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Author Topic: Diff thread Apr 28 to May 12? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.30 btc  (Read 6458 times)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 02, 2016, 04:28:14 AM
 #21

So are we seeing some kind of deliberate pattern where say 100PH gets switched on shortly after the adjustment, and left to run for 5-6 days, and then switched off in the hopes that the overall difficulty doesn't rise to much for the next adjustment? During the 5-6 days they get a larger share of the pie, but don't have to pay the price with a higher difficulty later on?

I can't figure out if the math would work for that, or if we are trying to find something that isn't actually there.

Most interesting speculation. 

It seems to have happened time and time again I think it is not that as much as some kind of power deal with short term but high use contracts

Say a 1 cent 30 mega watt contract for 2 or 3 or 5 days.

You could have a few farms with all s-5s. Scattered about China .
Cut a deal for a penny and the s-5 makes good money.

We all have seen photos of Chinese ghost cities.
So why not put three or four or five farms in with older gear cut 1 cent power deals here and there to help balance the grid

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Mikestang
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May 02, 2016, 05:26:21 AM
 #22

It seems to have happened time and time again I think it is not that as much as some kind of power deal with short term but high use contracts
If they do employ some sort of contract then they have full control over when and for how long the hash is deployed, it certainly isn't getting turned on and off at random times.

Sure screws up the guessing game, though.  Undecided
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May 02, 2016, 06:10:29 AM
 #23

Yesterday was +7.64% with 155 Blocks, we seem to be settling into a +4% to 5% band at the moment. Picks should be open in a couple of Hours time, good luck to everyone...

Rich

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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 02, 2016, 12:02:39 PM
 #24

Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

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.. PLAY NOW ..
Erumara
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May 02, 2016, 12:43:47 PM
 #25

Gonna go for -0.5 this time

Always hashing for the community. Oh, and dollars.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 02, 2016, 01:00:19 PM
 #26


Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<<       please do proper format for entry see it on the left good luck

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
VRobb
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May 02, 2016, 01:15:29 PM
 #27

+5.2 = VRobb

Someone's kicked on the afterburners again... crazy, and thanks philip for juicing up the btc game!

I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc
These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70
Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH!  Oh The SPEED!!!
philipma1957 (OP)
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May 02, 2016, 01:59:42 PM
 #28


Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in

-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<<       please do proper format for entry see it on the left.  good luck on pick


+5.2 = VRobb

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.. PLAY NOW ..
HerbPean
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May 02, 2016, 03:32:22 PM
 #29

Yeah the last spike was a record on bitcoinwisdom, might be variance but I think it's still bad news  Angry
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May 02, 2016, 07:25:30 PM
 #30

+2.3 = fr4nkthetank


Maybe announce 0.1 reward, but give the actual reward 0.3 whatever so you dont attract unwanted attention by idiots/trolls/scammers.  But I love this contest, speculating on diff is awesome.  Remember, the s7's keep rolling out of bitmain's factory Smiley
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May 02, 2016, 07:29:34 PM
 #31

+1.5% i wanna pick this time .
philipma1957 (OP)
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May 02, 2016, 07:37:19 PM
 #32



Picks are now open!


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,659,257,773
Estimated Next Difficulty:   178,525,027,676 (-0.08%) >>>>>>>> We are at +3.5%  this is real time
Adjust time:   After 1392 Blocks, About 9.5 days  <<<<< they will close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,388,110,052 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:   7:55 (5.2 minutes ago)


As usual my pick is:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  if I hit I will roll it back in





-0.5 = Erumara      <<<<<< 

     please do proper format for entry see it on the left.  good luck on pick

+1.5% = i wanna pick this time.

 @ lolxxxx pleaz do proper format next time good luck on the pick








+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+5.2 = VRobb

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
VirosaGITS
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May 02, 2016, 07:46:13 PM
 #33

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Hopefully the price keeps pushing upward.


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May 02, 2016, 08:00:50 PM
 #34

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Hopefully the price keeps pushing upward.

Ho yeahhhh it's the 4-20 again ! Tongue
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May 02, 2016, 10:05:32 PM
 #35

We dropped under 450 and are around 446 on coinbase.  So it seems we might get a 450 wall and might take longer then I hopped to pass it as it keeps going back under it each time it goes above.

On hash rate I just hope we stay under 5 is my main goal.   I'm guessing we will as nothing "big" seems to be happening but it's early to tell.
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May 02, 2016, 10:18:38 PM
 #36

i'll take +4.6 if it's available. Thank you!

+4.6 = talks_cheep

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May 02, 2016, 10:27:05 PM
 #37

Fine I take +1.4
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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May 02, 2016, 11:45:11 PM
 #38

gonna snag me trusty 5.5 before someone else snarfs it up again

+5.5 = vapourminer
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May 03, 2016, 12:18:22 AM
 #39

I'm going to bet that the hash gets shut off again just in time, but I'm going to watch for a couple hundred blocks and try to figure it out.
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May 03, 2016, 12:22:17 AM
 #40

Fine I take +1.4

To help Phil out, you should format it like this:

+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998

Like Mikestang, I'm holding out a bit for my guess.

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