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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 31 (36%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 21 (24.4%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 21 (24.4%)
No - other (explain below) - 13 (15.1%)
Total Voters: 86

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27024393 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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July 26, 2026, 09:02:16 AM


Explanation
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vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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July 26, 2026, 09:54:43 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Because for Trump, it's all in the open.

instead of Trump insider trading, its Trump outsider trading. he holds no insider info of any particular company, just that the USA is gonna soon bigly influence that sector/company with a tweet or no bid contract.

brilliant i must say. i mean thats not illegal right?
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July 26, 2026, 10:02:17 AM


Explanation
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hypebrother
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Writing on the Wall


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July 26, 2026, 10:11:08 AM



There is no greater underwear than jack & jones



Please Enjoy some ♠️

BobLawblaw
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Your Favorite Negro from Outer Space


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July 26, 2026, 10:22:12 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

There is no greater underwear than jack & jones

Fuck off.
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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July 26, 2026, 10:46:29 AM
Last edit: July 26, 2026, 11:00:13 AM by vapourminer

You guys might appreciate this, would be great to have some testers:

In order for sigban recipients to have a better understanding of the reason(s) behind their ban, I developed a simple utility that displays basic information about where an account's "post health score" falls in a range of active users on the forum.


couldnt resist:


vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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July 26, 2026, 10:58:59 AM
Merited by Hueristic (5), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1)

You guys might appreciate this, would be great to have some testers:

HAha, I'm sorry but I'm not going to read this.

Are you seriously trying to make a social score for us?

nutildas site told me im great!

and LLMs tell me im super smart for asking questions!

and main stream media says im really super observant to notice something theyre pushing!

but... so why tf does nothing make sense??

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July 26, 2026, 11:02:17 AM


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shahzadafzal
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July 26, 2026, 11:29:44 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (8), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

That awkward moment when you ask AI for an opinion... and instead you get a full-blown grilling. 😄

I casually asked whether I could compete in Wallet of Satoshi's Super Mario Bros. Perfect Speedrun Bounty and guide me how to.

I was expecting a simple "Sure, give it a try, do this do that"

Instead AI basically replied:

"Absolutely not. You have zero chance." 🤦‍♂️

Damn... at least let me waste a few hours trying before crushing my dreams. 😂

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July 26, 2026, 12:02:17 PM


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hypebrother
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Writing on the Wall


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July 26, 2026, 12:38:40 PM

on other interesting news,

Republicans target Trump's crypto empire with new plan, Dems say it falls short

Something with clarity indeed,

Defender is a good car, like benz middle class?

anyhoo,

On a serious Note, We have something with real clarity, not chemist induced bs

Read Here (Real Link/Original/Trust me Bro)

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July 26, 2026, 01:02:17 PM


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hypebrother
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Writing on the Wall


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July 26, 2026, 01:28:03 PM

BTC = BITCOIN

Real Whitepaper: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

@JuanJee Accused me of being a moron, Let me tell you something BTCrother?

First of all, Cryptography and all this espionagee and shit is not made by these guys, alright?



Elite Douche Weekly Cover, may worth 0 ETH forever.

And about real spirituality.

Ever heard of library?
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July 26, 2026, 01:32:17 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), JayJuanGee (1)

Because for Trump, it's all in the open.

instead of Trump insider trading, its Trump outsider trading. he holds no insider info of any particular company, just that the USA is gonna soon bigly influence that sector/company with a tweet or no bid contract.

brilliant i must say. i mean thats not illegal right?


Nothing is illegal if you appoint a friend as state attorney. To them, politics is just a tool for making profit, and they do it without any hesitation. You want to know before others what will be published on the social network? No problem, pay and you will find out before others.

Fom announcements of U.S. military action to threats of tariffs on other nations, Donald Trump’s Truth Social has been a repository of market-moving statements—mostly from him—since the social media site’s launch in 2022. Now the U.S. President is courting more controversy by selling access to some of those posts in “milliseconds.”

Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent company of the microblogging platform, announced Thursday plans to launch “Truth API,” a data feed that provides what it calls the “fastest” real-time access to posts “from the highest-ranking Truth Social accounts.”
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July 26, 2026, 02:02:17 PM


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philipma1957
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'The right to privacy matters'


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July 26, 2026, 02:55:51 PM

You guys might appreciate this, would be great to have some testers:

In order for sigban recipients to have a better understanding of the reason(s) behind their ban, I developed a simple utility that displays basic information about where an account's "post health score" falls in a range of active users on the forum.


couldnt resist:




Same score for me top 25%


A suggestion would be explaining what scores are possible.

Ie :

bottom 25%
26-50%
51-75%
Top 25%


Are the 4 possible scores you can get.

Or whatever the possible numbers are.
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July 26, 2026, 03:02:18 PM


Explanation
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hypebrother
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Writing on the Wall


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July 26, 2026, 03:02:26 PM

I just witnessed a rare spiritual event.

It was a very religious experience for me (indeed).

A long bearded white capped (almost no moustache guy) dressed in white kurta and pajamas which shows he is not really rich enough to buy enough cotton.

Travelling in style, where Islam is sprayed painted to oblivion as ISIS douches and whores?

anyway, The interesting point is that 'Arun Kumar B.A. B.L' means he is telepathically trolling the hearing_aids_tate.sv_web.exe server with his wisdom nobody asked for, in other words, ...

A point to note,

Anybody with enough brawns who can move can print a F.B.I (Real Agency) Badge and pretend to be a big time guy with big money and influence and shit, who can indeed give you a ticket to therapy or maybe AIDS and other varities of STDs. Nothing more.

_________________________BS>END.

Greetings,

Since we have arrived at the dark ages ruled by ancient wise sages of yore, other wise called Gen-Z (who boast about neutrality and shit)

and poop on the poor as cockroaches and books oyo room to pretend that he is sleeping with a real "Agents" wife to prove he is very rebel or Anarchist?

Make sure you dont spit poop out of your mouth.

Proof? check my other posts.

No_Kings_Indeed

..

Now, a few words of advice for the wise 'glitch in the matrix' = noobies.

Semantically, Pride is not Arrogance.

Have a good day!

BTC
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Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it


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July 26, 2026, 03:36:01 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

I'm going to recommend if this site decides its going to make a social scoring system then it would be wise to only allow a user access to ones own score and not others and building automation tools on this is a slippery road to liability.

There are many studies that prove the dangers of such a system and it is actually illegal in the EU if AI is being used so beware.

https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2024/1689/oj/eng

Of course I'll probably receive Neg trust from staff for pointing that out and be accused of making threats.

The bottom line is even with the best intentions down the line these systems are susceptible to being manipulated and that leads to control of those targeted (anyone applied a score no mater how high and nice it looks).

I no longer care enough to actually waste my precious time writing this up so here is a AI synopsis of the issues involved.

*go ahead and mark this as a low effort post.


Quote
Low effort AI synopsis:

Good intentions don't protect a scoring system from what happens once it's actually running. Here's why, even with a genuinely educational or self-improvement purpose behind it, social scoring tends to backfire:

1. Scores erode the trust they're supposed to build.

A recent study found that social credit scores actually have unintended consequences, often reinforcing inequality and social exclusion rather than promoting cooperation. The same research notes that the ethical and privacy concerns of these systems are frequently overlooked because of their purported, yet unverified, social and economic benefits — meaning the "helping people learn/improve" framing is often taken at face value without evidence it actually works.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12594354/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12594354/

2. They drift from their original purpose.

Even systems designed for one context (say, tracking learning progress) create data that gets reused elsewhere. The EU AI Act's ban on social scoring specifically targets this pattern: systems that lead to a detriment or unfavorable treatment in social contexts that are unrelated to the contexts in which the data was originally generated or collected. A score meant to encourage study habits can end up affecting how a teacher, employer, or peer treats someone in a completely unrelated situation.
https://www.wilmerhale.com/en/insights/blogs/wilmerhale-privacy-and-cybersecurity-law/20240408-prohibited-ai-practices-a-deep-dive-into-article-5-of-the-european-unions-ai-act

3. The underlying algorithms carry hidden bias.

Scoring systems are susceptible to issues such as developer bias, false correlations, and feedback loops, and, unless specifically included by the developer, the algorithms do not factor in ethical considerations. In the US credit-scoring context, critics point to the same pattern: the algorithms systematize biases that have been measured externally and are known to impact disadvantaged groups such as racial minorities and women, and because the algorithms are proprietary, they cannot be tested for built-in human bias.
https://www.kaspersky.com/blog/social-scoring-systems/

4. Whoever controls the scoring rules controls the incentives — for everyone else.

As Kaspersky's analysis puts it, should control over a particular system be concentrated in the hands of only one social group, their ability to change the rules of how the system works may significantly influence the life of those social groups who are not in a position to influence the scoring rules. A "helpful" learning score designed by one institution still encodes that institution's values as the definition of "good."
https://www.kaspersky.com/blog/social-scoring-systems/

5. Fear of the score changes behavior in ways that don't reflect actual improvement.

In China's system — often cited as the model for scoring-for-good-behavior — critics warn that it could undermine individual freedoms and promote conformity through fear of penalties, and the system is enforced partly through credit blacklists that follow people into unrelated parts of life like travel and job opportunities. People start optimizing for the score itself rather than genuine learning — a classic Goodhart's Law problem.
https://orcasia.org/chinas-social-credit-system

6. They're gameable and corruptible.

Individuals and businesses can manipulate scores dishonestly through fabricating data or bribing officials, which undermines the system's integrity, and government or institutional actors can be incentivized to hand out favorable scores because of unrelated dealings, opening the door to corruption.
https://orcasia.org/chinas-social-credit-system https://jolt.richmond.edu/2022/05/10/an-overview-of-the-social-credit-system-and-the-challenges-it-creates/

7. Regulators have concluded the risk outweighs the benefit, even for "legitimate" versions.

This is why the EU treats social scoring as one of a handful of AI practices banned outright rather than merely regulated. The European Data Protection Board and European Data Protection Supervisor warned that the use of AI for social scoring can lead to discrimination and is against EU fundamental values — and this applies even to systems run by both public and private entities, because such scoring is seen as inherently discriminatory, fostering social exclusion and systemic inequality, not because of the intent behind it, but because of its structure.
https://fpf.org/blog/red-lines-under-the-eu-ai-act-unpacking-social-scoring-as-a-prohibited-ai-practice/

The core issue in one line: intent doesn't control downstream use. A score, once it exists, tends to (a) get applied outside its original context, (b) get gamed, (c) encode whoever built it, and (d) get treated as more objective than it is — regardless of how benevolent the original design goal was. That's why the critique targets the mechanism of scoring people, not just the malicious use cases of it.



@nutildah: I want my ID blacklisted from this site, I don't think anyone is capable of quantifying my worth and anyone that thinks they are I have a bone to pick with.

I know your intentions are good but you need to realize creating systems like this always start that way, just think of your credit score and the hoops the pieces of shit make you jump through now to protect it.
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July 26, 2026, 03:41:07 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (15), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

1.  Assuming BIP110 signaling remains weak and things go on like they are now...
2.  The real core (haha) of the BIP110 crowd rationalize that a fork is the only move left.
3.  Bitcoinjr.

I just do not see another path forward.

Where I am still unclear is around what this does to public opinion etc.  It will be the first hard fork almost everyone has seen.  "Which is the real bitcoin" becomes the topic.  Price could suffer.

Remember what happened to dollar price last time there was a chain fork, despite widespread expectations of carnage?

Question is, which side emerges as the economic majority: coinbase, saylor et al with unlimited fiat, or luke's deplorables with their nodes? Big fiat largely control the exchanges nowadays, so bcash-style dumping might be throttled or blocked. 

What's actually objectionable is the arbitrary merging of changes that slip through directly to blocks, although op_return bump to 100kb is foolish.
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