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September 27, 2026, 09:53:27 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 42 (40%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 23 (21.9%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 25 (23.8%)
No - other (explain below) - 15 (14.3%)
Total Voters: 105

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27055961 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Danish Ali
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September 26, 2026, 04:57:15 PM

Between that and a fairly extensive vocabulary, prompt engineering wouldnt get me anywhere close to what I already have.

...still come off sounding -- off-puttingly -- machanical at times.

Blame it on efficiency. So to prove I am a real human here I should start misspelling mechanical as machanical like you did? Noted.  Grin
ChartBuddy
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September 26, 2026, 05:01:45 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
JayJuanGee
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September 26, 2026, 05:17:52 PM

Lines in perfect pitch
Eyebrows raising like arches
Is something rotten?
#haiku
Maybe nothing is rotten—perhaps the truth is simply starting to show.  Wink

What truth are we talking about?

There could be a sense that BTC prices had been kept down too much.. and then the after-effect might end up that the ball can no longer be kept under the water.

BTC price dynamics can be difficult to know since the tools for keeping them down may well be behind the scenes, yet at the same time, the ability to physically possess the bitcoin, might cause concerns for the paper bitcoin pushers and their confidence about getting called out on the wrong side of a trade, since "we" already know that they don't have the bitcoin that they claim to have, yet the "truth" might relate to the extent to which they are off sides rather than the fact that they are off sides.

1,638 Bitcoin Transferred from Unknown Wallets
I can't believe anyone is stupid enough to use a "wallet".
*shifts around in chair, uncomfortably*

I think that we all use wallets, since even paper ways to save bitcoin keys are referred to as "paper wallets."

I doubt that there are any needs to be a prude in regards to how bitcoin keys are stored, since there had also been some problems with the paper bitcoin wallet generators, and for sure it would be a shame to come back to a paper wallet and discover that it had already been swept.

I am not claiming that I can speak to the supposed benefits of paper wallets, and surely there are issues with change generation.. sweep the whole wallet, and then can it be divided? or does it all have to be swept?  Back in the day, putting bitcoin into 1 BTC chunks made sense, and does it now?  How about 0.1 BTC chunks?  Even that seems generous in regards to management, no?

BTC is still hanging around the $84k area. The last few days have been pretty quiet compared with the earlier move, with price mostly staying in the mid-$80k range.
I’m mainly watching whether BTC can get back above the recent highs or if we see another test of the lower part of the range.
No strong prediction from me yet. Just waiting to see which side gets more momentum.

What’s everyone watching here?


Sure.

There is excitement - especially if we add the baby stairsteps together, and we are still not going to know what is going to happen, or are we being faked out.

Perhaps our first stairstep was around 9/19 to 8/21 when BTC prices went largely from $64,500 to $76k-ish.

Then we largely ranged between $76k-ish and $82k-ish.. and perhaps we had another break upward, but still largely ranging between $84k-ish and $86k-ish.. so yeah, what is to watch?  another leg up? or is that it?

Many of us have experienced that even when BTC prices are largely going up without any major corrections, there tends to be pauses within such periods to cause concerns about whether the UP might be over, or not.  There is no real way of knowing - even though I would imagine that many of us had already been stacking up, even though surely there are always hold outs too, so can't really characterize all of us in the same grouping.

And, almost always in these kinds of times, we have guys who are hanging out and seeming to expect that the "bottom is not in" yet.. and surely this time is likely not to be different, with guys specifically fucking around with October 5/6 as if there were some magic in that?  And other guys who are willing to fuck around (failing/refusing) without stocking back up until the end of October and into November. 

Some of those guys are likely close to completely delusional, which may well be part of the explanation for their still trading bitcoin even after a decade or more of opportunity to really build up a bitcoin position through buying/HODLing only, but some guys cannot help themselves into thinking that they are smarter than everyone else, yet still likely to be doing worse than the overwhelming majority of regular bitcoin stacker/HODLers who had stayed focused on stacking rather than fucking around trying to accumulate BTC by trading.

Since you are brand new here, can we presume that you have not already built up a bitcoin stash?  Hopefully, either you already built up a bitcoin stash, yet if not, you are not fucking around figuring out price moves rather than persistently, consistently, regularly, ongoingly and perhaps even aggressively buying dee cornz.

In other words, it tends to be better to build up a bitcoin holding size first before starting to get concerned about BTC prices, and for sure, depending on how much bitcoin you are able to stack (presuming between 5% and 25% of your income), then surely it could take 4 years to 20 years to merely stack one year of your income depending on whether you are stacking more on the aggressive side or more on the whimpy side.
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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September 26, 2026, 05:29:52 PM
Merited by nutildah (4), BobLawblaw (2), xhomerx10 (1)

Blame it on efficiency. So to prove I am a real human here I should start misspelling mechanical as machanical like you did? Noted.  Grin

drinking/smoking one of us under the table in person might do it.

nutildah
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September 26, 2026, 05:49:39 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

Blame it on efficiency. So to prove I am a real human here I should start misspelling mechanical as machanical like you did? Noted.  Grin

I would stop trying so effing hard. You really are the definition of a tryhard. But you're also a one-trick pony. Maybe conserve the trick to get maximum effectiveness out of it instead of beating us over the head with it.
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September 26, 2026, 06:01:45 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Danish Ali
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September 26, 2026, 06:04:18 PM

drinking/smoking one of us under the table in person might do it.

If privacy is not an issue, I am in.
xzy887
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September 26, 2026, 06:07:08 PM

It is why I james joyce it stream of counciessness is the way to go.

Of course some one could do a custom ai to copy this style

Exactly. At this point if you type coherent English you get called a bot, and if you type complete gibberish they say the prompt was tailored. No winning here.

I am no expert on this but there are a few here that are but for fun I am going to take a guess and tell me how close I am.

You were educated in a British english school and migrated to Europe and use AI to polish and research your Ideas before posting.

You are also starting to think you are relying to heavily on AI.

I like Phil's style. Just type in all-lowercase and leave misspellings in, no edits, no corrections. Very authentic.

As for me, I would edit a post just to add a missing comma.

Sometimes I actually bother to write very neat, clear, clean English. Actually using grammar and spelling correctly.

I have found it is boring to write correctly and prefer the sloppy from the heart junk as a much more authentic style of writing.


When a person becomes highly experienced in a particular field, they naturally tend to express things concisely—take doctors' prescriptions, for instance. In that regard, you are one of them.
Danish Ali
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September 26, 2026, 06:12:50 PM

I would stop trying so effing hard. You really are the definition of a tryhard. But you're also a one-trick pony. Maybe conserve the trick to get maximum effectiveness out of it instead of beating us over the head with it.

Nobody is trying to prove anything here. It is just light banter on a slow Saturday.

No need to get offended on behalf of others. Relax.
nutildah
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September 26, 2026, 06:18:21 PM

No need to get offended on behalf of others. Relax.

Don't worry, I'm offended on my own behalf.

Just realize that if we wanted to converse with a high-level chatbot, we can already do that on our own time. We don't come here for that purpose.
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September 26, 2026, 06:21:36 PM

I wouldn't recommend losing your memory, its  not a fun place to be.

dunno

like, say ive when i find myself in a place with no recollection of why i came i just wait a moment. believe me i will think of something fun to do in that place while i figure out why i went there. so if i remember, i do whatever i went there for. or i cant remember, im causing trouble having fun in some other way.

no memory is kinda win/win

Indeed...as the saying goes.."it's good to be old(er)...every day you learn something new".
Cheers!
Danish Ali
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September 26, 2026, 06:27:07 PM

Don't worry, I'm offended on my own behalf.

Just realize that if we wanted to converse with a high-level chatbot, we can already do that on our own time. We don't come here for that purpose.

You have been banging this chatbot drum since day one. If proper English on short posts makes you this paranoid, I cannot help you.
OutOfMemory
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September 26, 2026, 06:37:12 PM


This made me think about a fictional thread on bitcointalk called "Block Observer BTC/UTC", which got me into daydreaming a rabbit hole for quite some time  Cheesy
The last idea before i tuned out was the screensaver. Is this even possible, a cross-platform screensaver using remote content?
I know that there is no real "cross platform" solution, but i mean native versions for commonly used OS like OSX, windoze and linux.
OgNasty
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September 26, 2026, 06:38:43 PM

Don't worry, I'm offended on my own behalf.

Just realize that if we wanted to converse with a high-level chatbot, we can already do that on our own time. We don't come here for that purpose.

You have been banging this chatbot drum since day one. If proper English on short posts makes you this paranoid, I cannot help you.

Chat bots are old news anyway.  I never really liked the AI trend and thought it was pretty lame until Grok Bot came out.  Now it is controlling the temperature in my house, giving me feedback on my investment portfolio, documenting my spending, watching my security cameras, cataloging my online posts, founding/running an LLC, and as of 5 minutes ago is now live trading crypto by itself without asking my approval for anything using it's own wallet.  Absolutely amazing.  I'm expecting it to slowly lose all the money I give it, but maybe at some point (when we are firmly in a bull market) I can use this thread and people's opinions here to influence trades and see if money can be made using the "alpha" in this thread (which is mostly people saying to buy Bitcoin).
nutildah
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September 26, 2026, 06:41:25 PM

You have been banging this chatbot drum since day one. If proper English on short posts makes you this paranoid, I cannot help you.

Nope. Now see. There's much more to it than that. You've vastly oversimplified the issue, which is not proper English. Its about having a soul, which sometimes can't be quantified.

For the sake of everyone else I'd rather not dwell on it. You are already occupying a lot of attention. Carry on.
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September 26, 2026, 06:49:13 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

This made me think about a fictional thread on bitcointalk called "Block Observer BTC/UTC", which got me into daydreaming a rabbit hole for quite some time  Cheesy
The last idea before i tuned out was the screensaver. Is this even possible, a cross-platform screensaver using remote content?
I know that there is no real "cross platform" solution, but i mean native versions for commonly used OS like OSX, windoze and linux.

The github has both bmc and blockyard working on Apple Silicon in addition to the existing solid support for Linux. I've not updated packaging or made a new release. I'm at the point where I've made the PoC, and now hunkering down for hardening and release for a real product.

First up will be a bmc + blockyard docker for people to run in a secured environment to get comfortable this thing isn't going to do anything nefarious.

I don't know if I want to support Windows tho. It's not a serious operating system for Bitcoiners.
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September 26, 2026, 07:00:04 PM

Don't worry, I'm offended on my own behalf.

Just realize that if we wanted to converse with a high-level chatbot, we can already do that on our own time. We don't come here for that purpose.

You have been banging this chatbot drum since day one. If proper English on short posts makes you this paranoid, I cannot help you.

Chat bots are old news anyway.  I never really liked the AI trend and thought it was pretty lame until Grok Bot came out.  Now it is controlling the temperature in my house, giving me feedback on my investment portfolio, documenting my spending, watching my security cameras, cataloging my online posts, founding/running an LLC, and as of 5 minutes ago is now live trading crypto by itself without asking my approval for anything using it's own wallet.  Absolutely amazing.  I'm expecting it to slowly lose all the money I give it, but maybe at some point (when we are firmly in a bull market) I can use this thread and people's opinions here to influence trades and see if money can be made using the "alpha" in this thread (which is mostly people saying to buy Bitcoin).


Whens it gonna empty your bank account and take off with the wife?
LFC_Bitcoin
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September 26, 2026, 07:01:28 PM
Merited by fillippone (3), ibminer (2), xhomerx10 (1), Biodom (1), shahzadafzal (1)

Guys, you need to see this masterpiece by ibminer.

Click the Youtube link below.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5595140.msg67180138#msg67180138

A song about the largest & longest running thread on Bitcointalk, the Wall Observer. Wink

I've been working on this one for a while, and it admittedly got longer than I wanted, but I hoped to get as many names as I could in there. No offense to anyone I may have missed, there was only so much room, and I didn't want it to just be a song of names, I wanted to try and tell a story.

But, even at the expense of dragging the song on, I still forced a lot of lyrics in here to try and accommodate. Hopefully I got the pronunciation correct on them all! Grin

Notes:
* The lyrics all come from respect and for acknowledgement, but I also tried to keep things fun, so hopefully no WOers were harmed in the making of this song. Tongue
** Also added additional AI imagery throughout this lyric video.

Enjoy!


https://youtu.be/4dAWLd6Yxgc

Lyrics:
Code:
Back when Adam built the thread, the order books on display,
Bids stacked deep and asks stacked high, everybody had their say.
Price would rip, price would dip, knives were falling every day,
Some said fifty was the top, others yelled... "BUY ANYWAY!"

Years rolled on, infofront kept the old machine alive,
Through the crashes, bubbles, panic - somehow we would still survive.
ChartBuddy in the corner, never bothered with debate,
While the bulls predict a moonshot and the bears predict our fate.

Drops another quiet chart while everybody starts to fight,
Then the Wall spends twenty pages on a wick from Tuesday night.
Newbies sell the bottom, old hands barely even blink,
One guy drops a thesis, three guys answer with a link.

Price goes down "Manipulation!" Price goes up "We knew it all!"
Price goes flat for half a day, we find a meme and watch the Wall.

We watch the Wall, watch the Wall,
Pump it high, then watch it fall.
Ramen nights and moonshot calls,
Same old crew, we seen it all.

Stiff Stifler starts pumpin', now the green bars growing taller,
Bears were talking heavy - now they're sounding somehow smaller.
Morning doom, by afternoon they're posting rockets in the thread,
Funny how a single candle turns the panic on its head.

Green dildo on the chart, now the bears are nowhere seen,
Yesterday "Bitcoin's dead," today they're leading Team Green.
Ramen boiling on the stove when every balance takes a hit,
Salt-packet fine cuisine - Michelin would probably call it shit.

Market starts to pump, lobster, steak, a proper feast,
Two hours later candles dump - ramen's back, to say the least.
JayJuanGee says "short reply," everybody knows what's next,
Scroll until your finger hurts through seventeen layers of text.

Quote a quote inside a quote, add a valid point to show,
By the time you reach the ending, Bitcoin moved a day ago.
Homer sees the numbers climbing, time to craft another hat,
Every milestone gets a brim - you know he's got a hat for that.

When Vegeta crossed nine thousand, thought he'd finally earned some rest,
Bitcoin added one more digit just to put him to the test.

We watch the Wall, watch the Wall,
Pump it high, then watch it fall.
Ramen nights and moonshot calls,
Same old crew, we seen it all.

El Duderino rolls on through while everybody loses cool,
Calm enough to make the panic look completely like a fool.
BobLawblaw can drop one line and send the whole damn thread off track,
Twenty memes and six pages later, good luck finding your way back.

cAPSLOCK joins the chatter, vapourminer brings the noise,
Philip's watching numbers while the rest are playing with their toys.
Someone says, "Last chance below..." then picks a number for the call,
Three months later quotes himself like he predicted anything at all.

Nails one lucky target, now he's prophet of the year,
Misses twenty others - somehow those just disappear.
All-time high hits, thread explodes, old usernames reappear,
Accounts asleep for seven years are suddenly all here.

"Gentlemen!" gets posted like a bell that marks the show,
Half the Wall is celebrating, half says, "Plenty left to go."
Every bull can draw a rainbow, every bear predicts the slide,
Move the scale and shift the line, each chart can prove your side.

Then Bitcoin does whatever, blows predictions into smoke,
And the Wall responds exactly right... by posting one more joke.

Biodom digs through old cycles, tracing patterns through the years,
Hueristic buys the blood when red candles feed the fears.

Toxic2040 drops another Wall report,
Checks charts, tracks volume, shows what markets have in store.

OutOfMemory marks the levels, watching through the night,
Staring at stars and charts, keeping both of them in sight.

AlcoHoDL keeps on holding, red or green, his grip stays tight,
fillippone counts the stats and gets the numbers right.

Monthly figures all in line, tracking where the story goes,
Looking back through years gone by, watching how history flows.

We watch the Wall, watch the Wall,
Pump it high, then watch it fall.
Ramen nights and moonshot calls,
Same old crew, we seen it all.

Rusty pipes and ancient memes,
Laser eyes and moonshot dreams.
Honey badger doesn't care,
Pumps and crashes still right there.
FUD rolls in, then FUD is gone,
Chart Buddy quietly carries on.

Last of the V8s, old-school voice, left his mark across the Wall,
"Be a bank" beneath his name, dry one-liners through it all.

LFC with diamond hands, scans the headlines, holds his stack,
Waits through all the macro noise for green candles to attack.

HairyMaclairy, mostly long, bull hat tilted high,
Bitcoin monotheist, ride the train into the sky.

JimboToronto warms the chopper up for flight,
Keeps the keys in cold storage, tucked away and locked up tight.

Torque pulls the macro thread,
Rates, the Fed, and money flow,
Ties it back to Bitcoin when the market slows.

Price was only half of why the Wall became the spot,
People came to watch the charts, stayed for memes and talked a lot.
Hats and charts and walls of text, the trolls that wandered through the fray,
Ramen bowls and Stifler pumps that somehow never fade away.

Old hands tell them, "Zoom it out," pretend they haven't checked the price,
Then refresh it fourteen times and give the same exact advice.
Market up, market down, after years, we've seen it all,
Same fear, same greed, same arguments, still we watch the Wall.

We watch the Wall, watch the Wall,
Pump it high, then watch it fall.
Ramen nights and moonshot calls,
Same old crew, we seen it all.

Watch the Wall, watch the Wall,
Green or red, we ride it all.
Bears get loud, then Stifler calls...
Start the pump and shake the Wall.

Don't forget to check out the prior songs:

Scroll Back (Original & Boom Bap) - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5571733.0
Scroll Back (extended Punk & Blues/Folk Versions) - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5584154.0
Ballad of LoyceV - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5594596.0

ChartBuddy
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September 26, 2026, 07:01:49 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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September 26, 2026, 07:06:14 PM
Merited by OgNasty (1), OutOfMemory (1)


I don't know if I want to support Windows tho. It's not a serious operating system for Bitcoiners.

Nitpicking here: first Bitcoin software release ran on Windows only.
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