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It's a mess. I think the U.S. has most certainly been taken advantage of by almost all of our trading partners for some time. But this is our own fault. We hold the money printer for the world still, barely. And I'm actually glad that we're finally doing something about it.
Holy fucking shit, cAPSLOCK. You too.
You really believe that the US of A is some kind of a victim in the whole scheme of worldly monetary balances?
Surely perhaps some imbalances have likely existed and got out of hand, yet it seems difficult to consider the US of A as some kind of a victim, especially when it has always had a considerable amount of power at any international negotiating table, to the extent that it choose to exert it or to the extent that it was sufficiently focused on trying to "do anything" about any perceived imbalances that might have had existed at various points in time.
In one sense, since whiny-ass Trump came onto the scene, especially this last time around in 2024/2025, surely there could have had been some good ideas in some various aspects of what he had been doing or attempting to do, yet at the same time, shock doctrine policy approaches perceive "emergency needs" to take drastic measures which rarely are going to be just in the various impacts and even granted if the various impacts had been sufficiently thought through.
Crazy numbers.
Surely River is good at giving rationale for how it arrives at its various inferred numbers, even though it really cannot be known with any level of certainty.
The estimate that 1 out of 1 million people in the world supposedly hold between 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC stands out, since it is kind of easy estimated number to remember.
has anyone heard from JJG?
or is he dark since the 17th of August?
Maybe the man went on vacation? I just hope he didn't choose Nepal, because a lot of foreign nationals lost their lives in that tragedy.
Surely a lot of folks were injured, died and went missing in the Nepal floods (something like 15k people impacted in fairly serious ways), yet still, it seems like quite longshot odds that I would have had been involved in something like that even if it did happen to quite a few folks, locally, but world-wide it has quite low odds. I did a quickie calculation in regards to the number of world-wide peeps impacted and the world's population, and less than 1 in 500k, or maybe less than 2 in 1 million? No?
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well fuckkkkkkk you.
now that we are past that here goes.
there will always be a 4 year cycle for coins being issued
2028 3.125/2 = 1.5625
2032 1.5625/2= 0.78125
2036 0.78125/2= 0.390625
2040 0.390625/2= 0.1953125
so that cycle is set in stone until we tail end the lost 1/2 ing coins which many people hate me for talking about it but I see it as certain.
You are describing something that has to be changed (to create tail emissions) as if it has to be done in order to save bitcoin, and you have hardly no fucking clue about a large number of factors except some expectation based on your likely wrong perception about what "money" has to be, and bitcoin is already not designed in the way that you are proclaiming that it has to be changed "in order to work."
No wonder "people hate you for talking about it," when you are making such a ludicrous statement as if it were a certainty (which is not outside of your historical patterns - it just seems to be a character flaw that you have or something...
- no homo)
so I would say we will have coin production 4 year cycle for a minimum of 2028-2040
I would also say that price cycle of 4 years altered when we hit an ATH prior to 2024 1/2ing ie 70k in march 2024 broke the prior 4 year price cycle
ar at least accelerated to a short time frame which means under 4 years time for the ATH and for the DUMP
which both happened.
There seems to be nothing wrong with recognizing that deviations from the 4-year cycle can, yet at the same time not really breaking the 4-year cycle. At the same time, the extent to which there might be deviations at various points along the way may well have impacts further down the line, yet there could also be some reversion to the mean in terms of the deviations merely appearing as aberrations that had ended up playing out without having any meaningful impact on the overall pattern. In other words there can be dangers to read too much meaning into what appears to be deviations, even though later down the road such deviations might end up having more meaning than what we had initially considered them to have.
BITCOIN IS SERIOUSLY LAGGING BEHIND STOCKS.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have already pushed back toward record highs.
Bitcoin is still trading around $80,000 after a brutal correction.
This divergence won't last forever.
If Bitcoin starts playing catch-up, the move could be explosive.
I am having some difficulties understanding how comparing bitcoin to the S&P 500 over a 1.5 year-ish period has any kind of meaning in terms of long term bitcoin fundamentals as compared with merely trying to guess which way the price might go with an attempt to try to place higher odds for one price direction as compared with another price direction, at least in the short-term.
Again. Your discussion largely comes off as noise and distractions to many guys who are merely erroring on the side of accumulating and holding their bitcoin, rather than fucking around trying to trade - especially when bitcoin ongoingly seems to have such great investment potential for 4-10 years or longer and even surely guys likely should be establishing 10-year or longer investment time horizons for both building up their bitcoin holdings and/or erroring on the side of holding it, unless they, perhaps, might have some age/health consideration that does not allow them to maintain a 10-year or longer timeline or maybe alternatively if they had been able to greatly front load their bitcoin investment.
Many normies are not really able to frontload their bitcoin investment so it seems better to refer to the situations of more common guys rather than referring to those guys who have more options that may involve having abilities to frontload their bitcoin investment.
Poll
