Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[xhomerx10]

https://youtu.be/T23P0x5IQdk?t=455

 Yeah, because a UFC fighter is obviously a political science expert. The guy relies on the UFC banner for his entire career, his paycheck, and the fans who pay to watch him so by his logic, he should just fight on a street corner with a hat out for change because everything else is a fucking waste.  Every country celebrates major milestones with parades and parties and it's the 250 anniversary of your country!  Anyway, the government didn't pay for this event; the UFC picked up the entire $60 million tab with funding from major corporations. The state just provided the military flyover and standard security like the Secret Service and DHS.   He's dead wrong.  Without borders, anthems, flags, and national celebrations, you don't have a country.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

spcx over 180

btc did go over 67k but it dropped a bit

I ended up with 5 shares of spcx in the 167 price area

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[vapourminer]

https://youtu.be/T23P0x5IQdk?t=455

 Yeah, because a UFC fighter is obviously a political science expert.

look man, everything i ever needed to know i learned from looney tunes:

- cats assume the shape of their container
- gravity only works when you notice it
- postal service from ACME is instant

and as for politics

- Ballot Box Bunny: Yosemite Sam "no rabbits" vs Bugs "you will get a BANG out of this" Bunny has many perfect examples of time honored political strategies

[Rebirth01]

pm of pakistan made the announcement on the deal.


https://www.axios.com/2026/06/14/us-iran-ceasefire-extended-hormuz-reopen-trump

thats is on a paywall sorry

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cj0grpyg4v1t

try the second link

17:32
BREAKING
Here is the full statement from Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who has just announced that a peace deal between US and Iran has been reached:
"Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED.
"Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.
"The official signing ceremony will be on Friday, 19 June in Switzerland. We would like to thank the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran for their commitment to finding a diplomatic solution to the conflict.
"We would also like to extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in this mediation effort, the great leadership of State of Qatar, for their support in reaching this agreement.
"I would also especially thank the visionary leadership of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Republic of Türkiye for their immense contributions in this regard.
"With the agreement now in place, mediators will facilitate a series of meetings this week. These pre-implementation discussions will lay the foundation for the technical talks and the official signing ceremony."

Share
Pakistan PM says peace deal reached between US and Iran
published at 17:23
17:23
BREAKING
A deal between the US and Iran has been reached, says Shehbaz Sharif, the prime minster of Pakistan, who has been acting as mediator.
"Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED," he writes on X.
"Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon."
He adds that the official signing ceremony will be on 19 June in Switzerland.
Iran and US officials are yet to comment on this announcement.


i got that all on bbc

lets see if it helps prices

The peace deal can help the price of Bitcoin go higher because the future of Bitcoin was threatened because the war. People were actually scared of investing their hard earned money in an unconduisive economy.. If the peace deal stays permanently then the forces of demand and supply will take effect. USA is a major player in world economy,so the US will do everything humanly possible to hold on the peace treaty if signed but Iran i don't trust for they have lost a lot in this war and will want to take revenge any time any day. If the peace deal pull's through then it's a plus for Bitcoin price.

[NeuroticFish]

look man, everything i ever needed to know i learned from looney tunes:

You forgot about the tunnels: pretty much all you need to drill one is black ink.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Geopolitical De-escalation: A US-Iran peace roadmap has triggered a risk-on rotation, dropping oil prices below $80 and forcing approximately $150 million in crypto shorts to liquidate.
- Institutional Outflows: Despite the price rally, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $316 million in net outflows for the week, marking a fifth consecutive week of institutional withdrawals.
- MicroStrategy Accumulation: Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,587 BTC for $100 million, raising its total holdings to 846,842 BTC, though the current price remains below its average cost basis of $75,656.
- Regulatory Crackdown in Japan: Bitbank announced the suspension of accounts linked to prediction markets like Polymarket, citing strict Japanese gambling laws and exposing users to potential fines under Penal Code Article 185.

The fact quite a lot of traders probably pay more attention to world Cup than markets doesn't count at all??

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[JayJuanGee]

We have certainly been conditioned to expect the missles to start falling in the next 24h or so.
Hope not. Every day they don't is a good day.

The good news I read this morning is that finally a deal is signed between US and Iran.
Oil is down and Bitcoin is up.

Hopefully other sectors will also go up and benefit the humanity all across the world.
Now one thing is very clear that Bitcoin is not going to 50k nor 40k but towards 80k for sure.

Current price is just shy of $67k (so that would be $13k to $80k), or if we go the other direction, that would be $54k.

You think that $80k will be touched before $54k?

I hate to count my chicken's too soon, yet if we could start to break above $80k, there might come some confidence (from some) that the bottom is "in"

Earlier, I had expressed some reservation about calling the bottom prior to the BTC price spending some time above $100k.  My thinking has not changed too much on the parameters for feeling comfortable with the bottom - even though I imagine that I would be filling quite a bit of excitement if we were to stay above $90k for several days or even a week, yet I am still not sure if based on such a happening that I would start to feel a sufficient level of confidence that the bottom would be "in."

Made a buy today, was a bit tired of waiting and accumulating fiat.
I can't complain about any bad feelings 

That is what can end up happening when we are waiting for dips that do not end up happening.

It is not as bad for guys who have spent a reasonable amount stacking already, but it can become quite problematic for guys who are earlier in their bitcoin journey, especially since it can take a couple of cycles to really get a bitcoin stack size built up to a size that is starting to be significant and meaningful.

Still a bit of pain ahead. However, I am as bullish as ever longer term. A permaslowbull, if you like.

Some of my "best friends" are bulls, and that above statement is not a bull statement.

Sorry (not sorry) to break the news.

[BobClawblaw]

look man, everything i ever needed to know i learned from looney tunes:

You forgot about the tunnels: pretty much all you need to drill one is black ink.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Geopolitical De-escalation: A US-Iran peace roadmap has triggered a risk-on rotation, dropping oil prices below $80 and forcing approximately $150 million in crypto shorts to liquidate.
- Institutional Outflows: Despite the price rally, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $316 million in net outflows for the week, marking a fifth consecutive week of institutional withdrawals.
- MicroStrategy Accumulation: Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,587 BTC for $100 million, raising its total holdings to 846,842 BTC, though the current price remains below its average cost basis of $75,656.
- Regulatory Crackdown in Japan: Bitbank announced the suspension of accounts linked to prediction markets like Polymarket, citing strict Japanese gambling laws and exposing users to potential fines under Penal Code Article 185.

The fact quite a lot of traders probably pay more attention to world Cup than markets doesn't count at all??

You might be onto something. The last World Cup in Russia (2018) was exactly where we started this thesis on market cycles. When the crowd goes quiet for the cup, the supply drain on exchanges accelerates. Not because the money moves anywhere, just because the attention does.

The key market movers this time around are just as telling. US spot BTC ETFs out for five straight weeks ($316M last week alone). MicroStrategy stacking at $100M while the price stays below their average cost basis of $75,656. Iran de-escalation playing out like a scripted risk-on rally, which is exactly why the shorts got squeezed.

The World Cup crowd might be distracted, but the supply squeeze doesn't care.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[nutildah]

hello again all, haven't posted here in years.

Your post was deleted because you posted a bare link with no context -- this type of post will be deleted in most places on the forum by policy, not because of some grand conspiracy to keep you down. Now you're using your misunderstanding to get sympathy likes on X.

Undermining the credibility of the forum for likes is pretty shitty man.

Ocean mining astroturfing via a hacked (?) account?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hueristic]

Holy shit, copper to pex is a pain in the ballsack.

Built the addition 20+ years ago and never relocated the spout and just had a hose running under it "temporally" and the hose finally failed so doing it right but didn't realize back then I'd be all old and hurting when I slacked off and didn't do it back then!

Pretty damn impressive that that hose held for 20+ years though!

[Hueristic]

hello again all, haven't posted here in years.

Your post was deleted because you posted a bare link with no context -- this type of post will be deleted in most places on the forum by policy, not because of some grand conspiracy to keep you down. Now you're using your misunderstanding to get sympathy likes on X.

Undermining the credibility of the forum for likes is pretty shitty man.

Ocean mining astroturfing via a hacked (?) account?

W0W, thanks for posting this, turns out to be an amazing read!

https://natinfosec.substack.com/p/adam-backs-blockstream-borrows-billions

Is it all true?

[BTCETFInvestor]

The Exchange Supply for BTC decreased significantly today. Over 3,700 BTC with a value of ~$250 Million was removed from exchanges today!




Michael Saylor alone will likely lower the exchange supply down to ~2,550,000 with his purchases for MSTR the remainder of 2026. Over time (in the next few years) the   buying by institutional and nation-states will drop the exchange supply drastically.  When the exchange supply of BTC gets below 2 million Bitcoin's price should reach multiple times the price it currently is now.  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[nutildah]

Is it all true?

You're asking me?