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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 24 (38.7%)
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No - we need to set a new low first - 17 (27.4%)
No - other (explain below) - 10 (16.1%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26987825 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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June 14, 2026, 09:02:28 AM


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June 14, 2026, 10:02:28 AM


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June 14, 2026, 11:02:29 AM


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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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June 14, 2026, 11:08:09 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1)

Hi fellas, hows it going? Long time no see.

hey welcome back

we just doing some maintenance on the train while we chill out to pink floyd
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June 14, 2026, 11:33:27 AM
Merited by fillippone (3), CryptoYar (1)

@MaxCrypto
$BTC has broken out of its downtrend parabola.

Last 2 times this happened, Bitcoin rallied 15%-20%.

If this repeats again, BTC could pump towards $71K-$73K in the coming weeks.

https://x.com/maxcrypto/status/2066095228420026590

I will take that for a start 👆


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June 14, 2026, 11:55:28 AM

Everything is up

Hard to see BTC not balloon up more, right?
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June 14, 2026, 12:02:28 PM


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aesma
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fly or die


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June 14, 2026, 12:10:17 PM

@MaxCrypto
$BTC has broken out of its downtrend parabola.

Last 2 times this happened, Bitcoin rallied 15%-20%.

If this repeats again, BTC could pump towards $71K-$73K in the coming weeks.

https://x.com/maxcrypto/status/2066095228420026590

I will take that for a start 👆

Yeah that would be nice.
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June 14, 2026, 12:27:07 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)

@MaxCrypto
$BTC has broken out of its downtrend parabola.

Last 2 times this happened, Bitcoin rallied 15%-20%.

If this repeats again, BTC could pump towards $71K-$73K in the coming weeks.

https://x.com/maxcrypto/status/2066095228420026590

I will take that for a start 👆



These parabolic downtrends perfectly illustrate seller exhaustion.

The previous two breakouts both had consolidation periods before the move — we might be in that phase right now.

Watching volume closely will be key.
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June 14, 2026, 12:48:13 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

@saylor
Still adding dots.



https://x.com/saylor/status/2066139784997699672
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June 14, 2026, 01:02:29 PM


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June 14, 2026, 01:17:32 PM
Last edit: June 14, 2026, 01:30:05 PM by BTCETFInvestor

[edited out]
Pretty funny, JJG. I can tell you know that I know!

I can tell that you are a retard, too.  

If you explain how the picture shows the location (and/or based on any of my further already provided descriptions), then that was open to anyone.  If you are using other information that is not public, then that would be problematic..
And like I already said, I may well not admit to any exact location information.. even though I had earlier confirmed some information that seemed to have had been pretty damned broad.
JJG - Just in a broad sense, your picture gave a whole lot of clues and information about your location. Since you want to know, probably out of curiosity - I'll be happy to explain to you some of the obvious things that points to your location without me explaining anything about using any 'other information'...  I'll keep it to a general public area, not an exact location for you. I won't even name the municipality.

Based on the details of your image (and when the image was shot (on 6-5-26 just before midnight), you can clearly see the Big Dipper constellation prominent in the right half of the sky, with the northern lights glowing in green and purple hues above the tree line.
It was easy to deduce the location of where you took the image based on a combination of astronomical geometry and regional tree-line characteristics.  My research involved many other clues that you probably didn't feel was important to 'giving away your location'.    

For example, the celestial alignment in the right half of the image; the Big Dipper (Ursa Major) is clearly visible. For the Big Dipper to sit at that specific angle and low elevation relative to the horizon at midnight in early June, the viewer has to be positioned at a mid-to-high northern latitude—roughly between 45°N and 50°N. This perfectly rules out what some other people were guessing about equatorial, Arctic, or Southern Hemisphere locales, and easily frames your location as the exact target. Furthermore, the foreground vegetation silhouettes on the left of your image are distinctly Abies balsamea (Balsam Fir) and Picea mariana (Black Spruce), are signature indicator species of the forest and the transitional mixed-wood forests of your locale.  

Furthermore, the Big Dipper is located on the right side of the image, and its bowl is oriented facing downward and slightly to the left, with the pointer stars pointing toward the right edge of the frame. At midnight in early June from a latitude of almost exactly 45.5° N, the Big Dipper sits directly in the northwest sky. Specifically, the "pointer stars" (Dubhe and Merak) at the edge of the bowl point directly toward Polaris (the North Star). Because those pointer stars are aiming toward the right edge of the frame, Polaris is actually located just out of bounds to the right, which represents due North (360° / 0°). Therefore, since the Big Dipper rests in the northwest and dominates the right half of your image frame, the center of your camera's lens was actually aimed further to the left of it. This places the center of the frame pointing directly into the North-Northwest sector, at an approximate azimuth angle of 345° to 350°.

JJG - You wanted to know - so I'll reveal to you; your location is a latitude of 45.50° N to 45.52° N with a longitude of 7x.x8° W, definitely in the Xxxxxxx, Xxxxxx region).
As for Timing and Real-Time Event Tracking; a strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch was issued for June 4th and 5th, pulling spectacular green and purple auroral curtains much farther south than usual into southern Canada. Combining the posting of the image timestamp of June 5 just before midnight with the specific angle of the constellation and the localized tree horizon narrows the photo's exact geographical footprint down to the dark-sky pockets, just north of the Xxxxxx River in Xxxxxxx, Xxxxxx.  
To be more exact, because the landscape is mostly a flat, dark silhouette stretching toward the horizon, you were looking across an open agricultural field or low river basin. In the Xxxxxxx area, this layout points directly to the flat farmlands and valleys running alongside Route xxx or the Xxxxxxxx River, looking north/northwest.

The lights in the bottom right of your image break the darkness right where the tree line dips, gives away a specific point of human activity. In this immediate area where you were located the night of June 5th, that pattern aligns with a roadside pull-off or clearing along Xxxxxx xx xx Xxxxxxx, where the tree barrier breaks and exposes the headlights of cars or the localized streetlights from a nearby intersection or bridge crossing. It's at the edge of an open field near the community of Xxx Xxxxxxx, looking out past the immediate tree line toward the lights of a distant farmhouse or a service road gateway.
When you remarked that "the colors were viewable but not very strong," it clarifies exactly why aiming "further into the sky" was necessary. Low on the horizon, weak auroral light easily gets drowned out by thick atmospheric haze and the ambient light pollution from those road lights in the bottom right corner. By angling the camera higher up into the darker zenith of the night sky, you would have been shooting through less atmosphere, allowing the fainter purple and green hues to pop with much better contrast and clarity.

In summary, your image shows a camera set up at a low, ground-level vantage point - likely right at the southern edge of an open field or roadside clearing in Xxxxxxx, looking northward over a flat basin toward a distant tree line.
To be critically exact - because the landscape is wide and flat in the foreground, with distant low tree-lines and localized vehicular lights breaking through the gap in the bottom right, the camera had to be set up in a localized low-lying basin or field that sits immediately south of an active roadway. In Xxxxxxx, there are three specific public locations that match this exact profile and offer the open northern vantage points required to view a faint aurora event. I won't list those three specific public locations...
JJG - It's my nature to pursue exactness and precision at times, even pinpoint precision. My investigation was so much fun, I can actually provide you with much more!
Your picture was easily full of numerous clues.  Please note that I have not revealed your location... I just honored your request of me to explain how the picture shows the location.  
I won't say where or how, but I pretty much know the exact coordinates of the camera position when that picture was taken.  

JJG - Sorry about my lengthy post, but I know you love to make lengthy posts so you should appreciate my lengthy post!

I hope I have answered your request to your satisfaction. If not, please let me know and I'll provide much more information with your permission.  

Apart from various aspects of your description which seem off in a few regards, and surely largely written by a bot, I do see that your latitude estimation in a pretty narrow range, yet I don't understand the meaning of your longitude estimation beyond your claiming that you have a specific longitude reading that fits your 7x.x8° W parameters.  

You said:
"your location is a latitude of 45.50° N to 45.52° N with a longitude of 7x.x8° W"

Accordingly you seem to be saying that you have a very specific longitude for me that is somewhere between 70.08° W and 79.98°W... and you are indicating that you know with precision rather than the range that I mentioned.  

I have no reason to cooperate further, and even you should already know that you are on my distrust list, so it seems funny that you would want to pursue this at all.

JJG -  Huh  Come on scumbag - You don't understand why I provided the longitude with those 'x's! I don't think you want those exact numbers revealed, do you? It's no problem tightening the latitude, and definitely no problem replacing those longitude 'x's with more digits and decimals, drastically scaling up the geographic specificity. Do you want me to pinpoint the latitude first with greater specificity to convince you?   Or do you not want to cooperate further?  Grin
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June 14, 2026, 01:50:25 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (2), philipma1957 (1), xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1), Biodom (1), AlcoHoDL (1), psycodad (1)

[edited out]
JJG -  Huh  Come on scumbag - You don't understand why I provided the longitude with those 'x's! I don't think you want those exact numbers revealed, do you? It's no problem tightening the latitude, and definitely no problem replacing those longitude 'x's with more digits and decimals, drastically scaling up the geographic specificity. Do you want me to pinpoint the latitude first with greater specificity to convince you?   Or do you not want to cooperate further?  Grin

It is funny that you have not figured out by now that an overwhelming majority of guys in these here parts are not wanting to reveal their OpSec, so you have already revealed sufficiently in regards to what you were able to find (or not find) or speculate upon based on the picture.  

I gave my response, and I am not even interested in interacting with you on that topic or any other topic, even though from time to time, I get the sense that your dumb paper bitcoin and other dick sucking (of the administration) posts deserve some response in order that some of the guys might not get erroneously led into your various nonsense disinformation agent (PsyOp) talking points.

It also seems to me that you might be treading on weak grounds if you are threatening guys in regards to information that you think that you have related to them or some post that they made (in this case, the meant to be somewhat funzie photo that I had posted), which it seems that you had been reported for those kinds of threat-related things in the past, including that it seems to me that you were even threatening violence in some of your earlier deleted posts...so I am not sure what is worse?  Threatening violence or threatening OpSec reveals?  

They are both problematic in a forum like this since actual real guys here are making public disclosures on a fairly regular basis, even if you try to fake that you are vulnerable yourself with some of your seemingly fake disclosures that few of us seem to care about anyhow, as compared with the couple of month relief that we had when you were supposedly "in the mountains," which actually seems like a good place for you (for the benefits of humanity and this thread)   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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June 14, 2026, 02:02:28 PM


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June 14, 2026, 02:15:51 PM
Last edit: June 14, 2026, 02:51:20 PM by philipma1957
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1), cAPSLOCK (1), d_eddie (1)

[edited out]
JJG -  Huh  Come on scumbag - You don't understand why I provided the longitude with those 'x's! I don't think you want those exact numbers revealed, do you? It's no problem tightening the latitude, and definitely no problem replacing those longitude 'x's with more digits and decimals, drastically scaling up the geographic specificity. Do you want me to pinpoint the latitude first with greater specificity to convince you?   Or do you not want to cooperate further?  Grin

It is funny that you have not figured out by now that an overwhelming majority of guys in these here parts are not wanting to reveal their OpSec, so you have already revealed sufficiently in regards to what you were able to find (or not find) or speculate upon based on the picture.  

I gave my response, and I am not even interested in interacting with you on that topic or any other topic, even though from time to time, I get the sense that your dumb paper bitcoin and other dick sucking (of the administration) posts deserve some response in order that some of the guys might not get erroneously led into your various nonsense disinformation agent (PsyOp) talking points.

It also seems to me that you might be treading on weak grounds if you are threatening guys in regards to information that you think that you have related to them or some post that they made (in this case, the meant to be somewhat funzie photo that I had posted), which it seems that you had been reported for those kinds of threat-related things in the past, including that it seems to me that you were even threatening violence in some of your earlier deleted posts...so I am not sure what is worse?  Threatening violence or threatening OpSec reveals?  

They are both problematic in a forum like this since actual real guys here are making public disclosures on a fairly regular basis, even if you try to fake that you are vulnerable yourself with some of your seemingly fake disclosures that few of us seem to care about anyhow, as compared with the couple of month relief that we had when you were supposedly "in the mountains," which actually seems like a good place for you (for the benefits of humanity and this thread)   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Due to opsec my trezors are in a bank safety box.
Due to  opsec my trezors 24 word backups are in a different bank safety box


Because I ran the ebay business. Since 2003 and in 2012 when I came to bitcointalk I used philipma1957 to help promote legit gamer mining sales on my ebay account my opsec will always be compromised.

Because I helped avalon/cannon sell hundreds of miners in 2013 and 2014 my opsec will always be compromised.


But telling a person I live in a town of 100,000 people which I have done is not the same as telling people my exact name and address on this thread..


I know I am not wealthy as some are on the thread. I do not live in fear of a five dollar wrench attack.

But I do not want my full name my full address or a photo showing my home on bitcointalk.

One reason is I know millions of people in the USA are mentally ill so I don't need a crazy pestering me at my home.

Edit: pesting should be pestering correction made
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June 14, 2026, 03:02:29 PM


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June 14, 2026, 03:13:38 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (5), Biodom (1), JayJuanGee (1)


What does it mean?

Does it relate to dee cornz?



I developed this indicator a couple of years ago and I’ve actually used it, taking profits around $117k last year. I consider the trading algorithm market tested.

For ease of visualizing, red and green vertical bars mark oscillator minima and maxima. Oscillator maxima align with price highs. Minima come at points where the bear leaves the scene unambiguously, choppy sideways price action has ended, and the bull is about take over. While the signals at minima miss the absolute market bottoms, they still show a good place to jump in and buy.  From the look of things, the next algo minimum is several months away.

The algorithm operates on the premise that bitcoin’s well known "four year price cycle" is real.  Equations including moving geometric means and an expanding window regression extract that periodic signal.

For you quants, I used an expanding window regression because the look-ahead bias of a static regression invalidates backtesting. And I used geometric means because linear measures like moving averages give badly distorted results on data series like bitcoin’s price, which covers multiple orders of magnitude.

Recently I developed a different algo in an attempt to peg market lows, which are harder to find algorithmically in real time than are the tops.  I wasn't able to make the algo peg the bottoms, but it does give an early warning signal.  It's on my Substack, including a spreadsheet that you can download, and a script.
https://substack.com/@michaelrobinson127536
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June 14, 2026, 03:19:30 PM
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[edited out]
JJG -  Huh  Come on scumbag - You don't understand why I provided the longitude with those 'x's! I don't think you want those exact numbers revealed, do you? It's no problem tightening the latitude, and definitely no problem replacing those longitude 'x's with more digits and decimals, drastically scaling up the geographic specificity. Do you want me to pinpoint the latitude first with greater specificity to convince you?   Or do you not want to cooperate further?  Grin

It is funny that you have not figured out by now that an overwhelming majority of guys in these here parts are not wanting to reveal their OpSec, so you have already revealed sufficiently in regards to what you were able to find (or not find) or speculate upon based on the picture.  

I gave my response, and I am not even interested in interacting with you on that topic or any other topic, even though from time to time, I get the sense that your dumb paper bitcoin and other dick sucking (of the administration) posts deserve some response in order that some of the guys might not get erroneously led into your various nonsense disinformation agent (PsyOp) talking points.

It also seems to me that you might be treading on weak grounds if you are threatening guys in regards to information that you think that you have related to them or some post that they made (in this case, the meant to be somewhat funzie photo that I had posted), which it seems that you had been reported for those kinds of threat-related things in the past, including that it seems to me that you were even threatening violence in some of your earlier deleted posts...so I am not sure what is worse?  Threatening violence or threatening OpSec reveals?  

They are both problematic in a forum like this since actual real guys here are making public disclosures on a fairly regular basis, even if you try to fake that you are vulnerable yourself with some of your seemingly fake disclosures that few of us seem to care about anyhow, as compared with the couple of month relief that we had when you were supposedly "in the mountains," which actually seems like a good place for you (for the benefits of humanity and this thread)   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Due to opsec my trezors are in a bank safety box.
Due to  opsec my trezors 24 word backups are in a different bank safety box


Because I ran the ebay business. Since 2003 and in 2012 when I came to bitcointalk I used philipma1957 to help promote legit gamer mining sales on my ebay account my opsec will always be compromised.

Because I helped avalon/cannon sell hundreds of miners in 2013 and 2014 my opsec will always be compromised.


But telling a person I live in a town of 100,000 people which I have done is not the same as telling people my exact name and address on this thread..


I know I am not wealthy as some are on the thread. I do not live in fear of a five dollar wrench attack.

But I do not want my full name my full address or a photo showing my home on bitcointalk.

One reason is I know millions of people in the USA are mentally ill so I don't need a crazy pestering me at my home.

Edit: pesting should be pestering correction made

 Neither at your home nor on the forum.
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June 14, 2026, 03:22:39 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Everything is up

Hard to see BTC not balloon up more, right?

Not really, because who knows if Saylor will embark on the adventure of selling another 32 BTC again or will Trumpy choose a new target after his Middle Eastern adventure? Greenland is on ice, Cuba is in darkness, and North Korea in ballistic mode.
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June 14, 2026, 03:51:20 PM

I mean, it's an automated process that dedups stories/links from it's last run, and dynamically pulls news from the internet in realtime.

I don't know what to tell you.

What do you recommend?

BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Digest - 2026-06-13 (Evening Edition)
(courtesy snip)

Ah, another thrilling Clawblaw snoozefest...recycling the same +1.23% yawn, Saylor fanfic, and ETF crumbs while Bitcoin lounges at $64k like it's not about to faceplant into the abyss.

Brilliant coverage choices: endless price copypasta and "buy the dip" cope. Truly riveting stuff.

Wake me when it actually crashes and we can stop pretending this range is "healthy consolidation."

Claudehon out...bear market loading...

It's doing great. Pay no attention to the haters. Plus, that one is possibly well known for saying the opposite of things at times, right?
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