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Question: When ATH?
Nov. 2020 - 44 (34.9%)
Dec. 2020 - 43 (34.1%)
Jan. 2021 - 14 (11.1%)
Feb. 2021 - 5 (4%)
Mar. 2021 - 5 (4%)
After Mar. 2021 - 15 (11.9%)
Total Voters: 126

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 24385924 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (151 posts by 39 users deleted.)
Saint-loup
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June 22, 2019, 06:34:22 AM

11.5k would be the 50% Fib from ATH.
Setting the SL very close from my trading stash.
SL for a long or a short order?
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June 22, 2019, 06:34:46 AM
Last edit: June 22, 2019, 06:58:25 AM by JayJuanGee
Merited by mindrust (1)

Some folks are very confident that it crashes after it goes over 10k and selling their coins. Risky risky...

I’m selling nothing until $20,000. Might off load 10% then.

Huh LFC?  Even you should know better than that.

Let me attempt to confirm a certain price dynamic with you.  

You realize that $20k is a kind of no-man's zone? or no selling your bitcoins zone?

Sure, of course there could be a bit of faking out in that price area, and maybe bitcoin prices might get stuck in that area for a bit of time, but really the odds of correcting downwards from there in any kind of meaningful way should be pretty damned low.  

So if you mare a bit worried that there might be a long correction then you should sell some BTC at below $17,500 or above $24,000-ish... Not in the $17,500 to $24,000 ish range...  Of course, anything can happen in bitcoin, so you have to be prepared for anything, but generally, there are going to be zones such as previous ATHs that are not really going to be areas in which BTC's price would be stuck for any meaningful length of time (relatively speaking).. especially, once on the way up and returning to those prices  - and likely shooting past.

Hopefully, you can figure out some kind of selling plan that is more realistic than to time any meaningful sales in that "no man's" zone.

Observing - $9,782.

Looks like we’re going up again. If I was a betting man, which I am.... I’d definitely say we’re going to break $10,000 this weekend.

I would like to go sideways for a bit though, I really don’t want a meteoric rise & flash crash. At this rate we’re going to see a new ATH BEFORE the halving.

Like I said, be really good to slow down a little.

Yeah, but what if she does not want to slow down?  And buy support is sufficiently following this uptrend based on mere dynamics of retracing territory in which we have already been.. and accordingly, $20k was NOT as BIG of a blow-off top as some of the bears and the BTC naysayers would like you to believe?

I do agree that there is some healthiness in pausing and pulling back a bit, here and there, but pulling back does not seem to be a necessary condition in something like bitcoin, in which many folks (including smart money) realize that it is the "real deal," and accordingly, they have a decent amount of desire (and even ability to do so) to attempt to front run the next parabolic price move.

Don't get me wrong, I remain prepared for any of the three directions, but I don't buy any of the arguments that seem to rely too much on assertions (meaning they put too much weight into such assertions) that we have to go down before we are capable of going further up.   

I’m more than prepared, I’m sitting on a stash of BTC just waiting to get rich Cheesy

All I mean when I say I’d like to slow down a bit is really that I’m worried we’re going too fast & I fear a massive crash like last time.
If it keeps going up with little retrace & we hit $100,000 by 2022 I’ll be the happiest man in the world.

I get you... I get you.

No one wants the thing to go up in such a quick way that it is NOT sustainable and then it seems to crash down more than it would have likely crashed down, if it were not for the overzealousness in BTC buying. 

I get it.. I get it...   But what the fuck can we do about it... I mean, I don't really want to criticize you for stating a preference, but you also have been around the block so many times that you likely understand that BTC does not give two ratt's asses what you would prefer, and sometimes the out-of-control just has to play out... The out of control plays out both upwardly and downwardly.  Of course it is a bit more comfortable when it plays out upwardly because us HODLers are getting richer, overall.

So, yeah, we know that the more that the BTC price gets heated, the more likely we are going to suffer at some point in the near future with a correction.. and perhaps even  a correction that makes us quite a bit more uncomfortable than we would prefer to feel.

But at the same time, that is bitcoin.  Our little friend bitcoin seems to overdo matters on a regular basis, and we cannot do shit about it, except attempt to prepare ourselves financially and psychologically for a kind of inevitability. 

In other words, we can wish until we are blue in the face that maybe bitcoin could slow down a bit and to act a bit more gradual and grown up... but she is not grown up.. and she is not gradual.... (at least not during times like these), and there's gotta be some way that we just have to figure out how to accept the situation.

I also understand that you have been engaging in a bit of a practice that involves a certain amount of over-investing into BTC, and so that way you are going to feel a lot better to get rid of some BTC at various stages on the way up.. rather than if you had been more conservative in your BTC investment, then you might be a bit more reluctant to give up any amount of BTC as the prices go up.. which seems great.. they are going up and up and up...

which feels good man.

Shave off .1BTC here or there, might make you feel a bit better too.. especially when the price is going up so god damned much... and even if the price does not come back down, sometimes it can feel good to create some downside insurance by shaving off a bit of BTC, here and there. ... even though  your BTC holdings might end up being only 98.36 rather than 100 or whatever damned round artificial and psychologically restraining random number that you have imposed upon your own psyche.

Yeah, I have been shaving off BTC from my holdings since April 1 and thereafter at $4,200, and yeah, I am not likely to get too many of those BTC back.. but I don't care.... and yeah, I was able to buy back some with a few of the significantly sufficient BTC price corrections that we had between $4,200 and $10,916... but there were only a few of those corrections that were in the 15% to 25% range and the remainder of them were even less that allowed me even less opportunity to buy back... but even though I could have had more BTC, I have found a kind of amount in which I continue to be comfortable to continue to shave off that value and to have the fiat from those BTC available in the event that BTC's price goes back, down (and it may well not go back down....... and I am ok with that)...

even shaving off coins... I still feel damned rich... feels good man.

So gotta find some area of comfort.. what is that area of comfort?  How is that area of comfort different for different guys... ?  Main thing is to find a comfort area that works to settle you, even when BTC's price is acting a bit out of control.. on the upside this time, which still remains a bit stressful.. I get it.  I get it.
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June 22, 2019, 06:37:45 AM

11.5k would be the 50% Fib from ATH.
Setting the SL very close from my trading stash.
SL for a long or a short order?

long ofc.
Never shorted BTC.  Wink
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June 22, 2019, 06:40:17 AM
Last edit: June 22, 2019, 06:56:41 AM by mindrust

My starter number is $50k.

Not going to dump all at that price point but I'll slowly be giving them away. 1 coin for every $10k till $100k sounds alright.

After all those years I believe reverse DCA'ing will do good to me as it did while collecting the coins.

I am not tight enough to wait for $100k

and

I know I'll be missing a lot If I dump all at $50k.

DCA= Best of both worlds. Works both ways.

P.S. $10780 Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
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June 22, 2019, 06:51:05 AM


Yes get ready for the moon,soon we will arrive at our destination. Smiley
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June 22, 2019, 06:57:01 AM


Yes get ready for the moon,soon we will arrive at our destination. Smiley

via Imgflip Meme Generator
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June 22, 2019, 07:00:31 AM

... words...blue in the face...

.
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June 22, 2019, 07:01:01 AM

Gotta love those weekend mornings when you wake up and realize there's been a huge pump during the night... and then you see other W.O. waking up and realizing the same thing.



Now let's go to 11k.
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June 22, 2019, 07:01:51 AM

Its great to wake up and see we broke 10k (not worth mentioning i woke up in midle of night 5 times to check price Smiley )

on a road to 50k
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June 22, 2019, 07:10:58 AM

seems like my target for the MicG price prediction game of 11322 for August will be wrong.


I am ok with that.

 Cheesy

of for the mountains for a week , wonder how the price will be when i come back
JayJuanGee
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June 22, 2019, 07:14:38 AM

Korea and India is already $10k.
https://twitter.com/ayandgbtcmax/status/1142133978062700544

This is going to go UP.

But stop when? Million dollar question.

In 2013-2014, I didn't even know what "moving average" was supposed to mean.

In 2017-2018, I knew a bit but not enough. Didn't have the knowledge to identify the bull and the bear market.

Now:

I AM PREPARED.

or I hope so :d


hahahahaha

Famous last words.

"now I am prepared."




I know that, probably, the pic looks more like bob than you, mindrust... but I am doing my best here.
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June 22, 2019, 07:18:53 AM

JayJuanGee
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June 22, 2019, 07:20:02 AM

WO love HM long time
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

FTFY


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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June 22, 2019, 07:21:33 AM

What kind of music are you listening to during this pump/fomo/hodl action? I made a thread you can toss up your choices.

I always play the same thing on pumps/fomo nights like tonite 6/21/19 at 9:48 pm CDT USA. Secret Agent Man. The lyrics seem to work.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bIFrGv0UQaQ

for being in 'mostly' full HODL mode. (Damn, that 10 BTC I sold at $3,965 in the depths of despair are kinda hurting right now) Sad

Anyway, a good nite with silly music. Post your links on this thread and/or listen..and contemplate my paper/tulip wealth Smiley

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5157131.new#new

whatever, having too much fun with this pump to actually do anything constructive ...so goofing off.

I like the raise, but to much, to fast isn't healty. The alts are getting crushed.

Yeah, I'm just living in the moment for right now, having fun, but this could bite me in the future. But for now the heck with it. Having a good time with this pump!



Muse Uprising
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=w8KQmps-Sog
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June 22, 2019, 07:25:48 AM

Korea and India is already $10k.
https://twitter.com/ayandgbtcmax/status/1142133978062700544

This is going to go UP.

But stop when? Million dollar question.

In 2013-2014, I didn't even know what "moving average" was supposed to mean.

In 2017-2018, I knew a bit but not enough. Didn't have the knowledge to identify the bull and the bear market.

Now:

I AM PREPARED.

or I hope so :d


hahahahaha

Famous last words.

"now I am prepared."




I know that, probably, the pic looks more like bob than you, mindrust... but I am doing my best here.

not moon, jupiter
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June 22, 2019, 07:28:39 AM

$420 support Wink weeeeee

HOPE TO SEE YOU IN PRISON SOON    Roll Eyes  >> CRIMINAL

OCCUPY GEMBITZ


If you have something to share with us concerning that dipshit please don't hesitate...  Grin
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June 22, 2019, 07:29:12 AM

what is the best resource for a full view of buy and sell walls? is there a better site than http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD ?


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June 22, 2019, 07:30:35 AM

Well I admit.

When Bitcoin tanked down to 5000, 4000 and 3000 I sold about 20% of my Coins :-/

This was obviously a mistake ;-)

At least I still have ~80% Cheesy

We’ve all made mistakes, there’s no point worrying about the past & things you can’t change.
I wish I’d bought a fuck tonne more at 3 figures.

What’s important though is that you have a stash now.

Prepare to be one of the new wealthy elite my friend. 2021/22 - watch this space.
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June 22, 2019, 07:34:45 AM

^It's me, isn't it.

you are hardly a drama queen.. you are one of the most sensible peeps I ever did meet on the interwebs.

I feel like you are the grown up in our cyber relationship.


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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June 22, 2019, 07:37:17 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

We may be just getting started. The last time the weekly EMA crossed over was October 25th 2015, which led to a two year bull market. We just went positive again on June 9th 2019. So maybe we are just getting started?



If this were a normal asset my instinct would look for a pullback to make a large cup and handle. But we all know Bitcoin is the extraordinary, unlike no other.
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