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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (9.1%)
8/4 - 16 (13.2%)
8/11 - 7 (5.8%)
8/18 - 6 (5%)
8/25 - 8 (6.6%)
After August - 72 (59.5%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26485951 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
gentlemand
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December 06, 2017, 01:17:57 AM


"They can shut down Bitcoin in the blink of an eye by simply defining anyone who is a miner to be a financial institution."

Wut?

They're going to need rather a lot of round the world tickets for that, plus agents in every single building on Earth simultaneously.
toknormal
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December 06, 2017, 01:18:58 AM


"They can shut down Bitcoin in the blink of an eye by simply defining anyone who is a miner to be a financial institution."

Wut?

See also this. It has more detail on the actual text of the Bill.

https://steemkr.com/cryptocurrency/@floatingforest/us-senate-war-on-cryptocurrencies-bill-s-1241
fabiorem
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December 06, 2017, 01:22:28 AM






This should be spread among all hodlers. Not to spread FUD, but to inform everybody about it.

The sharks are pumping the price right now. Just hodl it.
AlcoHoDL
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December 06, 2017, 01:22:54 AM
Last edit: June 22, 2019, 01:36:33 AM by AlcoHoDL

Ladies and gentlemen. It is my great pleasure to announce a historic event in Bitcoin's unstoppable march to infinity. Today we have reached a new All-Time-High, one of special significance, that brings Bitcoin to 5-digit € values in Euro-Land!

BTC ATH @ Kraken!
10,000 €

To mark this special event, I'm offering you some of my unpublished original artwork, made for, and dedicated to all participants of the WO thread here at BitcoinTalk, for your viewing pleasure. The image posted is in 720p (1280 x 720 pixels) resolution. For those interested in using it as a desktop wallpaper for larger screens, or for other uses, please let me know and I will post versions in 1080p (1920 x 1080 pixels) and 4K (3840 x 2160 pixels) resolutions.

To the Moon and BTCeyond!
Enjoy!

gentlemand
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December 06, 2017, 01:23:41 AM

This should be spread among all hodlers.

The sharks are pumping the price right now.

That's what bigger fish than you or I have been doing since 2010 anyway. There'll just be more zeroes on the end.
Rosewater Foundation
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December 06, 2017, 01:23:55 AM


HairyMaclairy
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December 06, 2017, 01:24:58 AM

Grats to all of us.  That looks very nice indeed Alcohodl.  
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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December 06, 2017, 01:27:11 AM

Spending is easy. Just use the sweep option of a mobile wallet. In Mycelium  wallet, tap the 3 little dots in the upper right corner and choose "Cold Storage".

This will allow you to transfer all the coins to your wallet app. If you don't want to spend all your coins immediately, you can transfer the remainder to another paper wallet.

This is why I prefer to keep my coins in many wallets. You can sweep a wallet with only as many coins as you want to spend or feel comfortable carrying in your phone.

with the mycelium mobile app you can also sweep from paper wallet directly to another wallet, not just into mycelium. for example i swept a paper wallet directly to my trezor with it when i was splitting bcash out from it.
toknormal
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December 06, 2017, 01:33:07 AM






This should be spread among all hodlers. Not to spread FUD, but to inform everybody about it.

The sharks are pumping the price right now. Just hodl it.


Indeed.

It wasn't my intention to spread FUD. Rather to make people aware of the manipulation they're about to be exposed to. The only way to combat it is to decouple the behaviour of the cash and futures markets as much as possible.

The only way to do that if for people to *want* to hold bitcoin the asset as opposed to bitcoin the derivative or USD cash. That means they'll need to resist the tendency to value BTC in terms of fiat currencies and instead value it for its utility, store of value and future-proofing qualities.

i.e. hold through-ought dips and crashes.
HairyMaclairy
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December 06, 2017, 01:48:41 AM

I think everyone is just asleep at Bitstamp €. 
Heater
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December 06, 2017, 01:51:44 AM


<FUD deleted>



This should be spread among all hodlers. Not to spread FUD, but to inform everybody about it.

The sharks are pumping the price right now. Just hodl it.


Indeed.

It wasn't my intention to spread FUD. Rather to make people aware of the manipulation they're about to be exposed to. The only way to combat it is to decouple the behaviour of the cash and futures markets as much as possible.

The only way to do that if for people to *want* to hold bitcoin the asset as opposed to bitcoin the derivative or USD cash. That means they'll need to resist the tendency to value BTC in terms of fiat currencies and instead value it for its utility, store of value and future-proofing qualities.

i.e. hold through-ought dips and crashes.

My head hurts after reading this.

a) If you honestly believe this FUD crap you should put your money where your mouth is and short bitcoin & buy the dip.
b) Otherwise, shut up and stop spreading stupid FUD.

If you spread FUD, I assume it's A.

d_eddie
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December 06, 2017, 01:56:33 AM






This should be spread among all hodlers. Not to spread FUD, but to inform everybody about it.

The sharks are pumping the price right now. Just hodl it.


Indeed.

It wasn't my intention to spread FUD. Rather to make people aware of the manipulation they're about to be exposed to. The only way to combat it is to decouple the behaviour of the cash and futures markets as much as possible.

The only way to do that if for people to *want* to hold bitcoin the asset as opposed to bitcoin the derivative or USD cash. That means they'll need to resist the tendency to value BTC in terms of fiat currencies and instead value it for its utility, store of value and future-proofing qualities.

i.e. hold through-ought dips and crashes.
Of course. Extreme case: with everyone keeping their bitcoins and never selling, the Wall Street sharks can't buy "real" bitcoin, so their profits can only come on the derivatives side. For example, when they short massively, they can gain on cash-settled futures if the price goes down - provided there's a sucker who's longing those futures. If no hodler engages in derivatives trading, the sucker would be some trader - possibly another Wall street shark on the other side.

The logical question then is: what can a minnow do apart from hodling? Is there a way to benefit from swings in the derivatives market without touching one's btc stash?
toknormal
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December 06, 2017, 01:57:49 AM

a) If you honestly believe this FUD crap

It's not FUD. It's a coherent and thought about opinion on how the market dynamics could work when a futures market is introduced. Please stfu with your FUD accusations unless you've got a reasonable contribution to make that challenges the scenario. I'll be quite happy to entertain it.
Heater
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December 06, 2017, 01:57:55 AM

New ATH on Bitstamp $11920   Smiley

Finex is having a nap.
TERA2
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December 06, 2017, 01:59:08 AM

Another slow and torturous ATH, like chinese coin torture.
jojo69
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December 06, 2017, 02:00:17 AM

BOOM
toknormal
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December 06, 2017, 02:01:17 AM

Of course. Extreme case: with everyone keeping their bitcoins and never selling, the Wall Street sharks can't buy "real" bitcoin, so their profits can only come on the derivatives side. For example, when they short massively, they can gain on cash-settled futures if the price goes down - provided there's a sucker who's longing those futures. If no hodler engages in derivatives trading, the sucker would be some trader - possibly another Wall street shark on the other side.

The logical question then is: what can a minnow do apart from hodling? Is there a way to benefit from swings in the derivatives market without touching one's btc stash?

The thing is, in the gold market the derivatives price leads the physical price. Whatever the derivative sells for, thats the price dictated to the metal sellers.

We sure as hell do not want to end up like that and it might be wise to start understanding the priorities and dynamics of derivatives markets and how they can potentially impact BTC.

Bitcoin has one huge advantage over gold in that respect because it's liquid. Gold bars do not travel through wires so it cannot be traded electronically in its physical form. That basically hands the entire market over to the derivitaves. Bitcoin on the other hand can be so there's a big damper effect on the futures "tail wagging the dog" scenario.
Rosewater Foundation
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December 06, 2017, 02:04:34 AM

jojo69
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December 06, 2017, 02:04:39 AM

Of course. Extreme case: with everyone keeping their bitcoins and never selling, the Wall Street sharks can't buy "real" bitcoin, so their profits can only come on the derivatives side. For example, when they short massively, they can gain on cash-settled futures if the price goes down - provided there's a sucker who's longing those futures. If no hodler engages in derivatives trading, the sucker would be some trader - possibly another Wall street shark on the other side.

The logical question then is: what can a minnow do apart from hodling? Is there a way to benefit from swings in the derivatives market without touching one's btc stash?

The thing is, in the gold market the derivatives price leads the physical price. Whatever the derivative sells for, thats the price dictated to the metal sellers.

We sure as hell do not want to end up like that and it might be wise to start understanding the priorities and dynamics of derivatives markets and how they can potentially impact BTC.


The difference I see is that it is a royal PITA to actually settle in physical PMs (r0ach in the hold of the tramp steamer, sitting on his pallet of Ag, pops yet another no-doze and fingers his spare magazines while eyeing the, troublingly brown skinned, deckhands nervously) whereas Bitcoin settles within about an hour anywhere on the planet.  I think arbitrage is going to bite these futures in the ass.
d_eddie
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December 06, 2017, 02:05:02 AM


<FUD deleted>



This should be spread among all hodlers. Not to spread FUD, but to inform everybody about it.

The sharks are pumping the price right now. Just hodl it.


Indeed.

It wasn't my intention to spread FUD. Rather to make people aware of the manipulation they're about to be exposed to. The only way to combat it is to decouple the behaviour of the cash and futures markets as much as possible.

The only way to do that if for people to *want* to hold bitcoin the asset as opposed to bitcoin the derivative or USD cash. That means they'll need to resist the tendency to value BTC in terms of fiat currencies and instead value it for its utility, store of value and future-proofing qualities.

i.e. hold through-ought dips and crashes.

My head hurts after reading this.

a) If you honestly believe this FUD crap you should put your money where your mouth is and short bitcoin & buy the dip.
b) Otherwise, shut up and stop spreading stupid FUD.

If you spread FUD, I assume it's A.


It doesn't necessarily look like FUD to me. It could be construed as neutral speculation on what's going to happen next. Actually, that's how I'm receiving it. The summary of the quoted posts could be briefly phrased as "hodl for dear life."

I'm trying to understand if there's a better strategy that exploits the opponent's strength at one's advantage, like financial Aikido for hodlers. So I was stirring discussion, hoping to elicit informed, intelligent replies from savvy forum dwellers.

Incidentally, I think that the scenario depicted by the "FUD" (which, I repeat, doesn't look like FUD to me) is a medium term one. At first, naked shorting without a substantial hard underlying hedge (real btc in hand) can be too risky even for sharks.
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