My Speculation Thread (Charts and Analysis Included ;))

[Nixzor]

Well isn't that a little too convenient for them?  But I guess it would be good to find out if the master nodes came back online after the DDOS attack.  Can you give us a link where we could see a graph of all the active the master nodes?  That would be nice, thanks. 

Here you go: https://www.dashninja.pl/ if you scroll down near a graph you will see the total and active masternodes (4215 actives at current post)

Someone knew how to DDoS some masternodes and waited till the price started to rise to intentionally keep the price down. I noticed something similar while daily trading cryptos... some people are preventing certain coins in the market from catching momentum (eg.: they instasell if coin is over a certain value to bring it back)

[1715012851]

1715012851

[tokeweed]

Well isn't that a little too convenient for them?  But I guess it would be good to find out if the master nodes came back online after the DDOS attack.  Can you give us a link where we could see a graph of all the active the master nodes?  That would be nice, thanks. 

Here you go: https://www.dashninja.pl/ if you scroll down near a graph you will see the total and active masternodes (4215 actives at current post)

Someone knew how to DDoS some masternodes and waited till the price started to rise to intentionally keep the price down. I noticed something similar while daily trading cryptos... some people are preventing certain coins in the market from catching momentum (eg.: they instasell if coin is over a certain value to bring it back)

We need a site that shows a graph if the master nodes count is going up or down.  Does someone know how many master nodes were there before the DDOS attack and after it?  It wouldn't be surprising if there's less now than before the pump.

[e-coinomist]

Well isn't that a little too convenient for them?  But I guess it would be good to find out if the master nodes came back online after the DDOS attack.  Can you give us a link where we could see a graph of all the active the master nodes?  That would be nice, thanks. 

Here you go: https://www.dashninja.pl/ if you scroll down near a graph you will see the total and active masternodes (4215 actives at current post)

Someone knew how to DDoS some masternodes and waited till the price started to rise to intentionally keep the price down. I noticed something similar while daily trading cryptos... some people are preventing certain coins in the market from catching momentum (eg.: they instasell if coin is over a certain value to bring it back)

We need a site that shows a graph if the master nodes count is going up or down.  Does someone know how many master nodes were there before the DDOS attack and after it?  It wouldn't be surprising if there's less now than before the pump.

You should weight in Poloniex webpage failing with at least 50% of the whole effect. Some Masternodes failing could get faked from the very same node operators.

[tokeweed]

DASH/BTC:  There Could be a Short Selling Opportunity Here.



What goes up must inevitably go down and Dash is no exception despite the Bitcoin Jesus' love for it.  Even he can't turn 'water into wine' (aka making a miracle) on this one.  The market always decides in the end.

All the usual suspects are on this one.  A dwindling volume after a huge pump, the lower volatility and the falling price.  This could mean one of two things.  Accumulation or another dump.  You decide.

Please post your comments and tell me what you think.  A little argument saying I'm wrong won't hurt.  

[Nixzor]

Kraken just adopted Dash (http://blog.kraken.com/)
There has been some activity in dash lately...yesterday the number of masternodes was 4271 and now it is 4146 (data from http://178.254.23.111/~pub/masternode_count.png ).
There was a sell wall today on poloniex of 5k DASH at 0.06099999 that intimidated me from buying in but 5 mins ago got cancelled and I think its too late for me to buy in now.

[STT]

They put in those large sell walls to influence peoples perceptions, thats a common trick.  Also done on real stock books is gaming the order book in a similar way so I guess its a legitimate tactic.  Poloniex allows margin trading so I guess they are just trying to herd the cattle, maybe buying the Dash at a lower price then might be otherwise?

[sandiman]

They put in those large sell walls to influence peoples perceptions, thats a common trick.  Also done on real stock books is gaming the order book in a similar way so I guess its a legitimate tactic.  Poloniex allows margin trading so I guess they are just trying to herd the cattle, maybe buying the Dash at a lower price then might be otherwise?

I wouldn't waste time looking at the orderbook if I were you.

[tokeweed]

Just a little update.  The huge 'winners' Dash, ETH and Monero are looking riper and riper for shorting (charts coming later) while ETC is breaking out.  A lot of people say that the launch of Silbert's 10M USD private fund for ETC was responsible for this.  In all honesty I have no idea why but it would be nice if somebody would give us more info about ETC's upswing in the thread.

[tokeweed]

ETC/BTC:  What I Hate



This is when I start hating when something is going up in price...  When it starts doing a quick, parabolic rise.  I tend to get confused in these kinds of situations because:

1.  It means it's the time to start dumping because the price will fall after this.

2.  It means it's time to start getting excited because the price moves going up will be larger.

One of the two above will certainly happen.  The problem is, which one?  Please post your comments.

[tokeweed]

Are we back in the pre 2014 era where Bitcoin and everything else was rising without rhyme or reason?  Is this finally the cryptocurrency bull market we've all been waiting for?  If it is then place your bets and take the risk.  But I want to know what all you guys think?  I would be happy to hear your analysis. 

[vlight]

Wouldn't be surprised to see $100B Bitcoin market cap, but market crash won't surprise too.

Hoping for this:
https://cryptoyoda1338.wordpress.com/2017/05/04/the-golden-age-of-cryptocurrency/

[tokeweed]

Wouldn't be surprised to see $100B Bitcoin market cap, but market crash won't surprise too.

Hoping for this:
https://cryptoyoda1338.wordpress.com/2017/05/04/the-golden-age-of-cryptocurrency/

It's really going to get out of hand this new bull market.  I'm pretty sure of that.  And somewhere along the line a big crash is waiting to happen.  That I'm also pretty sure of.

Don't forget that most of these alts and platforms don't solve anything that Bitcoin is already doing.

[Anonylz]

Wouldn't be surprised to see $100B Bitcoin market cap, but market crash won't surprise too.

Hoping for this:
https://cryptoyoda1338.wordpress.com/2017/05/04/the-golden-age-of-cryptocurrency/

It's really going to get out of hand this new bull market.  I'm pretty sure of that.  And somewhere along the line a big crash is waiting to happen.  That I'm also pretty sure of.

Don't forget that most of these alts and platforms don't solve anything that Bitcoin is already doing.

besides that btc currently has a 100K tx backlog

[tokeweed]

Wouldn't be surprised to see $100B Bitcoin market cap, but market crash won't surprise too.

Hoping for this:
https://cryptoyoda1338.wordpress.com/2017/05/04/the-golden-age-of-cryptocurrency/

It's really going to get out of hand this new bull market.  I'm pretty sure of that.  And somewhere along the line a big crash is waiting to happen.  That I'm also pretty sure of.

Don't forget that most of these alts and platforms don't solve anything that Bitcoin is already doing.

besides that btc currently has a 100K tx backlog

Which should be fixed sooner or later.  That's the problem with most of us in this forum, we tend to think that Bitcoin is 'dying' because it's 'old' or it 'doesn't have X features'.  What we all fail to realize is Bitcoin is the most secure and most robust cryptocurrency ever.  It will stand the test of time.  I'm not saying other alts won't have their uses, I'm saying BTC will all be still in the middle of it all for a long time.

[tokeweed]

ETC/BTC:  Here is Where I Usually Get Confused



Ok, I have already said I've loaded heavy on ETC.  I want this to be my gamble of the cryptotrading endeavor of my life.  Now look at the chart above and this is when it starts to make me doubt about the whole 'investment'.  The things going on in my head are do I add more or is this the end of the trend and should I cash out?

Gambling too much on one altcoin really makes you question yourself.

[vlight]

If you're worried about your position, it means that it is too large. Generally you shouldn't really care what is happening. Try reducing your position if you're in doubt, and re-enter when you're more confident. These are just general common sense trading rules, not an investment advice 

[tokeweed]

Vlight, I wasn't really asking for any advice this time around.  I was merely trying to word out and share my thought process with all of you and hopefully get some comments but not advice.  I'm sure a lot of you here also had the same predicament as I'm having right now.  

If you must know, I'm loading the gun and preparing to fire.  I'm gonna put more money in the pot and buy more ETC.  Gamboool!

[e-coinomist]

Vlight, I wasn't really asking for any advice this time around.  I was merely trying to word out and share my thought process with all of you and hopefully get some comments but not advice.  I'm sure a lot of you here also had the same predicament as I'm having right now.  

If you must know, I'm loading the gun and preparing to fire.  I'm gonna put more money in the pot and buy more ETC.  Gamboool!

Which isn't performing that bad, for sure a pump but a double bottom at 9th & 13th may and at least +14% should be doable from today/rightnow by reaching the USD-ATH which is lower than ATH valued in BTC
The bitcoin run comes to the rescue and should get some support by ... that stupid ransomware incident.

[tokeweed]

ETC/BTC:  Buy, yes.  Buy, yes.  Buy???



As many of you already know, I have bet heavy on ETC.  Overall I like it better than Ethereum due to moral reasons, and no I won't argue about it.  That's just me.  But don't get me wrong I'll still buy ETH of there's an opportunity to profit from it.

Anyway, yeah...  Look at the chart.  Is it an opportunity to buy more, or is it time to sell on the pumps and invest the proceeds in something else (Tezos )?

Basically, the question is, is there any more upside for ETC?  Long term yes, potentially there's a great upside, I'm asking for the medium term like 3 - 6 months?

[tokeweed]

Check the movement on ETC.  A day later I posted my last chart about it in this thread, it started to move back up again.  Are the pump groups following this thread or what?    Just kidding.

Anyway, yup, I guess I got lucky again.  IF the price continues to surge past .005 BTC that is.  Good luck on all your trades.