no squirrels
no birds
?
Are "we" in Plato's cave or what?
Hopefully, you can, at least, still see some shadows, whether squirrels, birds or otherwise.. .. if not, you may need to be rescued.. .
Any volunteers?
I will suggest that it might not be an easy mission... since we have increasingly been seeing vapourminer going down a "certain" path
tweet tweet rockin robin
good morning wo.
we are still here
Phil - Are you rooting for far-left Analilia Mejia to win your New Jersey Congressional seat vacated by your pathetic far-left governor?
Yeah.. let's ongoingly and obsessively talk about politics, as if there were other reasons to strive to derail us from recognizing and/or appreciating various aspects related to the power of dee cornz.. yeah.. real cornz, not the made up paper bullshit.
The sparkle fairy believes she may have figured out some things. She's feeling kind of bullish. She's still trying to figure out what the yellow and orange candles might mean. Her methods are definitely not standard.
Times like these might call for "non-standard" methods.
Consider Vapourminer - seeming to try to decipher meaning from squirrels and birds, to the extent that he might not have to eat them.
Go figure.
They might taste good in ramen soup, though.
Barring major macro deterioration and economic depression in the next 6-8 mo, I am calling a bottom at 0.8X of when Morgan Stanley ETF started trading or 71X0.8=$56.8K.
In all likelihood (80% chance), 59.56 was "it", perhaps.
Oh?
The bottom is not "in"?
I cannot really argue with you, even though your odds are quite high.. not that I am saying you are wrong - yet I doubt that you are even aligning your own books with your perception of what might happen.. even if there may be plenty of guys (perhaps even including yours truly) that would consider 80% to be bettable... I put down 20% and you put down 80%.. and whoever wins wins.. You would likely lose, but I would ONLY be betting 20% of the total, and you would be betting 80% of the total.
You wanna do it? Maybe the total could be 400k sats? That would mean that I would put up 80k sats, and you would put up 320k sats, and what deadline do we want to give this? Within the next 6 months sounds reasonable?
I doubt that you are confident enough to bet it, even if we might adjust the amounts down... .. but I think that I have reasonably described what 80% odds mean.
[edited out]
See, it's also awkwardly sort of floating in mid-air because I asked for it to be like an action shot for volleyball, speaking of which if you look near her left foot, is that like a deceased volleyball? Yeah, it's a horrible one, but you know.
I'm hoping we don't need another puke and maybe we've bottomed. So, posting that will certainly make that happen.
(in reality, I think I'd say 3:1 chance we see a hard dip either to fulfill the cycle prophets or because our economy is about to go down the toilet and people don't understand Bitcoin well enough to know that that's not part of it. But I do give us 25% chance that that doesn't happen in significant ways.)
Your odds are not as lopsidded as Biodom's, so they might not rise to the level of bettable like his seem to.
Barring major macro deterioration and economic depression in the next 6-8 mo, I am calling a bottom at 0.8X of when Morgan Stanley ETF started trading or 71X0.8=$56.8K.
In all likelihood (80% chance), 59.56 was "it", perhaps.
Brilliant call, simply dazzling...
Sounds sarcastic...well, 10-20% maximum down (in actuality it was more like 10%, but i gave another 10% "just in case") is what happened with both GLD ETF and IBIT/FBTC, etc.
From my lame bet-inclined (perhaps loser?) perspective, that gold/IBIT ETF comparison doesn't really bolster your anticipated bitcoin price performance argument too good.
Poll
