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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26930937 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
HustleZ
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February 14, 2026, 09:42:30 AM
Merited by OgNasty (2)

[Cognitive Load]

I have seen JJG send 2 merits now I Can Die With Peace  Grin LoL
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February 14, 2026, 10:01:13 AM


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hypebrother
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Rising Mountains Falling Dust..


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February 14, 2026, 10:18:56 AM
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nice nice nice
what numbers? like 11:11
we should also remember 0

#haiku
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February 14, 2026, 11:01:15 AM


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February 14, 2026, 11:46:08 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1), Biodom (1), JayJuanGee (1), bitcoinPsycho (1), hypebrother (1)

Bottom of the bear trap reached.

Final fase of the bull market has started.

That 50% dump was soul crushing but necessary to wipe out those leveraged 50 × 100× retards, they wil not be giving a free ride.

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February 14, 2026, 12:01:23 PM


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February 14, 2026, 01:01:15 PM


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ESG
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store secretK on Secret place is almost impossible


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February 14, 2026, 01:39:06 PM
Last edit: February 14, 2026, 02:15:13 PM by ESG
Merited by Hueristic (1), cAPSLOCK (1)

 Yes, the bullish signals on Friday were good, it gave the impression
 that we would break 70k easily,
 but 70k is looking like a stone in the shoe



[...]
4. At some point between $20 and 30K (not at 8k), MSTR would be effectively bankrupt with a lot of dividend payments agreed to and very little equity. Who knows what desperate measures they would have to resort to.


 So, I saw him talking about it at the conference, after talking and keeping talking
 that BTC goes to millions and millions point million....

...He said something like this> that if Bitcoin stays below 8K for more than five years,
 they could start liquidating some positions...
#
Michael Saylor says strategy won't sell Bitcoin even at $8,000: 'We'll refinance the debt'
  I didn't find his speech at the conference, but there are these interviews
that question this, and he can refinance his loans, but why is he thinking about it?
Are the big players plotting against him? I don't know...
But for nothing he wouldn't talk in 8k, besides talking in millions and millions...
#
 Where do I think that, where did he get this idea?
What if the BTC purchases he makes don't interfere with their cash-balance,
 and he always says he won't sell, but will always buy,
 but if it stays below 8K maybe he needs to get rid of some positions?

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February 14, 2026, 01:49:05 PM
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x
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February 14, 2026, 02:01:14 PM


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cAPSLOCK
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February 14, 2026, 02:38:04 PM


Require that v = v * (1 - d% / 100) * (1 + u% / 100). Then

(1 - d% / 100) * (1 + u% / 100) = 1 =>
1 + u% / 100 = 1 / (1 - d% / 100) =>
u% / 100 = 1 / (1 - d% / 100) - 1 =>
u% = 100 / (1 - d% / 100) - 100

For a 50% drop (d% = 50) we need a u% = 100 / (1 - 50 / 100) - 100 = 100 (100% up)

For an 11% drop (d% = 11) we need a u% = 100 / (1 - 11 / 100) - 100 = 12.36 (12.36% up)

So, both 11.5% and 23% are wrong, but 11.5% is much closer to 12.36% than 23%.

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The OTHER Wordy Man


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February 14, 2026, 02:43:27 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1), JayJuanGee (1), Gachapin (1)

So for the sake of btc og needs to be way way way off his guesses.

I like that you think I’m guessing. However, as I’ve stated before, I don’t make guesses. I just tell you what is going to happen.

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The OTHER Wordy Man


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February 14, 2026, 02:50:29 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), vapourminer (1), DirtyKeyboard (1)

Where's that dip to $50k I was promised?  Angry
I can buy your Bitcoin at that price right now Smiley

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February 14, 2026, 02:53:55 PM

...He said something like this> that if Bitcoin stays below 8K for more than five years,
 they could start liquidating some positions...

I didn't find his speech at the conference, but there are these interviews
that question this, and he can refinance his loans, but why is he thinking about it?

 but if it stays below 8K maybe he needs to get rid of some positions?
If Bitcoin does that, we will have bigger problems that relate to the continued survival and existence of Bitcoin than MSTR. We should put these things into the right perspective and only then decide if it is something to worry about.
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February 14, 2026, 03:00:18 PM


Isn't that the guy that says things on Twitter that don't come true? I'm not sure.

Otherwise cool!

Elon has figured out the have X be the "everything app" he has to do this.
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February 14, 2026, 03:01:17 PM


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philipma1957
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'The right to privacy matters'


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February 14, 2026, 03:04:57 PM

Yes, the bullish signals on Friday were good, it gave the impression
 that we would break 70k easily,
 but 70k is looking like a stone in the shoe



[...]
4. At some point between $20 and 30K (not at 8k), MSTR would be effectively bankrupt with a lot of dividend payments agreed to and very little equity. Who knows what desperate measures they would have to resort to.


 So, I saw him talking about it at the conference, after talking and keeping talking
 that BTC goes to millions and millions point million....

...He said something like this> that if Bitcoin stays below 8K for more than five years,
 they could start liquidating some positions...
#
Michael Saylor says strategy won't sell Bitcoin even at $8,000: 'We'll refinance the debt'
  I didn't find his speech at the conference, but there are these interviews
that question this, and he can refinance his loans, but why is he thinking about it?
Are the big players plotting against him? I don't know...
But for nothing he wouldn't talk in 8k, besides talking in millions and millions...
#
 Where do I think that, where did he get this idea?
What if the BTC purchases he makes don't interfere with their cash-balance,
 and he always says he won't sell, but will always buy,
 but if it stays below 8K maybe he needs to get rid of some positions?



if we drop to 8k the shit storm would be amazing don't even think about it.
ESG
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February 14, 2026, 03:06:46 PM

...He said something like this> that if Bitcoin stays below 8K for more than five years,
 they could start liquidating some positions...

I didn't find his speech at the conference, but there are these interviews
that question this, and he can refinance his loans, but why is he thinking about it?

 but if it stays below 8K maybe he needs to get rid of some positions?
If Bitcoin does that, we will have bigger problems that relate to the continued survival and existence of Bitcoin than MSTR. We should put these things into the right perspective and only then decide if it is something to worry about.

 I personally can't see Bitcoin below 40k in the long term, but these ideas of big investors
 saying that 10k is a strong support and he comes to say that if it stays below 8k
for more than five years.(?)... I don't know these lines, maybe to encourage selling
 at the low price so they buy more, just like they are doing, and accumulate to the point
 that they can manipulate the price more easily....



##

if we drop to 8k the shit storm would be amazing don't even think about it.

Well, that's my question, why are they thinking about it?
where do these ideas come from...
But at the same time he says that tomorrow or the day after
 the price could be in the millions?
... very strange...
BitHodlers
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February 14, 2026, 03:13:31 PM
Last edit: February 14, 2026, 03:52:34 PM by BitHodlers
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

If Bitcoin does that, we will have bigger problems that relate to the continued survival and existence of Bitcoin than MSTR. We should put these things into the right perspective and only then decide if it is something to worry about.
[/b]
 I personally can't see Bitcoin below 40k in the long term, but these ideas of big investors
 saying that 10k is a strong support and he comes to say that if it stays below 8k
for more than five years.(?)... I don't know these lines, maybe to encourage selling
 at the low price so they buy more, just like they are doing, and accumulate to the point
 that they can manipulate the price more easily....
No I think it is the opposite. I think because so many people are causing this FUD speak about MSTR that they are doing this as a way to explain to those that don't understand their balance sheet and instruments. It is another way to explain just how strong their structuring and positioning are. How else would you put it? In terms that don't quantify anything? Just trust us, we won't go bankrupt any time soon?  Grin

Well, that's my question, why are they thinking about it?
where do these ideas come from...
Put the blame where it goes, the people that are spreading FUD online for whatever reason that is where these ideas come from...

You're right, I should. I recently read a study in a medical journal, which showed that there is no insulin spike from diet soda. Not at all. Zero. But I've also read different opinions about the sweetener inducing some kind of "cephalic" response, by which the brain senses the sweetness and auto-triggers an insulin response (which contradicts the first study though). I lean towards trusting the first source (hard data), which is also convenient for me (!), as I like Coke Zero a lot (I know it's bad, but... everyone has their demons). I've also read that diet sodas could disrupt gut bacteria balance and negatively affect other benefits of fasting, like autophagy, so yes, it's not a good idea to drink this stuff. I'll try to cut it down (maybe try carbonated water?).
Hey I remembered I wanted to ask you something. Since you do 23 hour fasts, how is your exercise schedule and timing in relation to your eating period? What I have found that if you do very intense exercise it is key to break the fast right after and start with eating and supplements. It seems to have a huge difference in recovery time and feeling than if you postpone eating to your usual time, which could be many hours away depending on when you exercise and when you eat.
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February 14, 2026, 04:01:15 PM


Explanation
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