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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26965812 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Biodom
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July 12, 2025, 02:34:53 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Glad to be back above 100000€ too. That took some time since the dollar kept going down.

Dollar going down actually helped bitcoin to go up, as both dollar and bitcoin going up at the same time is less likely, usually.
I have no complains (so far).

OT: Dodge and Cox international stock fund is up 22.7% YTD vs 6.4% for SP500. Regional diversification, at least in stocks (if you have them), is key.
After more than a decade of under-performance, international stocks are vastly outperforming this year, overall, but are still below IBIT and MSTR.

"You only need bitcoin" thesis is in full bloom. I am not sure if someone even need too much stocks.
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July 12, 2025, 03:01:16 AM


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July 12, 2025, 04:01:12 AM


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July 12, 2025, 05:01:12 AM


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July 12, 2025, 06:01:15 AM


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JayJuanGee
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July 12, 2025, 06:03:33 AM
Merited by danadc (1)

I'll never get tired of watching our bags pump almost every single day.

I tend to start to get nervous, especially if the pump keeps happening.

I start to wonder if there might be something that I need to do differently.

Ongoing UPpity causes me to start to question myself.

Admittedly, we are not very far into this one, yet.

I might start to get nervous around $180k and higher, even though that is not even close to the 2017 pumpening, in terms of percentages... but it would start to hit upon 12x from our November 2022 bottom.

~$200,000 October/November.

X.

For some reason, $200k looks so high in that particular chart.

I am like this today lol

Sometimes it takes a bit of time to see if we are going to have significant movement, and so it is starting to look like we are... which is a good place to be, since we have not had a lot of upward movement since about January 20.. .. but yeah, now the break out above $112k seems to have gotten into better (more Uppity momentum) territories...especially as I type this post 10 hours after your earlier post.. but yeat as we are breaking above $118.4k. 
As i type this, we are on 117,800
I have built a very comfortable financial situation with my bitcoin holdings. I have been selling some of my stash above 100k, according to JJG withdrawal strategy (https://bitcoindata.science/withdrawal-strategy) I am using like 50% of the advance months.

But I am considering selling more than the recommended 5 months in advance.
The big question is: How far can we go?

Of course with that tool, I provided ball-parked ideas about being able to withdraw extra allowances during months that the BTC price is in areas that are historically higher levels, which historically we have seen the BTC price get to even higher than the 14x (or the 1,400%) higher than the 200-WMA..

And of course, right now, we are ONLY in the ballpark of 136% higher than the 200-WMA, so yeah each stage of getting higher can bring further excitement yet further authorizations to sell higher quantities, or more months of allowance in advance.

I frequently fear guys selling too much too soon or even using the tool to trade, since they might not yet be at their overaccumulation status, yet sure guys can do what they like, and even the tool could help someone to panic less than he might have had done under circumstances of not having the tool to keep him in some acceptable level of self-imposed moderation (since each guy can customize the withdrawal rates to their own psychological preferences).
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July 12, 2025, 07:01:13 AM


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July 12, 2025, 07:39:47 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1), Paashaas (1)

New Superman (2025) is quite.... supershit.  Shocked

Didn't have high expectations, although I was looking forward to watching this for several years,
exactly ever since this movie was announced during the very dark BTC days in Dec 2022 / Jan 2023.

Superman The Movie has a special place for me and I'm always interested in seeing what people
do with a reboot, not that I think it should be better or anything, just give me an entertaining 2 1/2 hour epic.

Here, Superman is battered around for nearly 2 hours solid and
if a superhero is rescuing someone, chances are high it's usually not Superman.
He is disrespected, people don't like him and seen as an annoyance in his own movie.
Everyone in this world thinks superheroes walking & flying around and doing stuff is normal.
If that is the case, then what is the point?
Lex Luthor has endless attack ideas available, some beyond the laws of physics to create havoc or hurt Superman.
It probably should have been called Super-Lex.
We learn Superman was sent to earth for a very nefarious reason.

Truly bizarre! A frustrating watch. Will stick to the 40+ year old ones. Far more logic and heart in those ones.
Even Quest For Peace looks like a carefully composed Mozart epic compared to this hectic horseshit.

3/10


At least BTC is "lookin' up" very much! Cool

Best movie of 2025 I've seen so far is: F1
Jurassic World Rebirth was a bit meh, but not as bad as Superman 2025.
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July 12, 2025, 07:41:51 AM
Last edit: July 12, 2025, 04:28:06 PM by AlcoHoDL
Merited by BitcoinBunny (5), LoyceV (4), JimboToronto (3), El duderino_ (3), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), Paashaas (1), jojo69 (1), d_eddie (1)

Hey WOers!

Too busy with real-life stuff... Would love to post more, but I barely have time to browse and quickly skim through the posts. Missed most of the party, but caught the first ATH.

Damn it, got a notification that a sell order filled yesterday. I had forgotten about it. Would probably have canceled it if I had known. No big deal, the amount was small anyway, but goes to show that every sell without a specific purpose will soon be a regret. Buy when you can, sell when you must, and only when you must!

Guys 'n' gals! Feels so great, doesn't it? Being so free to do whatever you want (most of it anyway). We are all so blessed. Was going through a list of items to buy, and just sent the order, didn't even check the prices.

Thanks to everyone for posting away, what a great community we've built. Seeing a couple of two-liner posts from Jay scared me a little, but I'm sure it's temporary. Love you Jay, keep posting!

Feeling good... Have a great Sat/Sun all.
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July 12, 2025, 08:01:12 AM


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July 12, 2025, 09:59:38 AM

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July 12, 2025, 10:01:14 AM


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July 12, 2025, 10:14:34 AM


Hall of shame

We need another prediction “Bitcoin is never going to hit 1M!”  Smiley
And someone is never going to feel any shame for the BS they spread, and the opportunities their readers lost.

Indeed. The fudfather.
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July 12, 2025, 10:29:56 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

program..... weekend pump.... loading....
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July 12, 2025, 11:01:13 AM


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July 12, 2025, 11:19:14 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Hall of shame

We need another prediction “Bitcoin is never going to hit 1M!”  Smiley
And someone is never going to feel any shame for the BS they spread, and the opportunities their readers lost.
Peter Schiff has an issue, but maybe which I may not call an issue because he is now 62 years of age. I remember he attended the bitcoin conference 2025 which was in May.

In an interview, he talked about how big the Bitcoin Conference is than gold conference, he also talked how they make their way towards politicians and how important crypto enthusiasts have been very relevant in other areas which are beneficial to lives. You can watch this video about it:


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=noEnLAhfbqs


But he has a problem by thinking that bitcoin is kind of something like a ponzi or pyramidal scheme.

He did not know that what gives gold his worth is not just about gold appearance but about how people want gold and comparing it with how scarce it can be. People wants bitcoins bitcoin also.

Many countries are planning to buy bitcoin while more institutions are coming in. I thought this will convince him like Micheal Saylor of 2013.


https://x.com/saylor/status/413478389329428480?t=TgMNv1OqAVrju81Ycj92Vg&s=19

But Peter Schiff is still saying rubbish kind of.
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July 12, 2025, 12:01:16 PM


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July 12, 2025, 12:05:33 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (10)

program..... weekend pump.... loading....

catch your breath we are in a new 2 month long slot 115k to 124k
I do hope to open the 120 proof knob creek today or tomorrow


Late sept into early nov we rise up and over 200k.
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July 12, 2025, 12:27:36 PM

~
And someone is never going to feel any shame for the BS they spread, and the opportunities their readers lost.
He’s completely lost it.. always trying to make people sell every time there’s a pump.
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