Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[nutildah]

Edit3: Ok I think I see that your saying you cherry picked these names not that they are in the same category?

Haha. Yes, it is this one. That was a wild ride.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Ambatman]

Justice for the sellers. But deep down, I am on the buyers side. Clock it
 

For all that's unholy I really find that slang hard to stomach.

as for my backgrounds pretty simple:

i am

annoying

People tend to consider people that can win arguments annoying
Sometimes a side effect of being smart.

[cAPSLOCK]

I had an uncle the family said had Asperger's (which is now considered a form of autism I understand) that was rather eccentric socially, but absolutely brilliant in so many ways. I think he may have used it to his advantage and dealt with its drawbacks the best he could.  

Aspergers = "High Functioning" autism nowadays.  I believe mostly because Dr. Asperger was a Nazi.  But I personally prefer the docs name as it does not make what can be seen as a value judgement.  "High Functioning" is kind of a misnomer in two ways in my humble opinion.  In one sense it sort of hides the fact that many high functioning autists are struggling quite a bit under their mask (this is ONE way I think to talk about it).  Also it is often seen as the other end of "non verbal" etc.  Many "high functioning" autists have IQs way on the right of the bellcurve.

But I have several personal objections to various language used by psychology... 

How do you like my Pluto shirt?



But this is just me.  I also know a diagnosis is a VERY important affirmation and way of understanding a life that has heretofor been cornfusing.

[Hueristic]

Edit3: Ok I think I see that your saying you cherry picked these names not that they are in the same category?

Haha. Yes, it is this one. That was a wild ride.

Lets see the results.

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

[edited out]

You and cAPSLOCK come off as really intent upon trying to steal away "wordyman" title.

 

Find a new hobby!!!!!!



(not directed at any of the two of you in particular)

If i had diabetes (I don't), GLP-1 agonist is one area where spending bitcoin savings could be considered (not an advice), if it is expensive in your jurisdiction, just don't fall for cheap generics, imho.

What is the issue with generics in the case GLP-1 agonists? 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Biodom]

[edited out]

[edited out]

You and cAPSLOCK come off as really intent upon trying to steal away "wordyman" title.

 

Find a new hobby!!!!!!



(not directed at any of the two of you in particular)

If i had diabetes (I don't), GLP-1 agonist is one area where spending bitcoin savings could be considered (not an advice), if it is expensive in your jurisdiction, just don't fall for cheap generics, imho.

What is the issue with generics in the case GLP-1 agonists?  

I am friends with one person who was on compounded cheap Zepbound and the weight loss was very slow, which changed when they switched to Eli Lilly's "real" thing.
Novo says that compounders don't have a know-how to produce a 'real thing' because the composition is complex, but they could be just 'puffing their chest'.

Interesting history:

https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/novo-nordisk-s-canadian-mistake

[Bit-Mj1014]

cAPS - Very interesting commentary...  Curious if the 'little tweak' causing an avalanche of dominoes was a favorable or unfavorable rewiring experience for you?

That's a very complicated question, really.  There are trade-offs and good and bad directions. Try to give me directions on where to drive my car. I'm not going to be able to follow you very well. It's like eating soup with a fork.  But do you need someone on your team who can see exactly where shit is going to blow up? Many, many moves ahead without having to make a Vizio chart?  I'm your huckleberry.  (i'm gonna be wrong sometimes too.) but just very quickly, LOL.)

So, I would say it has cost me a lot, but probably paid off more.

That really is the ultimate trade off, isn't it? It takes a lot of guts to admit the losses while still trusting your instinct to see the bigger picture. We all get it wrong sometimes, so don't sweat that. Just glad to have your perspective on the team definitely

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[sirazimuth]

GO ENGLAND!!!

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's News Digest - 2026-07-11 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-07-11 09:02 PM CT

Bitcoin holds steady near $64,000 on a quiet Saturday as Standard Chartered reinterprets Strategy Inc.'s pivot from accumulation to collateralization as a bullish catalyst rather than a liquidation signal. The market ignores the lingering Fear & Greed reading of 26, treating the bank's $100,000 end-of-2026 target as a counter-narrative to the current stagnation.

Outlook: Investors will watch whether Strategy's new collateral model stabilizes supply dynamics or if the lack of fresh equity issuance continues to cap upside momentum. Attention also turns to the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy, which remain a key pressure point for yield-less assets despite current rate stability.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,082.00 (+0.15%).

Exchange netflows dominate the current narrative, signaling that liquidity is moving off-ramps rather than staying idle. With the Fear & Greed Index at 26, sentiment remains fragile despite the modest price stability near $64,082. This combination suggests that while panic selling has subsided, buyers lack the conviction to drive a sustained breakout. The market is essentially waiting for a catalyst to resolve the tension between weak sentiment and stable pricing. A shift in netflow direction or a break above key resistance would clarify whether this consolidation is a pause or a prelude to further decline.

SCENARIOS

- Base Case (50%): triggers: Price holds above $63,000 support while exchange netflows remain neutral to slightly positive. Invalidation: A sustained drop below $62,500 with increasing outflows.
- Bullish Case (30%): triggers: Exchange netflows turn significantly negative as holders accumulate, pushing price toward $66,000. Invalidation: Failure to break $65,500 resistance on high volume.
- Bearish Case (20%): triggers: Netflows spike positively as short-term holders exit, driving price below $62,000. Invalidation: Quick recovery above $63,500 within 24 hours.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Strategy Inc. Pivot: Standard Chartered argues that repositioning Bitcoin as collateral for STRC preferred stock limits equity dilution, supporting the $100,000 price target.

- Macro Policy Pressure: The Fed's reluctance to loosen policy despite lower energy inflation continues to weigh on high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

- Quantum & Miner Risks: Former Meta engineer Patrick Shyu cites decaying miner incentives and potential quantum threats as long-term viability concerns.

- Oil Market De-escalation: Brent crude prices retreated below $76 following Iran conflict de-escalation, though Bitcoin remains suppressed below $65,000.

TOP STORIES

1. Standard Chartered Forecasts 56% Bitcoin Surge as Strategy Inc. Shifts to Collateral Model
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-could-surge-56-as-markets-understand-saylors-new-btc-strategy-analyst-says
Published: 2026-07-11
Summary: Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick argues that recent market volatility stems from confusion over Strategy Inc.'s strategic pivot rather than a loss of confidence in Bitcoin. The company is repositioning its Bitcoin holdings as collateral for STRC preferred stock instead of using them primarily for accumulation via equity issuance. Kendrick notes that Strategy's market value now closely matches its Bitcoin reserves, limiting its ability to issue equity at a premium to fund new purchases. He contends that once investors recognize the new collateral structure, the perceived need for large-scale Bitcoin sales will diminish, reducing downward pressure on the asset. The firm maintains its end-of-2026 Bitcoin price target of $100,000, implying a 56% increase from the current level of approximately $64,000.

2. Bitcoin Price Stagnation Amidst Oil Volatility and Fed Policy
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/oil-below-76-why-bitcoin-202700018.html
Published: 2026-07-11 04:27 PM CT
Summary: Brent crude oil prices have retreated to just below $76 a barrel following de-escalation in the Iran conflict, yet Bitcoin remains suppressed below $65,000. The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark rate between 3.5% and 3.75% in June, signaling a reluctance to loosen monetary policy despite lower energy inflation. A resilient labor market and persistent energy costs support the central bank's view that tighter policy remains necessary, which pressures high-risk, yield-less assets like Bitcoin. Investors lack a traditional fair value framework for Bitcoin, making long-term money supply expansion the primary metric for future price support rather than short-term macro indicators. The Motley Fool analyst team excluded Bitcoin from their current list of top 10 stocks, favoring equities with clearer revenue models for potential outperformance.

3. Former Meta and Google Engineer Cites Quantum and Miner Risks as Key Threats to Bitcoin
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/former-meta-engineer-bitcoin-2-ticking-time-bombs
Published: 2026-07-11
Summary: Patrick Shyu, a former Meta and Google engineer, warns that quantum computing and decaying miner incentives pose significant threats to Bitcoin's long-term viability. He argues that the fee economy has failed to replace block subsidies, leaving miners vulnerable as the 2028 halving reduces rewards to 1.5625 BTC. Shyu sold his entire Bitcoin position in June 2026 after a 50% price drop from $126,000 triggered liquidations on his leveraged holdings. While he cites quantum risks with potential 'Q-Day' events around 2030, other researchers and developers point to active migration plans like BIP-361 to mitigate this threat. Critics note that Shyu's bearish outlook coincides with a market rebound, suggesting his exit was driven more by leverage than fundamental protocol failure.

newspost.py Version: v1.3.3 | Model: Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-heretic-Q4_K_M.gguf (25747MiB)

[nutildah]

Lets see the results.

I'm still fine tuning things. Since my objective wasn't to punish autism or any sort of neurodivergence, I'm re-tooling what's being measured within this one sub-subscore. After its done I can show you how to configure that score back to Autist Detector.

edit:

Also it should be noted I am not a licensed practitioner of anything in any state, nor do I want to be. Seems like a lot of paperwork.

[philipma1957]

I had an uncle the family said had Asperger's (which is now considered a form of autism I understand) that was rather eccentric socially, but absolutely brilliant in so many ways. I think he may have used it to his advantage and dealt with its drawbacks the best he could.  

Aspergers = "High Functioning" autism nowadays.  I believe mostly because Dr. Asperger was a Nazi.  But I personally prefer the docs name as it does not make what can be seen as a value judgement.  "High Functioning" is kind of a misnomer in two ways in my humble opinion.  In one sense it sort of hides the fact that many high functioning autists are struggling quite a bit under their mask (this is ONE way I think to talk about it).  Also it is often seen as the other end of "non verbal" etc.  Many "high functioning" autists have IQs way on the right of the bellcurve.

But I have several personal objections to various language used by psychology... 

How do you like my Pluto shirt?



But this is just me.  I also know a diagnosis is a VERY important affirmation and way of understanding a life that has heretofor been cornfusing.

Its math 1+1=2 by definition.

You are defining what your mind-personality-bla-bla-bla is.

The difference with self definition vs psychology definition vs social definition is far more variable then 1+1=2

Which is very likely why we all got into btc because we all agree 1+1=2

As for left vs right or whatever the fuck religion you want or JJG is a wordy mofo that we argue about.

Or do we freeze and reclaim stale/lost btc? Oh we will f8ght that one like mad.

I would love to see a 50 year break and then in 2059 freeze the 2009 coins one  month at a time.

Let's see how the w.o. likes that idea.

[philipma1957]

[edited out]

[edited out]

You and cAPSLOCK come off as really intent upon trying to steal away "wordyman" title.

 

Find a new hobby!!!!!!



(not directed at any of the two of you in particular)

If i had diabetes (I don't), GLP-1 agonist is one area where spending bitcoin savings could be considered (not an advice), if it is expensive in your jurisdiction, just don't fall for cheap generics, imho.

What is the issue with generics in the case GLP-1 agonists? 

I am friends with one person who was on compounded cheap Zepbound and the weight loss was very slow, which changed when they switched to Eli Lilly's "real" thing.
Nova says that compounders don't have a know-how to produce a 'real thing' because the composition is complex, but they could be just 'puffing their chest'.

Interesting history:

https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/novo-nordisk-s-canadian-mistake

That was not a mistake. That was done as corporate sabatoge against nov-nordisk on behalf of an unknown Canadian corporation.

Its worth billions to the makes in canada.

[hypebrother]

We're scanning the scene in the city tonight
We're looking for you to start up a fight
There is an evil feeling in our brains
But there's nothing new, you know it drives us insane
​Running, on our way, hiding
You will pay dying
One thousand deaths
​Searching
Seek and destroy
​There is no escape and that's for sure
This is the end, we won't take any more
Say goodbye to the world you live in
You've always been taking and now you're giving
​Our brains are on fire with the feeling to kill
And it will not go away until our dreams are fulfilled
There is only one thing on our minds
Don't try running away 'cause you're the one we will find

hail

BTC

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com