.3 = HagssFIN

Thanks Phil!

[gnaoui]

+5.4 = gnaoui

Thanks!

[Dexter770221]

+5.3 = Dexter770221

[AM4Bitcoin]

+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin

thx

[wpt1wpt1]

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1

[notlist3d]

+5.8 = Notlist3d

I'm hoping still we end up under 5, but I don't think it's going to happen this period. I hope to be wrong though.

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress


+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.8  = indiemax
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin

please check picks above


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   184,942,374,022 (+3.52%)
Adjust time:   After 987 Blocks, About 6.4 days      ........ picks close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,386,577,191 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.3 minutes
Updated:   21:45 (5.5 minutes ago)

[Chris!]

+5.9 = Chris!

This is a really cool idea! I hope I'm not to late for today. Thanks for the opportunity!

[edonkey]

The cats are back! The crazy little one says:

+6.6 = edonkey

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress


+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep

+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin

please check picks above


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   186,166,592,077 (+4.20%)
Adjust time:   After 968 Blocks, About 6.3 days << picks close at block 816
Hashrate(?):   1,403,413,219 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes
Updated:   

[pusttiu]

+4 = pusttiu

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep

+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin

please check picks above


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   186,166,592,077 (+4.20%)
Adjust time:   After 968 Blocks, About 6.3 days << picks close at block 816
Hashrate(?):   1,403,413,219 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes
Updated:   

[Mikestang]

+6.9% = Mikestang

[RichBC]

Yesterday was the biggest so far this period with +15.97% and 167 Blocks. The uptrend continues and 6 Hours in Today the period to date run rate is at +6.5%. However as we have seen these trends can go either way, usually just after Picks Close  which will be in about 24 Hours time.


Rich

[FruitsBasket]

+ 5.1 = FruitsBasket

Thanks for this awesome game, good luck to everyone!

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep

+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+ 5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang

please check picks above

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   186,289,931,548 (+4.27%)
Adjust time:   After 943 Blocks, About 6.1 days  <<<<<<  picks end at block 816
Hashrate(?):   1,393,838,354 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.8 minutes
Updated:   4:40 (4.7 minutes ago)

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom keeps going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    186,994,737,738 (+4.67%)
Adjust time:    After 923 Blocks, About 5.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,420,120,580 GH/s

Think it's going to be higher then my guess.  Price in last 24 hours we hit around 450... and dropped to around 446 right now. I think there is some sell walls making 450 slow again.. but hopefully by end of difficulty period we are above 450  is where I would like to see us.

[philipma1957]

Bitwisdom keeps going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    186,994,737,738 (+4.67%)
Adjust time:    After 923 Blocks, About 5.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,420,120,580 GH/s

Think it's going to be higher then my guess.  Price in last 24 hours we hit around 450... and dropped to around 446 right now. I think there is some sell walls making 450 slow again.. but hopefully by end of difficulty period we are above 450  is where I would like to see us.

Maybe they turn off the 150ph farm tonight.

[Ankara]

+4.7 = Ankara
Surprisingly in this adjustment period estimated difficulty is always changing. It's hard to pick a choice so I pick the number which is shown as estimated difficulty right now.

[redhack]

+4.5 = redhack

Last 902 block.
Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   187,269,836,005 (+4.82%)
Adjust time:   After 902 Blocks, About 5.8 days
Hashrate(?):   1,403,367,385 GH/s

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+ 5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang

please check picks above

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   187,269,836,005 (+4.82%)
Adjust time:   After 902 Blocks, About 5.8 days >>>>>>>>>>>>  we stop picks at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,403,367,385 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.7 minutes
6 blocks: 55.4 minutes
Updated:   11:15 (3.9 minutes ago)

[HerbPean]

Bitwisdom keeps going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    186,994,737,738 (+4.67%)
Adjust time:    After 923 Blocks, About 5.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,420,120,580 GH/s

Think it's going to be higher then my guess.  Price in last 24 hours we hit around 450... and dropped to around 446 right now. I think there is some sell walls making 450 slow again.. but hopefully by end of difficulty period we are above 450  is where I would like to see us.

Maybe they turn off the 150ph farm tonight.

My guess is we are going to to stay with it until the end of the diff.

Hope i'm wrong and you're right tho ! ;-)

EDIT: I just took a look at the https://blockchain.info/pools and we see that F2Pool just overpass Antpoo during the last 48 hours. I don't remember seeing this when the "150 Peta" (If it's the same) was going online in previous Diff.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom keeps going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    186,994,737,738 (+4.67%)
Adjust time:    After 923 Blocks, About 5.9 days
Hashrate(?):    1,420,120,580 GH/s

Think it's going to be higher then my guess.  Price in last 24 hours we hit around 450... and dropped to around 446 right now. I think there is some sell walls making 450 slow again.. but hopefully by end of difficulty period we are above 450  is where I would like to see us.

Maybe they turn off the 150ph farm tonight.

My guess is we are going to to stay with it until the end of the diff.

Hope i'm wrong and you're right tho ! ;-)

EDIT: I just took a look at the https://blockchain.info/pools and we see that F2Pool just overpass Antpoo during the last 48 hours. I don't remember seeing this when the "150 Peta" (If it's the same) was going online in previous Diff.

That is interesting pools seem to be shifting more then I thought they would.  With it being F2 going up I think good chance hashrate is from china.  Hard to saw who really nothing big has been released.   

F2 did add Ether mining... so I give them credit on staying current.  But still surprised to see antpool shrink.

[flikflak]

+3.9 = flikflak

Thanks

[RichBC]

So just under 50 Blocks to go, time for a pick.... I hope I am wrong but I think everyone is calling it too low...

+7.6 = RichBC

[philipma1957]

As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang

+7.6 = RichBC


please check picks above

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   187,043,977,598 (+4.69%)

Adjust time:   After 860 Blocks, About 5.5 days >>>>>>>>>  we stop picks at 816

Hashrate(?):   1,410,610,393 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.6 minutes
Updated:






we have 40 some odd blocks to pick closing.

plenty of good numbers



3.8

5.7

6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4

7.0
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.5

plus any number over 7.6

if you have not  picked yet pick one!!

[wlefever]

+5.7 = wlefever

[philipma1957]

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5
+5.7 = wlefever
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang

+7.6 = RichBC


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   187,205,780,382 (+4.78%)
Adjust time:   After 849 Blocks, About 5.5 days   >>>>>>>>> we stop picks at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,423,010,212 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.6 minutes
Updated:   18:35 (5.4 minutes ago)




we have 33 some odd blocks to pick closing.
plenty of good numbers
3.8

5.7

6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4

7.0
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.5

plus any number over 7.6

if you have not  picked yet pick one!!

[alh]

+5.0 = alh   (I think this will fit)

[philipma1957]

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara        

  0.0 = adaseb

+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer




+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank

+2.7 = blindminer

+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     you are welcome!
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.0 = alh
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5
+5.7 = wlefever
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!

+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang

+7.6 = RichBC


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   187,373,680,464 (+4.88%)
Adjust time:   After 826 Blocks, About 5.3 days >>>>>>>>>> we stop picks at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,408,673,335 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.6 minutes
Updated:   22:5 (40.0 seconds ago)



Ten blocks left  no one wants that 3.8? or 6.0?  or other numbers with a shot?


I have more good news  after 8 months of mentioning my poor batch 1 s-7  I finally was paid compensation.   .33 btc


this will allow me to run this contest  until Sept 2016.

  I have to thank Yoshi = bitmainwarranty for this being fixed

So you all will get a few more plays at this.

Here is my thanks to bitmainwarranty

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1165628.msg14766591#msg14766591

[philipma1957]

we reached block 816 all picks are now closed good luck to all.

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom is over 5 now:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    187,946,454,230 (+5.20%)
Adjust time:    After 809 Blocks, About 5.2 days
Hashrate(?):    1,406,143,158 GH/s

With 5 day's left so will be interesting to see were we end up.  Coinbase is 449 and change still having trouble getting over and holding 450 currently.  So not the best difficulty period on change or value so far.

[RichBC]

I have more good news  after 8 months of mentioning my poor batch 1 s-7  I finally was paid compensation.   .33 btc


this will allow me to run this contest  until Sept 2016.

  I have to thank Yoshi = bitmainwarranty for this being fixed

So you all will get a few more plays at this.

Here is my thanks to bitmainwarranty

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1165628.msg14766591#msg14766591

Glad you got there in the end, and good news for the contest. Thanks..

So Yesterday was+7.64% with 155 Blocks, and Today we are off to a frisky start which has pulled the Period to Date Run Rate up to +6.9%. I may have undercalled my Pick.... or the Hash may just drop off as it has done before? 

Rich

[philipma1957]

I have more good news  after 8 months of mentioning my poor batch 1 s-7  I finally was paid compensation.   .33 btc


this will allow me to run this contest  until Sept 2016.

  I have to thank Yoshi = bitmainwarranty for this being fixed

So you all will get a few more plays at this.

Here is my thanks to bitmainwarranty

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1165628.msg14766591#msg14766591

Glad you got there in the end, and good news for the contest. Thanks..

So Yesterday was+7.64% with 155 Blocks, and Today we are off to a frisky start which has pulled the Period to Date Run Rate up to +6.9%. I may have undercalled my Pick.... or the Hash may just drop off as it has done before? 

Rich

I like to think we drop like a rock starting to night.

[alh]

While it would be nice to see 150PH "switched off" today, I am thinking that's not going to happen. I think this will turn into a "leg up" for difficulty that won't go away for quite a while (if ever).

Just my kinda pessimistic outlook.

[philipma1957]

While it would be nice to see 150PH "switched off" today, I am thinking that's not going to happen. I think this will turn into a "leg up" for difficulty that won't go away for quite a while (if ever).

Just my kinda pessimistic outlook.

It has dropped off in 15 adjustments since NOV.   about a 60 -150 ph drop   ,  but in Jan - Feb  it ran for 22 days in a row.

[notlist3d]

Look at price it bashed through the 450 area.... now currently at 462 on coinbase.  So nice little jump and good to see. 

Bitwisdom did also go up a tad today on what it shows:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    189,193,027,073 (+5.90%)
Adjust time:    After 705 Blocks, About 4.5 days
Hashrate(?):    1,430,151,127 GH/s

[Mikestang]

It has dropped off in 15 adjustments since NOV.   about a 60 -150 ph drop   ,  but in Jan - Feb  it ran for 22 days in a row.

And it looks like we may have hit the peak network hash power for the period already and it's leveling off, but too early to tell for certain.

[RichBC]

It has dropped off in 15 adjustments since NOV.   about a 60 -150 ph drop   ,  but in Jan - Feb  it ran for 22 days in a row.

And it looks like we may have hit the peak network hash power for the period already and it's leveling off, but too early to tell for certain.

Yesterday was +12.5% with 162 Blocks and continued to pull the run rate up. However Today we have had a few long Blocks which made for a slow start but we are correcting for that now and the Period to Date Run Rate, 5 Hours in, is +7.27%, so agreed we may have levelled off, but could still head in either direction from here?


Rich

[Kexkey]

+8.5 = Kexkey

Thanks!  

EDIT: Oops I'm too late.  Well, let's hope I was wrong anyway. 

[alh]

Whoever is responsible for "Switching off the 150PH" missed the memo before the weekend.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    188,771,332,059 (+5.66%)
Adjust time:    After 536 Blocks, About 3.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,411,995,799 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.4 minutes
6 blocks: 54.9 minutes
   
Updated:    17:30 (5.1 minutes ago)

[notlist3d]

Whoever is responsible for "Switching off the 150PH" missed the memo before the weekend.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    188,771,332,059 (+5.66%)
Adjust time:    After 536 Blocks, About 3.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,411,995,799 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.4 minutes
6 blocks: 54.9 minutes
   
Updated:    17:30 (5.1 minutes ago)

The positive side is look at coinbase, we broke through 450 again and looks good right now.  Were at 461ish on coinbase.  So very positive on value rising currently.  We will see if it lasts but it could be a good difficulty period as far as value if we can keep gains.  Early to say if it will happen.

Bitwisdom went down a little not a ton but a little:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    188,476,393,130 (+5.49%)
Adjust time:    After 529 Blocks, About 3.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,395,165,828 GH/s

[philipma1957]

just got back from brooklyn navy yard  we had a DIY audio speaker build contest.

So I was busy since  8am till now.



block count for sat

https://blockchain.info/blocks/1462590928160

410734 (Main Chain)   2016-05-07 23:53:18
410585 (Main Chain)   2016-05-07 00:01:04

that is 150  vs 144  or +6


and early sunday
https://blockchain.info/blocks/1462677328160

410749 (Main Chain)   2016-05-08 03:17:16

410735 (Main Chain)   2016-05-08 00:03:46

15 blocks in  the time it takes 20   or -5

so for the weekend  so far  we are at a     +1 pace.

granted it is too soon for the winding down to be official .

Fingers crossed that we back off more and have a gentle price rise .

Maybe a +3 % and a price of 480  at the end of this period.

[RichBC]

So the rate has definitely slowed a little with Yesterday being +4.17% and 150 Blocks. Like Yesterday we are off to another slow start and the Period Run Rate, 6 Hours in, now sits at +6.76%. Good to see the price holding and lets hope the rate drops over the last few Days of the Period?


Rich

[petahashminer]

i know picks are closed, but i want to guess

+ 9.9 %

[alh]

I guess they got their signals crossed and turned ON 150PH. Crazy spike on bitcoinwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    191,583,081,271 (+7.23%)
Adjust time:    After 374 Blocks, About 2.3 days
Hashrate(?):    1,433,575,801 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.0 minutes
3 blocks: 27.0 minutes
6 blocks: 54.0 minutes
   
Updated:    17:25 (21.5 minutes ago)

Doesn't look to me like a "gentle landing" near 0% like last time.

[RichBC]

yeah 15 blocks in 55 minutes  

Yesterday was a big Day with +16.67% and 168 Blocks. The start Today is also very High so very much looks like some Hash was added, only a couple of Days left for a pullback? Run rate Period to Date, 6 Hours in, is now up to +8.4%, so even my Pick looking on the low side.....


Rich

[RichBC]

We are seeing a lot of short Block Times Today and the Period to Date Run rate is on a climb.... Currently at +8.7% and showing no sign yet of slowing....  
If this trend were to continue for the rest of the Period we could see +9%

Rich

[notlist3d]

We are seeing a lot of short Block Times Today and the Period to Date Run rate is on a climb.... Currently at +8.7% and showing no sign yet of slowing....  
If this trend were to continue for the rest of the Period we could see +9%

Rich

Looks brutal we may push past  10.

Ouch a +10 is not going to be the funnest if that happens.  The good news is that might help keep price above 460.... so there is good news there if that happens. I keep hoping we get lucky and see a jump in value even more.

Will be interesting to watch that is the only for sure thing.

[Mikestang]

Yea this big peak this adjustment is looking to be more of a big plateau than a peak.  We may be seeing things turn on permanently until the halving.

[FARxYodakota77]

wish i could particapate :/

[RichBC]

Yea this big peak this adjustment is looking to be more of a big plateau than a peak.  We may be seeing things turn on permanently until the halving.

the guess they filled up the space made by all those   cheap s-7 sold and filled the racks with s-9s

Yes this is looking like a double wammy. First because I think you will be right and as the Run Rate is now over +9% we are likely to be over 10% this Period, but second wammy is because the Hash has come on late in the Period, only about 24Hrs to go, the Difficulty correction will significantly under-call the actual Hash added and I think we will be going into the next Period with around +10% as the starting point?


Rich

[alh]

For what it's worth, nextdifficulty.com has been suggesting an increase of 9.6% for several days. I thought for sure it was way too high.........

[Mikestang]

Yea this big peak this adjustment is looking to be more of a big plateau than a peak.  We may be seeing things turn on permanently until the halving.

the guess they filled up the space made by all those   cheap s-7 sold and filled the racks with s-9s

Which would also make sense to explain some of the previous peaks being the newly made s-7's coming off the line and getting plugged in at a mine before coming offline and being sold "as new".  I don't thinks all the hash is Bitmain, but I think generally this is what we are seeing happen.

And here I thought things would be quiet before the halving...

[alh]

Is there anything more "real" or substantial on the S9? I am skeptical of it's existence at this time.

[notlist3d]

Is there anything more "real" or substantial on the S9? I am skeptical of it's existence at this time.

Just pure speculation nothing has leaked or any good info that I know of.  People have talked about it more it seems with having coming.... but real info is just not there.  So it really is hard to say anything about it with any accuracy.

Coinbase slowly rising - 464.58 so nice to see that makes me feel gool on holding with recent upward swing.

[RichBC]

Is there anything more "real" or substantial on the S9? I am skeptical of it's existence at this time.

Just pure speculation nothing has leaked or any good info that I know of.  People have talked about it more it seems with having coming.... but real info is just not there.  So it really is hard to say anything about it with any accuracy.

Coinbase slowly rising - 464.58 so nice to see that makes me feel gool on holding with recent upward swing.

 I still have some coins on hand.
 I think about 10. Not sure I have to check


 Ah the s-9

I would love the s-9 to demo in the solar array.

The S9 rumour, as far as I can see, is entirely based off Miningsweden having an S9 Preorder Hash available in the Shop. Supposedly they did the same with S7, so mayhave some value?

Yesterday another big Day with +18.75% and 171 Blocks. Things have stabilised so far this Morning and the Period to date Run Rate is at +8.8% with around 150 Blocks to go. We might get a little pull back Today, but could still go either way?

Rich

[notlist3d]

Is there anything more "real" or substantial on the S9? I am skeptical of it's existence at this time.

Just pure speculation nothing has leaked or any good info that I know of.  People have talked about it more it seems with having coming.... but real info is just not there.  So it really is hard to say anything about it with any accuracy.

Coinbase slowly rising - 464.58 so nice to see that makes me feel gool on holding with recent upward swing.

 I still have some coins on hand.
 I think about 10. Not sure I have to check


 Ah the s-9

I would love the s-9 to demo in the solar array.

The S9 rumour, as far as I can see, is entirely based off Miningsweden having an S9 Preorder Hash available in the Shop. Supposedly they did the same with S7, so mayhave some value?

Yesterday another big Day with +18.75% and 171 Blocks. Things have stabilised so far this Morning and the Period to date Run Rate is at +8.8% with around 150 Blocks to go. We might get a little pull back Today, but could still go either way?

Rich

My thoughts are if they really don't have a date on the S9 with their pre-order.  So they could be collecting pre-orders a week or months. ahead.. they do not commit to anything that I see.  I think if they had true info they would be locked in a NDA and could not release any info let alone sell early.  So I don't give it a ton of merit.  

Price of BTC is still over 460 is the good news.   But the difficulty change is going to hurt that is for sure.  

*Edit

Looks like price went down a decent amount were around 450 so back down - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ . So loss of 10 dollars or so in a day is not so great considering we are looking at a jump in difficulty.

[HerbPean]

I can smell the new Gen hardware from here now Just kidding but it looks like it !

[notlist3d]

I can smell the new Gen hardware from here now Just kidding but it looks like it !

Or cashing in on last gen gear is also possible.  The companies have at cheapest cost likely will ever have on current gen.  So if they have electricity for a few cents... they could make some last profits before having.   It makes sense for some makers to do this.

I just hope they don't go crazy cashing out BTC to fiat.  I really want to see BTC value go back to 460+ were above 450+ still at least.  So not all terrible news I guess.

[alh]

Brace yourself, this one's going to hurt......

Bitcoin Difficulty:    178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:    195,059,596,071 (+9.18%)
Adjust time:    After 7 Blocks, About 1.0 hours
Hashrate(?):    1,493,660,864 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.7 minutes
6 blocks: 53.4 minutes
   
Updated:    23:0 (20.6 minutes ago)

[HerbPean]

May 11 2016   194,254,820,283   8.73%   1,390,530,167 GH/s

[Mikestang]

And network hash power is still climbing after adjustment.  This is it, the last push before the halving made of probably the next-gen gear.

[petahashminer]

will there be a new thread for upcoming difficulty?

[vapourminer]

ouch.

did the "off" switch for that 150ph break or something? heh

[notlist3d]

May 11 2016   194,254,820,283   8.73%   1,390,530,167 GH/s

Ouch that kinda hurt, think we all have same feeling on that.   Value has picked up a little around 455, it seems we keep going between 450-460 a lot during this period.

So really going into next difficulty change with value of around 455.  Hopefully it can pickup more.

[philipma1957]

will there be a new thread for upcoming difficulty?

yes and prize is 0.4 btc.


I will start it up later today  and picks will start in a few more days.

I will alter rules just a bit.  As I want a winner.


New thread link



https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1468645.msg14818036#msg14818036


picks are going to start later 1116  left and end later 716 left


I hope that makes picking winner  a little more easy.