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September 19, 2026, 03:32:46 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 39 (38.2%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 23 (22.5%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 25 (24.5%)
No - other (explain below) - 15 (14.7%)
Total Voters: 102

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27050728 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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September 15, 2026, 10:01:16 AM


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September 15, 2026, 10:04:10 AM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

I am sorry, but this is low quality material.

Quote
Done. A and B are shipped, tested, committed.

What went in (commit 5a55f4e, v1.6.0):

Gate A — veto v2 (title level), assess_btc_relevance:
- Literal altcoin name + comparison frame ("outrun", "versus", "rotate into", "against", "trail", "lag") → veto even when "Bitcoin" appears in the title, unless Bitcoin is the actor (protocol vocab, buy/hold/ETF/flow/regulation verbs).
- The leak title, "Privacy Coins Outrun Bitcoin…", now dies with drop reason altcoin_title_veto — the existing drop path picks it up automatically since the reason string carries the same editorial-rule prefix.

Gate B — benchmark-anchor evidence gate:
- Evidence matching "bitcoin's October 2025 peak" / "reached its record above $126,000 on Oct. 6, 2025" — a dated peak bound to bitcoin via possessive or since/from/against — is discarded as evidence, not the story. The verdict falls through to the body-quantity rescue path, so a story with genuine BTC facts in the body still survives at secondary (verified: E3 passes).
- This one matters beyond the leak: the anchor sentence is exactly what aggregators quote to launder a sector story, because it's always true, always grounded, always BTC-denominated. It was structurally unbeatable by the existing gates.

Verification:
- 18/18 in tests/test_veto_v2_anchor_gate.py, run against the real module. Includes the exact leak end-to-end (verdict incidental via A, and via B alone when the title is stripped — belt and suspenders), plus controls: Strive/primary BTC treasury story unaffected, protocol-vocab mixed titles survive, "since 2020, bitcoin hit a new all-time high" is NOT treated as an anchor (real event with a date ≠ benchmark).
- Fail-closed ordering preserved: both checks run before the aboutness ceiling and stay "incidental", so nothing can promote through them.

Also: VERSION bumped to v1.6.0 (separate commit, per your versioning rule), insight stored in mnemosyne (b897553bfe6fff76), and Gate C left alone as agreed — the aboutness floor waits for more evidence.

One honest caveat: two probe phrases I tried mid-development are shapes gate B doesn't match ("bitcoin's october 2025 peak" without a direction word like since/from preceding it — the possessive branch needs the since/from/versus lead-in). If a leak ever ships via a bare possessive anchor with no directional preposition, that's the gap to widen first. The tests encode the current boundaries, so a future correction starts from a clear picture.
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September 15, 2026, 11:01:16 AM


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September 15, 2026, 01:01:16 PM


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September 15, 2026, 01:12:05 PM
Last edit: September 15, 2026, 03:15:03 PM by BobLawblaw
Merited by OgNasty (1), vapourminer (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

Taxation is theft.

I hate tax day.

EDIT: Today, I am working on getting an DOS emulator working in BlockYard, and getting Shareware DOOM to run as a diversion.

Life is good.

EDIT2: A few hours later...



.. I'm not even kidding. It's live on github. Gunna wait a while before updating the npm. Github will be my live playhouse

This AI stuff is kinda crazy. (tl;dr: It wrote a DOS emulator in JS so it could play DOOM 1.9 Shareware in-browser, within the app)
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September 15, 2026, 01:36:49 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), Hueristic (1)

Taxation is theft.

I hate tax day.

I agree. But it is only theft because the politicians misappropriate the money. If it went to the places we wanted it to go to then I would have no issue with paying taxes. And the world would be a better place.
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September 15, 2026, 01:54:33 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Lucius (1)

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-09-14 (Evening Edition)
Published: 2026-09-14 09:04 PM CT
5. Privacy Coins Outrun Bitcoin as Market Rotates Into Zcash and Monero
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/market-updates/privacy-coins-outrun-bitcoin-as-market-rotates-into-zcash-and-monero
Published: 2026-09-14 07:05 PM CT
Summary: Privacy coins have significantly outperformed Bitcoin, with the sector gaining 213% since Bitcoin's October 2025 peak above $126,000. Zcash now accounts for approximately 62% of the privacy sector's value, driven by a 25-fold price increase over the past year and the launch of the Grayscale Zcash ETF. Institutional access expanded when Grayscale converted its trust into an exchange-traded product, with Digital Currency Group contributing roughly $100 million in ZEC to the fund. Monero maintains elevated network activity despite major exchange delistings, as TRM Labs data shows transaction volumes remain well above 2020 and 2021 levels. Regulatory pressure persists, with EU anti-money-laundering rules set to prohibit accounts allowing transaction anonymization for crypto-asset service providers starting July 10, 2027.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.5.9 | qwen3.8-flash-next
I am sorry, but this is low quality material.
First off, how this is relevant to the topic..is this a crypto-channel rn?

Second, zec market cap is about 20bil vs btc 1.6 tril.
You cannot rotate one into another, lol
Yes, some wall street players seem to see the future in that coin, but so far...practically no users.
I am skeptical.

Yeah. 

Fuck shitcoins.

The mere fact that a bot said it does not make it any better, and perhaps worse, since it seems to me that our ongoing rule, in this thread, has been that it is o.k. to bring up shitcoins in some small context as long as they are being bashed.

Big day today if they approve Clarity ore not.
$70k ore $100k.

SEC and the CFTC are pro Bitcoin with ore without Clarity.
Going to the gym, have a nice day.

Today's vote is merely whether to keep the topic of Clarity open and subject to debate.

There is no vote to approve Clarity at this point.

Accordingly, a yes vote would probably be worse, since it means that the stupid ass topic of Clarity will continue to linger.

A no vote would bring some certainty to at least take the dumbass topic off the table.  No is probably better than yes.. in terms of getting some potential short-term upward bitcoin price pressures.. but hey, what do I know?
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September 15, 2026, 01:56:32 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1)

the places we wanted it to go

Devil's in the details. There is no monolithic 'we'.
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September 15, 2026, 02:01:19 PM


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September 15, 2026, 02:31:26 PM

Another day, another shit AI new.

"We reach the AGI phase"

"WE need to stop"


"But we also gonna put trillions on more development of them"

Two days later.

"a more powerfull AI escape from their training ground, we need to stop"

And this bucle goes on for months.
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September 15, 2026, 02:32:56 PM

Tuesday Morning F.U.D.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-deployed-space-weapon-air-015206073.html


US confirms for first time it has deployed space weapons




how bout a little A.I. hack?

how does that 10% in 10 Years guess look for us now?
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A swap that needs a hand? zeto.cash@proton.me


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September 15, 2026, 02:39:10 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (10)

Big day today if they approve Clarity ore not.

$70k ore $100k.

SEC and the CFTC are pro Bitcoin with ore without Clarity.

Going to the gym, have a nice day.

I think the Clarity Act has less influence on Bitcoin's price than people want to believe.  I even think there's a case to be made that the Clarity Act is bad for Bitcoin, but what do I know...  I think it is a lose-lose situation.  If it passes, it is a sell the news event and if it fails it is a catastrophic slap to the face of crypto and likely will cause widespread selling.  So $50K or $70K is probably better targets for if it passes or not.

One thing that actually does matter to Bitcoin and has potential to send the price skyrocketing upward is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which may be taking another step forward this week as it gets a committee markup from the Financial Services Committee on Wednesday morning.  Bitcoiners are watching the wrong regulatory development right now for some reason...  Ethereum and Solana are the big winners in the Clarity Act...

It is evident that investors always latch onto whatever is most hyped in the media; aside from Clarity Act, there is practically nothing else that could fuel a bull run - even if it has little to do with Bitcoin. As far as SBR is concerned, that also seems to me to be a hollow story considering that the US adds new BTC to its reserve exclusively through confiscations, so why buy if you can get it for free?

Yes alts are likely to profit from Clarity Act, but their current price does not suggest that anyone is betting on such an outcome.
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September 15, 2026, 03:01:16 PM


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September 15, 2026, 03:30:06 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (5)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5594141.msg67144312

[ANN] BlockYard 0.0.9 — a live monitor, 3D block-space viewer and block explorer for your own Bitcoin Core node. Zero dependencies. 100% AI-written, human-directed.

*hugs and cuddles*

Nice work! Attention to detail!

I like how the chart and block space visualizations appear floating in space, and even slightly bent and tilted backwards, creating a beautful 3D perspective view.

Kudos!
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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September 15, 2026, 03:33:25 PM
Last edit: September 15, 2026, 04:30:10 PM by vapourminer

EDIT: Today, I am working on getting an DOS emulator working in BlockYard, and getting Shareware DOOM to run as a diversion.

Life is good.

EDIT2: A few hours later...



.. I'm not even kidding. It's live on github. Gunna wait a while before updating the npm. Github will be my live playhouse

This AI stuff is kinda crazy. (tl;dr: It wrote a DOS emulator in JS so it could play DOOM 1.9 Shareware in-browser, within the app)

fuckin a man

sweeeet
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September 15, 2026, 03:39:47 PM

Big day today if they approve Clarity ore not.

$70k ore $100k.

SEC and the CFTC are pro Bitcoin with ore without Clarity.

Going to the gym, have a nice day.

I think the Clarity Act has less influence on Bitcoin's price than people want to believe.  I even think there's a case to be made that the Clarity Act is bad for Bitcoin, but what do I know...  I think it is a lose-lose situation.  If it passes, it is a sell the news event and if it fails it is a catastrophic slap to the face of crypto and likely will cause widespread selling.  So $50K or $70K is probably better targets for if it passes or not.

One thing that actually does matter to Bitcoin and has potential to send the price skyrocketing upward is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which may be taking another step forward this week as it gets a committee markup from the Financial Services Committee on Wednesday morning.  Bitcoiners are watching the wrong regulatory development right now for some reason...  Ethereum and Solana are the big winners in the Clarity Act...

It is evident that investors always latch onto whatever is most hyped in the media; aside from Clarity Act, there is practically nothing else that could fuel a bull run - even if it has little to do with Bitcoin. As far as SBR is concerned, that also seems to me to be a hollow story considering that the US adds new BTC to its reserve exclusively through confiscations, so why buy if you can get it for free?

Yes alts are likely to profit from Clarity Act, but their current price does not suggest that anyone is betting on such an outcome.

Confiscation only works until the easily seized coins run out. If governments actually want a strategic reserve that matters, eventually they’ll have to compete in the open market just like everyone else.
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September 15, 2026, 04:01:16 PM


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September 15, 2026, 05:01:17 PM


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Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it


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September 15, 2026, 05:59:57 PM

Tuesday Morning F.U.D.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-deployed-space-weapon-air-015206073.html


US confirms for first time it has deployed space weapons




how bout a little A.I. hack?

how does that 10% in 10 Years guess look for us now?

Cool so now when the AI escapes it has weapons.
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