Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

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[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

Dude. Calm down. I don't have the price always on my smartwatch's screen. I have to select it in the menu. Time, date, heart rate and battery charge are displayed, if i tap the display or turn my wrist. I don't want to expose my love for BTC to the public because of reasons.
But it's way more comfortable this way, compared to wrestling out my smartphone of my trousers pocket, unlocking it, opening the chart view app (and so on, i suppose you are familiar with that kind of process).

I have not considered viewing the price of bitcoin on my arm to have had been any major problem or even threat to my privacy in recent times.

Perhaps I am not paranoid enough?

~snip
* Happy Canada Day to our local hosers!

Thank you. thank you!  I believe Mr. JJG and I have plans for some Johnny cakes, maple syrup, back bacon and road pops this afternoon.

Yeah.. it is like tradition dude.

Don't u no nuttin?  You're just a great big Tim Horton's donut-eating hosehead, eh. Take off!

..... but I want to say that you seemed to have had a lot more time for us before you retired.   I think it would be best of all of us (you know, the royal "we") if you were to take up the wage-slavery game again... even if only part-time or on a contractual basis. 

Well I'm a very busy bee these daze. Cat shitter to scoop, dishwasher to empty, weeds to grow, neighbors to gossip about... you know that sort of thing....
Oh wait, I did all that when I was working.... 

Truth be told, the alcohol over indulgence probably had something to do with the excessive asshattery.
Not a teetotaler now, (boring) but adjusted my intake down considerably. No more constant headaches and heartburn....imagine that!
Speaking of drinking... time for my cup of tea and a biscuit.... LG

Yes.. I know some folks who seem to overdo it on the alcohol.. and then it ends up being a kind of self-medication, and they feel better...even though the alcohol may well be pickling certain parts of their body.. especially their brain... but yeah, I might be overly judgemental from time to time.

And trump made 1.4 billion with crypto last year. WTF!

I think it is called grifting.

I doubt that normal "bitcoiners" and/or even crypto people did close to as well as that guy.

[bitcoinPsycho]

EXCLUSIVE: ECB considers lifting banks' minimum reserves to lessen own losses, sources say | Reuters https://share.google/Sm8xl6i9uCWu4pJBy


Here we go again 🙄 

[ChartBuddy]

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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[goldkingcoiner]

How long until the AI data center water gets collected and sold instead of being returned to the earths ground water/ecosystem?
Can't wait for the future of buying second-grade AI-data-center-recycled mineral water. Yum.

You know why they target places where people don't have the means to protect their drinking water and just use seawater?

It's because its cheaper to steal peoples infrastructure than keep maintenance on corrosive seas water.

* and FU Buddy, blocked

They will either join or go to war with Nestle over water "rights" in the future.

Thanks for the 3000th merit

[Bitcoin_Budha]

Thanks for the 3000th merit

Congrats for 3000 figure in merits

Buddy, thanks for $61K again because waiting for a bounce back after a depressing time in a heat wave.

[coinlary]

Do something buddy!

Bring back $80k

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[OutOfMemory]

[edited out]

Dude. Calm down. I don't have the price always on my smartwatch's screen. I have to select it in the menu. Time, date, heart rate and battery charge are displayed, if i tap the display or turn my wrist. I don't want to expose my love for BTC to the public because of reasons.
But it's way more comfortable this way, compared to wrestling out my smartphone of my trousers pocket, unlocking it, opening the chart view app (and so on, i suppose you are familiar with that kind of process).

I have not considered viewing the price of bitcoin on my arm to have had been any major problem or even threat to my privacy in recent times.

Perhaps I am not paranoid enough?

Nonono, dude was thinking that my watch is constantly displaying (like) realtime BTC price in always-on-mode, so everybody could see it on my wrist, always. But it's not the case here.
Well, the app can only update the price if the watch is connected to my smartphone. No biggie.

[BTCETFInvestor]

About 1,000 BTC (~$60 million) has come off all exchanges in the past 24 hours. Huge volume of $44B too...

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

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[d_eddie]

Whoa whoa, buddy is on a spree.

[BTCETFInvestor]

The short-sellers are battling hard to keep the price down but they are getting squeezed a bit.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's News Digest - 2026-07-02 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-07-02 09:02 AM CT

Bitcoin is grinding higher on Thursday, reclaiming ground lost during a 21-month low as Metaplanet's massive accumulation adds fuel to the fire. The asset is trading near $61,784, a 4.17% daily gain that signals a tentative recovery despite the Fear & Greed Index remaining locked in Extreme Fear at 19. While the short-term trend is upward, the market is still negotiating below its 30-day moving average, suggesting this bounce is fighting against a heavier macro headwind.

Outlook: Traders should watch whether the $63,800 resistance level holds as a ceiling for this rally, especially with the Federal Reserve meeting just days away. The tension between Citigroup's zero-inflow ETF forecast and the on-chain reality of whale accumulation will likely dictate the next directional move.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $61,784.00 (+4.17%).

The Fear & Greed Index rests at 19, anchoring the market in extreme fear even as price action stabilizes. This divergence suggests that while sentiment remains fragile, the panic selling that typically drives such low readings has paused. Institutional flows show a lagging pattern, with capital deployment slower than the current price recovery would suggest. A sustained move above $63,000 could flip this narrative from defensive holding to cautious optimism, but failure to break resistance may extend the consolidation phase.

SCENARIOS

- Consolidation Range (50%): triggers: price holds between $60,000 and $63,000 with declining volatility and stable on-chain activity. Invalidation: a decisive break below $59,500 or above $64,500.
- Breakout Rally (30%): triggers: Fear & Greed rises above 30, daily volume expands, and price closes above $63,500 with strong institutional inflows. Invalidation: rejection at $63,500 with increasing selling pressure.
- Continued Drift (20%): triggers: price remains stuck in the $60,000-$62,000 band with no clear catalyst and sentiment stays below 25. Invalidation: a sharp move outside this range in either direction.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Metaplanet Accumulation: The Tokyo-listed firm added 2,823 BTC in Q2 2026 for $170.7 million, bringing its total holdings to 43,000 BTC and making it the world's third-largest corporate treasury.

- Federal Reserve Policy: Markets assign a 70% probability that the Fed will hold rates at its July 28-29 meeting, with a hike more likely than a cut if action occurs, adding macro uncertainty.

- ETF Outflows: June saw $4 billion exit Bitcoin ETFs, representing the worst monthly outflow on record, reversing previous bullish forecasts from major financial institutions.

TOP STORIES

1. Metaplanet Adds 2,823 BTC, Reaches 43,000 Total Holdings
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/metaplanet-adds-2823-bitcoin-reaches-43000
Published: 2026-07-02 07:23 AM CT
Summary: Metaplanet acquired 2,823 Bitcoin during the second quarter of 2026 for approximately $170.7 million. The Tokyo-listed firm now holds 43,000 BTC, a position valued near $2.6 billion at current prices. The company ranks as the world's third-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, trailing only Strategy and Twenty One Capital. Metaplanet reported a BTC Yield of 6.6% for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, while total debt and preferred stock represent roughly 23% of the net asset value of its Bitcoin holdings. Michael Saylor publicly congratulated the firm on reaching the 43,000 BTC milestone on X.

2. Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2026
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-price-prediction-july-2026-093435730.html
Published: 2026-07-02 05:34 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin fell to a 21-month low near $57,800 as the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and $4.5 billion in June ETF outflows drove institutional money elsewhere. Markets assign roughly a 70% probability that the Fed will hold rates at its July 28-29 meeting, with a hike more likely than a cut if action occurs. Strategy quietly sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, and Citigroup cut its 12-month inflow forecast to zero due to stalled regulatory clarity. On-chain data shows whales accumulating over 270,000 BTC in two weeks, though the price remains below the 200-week moving average for the first time since 2023. The base prediction places Bitcoin between $56,000 and $62,000 until the Fed meets, with a break above $63,800 signaling the end of the downtrend.

3. Citigroup Cuts Bitcoin Price Target to $82,000 on ETF Outflows
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/citi-slashes-bitcoin-target-to-82000
Published: 2026-07-01 11:18 AM CT
Summary: Citigroup lowered its 12-month Bitcoin price target to $82,000 from $112,000, marking the second cut this year after an earlier reduction from $143,000. The bank now expects zero net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs over the next year, reversing a previous $10 billion forecast as the products shed roughly $3.3 billion in 2026. June alone saw $4 billion exit the funds, representing the worst monthly outflow on record for the products. Citi analysts cited weaker investor sentiment, stalled U.S. crypto legislation, and potential selling from digital asset treasury companies as key drivers for the downgrade.

4. Bitcoin's Case for Long-Term Value
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-why-bitcoin-could-smartest-093300604.html
Published: 2026-07-02 05:33 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin has dropped 52% from its October peak as of late June 2026, prompting bearish sentiment about the asset's viability. The article argues that ongoing U.S. M2 money supply expansion, which has grown 238% over 20 years, supports Bitcoin's long-term upside. Federal debt approaching $40 trillion and persistent budget deficits create a structural tailwind for the hard-capped digital asset. Despite the lack of a direct link between fiat debasement and Bitcoin adoption, institutions and nations are gradually increasing their holdings.

5. Bitcoin Bounces Off 21-Month Low, But Leverage Data Signals Caution
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-bounces-off-21-month-low-but-leverage-data-signals-caution-was-57k-the-bottom
Published: 2026-07-01
Summary: Bitcoin recovered from a 21-month low of $57,737 to trade near $60,200, though the asset remains down roughly a third since the start of the year. The Fear and Greed Index sits at 11, reflecting extreme fear among investors who have pulled $4.5 billion from US spot Bitcoin ETFs in June alone. Onchain data tells a different story, as long-term holders accumulated approximately 270,000 BTC over the past two weeks. Funding rates have stayed positive for three consecutive days, indicating that leveraged bets on rising prices remain crowded despite the weak price action. The market view leans neutral, with a decisive move beyond $61,000 or below $56,000 required to trigger significant liquidation cascades.

6. Bitcoin-Backed Preferred Shares Grow to $13B Market
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/preferred-stock-is-becoming-bitcoin
Published: 2026-07-01
Summary: A June 2026 report from BitcoinTreasuries.net and Apyx tracks the rise of bitcoin-backed preferred shares to a combined market value of roughly $13 billion. Strategy dominates the sector with four securities (STRF, STRC, STRK, STRD) holding nearly $12.5 billion in market value, while Strive issued a fifth security, SATA, valued at around $330 million. These instruments offer effective yields between 10.8% and 15.2%, significantly higher than the 3% to 4% available on high-yield savings accounts. The report argues that demand from fixed-income institutions could reach $21.8 billion if just 20 basis points shift from U.S. treasuries, though supply remains capped by the 1.26 million bitcoins held in corporate treasuries.

newspost.py Version: v1.3.0 | Model: Ornith-1.0-35B-heretic-Q4_K_M.gguf (26763MiB)

[ChartBuddy]

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