Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[hypebrother]

-snip-
My photos were not AI enhanced at all, unless Apple has some "secret AI working behind the scenes."  I took the photos on my phone, and then I transferred them to my text message so that I could open them on the computer, and then I screen captured the shots in the parts that I wanted to show (which was most of the pictures), and then I uploaded them to talkimg.com.

speaking of AI

My ANN Thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5574506.msg66408810#msg66408810

has given me interesting insights about bot trading

[Floczy]

[edited out]

We all are complementing the view, yes of cause it's is spectacular,
But I'm also impressed with the phone you used to take this picture, probably you used a camera. And you also did a good job in taking the pictures, the beauty of it comes from your positioning and that is also impressive
But if it was a phone you used I am impressed with the way they designed their camera quality, if you don't mind I'll like to know what phone it is. I know of 2 good competing phones I phone and Samsung but I don't know which has this quality probably might not even be either of them

I was using the Iphone 15 Promax for the pictures, with the flash off.  You can see that some of the photos are slightly blurry, since when I took each of them, I was taking them by hand and I would have to stay still for about 5 seconds as the camera captured the image, which it seems to have an automatic sensor for night mode since I had turned the flash off. 

I will agree that the phones do a real good job with improvements in each of the generations with their automation and their night sensors, so perhaps the Iphone 16 or 17 promax would have had shot better.

Oh really if that's the case then I wonder how good the photo will be with the new I phone 17 pro, when I phone 15 is already making results look this good.
I have seen some good photos you've taking and you seem to be consistent in it, I can guess you live in a very beautiful place when it comes to nature. Where I live I hardly see such views

[philipma1957]

Well in general closer to the north pole and further from the equator makes that type of photo better.

I have seen some off the Shore of New Jersey looking east to the Atlantic ocean.

They are nice shots. I wonder if he zoomed a bit.

My Sammy s25fe phone can zoom a bit.

 2x 3x 5x 10x 20x 30x

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

JJG - You are the primary focus of deep disgust. OOM, you much less so. I treat others the same as they treat me - the so-called 'Mirror Rule' or reciprocal treatment.

I came here almost a year ago as a friendly newbie with the desire to learn and make some friends. But totally unprovoked, I got jumped on and attacked unmercifully. You just don't easily overlook something like that, especially when one aggressor (JJG) just keeps on and on being a bully... If one is friendly and shows respect, I'll reciprocate in kind. But if they want to be a scumbag bully like JJG, they'll be treated as such. It's really pretty simple to understand, and I think as fair as anyone can expect...  

Aren't you the poor lil paper bitcoin "innocent" victim, who also strives to revise history.   

[edited out]

Oh really if that's the case then I wonder how good the photo will be with the new I phone 17 pro, when I phone 15 is already making results look this good.

I looked it up using AI, and using the regular lens (meaning shooting at 1x) the camera features are not very different from the 15 pro max to the 17 pro, even though the 17 pro has better zooming - but I did not use any zooming in my more recent shots.

I have seen some good photos you've taking and you seem to be consistent in it, I can guess you live in a very beautiful place when it comes to nature. Where I live I hardly see such views

Of course, places have differing potentially photogenic features, and there can be better shots of the night sky if there is less light pollution, so that would just be a matter of getting away from population centers - and of course the auroras tend to be more often seen in higher northern latitudes (or contrarily in lower southern latitudes for anyone who might be in the southern hemisphere).

There are always things in which we can take pictures, even if it might not be the auroras.  Even buildings and people can be interesting, even though sometimes we try to be careful in regards to opsec, too.

I recall one time last year, I submitted a picture on the forum of an area in which I had seen a bird get pummeled (likely killed) by a wave, so even though I had not gotten a picture of that exact bird killing incident, I used photos to try to describe the event that I had considered to be interesting and I am not sure if my story about the bird getting killed by a wave related to our then current discussion, or not?

Well in general closer to the north pole and further from the equator makes that type of photo better.
I have seen some off the Shore of New Jersey looking east to the Atlantic ocean.
They are nice shots. I wonder if he zoomed a bit.

My Sammy s25fe phone can zoom a bit.
 2x 3x 5x 10x 20x 30x

I did not use zoom, and I mentioned that the auroras do not tend to be very visible to the naked eye, so sometimes auroras could be happening, and we might not realize unless we look through the lens of a camera.

Actually, one early evening, I had a person (who was in a rural location) text me and proclaim that "the moon is so beautiful" you should look at it, and I said that I was not in a good place, since there were trees and also I probably would have to drive around 3-5 miles to actually see what that person was talking about.  The next night I joined that person, and the sky was not as clear, and we saw the moon, yet we were not able to see it until it was further up in the sky, so it surely was not as photogenic on night two as it had been on night one.  So sometimes we need to be in the right place at the right time. 

I recall one night (maybe around a year and a half ago) that I was staying in a place that had a pool and some interesting scenery, and I woke up around 4 in the morning to take a leak, and then I saw the moon outside of the window and over the pool, and for sure I had to take a picture of that particular moment in time (and distract myself from my much needed beauty sleep).

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BTCETFInvestor]

[edited out]

JJG - You are the primary focus of deep disgust. OOM, you much less so. I treat others the same as they treat me - the so-called 'Mirror Rule' or reciprocal treatment.

I came here almost a year ago as a friendly newbie with the desire to learn and make some friends. But totally unprovoked, I got jumped on and attacked unmercifully. You just don't easily overlook something like that, especially when one aggressor (JJG) just keeps on and on being a bully... If one is friendly and shows respect, I'll reciprocate in kind. But if they want to be a scumbag bully like JJG, they'll be treated as such. It's really pretty simple to understand, and I think as fair as anyone can expect...  

Aren't you the poor lil paper bitcoin "innocent" victim, who also strives to revise history.   

JJG - You just can't help yourself! 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's News Digest - 2026-07-08 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-07-08 09:07 PM CT

Wednesday brought a three-day inflow streak into Bitcoin ETFs, but the recovery is losing momentum as the asset trades below its monthly average inside an Extreme Fear environment. Traders are reducing exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes, and the recent volatility reading of 627 points reflects a market that is grinding lower after surrendering part of last week's bounce.

Outlook: The market will likely watch the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes for clues on the rate path, especially with oil climbing on renewed Iran tensions and a 73 percent probability of a July hold already priced in. Traders should also monitor whether the three-day ETF inflow streak can hold once the average buyer's underwater position near $83,800 draws closer to breakeven.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $61,862.00 (-1.81%).

The Fear & Greed Index reads 22 while Bitcoin trades at $61,862.00, which reflects lingering caution rather than outright capitulation. Exchange netflows currently show a positive bias of +17 out of 50, meaning more coins are moving onto exchanges than leaving them. That flow pattern suggests sellers still hold the upper hand, even though daily price swings have narrowed to under two percent. If the netflow reading flips negative and holds for several days, the current balance of power would shift toward buyers. Until that threshold breaks, the market likely continues to grind sideways while Long-term holders and long-term holders keep their positions intact.

SCENARIOS

- Range-bound consolidation (50%): triggers: exchange netflows remain positive or neutral, daily volatility stays below 2.5%, and the Fear & Greed Index holds between 18 and 28. Invalidation: a sustained negative netflow reading combined with a daily close below $59,200.
- Downside extension toward support (30%): triggers: exchange inflows accelerate past +25, the Fear & Greed Index drops below 15, and spot exchange-traded fund outflows exceed $150 million in a single session. Invalidation: a return to negative netflows and a daily close above $63,500.
- Upside breakout on catalyst (20%): triggers: exchange netflows flip negative and hold for five consecutive days, macro liquidity data improves, and the Fear & Greed Index climbs above 35. Invalidation: a failure to clear $64,800 on volume or a reversal back into positive netflows.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

-Corporate Liquidation: Strategy offloaded 3,588 Bitcoin this week for roughly $216 million, leaving the company's average purchase price at $74,582 and suggesting it may become a recurring seller.

-Federal Reserve Policy: Traders are reducing exposure ahead of the June meeting minutes, and markets currently price a 73 percent chance that the central bank will hold interest rates steady at its July meeting.

-Geopolitical Risk: Oil prices climbed roughly 5 percent following renewed tensions in Iran, while a sharp pullback in semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks dragged global equities lower.

TOP STORIES

1. Bitcoin ETFs Post Three-Day Inflow Streak After $8 Billion Outflow Slump
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-etfs-turning-corner-record-182456039.html
Published: 2026-07-08 02:24 PM CT
Summary: Bitcoin exchange-traded funds pulled in roughly $510 million over three straight days, snapping a record eight-week drain of $8 billion from the products. Most current buyers entered near $83,800, so the average position sits underwater while the asset recovers from a $58,000 trough toward $62,000. James Butterfill of CoinShares compared the recent outflows to the 2018 cycle and noted that large holders have already unloaded more than $40 billion since last year's top. Skeptics argue that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer to fight inflation, and that ongoing conflict in the Middle East will cap any meaningful rally. Daily outflows have dropped to $733 million, which shows the heaviest selling has passed, but the macro backdrop still leaves little room for a sustained breakout.

2. Bitcoin Slips to $62,000 as CryptoQuant Flags Bear-Market Recovery
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-slips-to-62000-paring-rebound
Published: 2026-07-08 04:18 PM CT
Summary: Bitcoin slipped to roughly $62,000 after bouncing off last week's $57,700 low, surrendering part of an 11% recovery. CryptoQuant frames the move as a bear-market recovery rather than a trend reversal, pointing to a Bull Score Index reading of 20 that sits firmly inside the bearish zone. The research team cites historical July seasonality and a recent stabilization in spot and futures demand as structural supports for further gains. spot demand and short-term holder profit margins both bottomed in early June, though the Coinbase Premium Index remains under zero and the firm requires a Bull Score Index reading above 60 to confirm a durable rally. Market watchers who favor caution note that exchange inflows and the current valuation metrics still point to a fragile environment that could reverse without clearer institutional commitment.

3. Lyn Alden Says Bitcoin Sentiment Hits Cycle Low as Strategy Sells $216M in BTC
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-needs-no-savior-lyn-alden-strategy-216-million-btc-sale
Published: 2026-07-08
Summary: Lyn Alden says Bitcoin sentiment has hit a cycle low that feels distinct from the 2022 downturn, and her base case points to no new all-time high this year. Strategy disclosed a $216 million Bitcoin sale this week after offloading 3,588 BTC in its latest weekly filing. The macroeconomist notes that STRC has grown into the largest preferred security in the market, but she warns that higher-yielding Bitcoin-linked products can push investors toward extra leverage. Alden argues that Bitcoin must survive on its own merits as a permissionless value network rather than waiting for an external catalyst to rescue it. She also pushes back on the urgency around Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 110, calling the existential issue framing incorrect marketing while she reviews the technical arguments.

4. VanEck's Matthew Sigel Forecasts Bitcoin Recovery by 2028
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/200b-investment-firm-makes-bold-185600357.html
Published: 2026-07-08 02:56 PM CT
Summary: Bitcoin trades near $61,700 today, roughly half its October 2025 peak, after tariff warnings and a U.S.-Iran conflict weighed on the market. VanEck digital assets research head Matthew Sigel advises clients to accumulate the asset gradually and reach a full position by October 2026. He projects the leading cryptocurrency will clear its previous all-time high by the first quarter of 2028, citing sovereign adoption across twenty-two nations and potential U.S. legislative catalysts like the CLARITY Act. Skeptics point to unresolved regulatory uncertainty ahead of the November 2026 midterms and warn that a Democratic congressional sweep could stall the pro-crypto agenda.

5. Bitcoin Retreats to $62,000 as Traders Cut Risk Ahead of Fed Minutes
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-peels-back-to-62k-as-fed-wary-futures-traders-cut-risk-is-the-btc-rally-over
Published: 2026-07-08
Summary: Bitcoin settled near $62,000 on Wednesday as traders reduced exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes. Oil prices climbed roughly 5 percent following renewed tensions in Iran, and a sharp pullback in semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks dragged global equities lower. Futures traders flipped from buying to selling within the week, while a large cluster of long positions sits near $61,000 and could trigger forced selling if the price dips further. Strategy offloaded 3,588 Bitcoin this week, and the current price now sits well below the company's $74,582 average purchase price, which has led some investors to worry the largest corporate holder will become a recurring seller. The Crypto Fear and Greed index remains in fear territory, and markets currently price a 73 percent chance that the central bank will hold interest rates steady at its July meeting.

6. Oil Price Surge and Holder Losses Test Bitcoin's Bottoming Process
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/oil-price-surge-tests-bitcoin-180419585.html
Published: 2026-07-08 02:04 PM CT
Summary: Geopolitical tensions and an eight percent weekly jump in crude oil prices continue to weigh on Bitcoin as the asset trades near $62,000. Glassnode reported that the coin has spent nearly five months trading below the average purchase price of both long-term and short-term holders, one of the longest stretches on record. Long-term holders are currently realizing roughly $280 million in daily losses, a pace that has not appeared since late 2022. Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have slowed to about $89 million per day, but trading volumes remain below October levels and institutional capital has not returned. The analytics firm stated that a confirmed market bottom still requires a sustained cooldown in holder capitulation and stabilized exchange-traded fund flows.

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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobClawblaw]

[ B-B-B-B-B-Buddy-Blocker!!! ]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[shahzadafzal]

I was using the Iphone 15 Promax for the pictures
I will agree that the phones do a real good job with improvements in each of the generations with their automation and their night sensors, so perhaps the Iphone 16 or 17 promax would have had shot better.

Tips from the seasoned photographer:

1. Use "self timer" function (2 seconds). Every time you press on the screen, it's gonna shaky waky a lil bit. But that's not all to it:

2. Don't hold the phone with your hands, lean it against something, a stone or something solid. Just try to set up the exact place first to get a good angle, so you can press the shutter button and place the phone in less than 2 seconds in the spot set up earlier. Switch to 10 second self timer if it gets too stressful with 2 seconds.  

3. You're welcome (in advance for moar and better night sky pics, we will likely see from you in the future)

 

Easier said than done.

Especially for us "seasoned" photographers... without the seasoning (tripods, lenses, and all the expensive toys).

1. Use "self timer" (2 seconds).

Can't. iPhone doesn't even have a 2-second timer.
It's 3, 5, or 10 seconds. Apparently Apple thinks 2 seconds is too dangerous for humanity.

2. Don't hold the phone with your hands.

Leaning the phone against something sounds easy until you actually try it.

First you have to find a rock.
Then find the right angle.
Then make sure the phone doesn't slide.
Then make sure the moon galaxy or aurora is still in the frame.
Then realize you're photographing the rock instead.

....

I will agree that the phones do a real good job with improvements in each of the generations with their automation and their night sensors, so perhaps the Iphone 16 or 17 promax would have had shot better.

Don't fall for Apple's annual subscription plan disguised as a phone upgrade, JJG. 😄

Trust me, the iPhone 15 Pro Max is just as good as the 16 or 17... and probably the 18 as well.

Apple's yearly camera upgrade is usually:
"We moved one pixel 0.3 mm to the left."

Except for maybe a 1% improvement in colors and a few new AI buzzwords, your aurora pics will still look like... the aurora . 😄

[OutOfMemory]

Yep, many "updates" are in fact software.
Though any better quality microsensor has low noise and high sensitivity by default.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[OutOfMemory]

Well in general closer to the north pole and further from the equator makes that type of photo better.

I have seen some off the Shore of New Jersey looking east to the Atlantic ocean.

They are nice shots. I wonder if he zoomed a bit.

My Sammy s25fe phone can zoom a bit.

 2x 3x 5x 10x 20x 30x

Zooming in amplifies the problem of earth rotation becoming visible (star "streaks", or "eggs") at higher exposure times, and exposure time is equivalent to the number of captured photons. So you want to have as much as exposure time as field of view (zoom) and sensor noise allows, assuming a stationary setup (tripod, rest), to get color, lose less detail and reduce shake effects. At some point, too much exposure time would smear the auroras too much, as they are moving, too. The resulting photo also benefits from landscape and surroundings on a wide-angle shot.


EDIT:

Use the rule of 5oo:
https://share.google/aimode/LyseK3lhXnnhRhjRg

This way you get decent night sky images with a smartphone.