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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26922258 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Paashaas
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January 31, 2026, 07:54:18 PM
Merited by OgNasty (1), somac. (1)

Bey bey leveraged retards Smiley


ChartBuddy
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January 31, 2026, 08:01:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
philipma1957
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January 31, 2026, 08:09:31 PM

got some 77.7k

and will be waiting on 75k

I figure 66.6k might be the support number.

So I am ready to go as low as 59k just incase I am wrong about 66.6


Trump = BTC president

Joe Biden left BTC was 106k

Just saying.


miners are not exactly come back after Texas cold spell

Quote
https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   934514  (2 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   85.1455%  (1107 / 1300.13 expected, 193.13 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   146472570619930.8                           
Current Difficulty:   141668107417558.2                           
Next Difficulty:   between 120641313941673 and 124394934452177
Next Difficulty Change:   between -14.8423% and -12.1927%
Previous Retarget:   January 22, 2026 at 2:29 PM  (-3.2801%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   February 7, 2026 at 1:11 PM  (in 6d 22h 0m 47s)
Next Retarget (latest):   February 8, 2026 at 1:06 AM  (in 7d 9h 55m 50s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 15d 22h 42m 4s and 16d 10h 37m 7s
BitHodlers
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January 31, 2026, 08:10:40 PM

Trump = BTC president

Joe Biden left BTC was 106k

Just saying.
One has nothing to do with each other, just saying.
philipma1957
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January 31, 2026, 08:13:14 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)

Trump = BTC president

Joe Biden left BTC was 106k

Just saying.
One has nothing to do with each other, just saying.

yeah sure 1 word for you

tariffs



and BTW tariffs made 30 to 40k for me in metal sales.

Trump "acting president of venezuela"

his words not mine.
BitHodlers
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January 31, 2026, 08:20:03 PM

yeah sure 1 word for you

tariffs

and BTW tariffs made 30 to 40k for me in metal sales.
Tariffs were crazy I will give you that, but we are almost fully past that. I am interested to see what this year will bring.


Trump "acting president of venezuela"

his words not mine.
Where can I apply for such a position?
Biodom
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January 31, 2026, 08:20:53 PM

Re leverage: some hotshot trader who "won" 190 mil in Oct 10 collapse now lost 300mil in a liquidation event.
Did not post a link to not propagate someone's misfortune here.

Wall street considers all trader profits as "loans".
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January 31, 2026, 08:24:03 PM

Re leverage: some hotshot trader who "won" 190 mil in Oct 10 collapse now lost 300mil in a liquidation event.
Did not post a link just not to propagate someone's misfortune here.

Wall street considers all trader profits as "loans".
Damn, people should not have conspiracy theories when somebody happens to win big around the time of big events. With so many people participating and so much going on with enough time, eventually some random big things will happen. I think it was not that one maybe, but it was one of those guys that placed a bet shortly before a Trump decision and was called an insider. Later he also lost a lot of money.

I will never touch leverage in my life.
Biodom
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January 31, 2026, 08:25:59 PM

got some 77.7k

and will be waiting on 75k

I figure 66.6k might be the support number.

So I am ready to go as low as 59k just incase I am wrong about 66.6


Trump = BTC president

Joe Biden left BTC was 106k

Just saying.

<snip>

In a fast market numbers cannot be predicted.
That said, my previous post had $71.2K low (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg66330940#msg66330940), which some peeps found not very believable.
However, after reading Dario Amodei's opus...I am not sure what future is ahead for us.
Just hodling, as usual.
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January 31, 2026, 08:29:49 PM

However, after reading Dario Amadei's opus...I am not sure what future is ahead for us.
What is this that spooked you so much? Does someone have a link I must have missed it.
Biodom
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January 31, 2026, 08:31:39 PM
Merited by BitHodlers (1)

However, after reading Dario Amodei's opus...I am not sure what future is ahead for us.
What is this that spooked you so much? Does someone have a link I must have missed it.

https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology

I VERY long essay, indeed.
His surname literally means 'the one who g-d loves'...no comment.
cAPSLOCK
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January 31, 2026, 08:40:38 PM


miners are not exactly come back after Texas cold spell


TX temps in the teens.  Expected.
BTCETFInvestor
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January 31, 2026, 08:45:13 PM

I'm certainly not hoping for it to happen, however I'm looking forward to see what happens 'if' Bitcoins sinks to say $50k or less. It could be a bit of fun seeing the massive shake up of a whole lot of governments, companies, financial institutions, politicians and others.  

Chances of the U.S. passing the Clarity Act or anything else that is promising for Bitcoin drops way down with this rout we have taking place...

How about those miners? What's the magic breakeven number for miners to stay in business? Can they do it at $70k or $60k?  Huh
OutOfMemory
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January 31, 2026, 08:53:18 PM

Wall street considers all trader profits as "loans".

Which makes sense from their point of view.
I adjusted for up and down, i can only win, unless BTC goes to zero (aka. Realroach's wet dream).

EDIT: Looks like more down soon, but the wicks on the hourly are longer on the bottom of candles.
ChartBuddy
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January 31, 2026, 09:01:17 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
JayJuanGee
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January 31, 2026, 09:16:50 PM

@JJG...that first EDITED should go in the paragraph below as it relates to @Ninja.
just saying...or my OCD is saying  Grin

Thanks.. Yes.. You are correct.  I fixed it in the original post.   I had put that "edit" in the wrong spot - and yeah, the edit was meant to supplement my response to Ninja.

This is quite cool, i consider buying some more, way earlier than i have thought.
Wohooo!

It is not cool.

You should be crying while buying, not cheering.   Angry Angry Angry Angry 

What is your opinion? Is it likely to go down further? Or will it recover very soon?
Yes. It will go down or recover, as always. But what's in it for you? Merit?
I only post here to know the current market situation, sentiment and everyone's different opinions, but from your style of speaking, it seems that all posts are for merit, and that is why everyone who posts here (low rank), their only intention is to gain merit, especially if they do not have Bitcoin, then they have no connection with Bitcoin and also they are not allowed to know the market situation. All in all, I want to say that if someone does not agree with my opinion and also if someone does not like my post, that is absolutely normal and I welcome that. But please avoid questioning the motive without any basis, and just avoid me if necessary.

Ninja~  Wink
It takes time for guys on the forum to get to know you and perhaps to feel comfortable that you might be a human rather than a bot or even a spammer, scammer or some other kind of current undesirable - such as part of a merit farming group, so already established members are going to tend to be skeptical of newbies... and there have been a lot of issues with bots and/or low quality posts that can be more difficult to detect if the member is using AI to generate garbage posts or if they are drafting the ideas themselves (to the extent that they might be posting substantively meaningful content, so it can take a while to figure out which newbie forum members are even human or not.. not that members are going to necessarily know which members have been tagged as a shitposter or not.
Thank you very much, I understand why new members on the forum might have such doubts, and maybe that's why he said these things to me, anyway I'm sorry for what I said.

To be clear, I've been familiar with cryptocurrency for about three years+ ago, I tried trading in the beginning, and I've been observing the crypto market for a long time ago, I'm just relatively new to the forum, but that doesn't mean I have no idea about crypto, bitcoin, or anything like that.

In this thread and other bitcoin related threads on the forum, guys are not too receptive to when guys refer to bitcoin and crypto as if they were similar things, so it seems better to be careful in using the term crypto unless you are clear about what you are referring to in terms of whether you are talking about bitcoin and shitcoins or if you are just talking about shitcoins.

Just because the media, popular people or even legislation might sometimes convolute the ideas of bitcoin and crypto, many times the convolution of such terms seems inclined towards either attacking bitcoin, pumping shitcoins and/or muddying waters since it is an unclear term and even a vehicle in which both shitcoin pumpers and sometimes the powers that be would like to faciltate vague and ambiguous terms.

Another thing is that it is probably better to use the term bitcoin as much as you can to be clear what you are talking about (to the extent that you might be referring to bitcoin), and it is likely also better to invest and/or study bitcoin first before getting distracted by shitcoins and/or other projects.  You likely would keep a better orientation if you mostly focus on bitcoin first, even though some guys cannot resist temptations to gamble so they end up putting some time, energy and value into shitcoins.. and I tend to recommend that if you cannot resist the temptation to gamble, then at least you should invest no more than 10% of your time, energy and/or value into shitcoins and/or trading (gambling with) bitcoin. .. .but hey, in the end, you can do what you like.

I'm not very active on the forum, maybe I'll be active now, while watching various news about crypto and bitcoin (Because Bitcoin is very volatile right now), I came across the news that I thought might be shared here, so I posted it without any intention, Just to know everyone's opinion on this topic.

Sure if you post in areas that are interesting to you, then after a while you will get better acquainted with various forum members and other members will get acquainted with you, and you might get better and better at posting about various areas of your interests .. . .and many of us likely realize that sometimes forum interactions can become confrontational in regards to ideas and even sometimes personal attacks too... and sometimes if you are still learning about the forum you could get into trouble for breaking some of the rules or guys might accuse you of such.. ., which sometimes even the use of translation software might become problematic if it seems that your posts are being written (or assisted) by bots... . and some of these matters are changing.. and guys in this thread will usually quote which portion of their post was written by or assisted by a bot...

but there I was told in a non-disclosure manner that I was coming here for qualifications and that I had nothing to do with the fall/volatility of bitcoin, I found the matter a bit disappointing, so I asked him to ignore me, I apologize for that, please forgive me @LoyceV.
Ninja~  Smiley
Bitcoin in $77K

We are not always going to agree about matters, including matters related to prices, and there can sometimes be patterns of non-substantive posts that annoy some of the more experienced forum members.  I recall when I first came to the forum, I tried to post every day  and even several times a week, and surely in the beginning guys don't know you and they either ignore you or they might be hostile to you... and it seems even more challenging when some of the more experienced members (I might even find myself in this camp sometimes) come across so many shitty posts that are especially coming from newbie accounts, so we sometimes will lose our patience... and sometimes just keep posting in your areas of interest with somewhat decent content, and perhaps guys will get used to you, to the extent that they don't become overly annoyed by you.;.. hahahahaha

For myself, there are sometimes some members that had annoyed me, and then it might take a while before I get those annoying feelings out of my head... but yeah, some of us might take longer to warm up to.. and sometimes we might be better not confronting certain members until maybe they might ask us some questions or respond to one of our posts.. and that is both part of the getting used to each other process but it is also a process of sometimes trying to make sure that we are not getting too emotional about our posts, including presuming the extent to which other members like us or don't like us.

By the way, there was one point that I was keeping track of members that I like and don't like. I stopped doing it, sometimes members might find short-cuts like that to become helpful in their trying to keep track of their experiences with other forum members.....

....and also there are ONLY so many hours in the day, and maybe we have a few hours a day (or a few hours a week) that we are able to spend on the forum, and we might have to spend time engaged in some of our real world work and/or activities to try to improve our income situation so that we might be able to concentrate on building our bitcoin stash... even though surely some members end up finding forum participation as a decently good way to improve and/or supplement any real world income that they have, and some guys on the forum might get annoyed by some of those activities and/or even the farmed (fake) accounts that build up around certain members who seem to be abusing features like the signature campaigns.

Yep.  The odds are not looking good, at the moment for the BTC price to go to or above $126,272 prior to the April 1 deadline.
The price will eventually recover but I think not before April 1, 2026. Gambling about Bitcoin future price is always uncertain.

Every once is a while shit will happen that ends up surprising us.  For example from April 2019 to June 2019 (3 months) the BTC price went up 3.5x from $4,200 to $13,880 before correcting back down.

We cannot necessarily measure those past times with current times, even though sometimes unexpected things end up happening in bitcoinlandia.

Also in our March 2020 recovery, the BTC price did end up going from $3,800 and into the $10ks in a fairly rapid time, yet that even took several months, but that was a BIG ass and even strange dip, too...and we might not really be in such a time right now, since even the dip in March 2020 and then the recovery through the whole summer, BTC did not get back to ATHs until December 2020.. so these matters can play out differently each time, including some aspects of our current market having expectations of great dips right now in line with entering a bear market, which might not end up playing out in accordance with expectations, yet I wouldn't know if some counter-explosive move to the upside could end up making sense in that kind of a scenario... including that sometimes there could be some BIG players who don't have the coins that they claim to have, and then a very great run to the upside could really end up causing them to imploding - and those kinds of things are not out of the question.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy Bitcoin position is about to turn negative. Shows you how easy it is to destroy years of successful stacking by ignoring the four year Bitcoin cycle and buying the top.

If this drop in price for Bitcoin continues… Next his preferred offerings will drop below NAV and he will start burning through his cash pile with no way to replace it. If that cash pile runs out before Bitcoin’s price recovers, lawsuits will roll in and judges will force selling to pay investor claims. Strategy will go bankrupt, take Bitcoin down below $40K, and when the dust settles we can talk about 2029.

Will the S&P step up and save MSTR with an inclusion, or is everyone waiting for Strategy to fail before real corporate adoption of Bitcoin begins?

Oh gawd.. .   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

You are lame.

What else is new?
philipma1957
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January 31, 2026, 09:22:29 PM
Last edit: January 31, 2026, 11:43:46 PM by philipma1957


big snip

Michael Saylor’s Strategy Bitcoin position is about to turn negative. Shows you how easy it is to destroy years of successful stacking by ignoring the four year Bitcoin cycle and buying the top.

If this drop in price for Bitcoin continues… Next his preferred offerings will drop below NAV and he will start burning through his cash pile with no way to replace it. If that cash pile runs out before Bitcoin’s price recovers, lawsuits will roll in and judges will force selling to pay investor claims. Strategy will go bankrupt, take Bitcoin down below $40K, and when the dust settles we can talk about 2029.

Will the S&P step up and save MSTR with an inclusion, or is everyone waiting for Strategy to fail before real corporate adoption of Bitcoin begins?

Oh gawd.. .   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

You are lame.

What else is new?


Stacking.

Thank god for all the silver I purchased in 2021-2023. then sold in dec 2025 to 2026

Cheap corn will buy some more right now.

and I did not sell off  btc like og did
ChartBuddy
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January 31, 2026, 10:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
JimboToronto
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January 31, 2026, 10:10:16 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)



One big happy family.
xhomerx10
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January 31, 2026, 10:15:00 PM


big snip

Michael Saylor’s Strategy Bitcoin position is about to turn negative. Shows you how easy it is to destroy years of successful stacking by ignoring the four year Bitcoin cycle and buying the top.

If this drop in price for Bitcoin continues… Next his preferred offerings will drop below NAV and he will start burning through his cash pile with no way to replace it. If that cash pile runs out before Bitcoin’s price recovers, lawsuits will roll in and judges will force selling to pay investor claims. Strategy will go bankrupt, take Bitcoin down below $40K, and when the dust settles we can talk about 2029.

Will the S&P step up and save MSTR with an inclusion, or is everyone waiting for Strategy to fail before real corporate adoption of Bitcoin begins?

Oh gawd.. .   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

You are lame.

What else is new?


Stacking.

Thank god for all the sold I purchased in 2021-2023.

Cheap corn will buy some more right now.

and I did not sell off  btc like og did

 WTH?  You did 2 years of put options and didn't say a damn thing about it all this time?!  You massive bear... what did you know?

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