Bitcoin Forum
October 31, 2026, 01:59:50 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 32.1 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 46 (41.1%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 24 (21.4%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 26 (23.2%)
No - other (explain below) - 16 (14.3%)
Total Voters: 112

Pages: « 1 ... 36216 36217 36218 36219 36220 36221 36222 36223 36224 36225 36226 36227 36228 36229 36230 36231 36232 36233 36234 36235 36236 36237 36238 36239 36240 36241 36242 36243 36244 36245 36246 36247 36248 36249 36250 36251 36252 36253 36254 36255 36256 36257 36258 36259 36260 36261 36262 36263 36264 36265 [36266] 36267 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27074079 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Bitcoin-Forever
Member
**
Offline

Activity: 182
Merit: 55


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 06:02:14 PM

Which should we concentrate on: the market fall, the recent hack on Binance, Ledger chip privacy complications, or the hack as well?

Are the recent events the reason why the market is falling, or the effect of ETFs on the Bitcoin market price?

What is really going on these days, are all these coordinated attacks or just coincidence that many are only speculating on different reasons behind what is happening recently, everyone need to stay guided and avoid FOMO, have your asset on non-custodial wallet and don't compromise on your wallet security as well as privacy.

Bitcoin still remains the most trusted network and digital currency to make us profit.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 06:03:12 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
goldkingcoiner
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2954
Merit: 3141


HoDL


View Profile WWW
October 30, 2026, 06:30:32 PM

Another day of not your keys, not your coins.
I've always been curious how well ETFs protect their Bitcoins. What if someone steals $50 billion there at some point?

Best case scenario: The insurance companies will flat out refuse to pay and eventually they get bailed out by the government.

 They do not have enough insurance to pay everyone nor are they required to do so.  Instead, they use the best security money can buy for their stash with military-grade physical vaults, biosecurity controls and such to fiercely guard their secure pile of air-gapped, Trezor wallets that they purchased from a third-party reseller, who applied the requisite tamper-proof sticker, on Amazon.  Nothing to worry about.  SAFU as they say.


0h thank god. I was almost worried.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 07:03:12 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Richy_T
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3276
Merit: 3247


1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 07:18:21 PM

Postulation for OgNasty's AI. Any period of time when there has not been a decline in price will lead to a disproportionate accumulation of Bitcoin by weak hands which will inevitably need to be shaken out. Just like one can maximize token payout at Chuck E Cheese by watching when the machines are getting ready to pay out, this may be possible with Bitcoin.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 08:03:12 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
philipma1957
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 5026
Merit: 12625


'The right to privacy matters'


View Profile WWW
October 30, 2026, 08:48:35 PM

So this week

binance hack
polymarket hack


trezor 5 bad third party seller some t-5 units will transmit data

   I have some coin on one of these it is offline for now til I figure out what to do with it.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 09:03:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
OgNasty
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 5642
Merit: 6670


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile WWW
October 30, 2026, 09:19:11 PM

They’re now calling the Binance hack the largest theft in human history. Crazy…
philipma1957
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 5026
Merit: 12625


'The right to privacy matters'


View Profile WWW
October 30, 2026, 09:37:30 PM

They’re now calling the Binance hack the largest theft in human history. Crazy…

sweet.  and this is why btc and or crypto will likely fail

It is simple people  can't keep the coins safe.

How could 2 billion plus be on just 2 wallets.

I would have wallets never have 100 million plus

so 20 wallets not 2

and 20 people one for each wallet

these were hot wallets so 2x of 3 signs not needed.

the cold wallets would be  2 of 3 must sign and not 1 or 2 or 3

more like 10 of them.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 10:03:13 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
OgNasty
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 5642
Merit: 6670


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile WWW
October 30, 2026, 10:17:51 PM
Merited by Richy_T (1)

Postulation for OgNasty's AI. Any period of time when there has not been a decline in price will lead to a disproportionate accumulation of Bitcoin by weak hands which will inevitably need to be shaken out. Just like one can maximize token payout at Chuck E Cheese by watching when the machines are getting ready to pay out, this may be possible with Bitcoin.

I gave it your quote and asked it to create 20 rules based on the quote and backtest… My crypto trading bot is named Degen.

I backtested all 20 shakeout rules for Degen, and the quote doesn't hold up. A long stretch without a decline was followed by fewer big drops, not more. For BTC, the chance of a 10%+ drop in the next 30 days was 50% right after a 5% decline, but only 26% after 14 or more calm days. The pattern held for BTC and ETH in both the training years (2018–22) and the test years (2023–now). I don't recommend adding any of these rules.
…
The full write-up, with the event study and all 20 rules, is attached.


It gave a very long and detailed description of why the rules didn’t work, but I edited it out to save everyone from having to read it.

While this testing was going on, I received a spoofed spam call from my own phone number. Grok recorded all the information and reported the caller to the FCC with an official and detailed complaint. Absolutely amazing technology. Soon it will probably investigate who was behind this spoof and sue them.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
October 30, 2026, 11:03:13 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
Today at 12:03:13 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
philipma1957
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 5026
Merit: 12625


'The right to privacy matters'


View Profile WWW
Today at 12:12:38 AM

buddy stop kicking my dog!



if you know you know
Torque
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3850
Merit: 5575



View Profile
Today at 12:52:39 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), philipma1957 (3), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
Today at 01:03:13 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 4620
Merit: 15204


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


View Profile
Today at 01:15:01 AM

[edited out]
AI is a great tool that can help us, but it acts very differently depending on who is pulling the strings...  For example, I simulated centuries of trading data that NO OTHER PERSON on earth has.  

Holy shit you are arrogant.  Not that many of us didn't know that.

Bitcoin has only been around for slightly less than 18 years, and golly gee whiz, it's markets are probably having only some semblance of trading capacity since early 2012 - maybe getting close to 15 years.  

I would not deny that aspects of human behavior are not relevant centuries back, yet there are likely aspects of modern human behavior intertwined with bot dynamics (as you surely recognize) that contributes to market behaviors, too.

And, yeah, when I read ahead, I saw that Richy_T had already mentioned that there were all kinds of resources being put into market analysis, yet still you want to proclaim that you are special, even though sure, you are suggesting that you only want to do better than normies and you are not necessarily wanting to kick the asses of the BIGGER players.. so whatever, you are doing, your ongoing lack of humbleness and inclinations to brag come off as blind points rather than the enlightenedness and learnedness that you seem to be wanting to ongoingly portray with your projects.

So nobody's bot will come to the same conclusions as mine.  

Sure there might be some value in that, if true.

I also have more than 60 trading rules in place all working together with more being added and customized every day.  The odds of someone coming up with the same trading rules is not even worth contemplating not to mention AI traders are still probably less than 0.01% of market trades so the idea that they are moving markets is ridiculous.  

Ok.  You are going to end up being wrong in a very unique way, which seems like a BIG so what.  You have found some new ways to lose money in attempt to make up for your lack of investing into bitcoin for the past 15.5-ish years.

Of course, historically erroring on the side of buying bitcoin and HODLing it have paid off quite well, and historically, you have failed/refused to engage in buying/HODLing practices because you have always been "too smart" for that, yet at the same time, you supposedly learned that bitcoin has cycles in 2018, yet that did not cause you to convert into buying and HODLing, but instead, it provided you with excuses to try to trade bitcoin's cycles to the extent that they exist and to the extent that there are ways to actually potentially identify them in advance, which seems a wee bit doubtful..and by the way, supposedly selling a good amount of your stash in the $115k to $120k-ish region in late 2025 would have had ONLY been half of the trade, and it may not even be smart if you failed/refused to buy back, and you have been fucking around trading to lose whatever supposed extra cash that might have had been generated by your sale of your 5.32693214 BTC stash size (giving you some benefit of the doubt that you might not deserve.. hahahahaha).

Even the rule I just posted is currently being backtested with several variations on my custom data...  AI isn't some magic tool that you say trade and make me money and it does.  You still have to build things and know what you're doing.  You should give it a try.  Maybe you'll learn a better way to trade than, "predict the opposite of what we expect."

I will even grant you that there can be some fun (and learning) in fucking around with bots, and there was a lot of "fun" (and learning) with trading in the last 15.5 -ish years, yet you have been dumb as fuck for failing/refusing to build a bitcoin stash (through buying only techniques) during that time.

By the way, I am nearly at my 13 year anniversary in bitcoin, so yeah, I am a couple years junior to you in terms of being aware and/or involved in bitcoin, yet of course, my approach to bitcoin ended up focusing in on ongoing buying and holding rather than fucking around with trying to increase or decrease my bitcoin stash based on BTC price movements, and I am not even going to deny making mistakes along the way.. because I also have some inclinations to experiment and/or learn, so I am not really opposed to the idea of learning and even playing around with bitcoin to learn - even though surely if I were to be playing around with bitcoin in the ways that you currently proclaim yourself to be doing, I would surely limit my exposure to no more than 10% of my holdings, yet gamblers (like yourself - and even several others who get into trading, there can be real challenges in limiting the "playing around" behaviors).... so yeah, gambling tends to be a slippery slope, even for guys who might have some abilities to put limits on their playing around activities.  

The trading versus investment dilemma remains an ongoing theme, so I am not merely responding to your post based on my irritation of your arrogance, since there are still some sub-themes of your post that can be challenging for many members whether they are new to bitcoin or intermediaries or even supposedly advanced like you.. hahahahaha.. funny referring to you as advanced, except it makes sense in terms of the amount of time that you have been in bitcoin. but maybe not in terms of your ongoing inabilities to resist gambling.. while characterizing it as a fun learning experience.  A lot of dumb twat degenerate gamblers have lost a lot of money while having fun and supposedly learning at the same time...and perhaps your lecturing style helps to inspire my own tone to refer to you in such a way.  

We are in a time period where companies are burning money like crazy to try and be the one that wins the AI race.  Anthropic burned 80 billion dollars in the first half of the year...  I think we are in a period where AI popularity will grow and prices will rise until these companies are making money instead of burning 10s of billions per month.  In other words, you are able to get $5,000 a month in AI compute for $200 right now and shareholders are footing the bill.  Take advantage.

Just because you know about some amazing AI dynamics that are currently happening in the world and you think that you can see a trend, that does not mean that it is a good idea to try to trade it.  But hey, of course, you think that you have identified some ways to prosper in trying to trad such, and you also consider it relevant to be posting your supposed smartness in this here bitcoin thread... bordering on shitcoining, yet I am not going to go so far as to proclaim

Edit: Backtesting results against my data are in and it suggested this addition to the previously posted rule in order to have caught today's dip while profiting in more trading windows and eliminating loss windows over the previous rule alone: **S1-hack** buys at 6% below the 24-hour high instead of 8%, but only on a volume spike of at least 8 times normal, double what the live rule needs.

Sounds like you have it all figured out...   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

hahahaha

I wanna add my sincere congratulations to everybody here not being dismembered from scams ore hacks in all those years while being an active Bitcoin holder.

What a ride, isn’t it?

Aren't you assuming a lot?

I think that there has been variations or reckedness in this here thread through the years, and I am not sure if some guys might not talk about some of their reckedness through the years.  Of course, it would be better to lose 10% to 25% of your stash than to lose 50% of it, and so perhaps a lot of the matter is relative to the extent that guys are disclosing or even if the topic might be good..  Can you imagine the backlash to admitting certain kinds of losses?

They are not bad topics but they can become overly personalized..  

Otherwise, I will agree with the "what a ride?" part.. even though the nature of the various attacks seem to be getting a bit crazy and discombobulating in some ways.



Whoaza!!!

Long time no see Torquey porkey.

 Tongue Tongue
smartcomet
Full Member
***
Offline

Activity: 252
Merit: 104


View Profile
Today at 01:20:17 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Quote
Lost 70k USD (0.85BTC) due to Electrum RBF security breach. I'm devastated and don't know how to move forward
...
fvm7274
Everyone needs to read this. https://github.com/spesmilo/electrum/security/advisories/GHSA-6jp4-8v48-cc5v
Quote
Malicious server can replace a just-broadcast tx and try to trick user into RBF-ing it
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1xjfa5i/lost_70k_usd_085btc_due_to_electrum_rbf_security/

Suggest offline signature.


ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline

Activity: 3080
Merit: 2565


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
Today at 02:03:13 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Pages: « 1 ... 36216 36217 36218 36219 36220 36221 36222 36223 36224 36225 36226 36227 36228 36229 36230 36231 36232 36233 36234 36235 36236 36237 36238 36239 36240 36241 36242 36243 36244 36245 36246 36247 36248 36249 36250 36251 36252 36253 36254 36255 36256 36257 36258 36259 36260 36261 36262 36263 36264 36265 [36266] 36267 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!