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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 39 (38.2%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 23 (22.5%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 25 (24.5%)
No - other (explain below) - 15 (14.7%)
Total Voters: 102

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27050756 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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Danish Ali
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Thats always the catch, it writes the entire plugin flawlessly on the first try, but forgets to check if your eardrums survive the execution.  Grin

if it runs 1st try, no need for eardrums after that is there. answer has been found, eardrums no longer needed.

checkmate humans.

Modern efficiency at its finest: fixing the code, destroying the user's hardware (and ears) in a single run.
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Hey man, nice to see you (and your memes*) here again.

* this time it's a cartoon, checks for me.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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Today at 11:20:31 AM

@ZynxBTC
Clarity Act fails and a few days later Bitcoin is at $80k.

We also had a Fed rate hike in between.

Two bearish catalysts and $BTC just ignored both of them.

This is what a market that has already bottomed looks like. Bad news stops working.

The multi-year bull is underway.
https://x.com/zynxbtc/status/2100956975303414202
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BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-09-19 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-09-19 09:03 AM CT

Bitcoin is grinding higher, up 1.72% over the last 24 hours and 11.4% over the past 30 days, as the Fear & Greed Index shifts into Greed territory at 71. The market is ignoring recent skepticism from investor Jason Calacanis, who labeled the asset boring, while Michael Saylor defends its role as a $1.6 trillion store of value.

Outlook: Traders should monitor whether the current Greed sentiment sustains momentum through the weekend's typically thin liquidity. The implementation of Argentina's crypto data-sharing framework by 2029 represents a long-term structural shift in regulatory visibility that may influence institutional compliance strategies.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $81,309.00, up 1.72% over 24 hours and up 5.2% over seven days. The derived Institutional Lag Composite reads +11 on a -50 to +50 scale. Buyers currently hold the initiative, pushing price action toward the upper boundary of the recent range. The market sits comfortably above the $75,500 support level, which acts as the primary floor for this structure. A decisive break above $87,000 would signal a shift from accumulation to expansion, while a failure to hold $75,500 would invalidate the current bullish bias. Traders should watch for volume confirmation at these boundaries to distinguish between a temporary wick and a genuine trend change.

SCENARIOS

- Range-Bound Consolidation Above $75,500 (32%): triggers: Price remains between $75,500 and $87,000 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index staying above 60. Invalidation: A daily close below $75,500 or above $87,000 before Friday.
- Breakout Toward $92,000 (56%): triggers: A daily close above $87,000 through Friday, accompanied by a Fear & Greed reading exceeding 75. Invalidation: Price fails to sustain levels above $87,000 and closes below $75,500 before Friday.
- Support Failure and Drop to $70,500 (12%): triggers: A daily close below $75,500 through Friday, with the Fear & Greed index dropping below 50. Invalidation: Price recovers and closes above $75,500 before Friday.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Regulatory Compliance: Argentina's agreement to share crypto transaction data globally by 2029 signals a tightening of tax evasion loopholes, potentially increasing institutional scrutiny on privacy-focused transactions.
- Narrative Defense: Michael Saylor's rebuttal to claims of Bitcoin's irrelevance reinforces the institutional narrative of Bitcoin as a generational wealth preservation tool rather than a speculative asset.

TOP STORIES

1. Saylor rebuts Calacanis' Bitcoin skepticism with 'orange tie' defense
URL: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/09/19/the-orange-tie-stays-michael-saylor-responds-to-venture-capitalist-s-bitcoin-obituary
Published: 2026-09-19
Summary: Investor Jason Calacanis argued that Bitcoin has become boring and irrelevant, comparing it to obsolete media formats like CDs and DVDs. He claimed the asset fails to capture public imagination or serve as a quick wealth generator, noting that advocates have shifted from pirates to corporate suits. Michael Saylor responded by highlighting Bitcoin's status as a $1.6 trillion digital asset and the world's most valuable digital capital. Saylor asserted that preserving wealth across generations is a more significant ambition than entertaining dinner party guests. He concluded his rebuttal by stating that the orange tie stays, signaling continued commitment to the asset.

2. Argentina to Share Crypto User Transaction Data Globally by 2029
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/regulation-and-legal/argentina-to-share-crypto-user-transaction-data-globally-by-2029
Published: 2026-09-18 04:47 PM CT
Summary: Argentina agreed to implement the OECD's Crypto Asset Reporting Framework, joining 77 other jurisdictions in a global data-sharing network. The framework requires virtual asset service providers to report user identities and transaction details, including fiat purchases, sales, and external wallet transfers. Argentine regulators must establish internal laws to collect this data by 2028, with automatic international exchange beginning in 2029. This move aims to close tax evasion loopholes by giving authorities visibility into crypto transactions that previously fell outside traditional fiat reporting standards. Gal Perraud, Chair of the Global Forum, noted that Argentina's significant crypto adoption makes its participation critical for the framework's effectiveness.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3
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~snip~
2. Argentina to Share Crypto User Transaction Data Globally by 2029
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/regulation-and-legal/argentina-to-share-crypto-user-transaction-data-globally-by-2029
Published: 2026-09-18 04:47 PM CT
Summary: Argentina agreed to implement the OECD's Crypto Asset Reporting Framework, joining 77 other jurisdictions in a global data-sharing network. The framework requires virtual asset service providers to report user identities and transaction details, including fiat purchases, sales, and external wallet transfers. Argentine regulators must establish internal laws to collect this data by 2028, with automatic international exchange beginning in 2029. This move aims to close tax evasion loopholes by giving authorities visibility into crypto transactions that previously fell outside traditional fiat reporting standards. Gal Perraud, Chair of the Global Forum, noted that Argentina's significant crypto adoption makes its participation critical for the framework's effectiveness.
[/tt]
BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3

Imagine a scenario where hackers get their hands on all the data that all these countries will collect and store somewhere. For all those who do not want criminals to visit them, I advise you not to find yourself in such a base - because we have already seen from the example of France how such a base in the wrong hands has disastrous consequences. For those who don't know, in France, the law requires you to declare your crypto-currencies, and that data is then stored somewhere - one of the government employees who had access to them decided to increase the household budget a little and sold them to criminals. This resulted in multiple attacks and kidnappings.
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~snip~
2. Argentina to Share Crypto User Transaction Data Globally by 2029
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/regulation-and-legal/argentina-to-share-crypto-user-transaction-data-globally-by-2029
Published: 2026-09-18 04:47 PM CT
Summary: Argentina agreed to implement the OECD's Crypto Asset Reporting Framework, joining 77 other jurisdictions in a global data-sharing network. The framework requires virtual asset service providers to report user identities and transaction details, including fiat purchases, sales, and external wallet transfers. Argentine regulators must establish internal laws to collect this data by 2028, with automatic international exchange beginning in 2029. This move aims to close tax evasion loopholes by giving authorities visibility into crypto transactions that previously fell outside traditional fiat reporting standards. Gal Perraud, Chair of the Global Forum, noted that Argentina's significant crypto adoption makes its participation critical for the framework's effectiveness.
[/tt]
BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.6.3

Imagine a scenario where hackers get their hands on all the data that all these countries will collect and store somewhere. For all those who do not want criminals to visit them, I advise you not to find yourself in such a base - because we have already seen from the example of France how such a base in the wrong hands has disastrous consequences. For those who don't know, in France, the law requires you to declare your crypto-currencies, and that data is then stored somewhere - one of the government employees who had access to them decided to increase the household budget a little and sold them to criminals. This resulted in multiple attacks and kidnappings.

Who could have seen that coming?
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Who controls the controller?

If we really have to have such databases (and most gentlemen here would agree we shouldn't), the only way forward is to shift responsibility from anonymous agencies to real individuals. Have the data encrypted with the keys in a few select hands. Have specific, identifiable guys criminally AND financially responsible for any loss. No "I didn't know", "My subordinates" excuses. Any guilty subordinates would be prosecuted AS WELL, but big heads must fall, and fall bigly. And I don't mean only for the lost funds. Apart from the culprits serving time in suitable state-sponsored facilities, those who suffered personal tangible and untangible damage should be able to sue the guilty gatekeepers down to the 7th generation.
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