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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26912722 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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January 14, 2026, 02:46:13 AM

Boy they slapped that 96 k  back down fast.

Oh yeah... Made it to $96,474 and 4 hours later we are suffering so much at $95.3k..

Yeah, it is really horrible.

In udder wurds, you seem to be a wee bit premature in your prognostication of a "slap down."



Fuck clarity act... Sounds like a shitcoin bill.

And before some of you Puritans get all up in arms about what I'm saying, I'm not a big fan of stable coins, but it's inevitable because they are going to need a digital version of the dollar that the US controls for them to be able to keep the dollar on life support for X amount more years 

The problem I have with stablecoins is that they're essentially a more complicated version of the Martingale strategy. You can always print more coins to lower price and if you manage things well, you can buy back small price drops but there's always that black swan event that totally fucks things up that's waiting to happen.

But to each their own.

I am probably too dumb for you.

Martingale strategy is to keep doubling the bet, like in a game that has close to 50/50 odds, such as in black jack, until you win.  It is a loosing strategy because guys will frequently run out of money before they end up winning... so the odds are actually against them.

By the way, I just googled black jack odds, and so it shows 42% player, 49% dealer and 9% push... Of course, we likely realize that some versions black jack have better odds than others and casinos will create new rules to give themselves even a greater edge.

Of course, a coin flip would be pretty damned close to 50/50 odds, so a person could keep betting heads, and doubling the bet until he wins..and then see what happens. Martingale might work in that kind of a scenario...even though tails could end up coming up 50 times in a row or greater.. then the better might run out of money at some point depending on the size of the bet.
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January 14, 2026, 03:01:17 AM


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philipma1957
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January 14, 2026, 03:14:33 AM

JJG while BTC wants to go uppity

Silver crested pass the 5 trill cap baby
Under 2 trillion to over 5 trillion in under six months

BTC under 2 trill today (1.9T)

over 5 trill by July 4th 2026 USA 250th birthday











sold more silver must buy some pricy corn 95K oh well.  way better than oct 5 numbers
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January 14, 2026, 03:24:59 AM

JJG while BTC wants to go uppity

Silver crested pass the 5 trill cap baby
Under 2 trillion to over 5 trillion in under six months

BTC under 2 trill today (1.9T)

over 5 trill by July 4th 2026 USA 250th birthday











sold more silver must buy some pricy corn 95K oh well.  way better than oct 5 numbers

From your math...btc to 250K on 250 year USA birthday....that would be sweet  Grin
philipma1957
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January 14, 2026, 03:33:05 AM

JJG while BTC wants to go uppity

Silver crested pass the 5 trill cap baby
Under 2 trillion to over 5 trillion in under six months

BTC under 2 trill today (1.9T)

over 5 trill by July 4th 2026 USA 250th birthday











sold more silver must buy some pricy corn 95K oh well.  way better than oct 5 numbers

From your math...btc to 250K on 250 year USA birthday....that would be sweet  Grin

Why the fuck not ? if silver can do it so can btc!

btw I made a sale of 1964 Kennedy half dollars.

will clear 633x.9=569.7-20.7= 549

paid way under that.

What is better I listed these on bitcointalk in sept and was asking for about 300 in btc and btc was pushing 115k

so 300/115000=0.00261 btc then

and 549/96000=0.00572 btc now

so to JJG fuck you (a reference to  my silver is junk post made  in early 2025)


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January 14, 2026, 04:01:14 AM


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JayJuanGee
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January 14, 2026, 04:20:50 AM

so to JJG fuck you (a reference to  my silver is junk post made  in early 2025)

Ok.  Now you are provoking with your shitcoin talking bullshit, and because of your arrogance (whether ongoing or not since you have been flooding this thread with silver and copper talk and other bullshit) you deserved to be called a dumbass, even though you got lucky with your gamble on silver and perhaps even your copper baloney.. We've been saved from your gold purchases, since apparently you did not make those, yet if you had been investing in Nvidia or Tesla during the times that they were outperforming bitcoin, then maybe you would be trolling and/or derailing with that inferior crap too..

How far do you want to go back with your proclamation that you were smart to be fucking around with that silver and/or copper crap as compared with bitcoin, even though you got lucky... and now you want to pump those talking points on this thread?

And, to bonus, you are trying to act like you were smart to be investing in various inferior investments.. including your historical preferences for cash (remember in 2022 when you were pumping T-bills or whatever that crap was) and your ongoing distraction with mining and mining equipment and you would have had been way better to just buy bitcoin, especially if we go back further in time.  Yeah, you wanted to have a hobby (or meaning in life), but mining still has been an inferior investment as compared with staying focused on buying bitcoin and maybe even earning money in other areas while investing into bitcoin.   

Of course, guys make life choices based on their own particular circumstances, so there is nothing wrong with that, even though you are seeming to want to denigrate the investing into bitcoin.

You should be easily able to look up the bitcoin numbers, whether we are talking about recent numbers or longer term numbers.

Frequently I like to consider a 4-10 year timeline or longer in terms of how long to hold the investment, yet at the same time, many times guys may well be considering longer than 10 years, unless they might have age and/or health considerations that might contribute to their needing to have a shorter than 10 year timeline for bitcoin investing.  Accordingly, each of us would have had needed to be tailoring our bitcoin investment to our own particular circumstances.. including our cashflow and our discretionary funds and other psychological aspects such as risk tolerance. 

I can never completely judge you for your seemingly dinosaur ways of how much you were already embedded into various shitcoin systems, inferior investments including your copper cable stories... and yeah, you perhaps are lucky to have already to have infrastructure in place to have had been able to fuck around with silver to buy and sell it using Ebay and whatever fees they are taking from you and surely problems with the spread too.. and yeah,.. fine, some aspects of your gambles had seemed to have had largely ended up working out for you.. and some of the too much value that you had been keeping in fiat,  you were able to save some of that melting ice cube and you got lucky to put some of it into copper and silver, even though surely you would have had been better off to have had been focusing on bitcoin.. especially if we go back 4-10 years or longer... hey just go back two cycles (starting from January 2018).. how much income were you putting in, how much could have you put into bitcoin, and at what price points? 

Try to be honest with yourself instead of fucking around trying to troll this thread and using my name in your dumbass attempts to create self-justifications for your inferior investment choices over the years.

What if you had been putting that money into bitcoin instead of being distracted by inferior investments of your time, energies and value?  Let's look at it.  Back in early 2018 you would have had been 60 years old and just about to turn 61 years old.... So I could imagine that you could have had put 1 to 2 years of your income into bitcoin over 3-ish years (based on various past investments and other resources that you might have had available).  More elderly people have abilities to frontload, and let's look at investing 2 years of your income into bitcoin over a 3 year timeline.  Let's look at it, and let's say that your income (whether just you or you and your spouse) was around $0k, so then over 3 years you were able to invest $160k.

So if you had invested $1,020 per week into bitcoin, you would have had invested $160 over 3 years, and you would have had accumulated right around 21.5 BTC. You would have had been a fucking great place.

You can plug the DCA dollar amounts and date numbers that I mentioned into this DCA calculating website:  https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/dollar-cost-averaging-calculator

By the way, you can also proclaim that you did not have access to that level of money, and it does not matter.  Use whatever your then income and double it, which you probably could have had gotten over a three year period of time to invest into bitcoin from January 2018 until December 2020. 

There are guys in this thread who have largely stayed focused on bitcoin through the ups and the downs.. and the payoffs have been great and continue to be great, so your trolling of the silver bullshit (even if it is targeted at me) seems to be suggesting that you have even come close to their level of returns in terms of their past track records to mostly stay focused on accumulating and/or holding bitcoin, not fucking around with trading or shitcoins and/or other inferior investments.  Sure some of us may have also made various mistakes along the way, such as some guys probably bought property, stocks and some other various inferior "investments," yet bitcoin has remained quite an amazing investment over the last 4-10 years and beyond.

Another thing is that right now 21.5 BTC would give you a sustainable annual income of $123k and with an ability to increase the dollar value of that by 7% per year forever and ever and ever, which would be a fucking great place to be right now for a guy who is ready to turn 69 years old.

You want to keep fucking around proclaiming how smart you are (or were) for focusing on silver and copper rather than bitcoin in the past 8-ish years?

Yes, I understand that potentially you had issues that might have had prevented you from figuring out and focusing on bitcoin, yet at the same time, by the time early 2018 arrived,  you had already been around bitcoin for right around 6 years, perhaps even longer than 6 years, so I still am having difficulties wondering why you want to fuck around bragging about your silver conquests, especially in light of how great an investment bitcoin has been and most likely how great of an investment that bitcoin is going to continue to be.. even though surely the reality of age and health can sometimes contribute towards inabilities to make similar decisions as compared with guys who might have other age and/or health circumstances.
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January 14, 2026, 04:57:28 AM
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just double the ATH

could happen within 1-1.5 years

You must be new here  Wink


We are not in 2014 anymore.  To 250k within a year or within 1.5 years from now on is more realistic.

If you think we can do it in few months... well one can dream
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January 14, 2026, 05:01:14 AM


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philipma1957
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January 14, 2026, 05:37:42 AM


just double the ATH

could happen within 1-1.5 years

You must be new here  Wink


We are not in 2014 anymore.  To 250k within a year or within 1.5 years from now on is more realistic.

If you think we can do it in few months... well one can dream

Silver gained 3 trillion marketcap in about 5 months.

So why not btc doing it by July 4th 2026?
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January 14, 2026, 05:53:02 AM


just double the ATH

could happen within 1-1.5 years

You must be new here  Wink


We are not in 2014 anymore.  To 250k within a year or within 1.5 years from now on is more realistic.

If you think we can do it in few months... well one can dream

Silver gained 3 trillion marketcap in about 5 months.

So why not btc doing it by July 4th 2026?

I don't think BTC is nearly well understood by investors in comparison to silver...

In short, there are way more potential silver buyers

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January 14, 2026, 05:54:49 AM
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Cool website if you love space.

It's a live feed from Hubble and James Webb telescope.

https://spacetelescopelive.org/
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January 14, 2026, 06:01:16 AM


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philipma1957
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January 14, 2026, 06:15:56 AM


just double the ATH

could happen within 1-1.5 years

You must be new here  Wink


We are not in 2014 anymore.  To 250k within a year or within 1.5 years from now on is more realistic.

If you think we can do it in few months... well one can dream

Silver gained 3 trillion marketcap in about 5 months.

So why not btc doing it by July 4th 2026?

I don't think BTC is nearly well understood by investors in comparison to silver...

In short, there are way more potential silver buyers


5ri

far too negative.

people will look to park the profits from silver somewhere and for that matter the profits from gold

since USA dollar does not look like a place to put those profits btc will gain bigly.

while silver is up 3 trillion plus gold is up 2500 to 4600 per oz and cap wise it is up 32 trillion from 17.4 trillion

so these two wealth storage items gained about 18trillion in 1 year.

With orange man acting not so stable parking some of that 18 trillion in btc has got to be easy peasy move this year.

Note I did a math error and said 21 trillion gain for gold and silver  it was 18trillion.


BTW the cash flow or wealth flow into gold and silver  is huge.
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January 14, 2026, 06:55:26 AM

Boy they slapped that 96 k  back down fast.
96k is a good rally after all, DO NOT worry much about a pull back, the bear DO NOT hold strong hands anymore Huh
Possibly warning up for a greater rally that might SPARK a bullish trend SOON Cool
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January 14, 2026, 07:01:14 AM


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January 14, 2026, 08:01:14 AM


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January 14, 2026, 08:02:55 AM
Last edit: January 14, 2026, 12:40:29 PM by El duderino_
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Certainly you are on the way to pick one up. Wink

I look forward to that "where the dude".

Twenty-eight landing....
Special "where the dude" comes.
keeping you posted.


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January 14, 2026, 09:01:16 AM


Explanation
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Gachapin
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January 14, 2026, 09:24:31 AM


just double the ATH

could happen within 1-1.5 years

You must be new here  Wink


We are not in 2014 anymore.  To 250k within a year or within 1.5 years from now on is more realistic.

If you think we can do it in few months... well one can dream

Silver gained 3 trillion marketcap in about 5 months.

So why not btc doing it by July 4th 2026?

I don't think BTC is nearly well understood by investors in comparison to silver...

In short, there are way more potential silver buyers


5ri

far too negative.

people will look to park the profits from silver somewhere and for that matter the profits from gold

since USA dollar does not look like a place to put those profits btc will gain bigly.

while silver is up 3 trillion plus gold is up 2500 to 4600 per oz and cap wise it is up 32 trillion from 17.4 trillion

so these two wealth storage items gained about 18trillion in 1 year.

With orange man acting not so stable parking some of that 18 trillion in btc has got to be easy peasy move this year.

Note I did a math error and said 21 trillion gain for gold and silver  it was 18trillion.


BTW the cash flow or wealth flow into gold and silver  is huge.

saying that reaching 250k within a year is "far to negative"??


mkay
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